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NAS100 trade ideas

US100 (NASDAQ100)🎯 Current Bias: Bearish Short-Term -Price has already formed a lower high and lower low structure. -Sitting at a key retracement zone after recent drop. -Smart money concept (CHoCH → BoS) suggests institutional repositioning for shorts. 💡 Trading Opportunities 1. Short Opportunity (Main Bias) -Entry Zone: Between 0.5 to 0.618 retracement (21,220–21,260) -Stop Loss: Above 0.382 level / local high (~21,300) -Target 1: 21,117.5 (marked Fibonacci level) -Target 2: 21,000 psychological / next POI Confluence: -Bearish market structure -Premium zone tap + Fib retracement zone -CHoCH and BoS confirming order flow shift 2. Countertrend Long (Aggressive & Lower Probability) -Entry: If price hits 21,117.5 and forms a bullish CHoCH or internal BoS -SL: Below 21,050 -Target: Revisit 0.5–0.618 zone or unmitigated supply above ⚠️ Risk Notes -NFP/major US data could trigger volatility (always check the calendar). -US100 can whipsaw during macro catalyst moments – avoid overleveraging.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Monarch00
NAS100 - Will the stock market continue to rise!?The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading within the specified range. In case of a valid break of this range, I expect a new trend to form. In case of corrective movements towards the demand zone, we can buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk. A recent report from Bank of America reveals that investors are actively repositioning in global markets. For the second consecutive week, U.S.equities experienced capital outflows, while European stocks saw inflows for the seventh straight week. Digital assets attracted $2.6 billion in inflows—the largest amount since January. In contrast, Japanese equities recorded the largest weekly outflow in history, while emerging markets equities attracted their highest inflows of 2025. Meanwhile, emerging markets debt also posted its strongest inflows since January 2023. Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, speaking at the 2025 Reagan National Economic Forum, warned that China will not yield to U.S. trade pressure. He urged that the U.S. must first address its internal challenges, including reforming laws, taxes, immigration, education, and healthcare systems. Dimon also underscored the importance of preserving military alliances. He noted that China is a serious and potential rival, and if the United States fails to maintain its position as the world’s dominant economic and military power over the next 40 years, the dollar will no longer serve as the global reserve currency. Having just returned from China, Dimon added, “The Chinese are not afraid; don’t expect them to bow to America.” Currently, markets are pricing in two interest rate cuts totaling 50 basis points by the end of 2025—a forecast aligned with the Federal Reserve’s official dot plot projections. Additionally, the latest FOMC minutes, which revealed policymakers’ concerns over persistent inflationary pressures, played a significant role in shaping these expectations. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that he would support rate cuts later this year if tariffs remain around an average of 10%. However, his support hinges on inflation moving toward the Fed’s 2% target and the labor market maintaining its current strength. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley projects that the U.S. dollar could weaken by approximately 9% by mid-2026, citing a slowdown in U.S. economic growth and an anticipated 175 basis point reduction in the Fed’s interest rates. The bank also forecasts that 10-year Treasury yields will reach 4% by the end of 2025 but fall sharply in 2026 as rates decline further. Both Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan hold a bearish outlook on the dollar, expecting safe-haven currencies such as the euro, yen, and Swiss franc to benefit the most from its weakness. In this context, market participants are closely watching key economic data in the week ahead. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is scheduled for release on Monday, followed by the Non-Manufacturing PMI on Wednesday. However, the main highlight will be Friday’s May Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which has exceeded expectations over the past two months. A similar result this time would signal continued strength in the labor market. Given the Fed’s focus on inflation risks, special attention will likely be paid to the average hourly earnings growth. If wage growth remains above 3%, the market may begin to reprice some of its expectations for rate cuts—especially if the ISM reports also indicate improved economic activity in line with strong S&P Global readings. Such a scenario could pave the way for a renewed strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Alongside the data releases, a series of speeches from key Federal Reserve officials—including Goolsbee (Chicago), Bostic (Atlanta), Logan (Dallas), and Harker (Philadelphia)—are expected. These remarks could further shape market expectations regarding the future path of monetary policy.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Approaching an overlap supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 20,833.76 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 20,100.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 21,763.98 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:NAS100Long
by Tradu
Upcoming Monthly/Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis: 1- Recent macro-economic data were good. But they do not reflect the Tariffs impacts. 2- All expected data (i.e., inflation, consumer sentiment) were inline with the projected tariff impacts. 3- Uncertainty is in the driver seat as long as Trump flip flop with his tariffs. 4- The 90-day tariff pause ends by July 4th!!! Surprise...surprise... the liberation day! Definitely, Trump will announce the 2nd Liberation day! 5- From this week and moving forward, data will reflect tariffs impacts. 6- This week, we have many relevant data and probably many Trump tweets. =) All the above has structural negative impacts on US economy; hence negative impacts on US Stocks and equities. TA Analysis: Monthly TF: NQ monthly close was bullish. From this TF, we should expect a continuation up seeking a new ATH. But I strongly doubt it. The Monthly close was below 21457. If price will be unable to close at least above this level, price should revisit 17236. In this thread, we do not trade Monthly TF, but it gives us a macro perspective. Weekly TF: The weekly close was bearish, even with a green candle. From this TF, we should expect a south move. In my view, Wave 3 has started last week. Daily TF: The chart shows all levels of Wave 3 into 5 mini-waves. The target of this mini-wave 3.1 is the low of May (19594). Price already broke TL and closed below it. Price from now on it should continue south/down. Price must close inside the tariff on & off candle (yellow box). (Note: The chart shows only three waves of 3.1 representing the Initial move, retrace move and impulsive move. But every single move/wave should have 5 waves. I do not represent them to avoid making the chart complex which it's already!). Hourly TF: Price might complete the retrace up to 21468-21590. Then resume the down movement as per the chart. Data will give the ebb and flow to be inline with TA analysis. That's all for this week/month. Wish you GL and plenty of green trades.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
NAS100 4H | Fibonacci Bounce or Break? Key Trendline Test Incomi📈 Description: Price is currently testing a key ascending trendline on the 4H, sitting just below the 38.2% Fib retracement after rejecting near the 0% level. I’m watching this area closely for either: ✅ A bullish bounce from the 38.2%–50% zone with confluence from EMA 20 and trendline support — targeting 0% then -27% extensions (around 21,750 to 22,200), or ❌ A clean break and close below the trendline + 61.8% level that could shift short bias toward deeper Fib zones like 78.6% or even 100%. Indicators Used: • EMA 20 / EMA 68 for dynamic S/R • Fibonacci retracement (swing low to recent high) • Trendline (4H structure support) 🧠 I’ll wait for clear structure before entering — no early entries here. Looking for a strong engulfing candle, MA crossover, or lower-timeframe breakout confirmation depending on the direction. 📍Will update if we get confluence on the 15min/1hr to support entry.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Warrenducatz
2
Nas100 w1.trading I deaHi traders as you can see this market is n uptrend market n since Trump come to the office he started tarrif n tarrif cause big rejection as you can see however he paused it n comes bek up,now they were trying to block him but he managed to put them back again because of his reasons,ok cool you have to understand that all this moves since Trump took the office he is the one in charge and he is moving market soo that's why today things can bebetter n tomorrow you can see spike again we we're nearly recession and he paused tarrif,market comes bek up,soo if you stick to the tre you are in the right side,soo note that we are still trading under tarrif territory meaning you can see spike today n tomorrow then drown down that's why you need to be updated 24/7 knowing what is moving and why I laugh when I see someone draw graph n see spike to their direction n immediately get exited within 1 hour market recovery that spike very fast lol,you need to know what is moving the market soo that you wo the surprised soo this year 99% is trump reports that is moving the market if he can imposes tarrif to Europe on 12 June you gonna see entire market going down for short period,tarrif affect the market globally not only were it raised,that's why if trump n China won't make successful deal we might see a recession and as am seeing China they are ready to fight any kind of war and they are loosing interest in trading deals and this will lead to recession globally,all they want is to end tarrif and trump want better deals in businesses aswell soo this is the main n strong trade war between all countries and it can cost people's money,soo according to my analysis am still bullish am not talking this as a retest noo that's why i explained what makes it to fall and positivity to the deals means rally thats why I stick to the trends till now,until further notice,.make sure you are updated.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by mulaudzimpho
Short US100Think we see a move up to the 0.786 fib level from the recent highs with a rejection down further if more blocks or doubt is cast on the new trade deals and tariffs. TP would be the weekly lows Bearish thoughts - The fundamentals of the tariffs deals are getting challenged - A bit more aggressiveness from china and we might see a move down - Daily MACD is pointing down suggesting downward pressure which we are seeing on hourly chart Bullish structure remains on the 4hr chart
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ollieinvesting
H&S Watch! Pullback Toward 18.4K Likely, POC at 15K is Critical!This chart presents a comprehensive technical and macro assessment of the NASDAQ 100 (US100) using the daily timeframe. The focal point is a developing Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, currently unconfirmed, but well-formed with strong structural and momentum confluence. 🧠 Thought Process & Structure The chart reveals a potential H&S pattern with the right shoulder forming just below 22,200. While the neckline at 18,400 has not broken yet, several signals support the idea of a short-term pullback: Bearish RSI divergence from the recent high Stochastic crossovers on both daily and weekly timeframes from overbought levels A large unfilled gap near 18,400 that is likely to act as a magnet Rather than predicting an immediate collapse, this analysis takes a probability-weighted approach and lays out both bullish and bearish outcomes clearly. 📉 Current Expectation: Pullback Toward 18,400 A move toward 18,400 is the base case. This level represents: The neckline of the H&S structure The location of Gap Fill Target 2 A prior demand zone from April 2025 A bounce here would not invalidate the pattern but could delay its confirmation. It’s also a valid level for a short-term long trade setup if buyers defend it strongly. ⚠️ Break Below 18,400: POC Zone Becomes Critical Should 18,400 break decisively, the market could test the Point of Control (POC) around 15,000. This zone: Has the highest historical volume concentration Aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement Marks the new measured move target of the Head & Shoulders pattern In short, 15,000 becomes the most critical structural and psychological support. If it fails, deeper risk reopens. 🔻 Deeper Move Scenarios (Now Less Likely) Previous versions of this chart targeted 10,500. That level is now considered outside the measured move and only becomes viable if: 15,000 fails to hold Macro conditions deteriorate sharply (e.g., inflation remains sticky, Fed turns hawkish, or recession triggers a risk-off rotation) At this time, such an extended move is low probability. 📈 Bullish Invalidation A breakout above 22,200 with strong volume would invalidate the entire bearish pattern. This would suggest bullish continuation and open the door to 24,000 and beyond. This scenario is also plotted on the chart and clearly labeled. 🧭 Trading Plan Monitor for rejection or bounce at 18,400 If it holds, long opportunity may develop If it fails, prepare for POC test at 15,000 Only consider deeper targets if breakdown volume is strong Invalidate bearish outlook if price closes decisively above 22,200 📅 Macro Events to Watch (June–July 2025) June 6 – Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) June 11 – CPI Report (May) June 17–18 – FOMC Meeting June 26 – Final Q1 GDP June 27 – PCE Inflation July 3 – June Employment Report July 15 – June CPI July 30 – FOMC Meeting #5 & Q2 GDP Advance Estimate These events could act as triggers for either confirming or invalidating the current technical setup. ✅ Summary This is a developing setup — not a confirmed breakdown. The current expectation is a pullback toward 18,400, with a potential bounce. If that support fails, the 15,000 POC becomes the key level to watch. The measured move of the H&S pattern now targets 15,000 — not 10,500. Deeper downside should only be considered if strong macro or volume-based catalysts emerge. This approach allows for flexibility, clarity, and trade planning without bias. Let the chart prove itself — and be ready either way.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by BizZinessFX
NAS100 BEARISH FOR 35,532 TICKS1. Understanding the Target (35,532 Ticks) 1 tick in NAS100 (CFD/Futures) typically represents 0.25 index points (varies by broker). 35,532 ticks = 35,532 × 0.25 = 8,883 points. This suggests a long-term bullish outlook if starting from current levels (~18,000-19,000). 2. Key Analysis for NAS100 Forecast Trend: NAS100 is strongly influenced by tech stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, etc.) and Fed policy. Support Levels: Major support at 18,000-18,500 (2024 consolidation zone). Resistance Levels: 19,500-20,000 (ATH zone). 21,000-22,000 (next psychological barrier). 3. Take Profit (TP) Strategy If entering a long position (assuming bullish trend continuation): Short-term TP: 19,500 (scalping). Medium-term TP: 20,500-21,000 (swing trade). Long-term TP (35,532 ticks): ~26,883 (if starting from 18,000). If entering a short position (unlikely given bullish bias): TP at key supports (17,500 or lower). 4. Risk Management Use stop-loss (SL) below key support (e.g., 17,800 for longs). Position sizing: Risk ≤1-2% per trade. 5. Conclusion Bullish Case: If NAS100 breaks 20,000, the 35,532-tick (8,883-point) target could be possible in a strong bull run. Bearish Case: Unlikely unless major crash (Fed tightening/geopolitical crisis).
FX:NAS100Short
by LORDOFTHETRADERS
NASDAQ Markup- Not in the Trade, But the Lesson's ClearDidn’t take this one—not trading NASDAQ right now—but I still mapped it out from the 30M perspective just to stay sharp. 4H gave bullish intent after breaking the major macro LH, so I followed the flow. Saw a clean 30M inducement sweep, price then mitigated internal structure OB, and I marked exactly where I would’ve entered with LTF confirmation. Didn’t trade it, but the logic’s there—and if you’ve been watching… you already know what it’s doing now. 🧠📈 Every setup teaches something. – Inducement King Bless Trading!
IG:NASDAQLong
by Juicemannn
NSDQ100 INTRADAY at pivotal level ?Tariffs & Trade: The Trump administration is exploring ways to push through import tariffs, possibly including a temporary 15% tariff for 150 days. A federal appeals court has paused a suspension of the tariffs for now. Markets: US stocks are holding up well. The S&P 500 is on track for its best May since 1990. However, June may be weaker, and futures suggest a quieter trading day ahead. Federal Reserve & Tax Concerns: President Trump urged Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut interest rates in a recent meeting. Wall Street is uneasy about a tax measure in Trump’s bill that may increase taxes on foreign investors in US assets. Europe: The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates next week and again in September, possibly settling at 1.75% until the end of 2026. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey pushed for a stronger EU trade deal and emphasized a slow and cautious approach to rate cuts. Geopolitics: Russia hasn’t provided a peace talk agenda to Ukraine or its allies. Hamas is reviewing a US-backed ceasefire plan but says it doesn’t yet meet its demands. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 21850 Resistance Level 2: 22050 Resistance Level 3: 22200 Support Level 1: 21000 Support Level 2: 20770 Support Level 3: 20560 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NAS100 at Risk of Breaking Lower Amid Mixed Signals and End-of-MThe NAS100 is showing signs of weakness, with a clear daily pinbar candle signaling potential downside reversal. After a strong rally, the index appears overextended and vulnerable to a technical retracement. End-of-month profit-taking is likely adding pressure, as traders lock in gains and rebalance portfolios. Uncertainty around reciprocal tariffs is also weighing on sentiment. Comments from U.S. officials, including Bessent, emphasize the need for renewed dialogue with China—highlighting unresolved tensions that could escalate. These trade concerns are surfacing just as the market is priced for optimism, increasing the risk of a pullback. From a technical perspective, the daily pinbar near recent highs indicates a rejection of upward momentum. If confirmed with a break below the recent low, a move toward 20,400 or even the 50-day moving average could follow. Seasonal flows and shifting sentiment may further limit upside in the short term. Any risk-off tone from global headlines or softer macro data could accelerate the move lower. Until the index clears resistance with conviction, the bias may now tilt to the downside. Traders should watch for follow-through signals and consider tightening stops.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by fwalbaum
4