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US 100 Cash CFD forum

6 minutes ago

democrats are bullish

1 hour ago

The Importance of Stop-Loss Placement and Market Structure

One of the most critical aspects of trading is understanding liquidity engineering by smart money and market makers. Moves in the market require liquidity, and this often results in price targeting areas with concentrated stop-losses. Here’s how you can systematically approach stop-loss placement to avoid falling into common traps.

Stop-Loss Placement and Structural Importance
• Avoid Emotional Placement: Place stop-losses in structurally significant areas, not based on arbitrary or emotional decisions.
• Structural Key Points:
• If the market is in a range caused by a bearish break of structure, your stop-loss should be beyond the high that caused the displacement.
• If price surpasses this high, it indicates a structural shift, suggesting the market is no longer bearish.

Liquidity Sweeps and Retail Psychology
• Market Dynamics:
• Price frequently targets areas with clustered stop-losses, often just above or below a range. This phenomenon, called a liquidity sweep, is a deliberate move to gather liquidity before reversing.
• Retail traders often place stop-losses just beyond the range, making it easy to predict their locations.
• Common Misconception:
• Contrary to popular belief, hedge funds and institutions cannot “see” your stop-losses. However, based on market psychology, it is not difficult to anticipate where the majority of retail stop-losses are placed.

Practical Strategies for Stop-Loss Placement
1. Understand Market Structure:
• Identify levels that invalidate your trade thesis. For longs, this is typically the structural low, and for shorts, the structural high.
2. Use ATR (Average True Range):
• Add the ATR value to the structural low or high to account for market noise and volatility.
• This ensures your stop-loss is not hit prematurely while maintaining a systematic approach.

Risk-Reward and Trade Selection
• Focus on Positive Risk-to-Reward Ratios:
• Your risk-to-reward should always exceed 2:1 to accommodate larger stop-losses while maintaining profitability.
• If the setup does not offer a favorable ratio, do not adjust the stop-loss to force the trade. Instead, look for a new opportunity.
• Systematic Discipline:
• Keep your process systematic. Only take trades that align with your strategy and offer the correct risk-reward dynamics.
• Avoid the temptation to tweak stop-losses or take-profits to fit a setup that doesn’t meet your criteria.

Key Takeaways
• Be Systematic: Trading success comes from consistency and a systematic approach, not from emotional decision-making.
• Learn Market Structure: Understand what levels invalidate a trade idea and use these as the basis for stop-loss placement.
• Use ATR for Precision: Account for volatility to avoid being stopped out unnecessarily.
• Focus on Risk-Reward: Always ensure your trades align with a positive risk-to-reward framework; otherwise, skip the trade.

By incorporating these principles into your trading, you can avoid common retail mistakes and develop a more professional, profitable approach over time.

2 hours ago

officially, Wall street didn't open trading today.. so its algos

Damn!

2 hours ago

US100 Market Update: Capturing Opportunities Across Biases

We hope everyone has been closely following our recent ideas. Our approach transcends a single market bias—we aim to extract opportunities in all market conditions. Recently, we successfully capitalized on the short from 21,700, profited from a counter long, and are now seeing further gains for those who traded the breakout.

Current Market Status

At present, we are not personally in a trade, as we prefer to exercise patience and await the anticipated pullback. Despite this, the market exhibits potential for higher levels as FOMO-driven buying continues to dominate.

For those with lower entries around 21,200, congratulations on securing a high-quality risk-reward setup. To maximize your gains, we recommend employing a trailing stop loss, which allows profits to grow while safeguarding against potential reversals. As Paul Tudor Jones wisely advises:
“Run with your winners, cut your losses.”
Too often, traders prematurely cut winning trades while allowing losses to run—discipline and strategy are key to avoiding this pitfall.

Anticipated Market Movement
• Near-Term FOMO: We anticipate the market will test higher levels as momentum and retail buying enthusiasm persist.
• Correction After FOMO: A minor correction is likely to follow—not a deep retracement, but enough to align with our identified levels.
• Entry Strategy: Once the correction occurs, we will seek long positions upon confirmation of a bullish break of structure on lower timeframes.

Key Advice

Discipline and adherence to a well-defined plan remain crucial. The financial markets handle trillions of dollars daily, and no one can predict every movement with certainty. This is why diversification and flexibility are critical. Trading only one asset or maintaining a singular bias is akin to running straight on a circular track—it’s unsustainable without adaptation.

We provide ideas across multiple markets to ensure diversification. Recently, our notable trades in USDJPY, GBPJPY, and EURAUD have captured 1,000+ pip movements, delivering substantial rewards to our followers. This success is a testament to the power of pre-defined analysis and disciplined execution.

Thank you for your continued support. Let’s continue to navigate the markets with clarity, precision, and adaptability, ensuring everyone can benefit from the opportunities ahead.

2 hours ago

Price is currently at my 23.6% Fib Level and guess what?

That is the last level before the 0% which is the ATH...

Now is the time to be patient and wait for that entry...

Ideal scenario is a return to 38% for another buy entry, but will trade only what the market confirms...

Like I said...it's a marathon...not a sprint....

HLs to HHs Guaranteed!...just be patient

2 hours ago

thanks for playing yall

2 hours ago

Just for those who are looking for something to spring on...

I am out of the market...this does not mean that I am done trading...

If I see my setup, I will take it once it is in line with my established guidelines.

Just know that I am not jumping into buys here as I no longer chase the price around...

Here is a trick i have learned..

*** If you see a strong buy going on an you are not in it, rather than chase the price and enter from a high position...Wait for a low point...you already know the price will always go back and break it...the more patient you are is the easier it gets...trust me...***

#oneauberstrategy

Here is the blueprint:

1. Buy on your largest HL

2. TP on your HH

3. If you only get a LH (TP and wait for another HL)

4. Repeat the process everytime...it never fails (guaranteed)

#oneauberstrategy

2 hours ago

Justification for my just completed trade.

1. The market is consistently making HL's to HH's (Even when it makes a LH on a larger timeframe...the smaller timeframes will make the HH's during the consolidation period)

2. Friday's H1 high was triggered by a break from a new Low that eventually broke the HH it created on Thursday.

3. If the market is making HL's to HH's and the market opened yesterday and only created a HL on the M45, that simply means the trend is still in tact on the lower timeframe

4. I took profit on my largest trend move (although within the consolidation)

5. Next step is to wait for another HL before taking another buy.

Like I have always said...ignore the noise...people always try to micro analyze your posts in an attempt to let the rubbish they spew seem relevant...

You trade for HH's not for Lows, HL, or LL's...those are just your entry points.

I have told you a million times...anyone telling you that a bloodbath is coming on NAS100 has absolutely no clue what they are talking about...and it is absolute rubbish.

Retracements, however hard they may be are not bloodbaths, they are just temporary sells to set up the larger HL's...the sooner you realize that, the better your trading experience will be.

Happy trading everyone...
Happy MLK day.

#oneauberstrategy

2 hours ago

today is a US holiday but look at that move

2 hours ago

and with that..I am out of the market for today...

Took my profit on the H2 HH