NL25 trade ideas
AEX is forming Head and Shoulder patternAEX is forming Head & Shoulder pattern with neck line around 437.5. When neck line doesn’t hold, the AEX could drop until around 410. This will form the head of another Head & Shoulder pattern.
AEX ShorttripAs a top got confirmed together with change in momentum, negative crossing of stochastics, i'm looking towards next levels.
446 as a support and bottom trendline.
Area around 438 again as support and bottom trendline.
A short position should be held as long no bottoming has formed around those levels.
Purpose is to let profits run.. everyone wants that.
So the Exp. MA 3 and 8 are helping to determine the trend. A close under Ema 3 is a strong downtrend.
During the trend the Ema 8 can be tested. As long no close occurs above the Ema 8 the short position remains.
Note that a strong reversal candlepattern might also trigger a take profit.
Why i am long Indices in Early October30/09/16:
Db just had a huge correction forcing Germany or ECB to step in pritty soon.
With this burden on an all time low its less to bother about for indices.
Sure if db crashes then you can say goodbye to this entire plan, but probably many plans will be garbage then.
And does the world really need a new financial crash?
I dont think so...
We recently had an opec deal to cut output, personally i am sceptical due to non opec producers beeing able to pick up the pace with higher prices so this may put some downward pressure into the upcoming month.
Last we have the us stock exchanges who are all near ath's and keep hovering around that zone with no immediate new problems to be sighted (excluding wells fargo perhaps) in usa i dont expect usa indices to put much pressure into european indices into early october.
Given the current aex price (also dax and other european indices) i am prity sure to open calls on eu indices with a targetdate of a few weeks.
Check in on the other charts as well i'll comment for a zoomed vieuw.
AEX seems to form a Head & Shoulders pattern in long runAEX seems to form a Head & Shoulders pattern, similar like in 2005-2008. Pattern starts with forming the left shoulder in summer 2013. And right shoulder starts February 2016. Right shoulder could make a top around end of first quarter 2017.
AEX - Call End of WeekUS and Asian markets closed lower last friday. AEX opened very low.
AEX recover till end of week. General sentiment is positive, although Draghi made it less positive last thursday.
AEX daytimeframe february - july compare to FTSE index
If we look at the AEX we are seeing an uptrend, but if we look at the FTSE, we are seeing an breaking-out above the upward trendline. If we look at the RSI index we are seeing an really long trend the last time above our upper band. If we look at the MACD we have some pression the last semair.
If are looking aging at our stockimage in the bollinger bands there could come some moment were the MA will cross under the basis line of the Bollinger bands. This means that there could be some pression what can results in a downtrend.
Also Bloomberg has been uploaded some content about the bad politic situation in the UK when the prime minister is getting out. This can also result in a shockwave in financial markets (most likely is the markets that are in correlation with the FTSE)
