How To Draw Fibonacci Trading
WE WILL BE USING FIBONACCI RATIOS A LOT IN OUR TRADING SO YOU BETTER LEARN TO LOVE IT LIKE YOUR FAVOURITE PIZZA.
Fibonacci is a huge subject and there are many different Fibonacci studies with weird-sounding names but we’re going to stick to two: retracement and extension.
The ratios arise from the following number series: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144…
This series of numbers is derived by starting with 0 followed by 1 and then adding 0 + 1 to get 1, the third number. Then, adding the second and third number (1 + 1) to get 2, the fourth number, and so on.
After the first few numbers in the sequence, if you measure the ratio of any number to the succeeding higher number, you get .618. For example, 34 divided by 55 equals .618.
SOUNDS COMPLICATED RIGHT?
So lets use some code to calculate it on the chart for us.
The indicators will automatically show the levels & long short signals at the bottom.
THE MOST IMPORTANT FIB LEVELS ARE
38.2
50
61.8
US2000 trade ideas
RUT Monthly UpdateMonthly Data Summary Suggests:
Current Monthly Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bullish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Long positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bullish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1533.64 - 1694.48
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1266.93 - 1703.81
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the monthly chart is a target price of 1574.16
Price movement has returned to the Trending Moving Average this suggests either a stall while averages catch up to the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current monthly reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current monthly reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 months is currently: Bullish
Weekly Data Summary Suggests:
Current Weekly Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bullish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Long positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bearish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1586.87 - 1641.25
Prices have broken through the consolidation low
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the weekly chart is a target price of 1561.64
Out of the combined (weekly & daily) indicators monitored, 83.33% are bearish, 16.67% are bullish and 0.00% are neutral
Price movement has returned to the Trending Moving Average this suggests either a stall while averages catch up to the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current weekly reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current weekly reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 weeks is currently: Bearish
Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bearish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Short positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bearish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1601.61 - 1623.19
Prices have broken through the consolidation low
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the daily chart is a target price of 1590.7
The prices have moved 2.6 times the normal trade range from Trend Moving Average, a stall/decline may occur to return to the average.
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bear
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Bearish
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bearish
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
Tiomarkets Daily Market Commentary 27 Jan 2020A new week sees an old theme dominate. If President Trump had hoped there would be something to detract from his impeachment trial, he got it in the form of the Coronavirus. While the Chinese community attempt to celebrate the Lunar New Year, 81 people have died and almost 3,000 are confirmed ill. Almost 50 cases have been confirmed outside of China although thus far no deaths. In Shanghai, the Holiday has been extended to the 10th February to keep businesses closed. All of this will affect the Chinese economy and potentially the global economy, thus the sharp risk aversion in the markets.
Monday would start with moves lower for equity markets and traditional ‘risk-on’ FX pairs such as USDJPY and JPY crosses as well as AUD, NZD and CAD. XAU would continue to benefit as Oil prices moved lower. As the US day gets going, USDJPY has dropped to a low of 108.73 and EURJPY to 119.92. EURUSD would slip to 1.1011 and GBPUSD to 1.3041. AUD, NZD and CAD would weaken to 0.6752, 0.6544 and 1.3199 respectively. Stocks in Asia would move lower led by the Nikkei down 2%. All the major European bourses would also fall sharply, the DAX down 2.7% and the UK FTSE 100 down 2.3%. In the US things were marginally better but the DJ and S&P closed lower by nearly 1.6%, taking the DJ into negative territory for the year. Has the stock market reversal begun or is this just a blip on the radar as the world gets to grips with the coronavirus outbreak? Going forward all eyes will be on JPY crosses and equities if the situation worsens. For today, the moves were sharp, and some would say predictable. But volatility is on the rise and the markets will react to every headline, positive and negative, going forward.
I recently commented on the Russell 2000 index and how it was under-performing the other 3 major US indices. The DJ, S&P and Nasdaq have all reclaimed and surpassed their highs of October 2018. The Russell has not. So while we all basked in the euphoria of new record highs to begin 2020, I urged caution as the ‘small business index’ had failed to play a complete catch up. Move forward a week or so and we are seeing the vulnerability of the 3 major US indices in their overbought status as panic sets in with the coronavirus. On the chart in front of you can see the Russell 2000 in green and red and the S&P in orange. The correlation is obvious, but you could argue that the Russell 2000 is leading the way. Keep an eye on this relationship over the coming days, even if we see a partial correction of today’s moves.
RUT update for week ending 20 January 2020Weekly Data Summary Suggests:
Current Weekly Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bullish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Long positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bullish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1642.27 - 1689.46
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1645.51 - 1715.07
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the weekly chart is a target price of 1636.11
Out of the combined (weekly & daily) indicators monitored, 41.67% are bearish, 41.67% are bullish and 16.67% are neutral
The prices are moving with the Trending Moving Average at a standard pace with a moderate market
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current weekly reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current weekly reading of: Bullish
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 weeks is currently: Bullish
Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bearish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Short positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bearish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1654.38 - 1672.94
No Conolidation Exists at this time
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the daily chart is a target price of 1604.05 - 1623.98
Price movement has returned to the Trending Moving Average this suggests either a stall while averages catch up to the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bearish
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
RUT update for week ending 10 January 2020Weekly Data Summary Suggests:
Current Weekly Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bullish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Long positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bullish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1657.64 - 1697.98
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1645.51 - 1681.68
Out of the combined (weekly & daily) indicators monitored, 41.67% are bearish, 50.00% are bullish and 8.33% are neutral
The prices are moving with the Trending Moving Average at a standard pace with a moderate market
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current weekly reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current weekly reading of: Bullish
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 weeks is currently: Bullish
Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bearish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest Short positions.
Current chart score suggests that Bearish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1649.10 - 1666.18
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1645.51 - 1678.14
Price movement has returned to the Trending Moving Average this suggests either a stall while averages catch up to the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bullish
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
RUT update for 8 January 2020Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bullish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest closing longs and protecting profit.
Current chart score suggests that Bearish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1649.77 - 1666.85
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1645.51 - 1678.14
If SPX is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the daily chart is a target price of 3217.67
Price movement has returned to the Trending Moving Average this suggests either a stall while averages catch up to the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bearish
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
RUT update for 7 January 2020Daily Data Summary Suggests:
Current Daily Trend (price relationship to the trend MA) is Bullish
The price relationship to the moving averages currently suggest closing longs and protecting profit.
Current chart score suggests that Bearish Sentiment is present.
The anticipated upcoming trade range is between 1657.00 - 1671.80
Price Consolidation has formed between: 1645.51 - 1681.68
If RUT is capable of maintaining the current strength as of today, the projection generated from the daily chart is a target price of 1626.89
Price movement has returned to the Trending Moving Average this suggests either a stall while averages catch up to the prices or a turn in the prices in the opposite direction
The RSI that monitors bullish strength has a current daily reading of: Bullish
The RSI that monitors bearish strength has a current daily reading of: Neutral Bull
The strength demonstrated over the last 5 days is currently: Bearish
** If data does not significantly change between trade dates, a daily update may be skipped. Monthly and Weekly updates will always be provided. **
*** I will be traveling from end of November thru end of December. I will update as I am able. ***
SPX/RUT...Let's Watch!BLUF : Euphoric Phase Beginning? or Does it just Spike-Fizzle-Sideways...TBD
Spinning Narratives : China/Brexit/Phase-1 Deal (Pure Comedy)/House of Saud (Aramco IPO = Steady-She-Goes)/Fed Endless Liquidity...the making of a Nice Melt-UP.... What could go Wrong? Maintain a Reserve Always...
Let's Watch the ShitShow!
HEAD SHOTs ONLY!
Equities markets moving risk-on. Russel Breaking out?Major US indicies finally got their convincing breakout after the dump of Christmas 2018.
However the Russel has lagged the whole way and has failed breakouts several times (signalling big market pullbacks).
Now however the breakout looks more convincing and may have a higher chance of confirming as the bigger indicies continue to push all time highs.
Markets going risk-on like this should lead to a counterwave up in the downward trend of Russel/Dow Jones