DOW?
Hi,
Abit over the top with all the negative news..
But..
I have a strong believe that something is cooking. I am bullish bias till 90 days.. hahaha
I will not think that person had learned his lesson.. that tariff / policies will impact financial market.
I hope it will fly. reason:- bad apples had been removed.. squeeze some juice time
Choose your best entry setup.
Not your guru,
US30 trade ideas
US30 Trade Update โ 21/04/2025 ๐จ US30 Trade Update โ 21/04/2025 ๐จ
๐ US30 Continues Downtrend!
The Dow Jones remains under heavy pressure after rejecting 40,701 resistance last week. Price is now grinding below EMAs with a bearish structure and eyeing the next support at 38,400.
๐ Key Observations:
โ Strong rejection from 40,701
๐ EMA 8/21 crossover remains bearish
๐ป Price consolidating near 38,800
โ ๏ธ If 38,400 breaks โ eyes on 36,743 next major support
๐ฏ Trade Plan:
๐ป Short below 38,400 โ Target 36,743
๐น Long only if price flips 39,800 and holds
๐งจ Bearish bias intact unless bulls reclaim trend control
๐ No signs of reversal yet. Trend favors sellers โ watch 38,400 for breakout or bounce.
DETAIL ANALYSIS OF US30 US30 has reversed from bullish to bearish on daily timeframe However on monthly timeframe the long term Bullish trend is intact on Monthly timeframe applying SMC i have marked the chart and possible scenario is of downward likely market will take on the previous low and apparently on daily time frame its probably 4th wave low is yet to be identified therefore will look for selling with stop above 41000
Note: Only for educational purpose not a financial advice
DOW JONES: Just triggered the most historic buy signal (1M MA50)Despite the bearishness on the lower timeframes, Dow is neutral on the ultimate long term chart, the 1M (RSI = 51.044, MACD = 1991.530, ADX = 44.038) and that is due to the fact it almost touched its 1M MA50. This neutral technical setting is a great reset for the Channel Up and stands as the most ideal long term buy entry and was tested before on all 4 major market bottoms (September 2022, March 2020, January 2016, October 2011). In all incidents it set in motion the new Bull Cycle, technically the bullish wave of the Channel Up. The most common price increase is +70% and along those lines, we anticipate Dow to hit 60,000 by the end of 2027.
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US30 bearish play setting upThe hourly chart is in a downtrend, and we are at that trend line.
On the 15m chart, the momentum of buyers has slowed down to the point where sellers hit it hard as shown by the black arrow.
We want to see the "Last strong buyer" failing to make a new high (or creating a fake high), retesting the horizontal and price falling out of bed.
Waiting for the retest is best but price might not retest before dropping.
US30 โ Monthly Market Structure Analysis (April 2025) โ OLHC BUY
As we analyze the monthly structure of the US30 index for April 2025, several key technical developments and strategic insights are worth noting:
1. Monthly Low Established:
The price action for this month has thus far established a significant low, indicating a potential bottoming pattern that may signal the beginning of a bullish move.
2. Key Support Level and First Rejection:
A strong bullish rejection was observed at the 37,000 level, which has proven to be a substantial support zone. This level held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest and institutional accumulation.
3.Target Projection:
My primary take-profit target for this upward move is projected at **41,834.42** , which aligns with higher timeframe resistance and Fibonacci extension levels. This offers a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for long entries.
4. Waiting for Confirmation:
At present, I am closely monitoring price behavior near a **minor support zone**, where I anticipate another rejection that could provide the ideal entry signal for initiating buy positions. Patience remains key as we await further confirmation.
5. Strategic Considerations:
- Risk Management: Traders are advised to apply proper risk management protocols. Avoid over-leveraging, and ensure your trade size is appropriate to your account equity.
- Discipline: Do not rush into trades. Wait for solid confirmation signals, such as bullish candlestick patterns or momentum shifts, before committing capital.
- Market Conditions: Be aware of upcoming economic events or fundamental news that may impact US indices, and adjust your strategy accordingly.
6. Community Engagement:
If you found this analysis insightful and aligned with your trading view, feel free to like, share, and follow for more structured market updates and trading ideas.
Letโs trade smart, stay patient, and manage risk with precision. All the best this month!
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however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
๐I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
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๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 42700 (or) Escape Before the Target
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โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
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DOW/US30 - RETAIL DATA AND POWELL SPEECHTeam,
The market has been a roller coaster due to the Trump Tariff plan
. We are in an entry long position now but with small volume only.
The current for US30 price is 40248
We are using a swing stop loss at 40120
Once the price reaches above 40300, bring stop loss to BE
the data consensus shows that 700% retail increase is more than last month.
this will likely support the market. Also, Trump's tariff plan would improve exports and bring down the DOLLAR.
Therefore, if you are risking a trade 1R buts 5R as a reward
Please assess your risk and make the decision.
NOTE: However, if the price drop toward 39800-39200, I will double and triple my money on long position
will get our money back easily.
Every trade you enter requires a risk and reward
ask yourself and analyst carefully
We can easily get 40300 then bring stop loss to BE for target the range above
US30 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 40693.92, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 39359.24, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 42215.43, which is a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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Avoid Trading Indices on Long Weekends and Bank HolidaysTrading indices during long weekends or bank holidays can be risky due to lower liquidity and higher volatility. Many major financial institutions and market participants are away, leading to thinner trading volumes. This can cause exaggerated price swings, making it harder to execute trades at desired levels. Additionally, unexpected news or geopolitical events over the extended break can trigger sharp gaps when markets reopen, increasing the chances of significant losses.
Another key concern is the lack of immediate reaction time. Since markets are closed for an extended period, traders have no opportunity to adjust positions in response to breaking news. This can leave portfolios exposed to unforeseen risks. Spreads on indices also tend to widen during these times, increasing trading costs. For these reasons, itโs often safer to wait for normal trading conditions rather than risking unpredictable moves during illiquid holiday sessions.
Dow Jones INTRADAY resistance at 41333Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41333
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 39220
Support Level 2: 37554
Support Level 3: 36620
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Weekly: Support Under Threat - Prepare for More Downside?US30 Weekly Analysis - Potential Trading Setup
Technical Outlook โ 21 April 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 on the weekly timeframe is trading within a long-term ascending channel. Price recently experienced a sharp correction, breaking below the middle of the channel and is now testing a key support zone.
Potential Trading Setup:
Potential Reversal/Long Setup (Primary Scenario):
Entry: Look for strong bullish reversal signals within the current support zone (around 37,500 - 38,500). This could include bullish candlestick patterns on the weekly or daily timeframe, coupled with the Stochastic indicator showing a bullish divergence or crossing up from oversold territory.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the low of the reversal signal or below the lower boundary of the support zone (below 37,500).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: The middle of the ascending channel (around 40,500 - 41,000).
TP2: The upper trendline of the ascending channel (currently around 44,000 - 45,000, and rising over time).
Bearish Continuation Setup (Secondary Scenario):
Entry: If bullish reversal signals fail to materialize and the price breaks decisively below the current support zone (below 37,500), look for short entry opportunities. The Stochastic indicator confirming downward momentum would add confluence to this setup.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the high of the breakdown candle or above the broken support zone.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: The next significant support level around 34,000 - 35,000.
TP2: The lower boundary of the ascending channel (currently around 32,000 - 33,000, and rising over time).
Important Considerations:
Weekly Timeframe Significance: Trading setups on the weekly chart require patience and can take time to play out.
Confirmation is Crucial: Wait for clear confirmation signals, including price action and signals from the Stochastic indicator, before entering any trades.
Channel Dynamics: The ascending channel trendlines are dynamic and will change over time.
Risk Management: Employ appropriate position sizing and always use stop-loss orders.
If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
US30 โ Descending Channel intact after False BreakoutFX:US30 is currently trading within a clearly defined descending channel, with price action continuously being restricted by the upper trendline. The recent decline indicates that sellers are in control, suggesting the possibility of continuation.
Price has recently broken through a key support area and may come back to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will reinforce the bearish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 34,100 target, which aligns with the boundary of the channel.
As long as price remains below this support area, the bearish outlook remains intact. A false breakout may occur to "trap" buyers, so it is necessary to wait for clear reversal candle confirmation before entering a trade.
Remember, always confirm your setup and use appropriate risk management.