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US30 trade ideas

Update to Dow Jones Industrials Time At Mode Back in 2015 I had published a chart with annual data for the Dow Jones Industrials. I will provide a link at the bottom. The research for this patterning is something I did myself by hand using pencil and paper back in the 1980's. These patterns show up in all time frames. There is plenty of room to enhance the research on this technique and a group of us gather in the chat rooms here at TradingView to discuss new trades that set up and point out when trades expire. Notice how these two grey boxes (which are both 50% drops in price) that expand wider in time from the 1960's to the 1980's and the 2000-2010's had a multi-year trend, followed by a monster crash (1987 was 40% and 2000 was 37%) and then just two+ years later there was a secondary bear market of 20% in 1990 and 22% in 2022. Keep in mind this is just for the DJ:DJI and not the Nasdaq Composite or S&P500 which were greater corrections. The 11-year time frame of the 1999-2011 pattern allows for an 11-year rally from 2012 (which was year 1 of the 11-year rally) shows that time expired. As you can see from the 1943-1962 trend, a smaller 5-year mode formed at the end of the 20 year trend and then the market peaked in 1972-1973 when time expired for the second, smaller mode. I had to reconstruct this chart after the data for the previous chart changed symbol. See the link below to see the original. I look forward to your additional research onto this pattern and its implications to the idea that we are in a similar period to 1993-1994 with rally years of 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999 and 2000 ahead of us. All the best, Tim October 19, 2024 3:31PM EST
TVC:DJI
by timwest
14
DOW JONES: High volatility but clear picture long term.Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.021, MACD = -1063.380, ADX = 32.380) as it is correcting brutally yesterday's gains on uncertainty regarding the 90-day pause of tariffs. We can't overlook however the fact that yesterday's rebound happened on the 1W MA200 and at the bottom (HL) of the Bullish Megaphone. The very same sequence of events unfolded during the last big U.S.-China trade war that bottomed in December 2018. First a Channel Down bottomed on the 1W MA200 and started the Bullish Megaphone that bottomed on the 2018 trade war. Both trade war corrections were -19% and if what follows replicates the 2019 rise, then we are up for a +35% rally. Potential TP = 49,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:DJILong
by InvestingScope
US30: Will the Channel Hold? Trading the Intraday StructureUS30 1-Hour Analysis - Potential Trading Setup Technical Outlook — 11 April 2025 Current Market Condition: US30 on the 1-hour timeframe is currently trading within a short-term ascending channel, showing a recent test of the upper trendline. The price is now exhibiting signs of potential bearish pullback within this channel. Potential Trading Setup: Bearish Pullback Setup (Primary Scenario): Entry: Look for confirmation of bearish rejection from the upper ascending channel trendline. This could be in the form of bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar) on the 15-minute or 30-minute timeframe after testing the channel top. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the high of the rejection candle or above the upper channel trendline to protect against a potential channel breakout. Take Profit Targets: TP1: The middle of the ascending channel (currently around 40,600). TP2: The lower trendline of the ascending channel (currently around 40,300 - 40,400). Potential TP3: If the channel breaks down, the next support zone around 39,800 - 39,900. Rationale: Trading within an ascending channel often involves buying at the lower trendline and selling at the upper trendline. The recent rejection at the channel top provides a potential short opportunity for a pullback towards the lower trendline. Bullish Breakout Setup (Lower Probability, Requires Strong Confirmation): Entry: Consider a long entry only upon a strong and sustained break above the upper ascending channel trendline (around 41,000). Look for strong bullish candlestick patterns and increasing volume on the breakout. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the low of the breakout candle or below the upper channel trendline after it has been broken. Take Profit Targets: TP1: Previous swing highs or resistance levels above the channel (refer to the chart for specific levels). Rationale: A breakout from the ascending channel could signal a continuation of bullish momentum, but requires strong confirmation to avoid false breakouts. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BLACKBULL:US30
by MarketsPOV
Trade Idea: US30 Short ( MARKET ) Daily Chart (Macro View): • Bearish divergence: RSI is at 47.38 and turning down — no strong bullish momentum. • Recent bounce is sharp but came after a massive drop, suggesting a dead cat bounce or retracement. • MACD remains heavily bearish (-836), showing underlying weakness despite the current bounce. • Price recently rejected a key resistance near 40,850, aligning with previous support-turned-resistance levels. 15-Min Chart (Medium-Term): • RSI is at 78.76 — overbought territory. • Price surged parabolically, forming potential exhaustion. • MACD shows very high positive values (672.341), usually precedes a correction. • Potential bearish divergence between price and MACD. 3-Min Chart (Entry Timing): • Price has stalled at the top, consolidating after an extreme spike. • MACD and RSI are curling down. • Ideal for timing a short entry. ⸻ Trade Idea: SHORT US30 • Entry: 40,850 (current resistance zone + psychological level) • Stop Loss: 41,200 (above key recent highs / invalidation of setup) • Take Profit: 39,450 (near broken structure & moving average support on lower timeframes) Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): • Risk: 350 points • Reward: 1,400 points • RRR: 4:1 (excellent) ⸻ Fundamental Context (Supporting the Short Bias): • Dow is rebounding amid broader market uncertainty (e.g., Fed rate trajectory, inflation prints). • No strong economic catalyst justifying a sustained breakout to new highs — suggests technical bounce rather than trend reversal. • Rising yields or a hawkish Fed outlook could reintroduce selling pressure. FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
1
Dow Jones INTRADAY reaction to China Tariffs HikeKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 41100 Resistance Level 2: 42170 Resistance Level 3: 42800 Support Level 1: 37554 Support Level 2: 36620 Support Level 3: 35125 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
DOW 104% TARIFFS on China activated. Can the market be saved?Dow Jones (DJIA) is almost on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and earlier today President Trump activated 104% duties on Chinese imports. This is far from being an encouraging development especially after Monday's attempt for the market to recover. Most of the gains were lost yesterday and today it is a wait-and-see game in anticipation of the market reaction on the opening bell of Wall Street. From a long-term technical perspective however, Dow is on a huge buy level that we've only seen another 4 times since the Housing Bubble bottom in March 2009. That buy level consists of two conditions: price touching the 1W MA200 and the 1W RSI hits (or comes extremely close to) the 30.00 oversold limit. As you can see that has happened last time on September 19 2022 (Inflation Crisis bottom), March 09 2020 (COVID crash), August 24 2015 (China slowdown, Grexit) and August 08 2011 (first correction since 2009 Housing Crisis). The situation most similar to the current, is the COVID crash as it was the fastest drop to the 1W MA200 and 1W RSI to 30.00. Despite the brutal correction, it took the market 'only' 43 weeks (301 days) to reach again the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the top of the Blue Zone of the Fibonacci Channel Up that started on the March 2009 Housing bottom. The Blue Zone, consisting of the 0.786 - 0.382 Fib range, is important as it has dominated the multi-year bullish trend and contained the price action inside it, with only a few occasions diverging outside of it. The longest it took Dow to reach the 0.786 Fib again after such correction was 110 weeks (770 days) and that interestingly enough happened two out of the four times. Practically reaching the 0.786 Fib constitutes a Cycle Top. So essentially, despite the uncertainty and panic, the market is technically on a Support level that in 16 years we've only seen another 4 times, that's once every 4 years, which is a fair sample of a Cycle size. As a result, assuming stability comes to the world through trade deals (and why not Rate Cut announcements), we may see Dow reaching its 0.786 Fib again (and make new ATH) the fastest by February 02 2026, hitting 49000 and the longest by May 17 2027, hitting 56000 roughly. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJI
by TradingShot
1
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bearish More From Resistance It looks like US30 is returning to a bearish trend again. I see a strong bearish sentiment after a test of a key daily resistance. The price formed an inverted cup and handle pattern and we see a strong bearish imbalance with London session opening. Goal - 39.685 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US30Short
by VasilyTrader
1
DJ is setting up for a SLINGSHOT to the upside!The "crash" in the DJ could potentially bottom out by late April or early May, at least from a cyclical standpoint. That said, there's still a risk of a further decline into June, as a panic cycle is approaching. However, from a technical perspective, the weekly chart of the DJ reveals a significant demand imbalance that aligns with cyclical support, suggesting the potential for a major low. Regardless, the stage is being set for a SLINGSHOT to the upside, as capital begins to flee Europe and flow into the U.S. amid rising global tensions and uncertainty. Both the DJ and Gold are poised to reach new all-time highs ahead!
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by CGE_Trading
US30 — Support Holding or Further Drop? Key Levels To WatchUS30 (Dow Jones) — 4H Chart Price is currently hovering around a key support zone near 37,000 after a strong bearish impulse. Scenarios I'm Watching: ▸ Bullish Scenario: If the support zone holds and price reclaims 37,500 — I would look for price to retest the 38,300-38,800 zone. A clean break and hold above 39,500 could open doors towards the 40,000-41,000 resistance area. ▸ Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold this support, and breaks below 36,850 — I expect further downside towards the next key supports: 35,800 34,500 33,000 Trading Plan: Waiting for clear price action confirmation at this support zone. Will avoid trading in the middle of the range — prefer breakout or retest setups. Levels marked on chart for clarity. If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BLACKBULL:US30
by MarketsPOV
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30 The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike 🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF 🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution. ☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 38600 Zone Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence ———— CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 39610 Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 37750 Strong Rejection from 39280 – The Ultimate Pivot 🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation Twin Wicks @ 37700 – Liquidity Engineered Twin Wicks @ 38300 – Liquidity Engineered ☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory —— 💯 2024 – Bearish Retest 38000 💯 2024 – Bearish Retest 37600 👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
FX:US30
by Path_Of_Hanzo
7
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?DJ30 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 37,602.11 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 36,538.75 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 39,559.66 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:DJ30Long
by VantageMarkets
#US30 – Bearish Breakdown from Rectangle Pattern | 1D AnalysisThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has completed a breakdown from a rectangle consolidation pattern, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The index is currently trading around 41,790, with downside momentum increasing. Technical Analysis: Rectangle Pattern Breakout – Bearish continuation after range-bound movement Double Top Formation – Confirmed rejection near 45,000 resistance Projected Target: 38,000 (as per the pattern breakdown) Immediate Resistance: 42,000 - 43,200 Fundamental Outlook: Market sentiment affected by interest rate policy & economic uncertainty Weak earnings reports and recession fears could add further downside pressure If DJIA remains below resistance, we could see further declines toward 38,000. However, a break back above 43,200 could invalidate the bearish setup. Watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic developments!
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Gold_Traders_Team
TRADE IDEA: US30 LONG ( BUY LIMIT ) Daily Chart: • RSI: At 24.33, it’s in oversold territory — potential for a reversal. • MACD: Strong bearish momentum, but the histogram may be bottoming out, signaling a potential bullish divergence forming. • Price Action: Testing key support zone near 38300, which was previously a resistance-turned-support area. 15-Minute Chart: • RSI: At 60.68, indicating early bullish momentum. • MACD: Bullish crossover recently occurred; histogram rising — confirming short-term upward trend. • Price Action: Clear bounce from recent lows with higher highs and higher lows forming. 3-Minute Chart: • Momentum clearly shifting up. • Price moving above short-term moving average, showing intraday strength. ⸻ Fundamental Context: • US economic data has recently shown mixed signals, but dovish Fed tone and potential rate cuts in the near future favor equity indices recovery. • No major bearish macro headlines present at this time to sustain the steep drop. ⸻ Trade Parameters: • Entry: 38,390 (current price zone, confirming strength above local consolidation) • Stop Loss (SL): 38,000 (below recent lows and psychological level) • Take Profit (TP): 39,190 (previous supply zone, daily EMA resistance area) • Risk: 390 points • Reward: 800 points • RRR: 2.05:1 FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Long
by KeN-WeNzEl
Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bounce back Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bounce back Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 40617 Resistance Level 2: 42165 Resistance Level 3: 44073 Support Level 1: 37555 Support Level 2: 36620 Support Level 3: 35125 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation
2