Daily Price Action DOW Jones DJI Tuesday 4/22/2025In this video, we will be looking into the potential price action of DJI.
US30 trade ideas
Dow Jones in a Bear Market: Is Now the Time to Buy?Hello folks, it's Tradevietstock again. Today, global stock markets are facing a string of "red-hot" sessions after the U.S. announced tariffs on various countries. Let’s explore the mid-term investment opportunities and assess the risks and rewards in this complex environment.
I will gather data on the Dow Jones. Is a harsh winter on the horizon, or could this be a historic opportunity?
i. Dow Jones Index
1. Statistical analysis
Currently, the Dow Jones is down nearly 20% from its peak, with a steep decline that stands out as rare in its history. Such sharp drops are uncommon for the index.
Us Stock Market Index DJI - 2025 Stock Market Crash - The Biggest Bluff (Tradevietstock)
When filtering quantitative data, we can observe the following scenarios. The key takeaway from this analysis is that the Dow Jones is likely to form a major bottom, setting the stage for a strong upward cycle.
Based on probabilistic modeling, the Dow Jones is expected to hit its bottom from the 50th trading session onward, counting from April 4, 2025. The projected bottom range is approximately 32,184 to 33,717. The recent recovery doesn’t yet represent the major bottom, meaning we’ll need to wait longer for that turning point.
=> Conclusion: The Dow Jones has not yet formed its major bottom and likely needs to decline another 8% or so. However, the recent recovery marks the first sign that it’s gradually approaching a significant bottoming zone.
2. Market cycle analysis
The DJI has experienced multiple breakouts below the True Range Bands. These bands are calculated to determine the true range of price movement, meaning that each breakout is carefully considered as a potential reversal signal, indicating that the price is breaking away from its recent trend. However, this is not the only factor we use to guide our trading decisions. According to Cycle Theory, the DJI is currently in its Phase 1, which represents a bear market. This is further supported by the extreme bearish phase shown in the indicator below.
As shown in the example below, the DJI fell significantly after a strong rally, entering a bear market phase. Following this, the index experienced a small recovery after the Extreme Bearish Phase (highlighted by a red background) before retesting its recent bottom. At this stage, there’s a possibility that the DJI could form a lower low. This is why I emphasize the need for additional confirmation signals and statistical analysis before making any decisions.
The strongest confirmation signals for a new uptrend occur when the price breaks above the True Range Bands, as shown in the image below. This breakout happens only after all the other criteria, such as those mentioned earlier, have been met. This marks the beginning of an uptrend
ii. Sentiment Data
Currently, the market is in a zone of extreme fear, consistent with our previous analysis that a major bottom is forming in this region. The sentiment index is hovering around ~4 points, a low level comparable to August 5, 2024.
This panic isn’t limited to one region—global markets are in extreme turmoil, as shown by the CNN Fear and Greed Index. This indicator has dropped to the extreme fear zone, and historically, every time it hits this level, the S&P 500 forms a significant bottom.
=> Global markets are gripped by fear and chaos. This is a positive signal for picking up undervalued stocks. Whenever the Sentiment Index reaches this zone, markets tend to form major bottoms and rise in the mid-to-long term.
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US30 | Massive Demand Zone Bounce – Is the Bull BackUS30 just tapped into a strong demand zone (38,166 – 38,287), and we’re now seeing bullish price reaction.
This zone has held up well despite recent heavy selling pressure.
Key Observations:
Demand zone reaction confirmed with strong bullish engulfing candle
Liquidity grab below the previous low – stop hunt?
Bullish momentum building as price reclaims 38,287 level
Next potential targets:
39,401 = minor resistance
40,549 = major supply zone (watch for reactions)
What to watch next:
Clean break & retest of 38,287 for confirmation
Possible early entries with tight risk below the zone
Strong upside potential if bullish momentum holds into the week
My Bias:
Bullish short-term. Looking for confirmations on retest.
SL below demand zone, targeting 39.4K and above.
What’s your take? Are you bullish or bearish on US30 right now? Drop your thoughts and charts in the comments!
#US30 #DowJones #SmartMoney #PriceAction #DemandZone #TradingSetup #BreakoutOrBounce #TradingView #LuxAlgo #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis
US30focusing on US30 this NY session. all the sentimental data is switching through the sessions today. Lets see if we can make it in NY session today
downtrendGiven the behavior of the index within the specified support range, it is expected that the continuation of the downward trend will form according to the specified paths.
Bears Dominate US30 – 36,800 In Sight?Price broke below the 39,070 support zone and is continuing lower. Bears remain firmly in control, with no signs of reversal yet. All eyes on the next key support at 36,800🔽.
🔼 Resistance: 39,070
🔽 Support: 36,800
As long as price remains under 39,070, bearish bias holds. A retest of broken support could act as a resistance for short opportunities. No clean bullish setup unless we reclaim that level.
📰 Sentiment: Risk-off tone continues with traders cautious around economic data and earnings season.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
DJI Daily Chart Analysis: Price Rejected at Mid-Band Resistance
The price is below the middle line (likely a 20-day moving average) of the Bollinger Bands, which typically signals bearish momentum.
Recent price action shows a lower high and a lower low pattern, indicating the continuation of a downtrend.
The candlesticks are mostly red with increasing volume of selling pressure.
Bands are widening, suggesting increased volatility.
The price recently pierced the lower Bollinger Band, which often indicates a potential for short-term rebound—but in a strong downtrend, this could also mean acceleration to the downside.
Key Support Zone : Around 38,000 to 38,500, where previous buying occurred in early April. If broken, further downside to 37,000 is likely.
Key Resistance Zone : Near 40,500 to 41,000, aligning with the mid-Bollinger Band. This area has been tested and rejected multiple times.
Trade Idea: US30 Short (SELL STOP)Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart (Macro View):
• Trend: Bearish short-term (price is below the moving average, sharp recent drop).
• MACD: Bearish momentum building with a deepening histogram.
• RSI: At 42.22, pointing down – no oversold condition yet, so further downside is probable.
15-Minute Chart (Mid-Term Momentum):
• Trend: Recently broke down from consolidation, failed to reclaim previous high.
• MACD: Strong bearish crossover, deep in negative territory.
• RSI: At 39.20, not oversold – room to fall.
3-Minute Chart (Entry Timing):
• Trend: Weak recovery attempt stalled below moving average.
• MACD: Flat to downtrend.
• RSI: Around 40, suggesting more downside pressure without being oversold.
⸻
Fundamental Context (if relevant to US30):
• Rising geopolitical tensions and weak earnings reports (assumed).
• Dovish Fed fading, bond yields rising — bearish for equities.
• Fear-driven sentiment often hurts cyclical indices like US30.
⸻
Trade Setup (SHORT):
• Entry: 39595 (current price area as per charts).
• Stop Loss (SL): 40087
(Above minor resistance and 15M consolidation top)
• Take Profit (TP): 38650
(Recent support zone, room for price to breathe before demand zone)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
APRIL 14TH ANALYSIS FOLLOW THROUGH PT.2I closed my position at 39,100. I can still see it hitting the bull support zone from the channel but I'm happy with 700+ pips bagged for the week. For those that saw this and took advantage CHEERS!! I will be back next week for more analysis.
Dow jones 38500?Dow jones 38500?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has been experiencing volatility recently, influenced by factors such as weak earnings reports and global economic concerns. The index fell 507 points (1.3%) in its latest session, primarily due to a sharp decline in UnitedHealth shares following an earnings miss
Dow INTRADAY key resistance at 41333Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41333
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 39220
Support Level 2: 37554
Support Level 3: 36620
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30/ Dow jonesConsidering the high that was hit during London session, I’m waiting to see what happens during the New York session. If that high breaks, I’ll look to buy; if not, I’ll be selling.
US30 Long 15 & 5 min
BLACKBULL:US30
We can see 2 relatively equal lows, which to my opinion may get swept to fill the fair value gap below, and then react to the point that we sweep the swing high
US30 BUY NOW!!!!!!!!US30 created a double bottom on the 2h chart price have already made a retest off the neckline region am in again on buys holding to see price arrive at the POC level
JOIN AND ENJOY........
Trade Idea: US30 Short ( SELL LIMIT )Technical Overview:
Daily Chart:
• Clear downtrend with price sharply rejecting from recent highs (~42890).
• MACD shows strong bearish momentum with a widening histogram.
• RSI is below 50 at ~45, confirming downside pressure.
• Price has broken below a key support level near 40200, now acting as resistance.
15-Min Chart:
• Recent lower highs and lower lows.
• MACD negative, with RSI nearing oversold (33), suggesting bearish bias but short-term exhaustion.
3-Min Chart:
• Sideways chop after a sharp down move, showing bear flag/consolidation pattern.
• MACD still negative, RSI around 49—no clear bounce signal.
⸻
Fundamental Overview:
• Recent macro uncertainty (possibly due to inflation/Fed comments or geopolitical tensions) likely weighs on risk sentiment.
• Bond yields are likely pressuring equities, and the US30 tends to be rate-sensitive.
⸻
Trade Setup: SHORT
• Entry: 40250 (if price pulls back slightly into minor resistance zone)
• Stop Loss: 40500 (above recent local high on intraday chart)
• Take Profit: 39600 (next strong daily support level)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
key levelsdon't you just like looking at key levels
when I don't know but it could be scary but if it does, I mean we have to make the year 2025 become invaded due to years of no real growth other than speculation and hype to not see a nasty move down
I would really love to see next quarter show something of stabilize growth if not well then, I'm beating that the us will fall
US30 Trade Update – 16/04/2025 🚨 US30 Trade Update – 16/04/2025 🚨
📉 Bearish Shift Underway!
US30 has failed to break above the key 40,701 resistance and is now rolling over. Price is losing momentum with a clean rejection and EMA crossover suggesting downside pressure building.
🔍 Key Observations:
❌ Rejection at 40,701 resistance
🔻 Price now trading below EMA 8 & 21
⚠️ 40,060 is the immediate support to watch
🧨 Clean break below → downside opens toward 39,279
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔻 Short below 40,060 → Target 39,279
🔹 Long only above 40,701 → Target 41,200+
🕵️ Wait for volume confirmation before entry
📌 Structure is weakening — bulls must act fast, or bears will take full control.
US30 (H4)US30 has formed a potential Double M (double top) pattern, indicating a possible bearish reversal. Price has tested the resistance zone twice and failed to break higher, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. If neckline support breaks with volume confirmation, this could present a shorting opportunity targeting lower support levels.
US30: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 40,580.88 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 40,403.97..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
