US30 trade ideas
Intraday Entry 2Everything is pretty much explained in the picture itself.
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US30 I Bullish Bounce Based on the D1 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 36,516.88, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 40,052.43, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 34,049.36, an overlap support.
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Trade Idea : US30 Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart:
• Trend: Strong bearish breakdown; significant drop below support.
• MACD: Deeply negative, suggesting strong bearish momentum.
• RSI: Oversold at 18.48, indicating exhaustion but not yet reversal.
15-Minute Chart:
• Trend: Clear downtrend continuation.
• MACD: Bearish crossover sustained.
• RSI: Approaching oversold (29.81), but still trending down.
3-Minute Chart:
• Trend: Momentum is slowing down but still bearish.
• MACD: Negative, bearish crossover.
• RSI: Around 33, indicating potential short-term bounce, but no bullish divergence.
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Fundamental Insight:
• The broader US30 index has reacted to strong macroeconomic headwinds (possibly higher-for-longer interest rates, weak earnings, or geopolitical tensions).
• No signs of dovish reversal or major catalyst for a sharp recovery.
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Trade Idea: SHORT POSITION
Entry: 37070 (current price zone—ideal entry on slight retracement)
Stop Loss (SL): 37320 (above minor resistance and recent local high)
Take Profit (TP): 36350 (strong daily support area and psychological level)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
• Risk: ~270 points
• Reward: ~700 points
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
DJI being squeezed into a long term bearish wedgeI know, I sound like a bear monger when the market looks very bullish and at best possible technical support. Nothing wrong with taking advantage of it, but shouldn't forget the bigger picture. The market valuation has been pushed up by easy money since GFC and valuation. The covid money printing made it worse. Bigger the bubble, bigger the burst
With recession around the corner and many hedge funds are facing margin calls, the risks are highest from all metrics, market/GDP, Pe ratios, real income growth, jobs are all slowing down, Debt to GDP has only accelerated. Fringe Economist have been crying wolf since GFC and they are not wrong but when ? This year ?
The market could rally one last leg up to finish in a ending diagonal (if you know wave theory)
US30 Outlook – 08/04/25The Dow Jones (US30) has shown a strong recovery from the recent low at 36,743, bouncing nearly 1,900 points after a steep selloff. Price is now consolidating just under the 38,800 level — a key short-term resistance zone.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
✅ EMA crossover on the 1H suggests a shift in short-term momentum to the upside
❗️38,800–39,200 is the immediate resistance zone to clear
📉 Macro trend remains bearish unless bulls reclaim 40,000+
🔻 Below 38,000, bears may regain control and retest 37,300 → 36,743
🧭 Bias:
Neutral-Bearish in the macro view
Bullish short-term if price holds above 38,400 and breaks 38,800 cleanly
📌 Levels to Watch:
Support: 38,400 / 37,300 / 36,743
Resistance: 38,800 / 39,200 / 40,000
🧠 Summary:
This bounce looks strong, but it's still a relief rally within a bearish structure. Bulls need a confirmed breakout above 39,200 to flip the narrative. Until then, treat rallies with caution and keep an eye on momentum shifts at resistance.
UPDATE: The Great Depression 2025–2036 for DJIUPDATE: The Great Depression 2025–2036 for DJI
Here is a revised analysis compared to the one from January this year. In that earlier analysis, I was still anticipating a sharp drop to 6,500 points. However, it now seems that the 6,500 level will not be reached. I do expect the DJI to decline to 17,000 points through an ABCDE structure. This structure could potentially take 15 to 20 years to unfold.
Falling towards pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 37,575.10
1st Support: 36,424.90
1st Resistance: 39,614.90
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DOW JONES Will the 1week MA200 save the day?Dow Jones / US30 almost reached its 1week MA200 today and immediately rebounded.
Last time it approached it so closely was on October 23rd 2023 and last it crossed under it was September 19th 2022.
The most recent was the first higher low of the 3 year Channel Up and the latter was the bottom of the last bear market.
The 1week RSI hasn't been this low since June 13th 2022, which was again a near 1week MA200 test that caused an immediate rebound to the 1week MA50 before the rejection to the eventual bear market bottom.
As long as the 1week MA200 holds and closes the candles over it, we expect the Channel Up to start a near bullish wave like post October 2023.
Target 45200 (same as the March 2024 rally) which is around the All Time High.
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Intraday entry 1Everything is pretty much explained in the picture itself.
I am Abhishek Srivastava | SEBI-Certified Research and Equity Derivative Analyst from Delhi with 4+ years of experience.
I focus on simplifying equity markets through technical analysis. On Trading View, I share easy-to-understand insights to help traders and investors make better decisions.
Kindly check my older shared stock results on my profile to make a firm decision to invest in this.
Kindly dm for further assistance it is for free just for this stock.
Thank you and invest wisely.
US30: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 37,395.0 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 MELTDOWN! – 07/04/25🔥 US30 MELTDOWN! – April 7, 2025 🔥
📉 Historic Drop: Dow Jones tanks nearly 3,000 points in just days, crashing through all major support levels!
📉 Low Tagged: Price wicked into the 36,743 support zone before catching a small bounce.
🧠 What’s Happening?
This looks like panic selling—likely triggered by macroeconomic data or unexpected news. Volume is up, and structure is clearly broken.
Just In: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Dip 1,300 PointsOverview
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, also known as the DJIA or simply the Dow, is a market index frequently used to gauge the overall performance of the U.S. stock market. Indexes like the DJIA track the prices of a group of securities.
The Consumer index saw a downtick of 1300 points representing a 5.5% dip. This was days after Donald Trump declared a new set of tariffs targeting 185 countries, including major U.S. trading allies.
Tariffs Concern
The US stocks are poised to continue their bloodbath as futures signaled more fear over President Donald Trump's tariffs. Administration officials and Trump himself signaled on Sunday that they won't back down from their aggressive decisions. Meanwhile, an inflation report is due later this week as well as bank earnings.
Wall Street remained in fear mode over President Donald Trump's tariffs on Sunday evening as futures pointed to more steep losses.
The S&P 500 futures also sank 3.9% and Nasdaq futures dived 4.9%. That follows a devastating week that saw the worst selloff since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Similarly, the 10-year Treasury yield dropped 8.5 basis points to 3.906%, and US crude oil prices fell 3.7% to $59.72 a barrel.
Countries affected by the tariff rates are:
China (34%), the European Union (20%), and Japan (24%). Fitch Ratings estimated that the effective tariff rate could hit 25% on average — the highest in more than 115 years.
In an X post on Sunday, Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers cautioned, saying there's a very good chance of more market turbulence similar to what was seen on Thursday and Friday.
Those sessions represented the fourth largest two-day drop in the last 85 years, Summer said. The selloff wiped out about $6 trillion in market cap.
“A drop of this magnitude signals that there’s likely to be trouble ahead, and people ought to be very cautious,” Summers wrote.
Meanwhile, Trump administration and the president himself defended the tariffs.
Technical Outlook
as of the time of writing, the The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Dip index point is down 5.5% trading in tandem with the support point that aligns with the 38,000 points. On a bearish case scenario, a break below this axis could be canning for the stock market as it will lead to panic selling in the industries concerned.
Similarly, should the bulls manage to thrust the DJI points up to the 42,000 points, we should experience a respite from the bears and possibly increased momentum might sent the stocks soaring higher. With the RSI at 23, this is hinting to a weak momentum with more downside ahead.
Dow Jones - Pivotal moment for the bulls and bears!The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently approaching a critical juncture, as it risks breaking below and staying under the neckline of a potential double top pattern. A double top formation is typically a bearish signal, indicating a potential trend reversal after the price tests a key resistance level twice, failing to break higher. The neckline, which forms the base of this pattern, is the level that traders will be watching closely to determine the strength of this bearish signal.
If the Dow breaks below and stays under the neckline, it could trigger further downside momentum as liquidity is swept from the market. However, it's essential to note that this initial breakdown could just be a "liquidity sweep," a move designed to trigger stop-loss orders and shake out weaker hands. For the Dow to maintain its bullish potential, it must quickly recover and hold above the neckline after this sweep. If it can do so, the market may find stability and begin to look for higher prices again, as the double top formation would then be invalidated, and a more bullish outlook could emerge.
In summary, while the Dow Jones is at a pivotal moment, the key to higher prices will be whether it can hold above the neckline after sweeping liquidity. A failure to do so could signal further downside, but a strong recovery above the neckline would leave the door open for a potential rally.
For now the Dow jones swept the liquidity under the neckline. However, it needs a quick recovery to maintain and find support on the neckline again. The risk that it now faces is the resistance of the 50, 100 and 200-day MA. Staying above the neckline and reclaiming these MA could be a massive bullish signal on the Dow Jones.
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