AUS200 - In Bullish Trend (Multi Time Frame Analysis)This index is bullish on a daily time frame and a resistance and support level are drawn (purple rectangle). The bullish trend is also denoted by a purple trend line. There was a divergence on 1D time frame which resulted in a downward trend for few days but after that it again got back in bullish trend. On hourly chart there was a bullish diversion which reversed the trend back to bullish which can been seen from daily time frame. A trend line is also drawn on an hourly chart along with an ABCD bearish reversal harmonic. Currently there is no divergence on a hourly chart but there is one on 15m that would result in a form of correction in the trend on hourly chart. I have placed my order of Buy Stop on 15m time frame because the probability is high for an upward trend till it test the 1D resistance level. The Signal is: EP: 7966.60 SL: 7916.80 TP: 8016.40 RR: 0.25% Longby MuhammadArif039442
Strong Bullish Outlook Amid Potential 1W Support RetestHello Everyone, We’ve reached our previous target of 8123 for AUS200, and the price is once again testing the lows, preparing for another upward push. However, there’s currently a strong likelihood that the price may retest the 1-week support structure. Despite this, our long-term outlook remains strongly bullish! TradeWithTheTrend3344Longby TradeWithTheTrend3344113
Domino Effect -Australia's Exposure to a Sino-Taiwanese ConflictA potential armed conflict in the Taiwan Strait poses significant geopolitical risks with profound economic implications for Australia. As a key member of the Five Eyes intelligence alliance, Australia’s strategic interests are deeply intertwined with regional stability. The potential impact of such a conflict on the Australian economy. Economic Impact Assessment A Sino-Taiwanese conflict would likely trigger severe economic disruptions for Australia. The nation's reliance on China as a primary trading partner, particularly in the mining and agricultural sectors, would exacerbate the negative impacts. Key sectors and their potential implications are outlined below: Mining: As a dominant contributor to Australia's GDP and a significant component of the S&P/ASX 200, the mining sector would face substantial challenges. Disruptions to iron ore and coal exports to China would negatively impact major mining companies such as BHP Group and Rio Tinto, collectively representing approximately 5% of the index. Agriculture: Given China's status as a key market for Australian agricultural products, the sector would experience significant revenue losses. This would affect companies involved in grain, meat, and dairy production, although their overall weight in the S&P/ASX 200 is relatively smaller. Tourism: The tourism industry, still recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic, would face renewed challenges due to decreased international travel. Qantas Airways, a prominent component of the S&P/ASX 200, would be directly affected by declining passenger numbers. Financial Services: The broader financial system would likely experience increased volatility, credit rating downgrades, and elevated insurance claims. Australia's major banks, including Commonwealth Bank, Westpac, and ANZ, which collectively hold substantial weight in the S&P/ASX 200, would be exposed to these risks. Implications for the S&P/ASX 200 The S&P/ASX 200, as a market-capitalization-weighted index, would undoubtedly reflect the economic challenges posed by a Sino-Taiwanese conflict. Given the significant weightings of mining and financial services in the index, a sharp decline is highly probable. The severity and duration of the market downturn would depend on the scale and duration of the conflict. Historical Precedent While direct comparisons are limited due to evolving economic structures and geopolitical contexts, historical data from World War II and the Korean War provide valuable insights. Both periods were characterized by significant market volatility, with sharp declines followed by varying recovery periods. Conclusion A Sino-Taiwanese conflict presents substantial economic risks for Australia, with the S&P/ASX 200 serving as a barometer of these challenges. The potential impact on the Australian economy and financial markets underscores the importance of robust risk management strategies and contingency planning.Shortby signalmastermind3
AUS200 in Bullish TrendI have been monitoring this index for quite a while. It made a bearish flag on an hourly chart. There was a bullish divergence which propelled the chart to get bullish which resulted in the formation of a bearish flag. I was waiting for a breakout of a bearish flag to put a short trade for the index but the breakout turned out to be a false one. The trend is bullish now and I have marked a key support level. I have now placed a pending order of Buy Limit by using FIB. No divergence is noted on the current trend. The Signal is: EP: 7828.22 SL: 7765.61 TP: 7890.83 RR: 0.5%Longby MuhammadArif0390
AUS200 ANALYSIS AUS200 has formed a sweep of the previous high and then change of Character waiting for the retest of the the failed order block which will be my entry. Shortby successusd110
AUS----200-------Bearish there are series of lower low and low high and before there is bearish divergence and trend is retest the support becomes resistanceShortby ali110021
AUS200 IN BEARISH TRENDProtentional reversal expected. AUS200 at support levels .ALongby MIRZA_TRADS0
Cypher to Break Aussie FlagASX200 is in a Bullish Flag configuration, as this equity index (as with many others) is in a corrective mode. Within this pattern, a Harmonic may also be in the making. Specifically, a Cypher Pattern with a 1.41 extension. Keeping a watch on this index for a move towards 7825-7850. In a larger scheme, this move is simply a retest of a HTF breakout. If price holds above 8000 , it would be a bullish sign. Below 7800, and its back into the Rectangular consolidation. Aby Umlingo0
AUS2001) Range breakout 2) Aus200 Printing HH and HL Move your Stop Loss to the Entry Point when TP 1 get hit. Longby SohailChaudharyUpdated 7
Is it over for AUS200 bulls? The Australian Stock Market Index ended last week with a powerful breakout from a 107-day-old triangle pattern. Despite corrections this pattern remains valid as long as the index stays above the breakout candle low of 7795. Between 7902 and 7795, traders are likely to seek buying opportunities on dips, aiming for the pattern target of 8197. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.ALongby ThinkMarkets11
XJO (ASX200): 19 JUL, 2024© Master of Elliott Wave Analysis: Hua (Shane) Cuong, CEWA-M (Master's Designation). Forecast: Bullish Position: Fourth Wave Wave (iii)-orange is opening up to push higher, it is subdividing into wave iv-gray. The fourth wave will push down a bit and soon expire, then the gray v-wave will return to continue pushing higher. Invalidation point: 7,819.0Longby ShaneHua1
Aussie Flag BreakoutThe ASX 200 on the intraday chart has formed a Pole and Flag Pattern. It appears there maybe a breakout to the upside. The long trade is on chart 1. Enter - at breakout of 8050 2. Stop - if this is a valid breakout, then 1/3 the flag consolidation should be sufficient. 3. Target - Either a measured move or the D point RR = 3+ALongby Umlingo0
AUS---200-----Bullishthere is no divergence in H4 when see round shape make a entry and there is break of resistanceLongby ali110020
AUS200-----Bearishthere is price rejection at resistance with divergence also there is cross of 20ema with 50 emaShortby ali110021
ASX rally to stall at market price?ASX200 - 24h expiry Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the daily chart. RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 7770 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 7725. We look to Sell at 7800 (stop at 7832) Our profit targets will be 7720 and 7700 Resistance: 7775 / 7800 / 7825 Support: 7750 / 7735 / 7725 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.Shortby OANDA4
ASX AUD- Long Set UpLooks like reversal on 1H TF. Have my buy stop / entry at 7762. Entry - 7762 Stoploss - 7672.5 TP-1 - 7852.2 TP-2 - 7942.8 #Trading #Technical #Crypto #Stocks #commodities Longby BullBearBTC1112
AU200AUD to continue in the upward move?ASX200 - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 7800 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 7850. We look to Buy at 7750 (stop at 7710) Our profit targets will be 7825 and 7850 Resistance: 7800 / 7825 / 7850 Support: 7750 / 7725 / 7700 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.Longby OANDA2
AUS200 RISING IN THE SHORT-TERMIn the short term as we can see my prediction, the price is rising up on the australian index, the possible rise is 7,894 with confluence on second impulse and 161% fibonacci levelALongby XSORYUM1
AU Weekly Idea 5.28.24My Usual Setup that I didn't publish... still has some interesting levels to play out. by MsLionhill111
AU200AUD short term RSI has turned positive.ASX200 - 24h expiry The correction lower is assessed as being complete. Short term RSI has turned positive. Further upside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 7825 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 7775 (stop at 7735) Our profit targets will be 7875 and 7895 Resistance: 7825 / 7850 / 7875 Support: 7800 / 7775 / 7750 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed. Longby OANDA2
aus200buyers took control of the market the previous lower lows supply held it's too strong.switch to 30minute tf and execute your longALongby luyandanhlapho71
ASXAUD Forrex This Chart was printing a Bearish trend line but there is a Divergence so it will Print a Bullish trend with Ascending Continuous Pattern The Entry Point will be instant Buy Stop . Longby Azeem2080