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German 40 Index Cash

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GER40 trade ideas

DAX: CORRECTION OR NEW TREND?Analyzing the 60-minute chart, I believe there is still room for further downside in order to complete what I interpret as a five-wave structure within a larger corrective wave C, which itself forms part of a broader wave 4 of higher degree. This corrective phase appears to be unfolding within a clearly bullish long-term trend, as confirmed by the weekly chart, which remains well-aligned to the upside. 📉 Potential downside targets: 22,024 21,741 Once this corrective move is complete, I expect the uptrend to resume, potentially offering renewed long opportunities aligned with the prevailing weekly bullish structure.
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by COLOMBINI-TRADING
German $DAX ($EWG) Topping Out?Originally posted on 3/12, but blocked b/c I referenced my X account. Looks like a bearish move could be materializing alongside broader risk asset weakness: Is the XETR:DAX topping out? Monthly RSI @ 80+ w/ weekly nosing over and daily bearish divergences observable. Index high from 3/6 coincided with the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the 11/2021-10/2022 uptrend correction. Confirmation short setup could materialize $FDAX closes below pivot low of the 1D uptrend (22226), bounces off of short-term demand (ex: 22142-21691, and trades into supply ≥ 22226. This scenario is speculative - the market needs to show its hand. Presently, DAX is up > 1.5% alongside US stocks, which dipped into intermediate-term demand and benefited from softer-than-expected CPI prints. However, DAX (and domestic) bulls haven't proven anything yet. Unless buyers manage to push the DAX higher - initially above 22900 and secondarily through 23000-23200 - on accelerating momentum, risk remains to the downside (IMO). German stocks have been global relative strength leaders as of late, so if they do correct, other equity indexes may retreat in tandem. Long-term charts for US indices ( SP:SPX , NASDAQ:NDX , TVC:RUT ) look more bearish vs. bullish (I still have some shorts on), though a near-term recovery is plausible. If domestic equities do trade lower, selling could materialize in Asian and European markets. Use LTF charts to monitor price action/manage risk and splice into shorts if German stocks AMEX:EWG start to crack. My $0.02. Feedback welcome. Jon
XETR:DAXShort
by JHartCharts
2
DAX Bull Run Bubble Is Bursting.In 2025, the DAX is projected to experience a significant reversal following a bullish surge that peaked at 23,500 points. This anticipated downturn is expected to unfold in three distinct steps, marking a bearish correction. The first step in this decline would see the index retreat to 21,000 points, signaling the initial phase of selling pressure. The second step is forecasted to bring the index further down to 19,500 points, reflecting mounting concerns and potential profit-taking by investors. Finally, the third step is projected to culminate in a drop to 17,500 points, completing the retracement and potentially resetting the market for future movements. This three-step decline underscores the cyclical nature of financial markets and highlights the importance of strategic risk management during periods of heightened volatility. Investors should closely monitor macroeconomic factors and market sentiment and Candlestick patterns as these levels are approached.
FXOPEN:GDAXIM
by SEYED98
3
DAX Index: Further Upside Ahead? On the DAX chart, we’re tracking a very large diagonal pattern to the upside, which is likely not yet complete. We are probably in the late stages of circle wave C, within a larger third wave in the yellow scenario. Upside Targets Next resistance levels: 24,205 and 25,715 EUR Support Zone for Wave 4 Support area: 22,512 to 21,610 EUR This zone would become more relevant if the current rally completes and Wave 4 begins. On the very small time frame, it’s possible that the internal fourth-wave pullback within circle wave C has already started. Micro support remains between 22,512 and 21,610 EUR A break below 22,260 EUR would help confirm that wave 4 is underway However, one more high is still possible before that pullback begins—this would align with the white scenario, where the current move finishes wave 3 before wave 4 kicks in.
XETR:DAX
by MCOGlobal
1
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?DAX40 (DE40) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 22,884.11 1st Support: 22,267.92 1st Resistance: 23,476.03 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by ICmarkets
1
Germany's DAX Hits Fresh Highs as Uptrend StrengthensThe Germany 40 (DAX) continues its impressive rally, climbing to 23,378.7, up 0.60% on the session. The 50-day SMA (21,954.8) remains firmly below price action, signaling sustained bullish momentum, while the 200-day SMA (19,713.1) provides a solid long-term support base. Momentum indicators support the uptrend: ✅ MACD remains in bullish territory, showing sustained strength. ✅ RSI at 64.04 suggests the index is trending strongly but isn’t overbought yet. Key Levels to Watch: 📌 Support: 22,800 (recent pullback level), 21,950 (50-day SMA) 📌 Resistance: 23,600 (psychological level), 24,000 (round number target) As long as 23,000 holds as support, bulls may push for 24,000+ in the near term. A drop below 22,800 could signal a deeper pullback. -MW
FOREXCOM:GER40
by FOREXcom
DAX Breakout or Fakeout? Long Setup to 23,300The German DAX index presents an opportunity for a long position, targeting the 23,300 price zone. The current price action suggests a retracement toward previous highs before confirming a continuation. With this in mind, I have executed a long position, monitoring key technical levels for potential reactions. On the fundamental side, the market remains sensitive to geopolitical and economic developments. President Trump’s renewed tariff threats on EU exports have introduced fresh uncertainty, while domestic tensions in Germany over fiscal policy further contribute to volatility. Additionally, corporate earnings are mixed, with Daimler Truck reporting strong Q4 results, whereas BMW shares plummeted due to weaker-than-expected forecasts. Given these factors, the DAX remains in a reactive phase, and the upcoming macroeconomic events, particularly Eurozone inflation data and Federal Reserve commentary, will play a crucial role in shaping sentiment. Technical Analysis: • Entry: Long position initiated at key structural support. • Target: 23,300 price zone, assessing momentum near previous highs. • Support Levels: Watching the 22,600–22,700 range for potential rebounds. • Indicators: The price remains above key moving averages, and the Fib retracement aligns with bullish continuation potential. Fundamental Analysis: • Trade Tensions: Trump’s tariff threats on EU exports and reciprocal measures could introduce short-term uncertainty. • Domestic Politics: German fiscal policy debates may weigh on market sentiment. • Corporate Earnings: Daimler Truck outperforms, while BMW struggles, adding mixed signals to investor outlook. • Upcoming Catalysts: PMI data and inflation reports from the Eurozone could determine the next major move. DAX’s price action is aligned with the broader equity market reaction, and if the index maintains its momentum above key technical levels, the 23,300 target remains in play. Managing risk and reassessing based on market developments will be key. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:DE30EURLong
by AR33_
6
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 has shifted into a corrective phase within what is still just a bullish trend overall, currently trading around 22,042, below its 20-day VWAP of 22,850. The RSI at 37.2 reflects weakening momentum, aligning with the recent downside break. Immediate support lies at 22,043. A reversal above resistance at 23,551 would be needed to revive bullish sentiment. UK 100 remains in a neutral, consolidative phase after stalling from earlier gains. It’s quoted at 8,553, just under its 20-day VWAP of 8,644. The RSI of 39.2 shows a loss of momentum, leaning slightly bearish. Key support is marked at 8,500, and only a break above 8,763 would signal fresh upward traction. Wall Street continues in a bearish trend with a corrective bounce already having rolled over as of Friday, currently at 41,299—just below the VWAP of 41,814. An RSI of 36 (having failed to overcome the 50 level) suggests a lack of bullish conviction. The key downside level is 40,840, while 42,787 stands as initial resistance on any recovery. Brent Crude holds a bearish trajectory but the corrective move is gathering steam, trading at 7,289, above the 20-day VWAP of 7,131. The RSI at 55.2 is neutral, offering little directional clarity. Immediate support sits at 6,856, while 7,405 will test further upside. Gold continues to sprint into record highs, quoted at 3,117 and well above the 20-day VWAP of 3,004. The RSI at 76.8 is firmly in overbought territory, highlighting stretched momentum but also strength. While some pullback could occur, support is seen way back at 2,883, with the recent highs acting as near-term resistance before 3200. EUR/USD sustains its bullish setup as it undergoes a dip trading at 1.0814, marginally below the VWAP of 1.0848. The RSI at 55.7 leans constructive though lacks strong momentum. Near-term support is at 1.07476, while 1.09489 is the next resistance zone to watch for continuation. GBP/USD is still bullish as it sits in a tight correction, priced at 1.29306, holding above its 20-day VWAP of 1.29302. The RSI at 57.1 supports the ongoing trend but shows moderation from previous highs. A break below 1.28721 may trigger caution, while further upside needs a break of 1.30069. USD/JPY holds a bearish trend but it has flattened out and is currently in a corrective bounce, quoted at 149.30 and near its VWAP of 149.30. RSI at 47.2 remains neutral. If sellers regain control, support is at 147.00. On the upside, clearing 151.12 could shift sentiment back toward bullish territory.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
ger 30 review GER shows a mild bearish undertone with potential for a larger drawdown if global risk isn't contained (I'll cover global risk in another post). Doing a top-down approach, the weekly chart is the most concerning—it signals a quarterly sell-off aiming to clear a long-range liquidity pocket. I'm eyeing 21480 as the profit-booking event, likely occurring around the 5.12-28.25 area. Another eyesore is the pseudo swing at the 2.10.-3.10.25 range. Easy pickings here, as the semi-quarter liquidity pocket built during this span is just price establishing its first-half data entries. For a more immediate weekly play, sells to sweep 22,250 are easy calls—I wouldn't be surprised by an early-week sell-off, mid-week wick formation dipping into a WVol discount, and then continuation, or something similar within that cycle. Important note: CC entries are nearly off the table completely, so what retail traders call "consolidation" will just be an easy shakeout. Eager sellers get chopped first, followed by breakout traders getting eaten alive. The golden signals to watch here are Cerberus calling weekly sells and a 3D Cerberus sell as well. Moving to the daily intraweek forecast, we have a Friday jefe formation, but I'm not eager to play it as the simpler position is the DVol sell. There are still plenty of errors from the 2.21-3.4.25 span that haven't been cleaned up. Additionally, the 3.13.25 error CC just got cleared, helping form the jefe. Early week, I'm anticipating a fake-out followed by a sell-off. By mid-week, we're aiming to clear the 2.21 error and set up the early month open trap. Note that the WVol entry will be the third leg on the 1M timeframe—easy sells for the larger sell-side target at the 1M CC entry. With this perspective, expect the fake-out potentially lasting until around 4.12.25, after which the real move unfolds. Heading into April, don't be the fool trying to buy the "market structure shift, pullback" setups.
FX:GER30Short
by BIGPOPPA999
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 retains its bullish trend and impulsive stance, trading near 22,954 just above the 20‐day VWAP of 22,900. An RSI of 54 suggests neutral momentum, which continues to show bearish divergence. If the index slips, 22,375 could serve as near‐term support, while a decisive break above 23,473 may open further upside. UK 100 has flipped into a neutral/sideways trend, consolidating after the Jan-Feb rally, quoted at 8,659 just below the 20‐day VWAP of 8,681. The RSI at 49 indicates muted momentum. 8,494 marks notable support if selling accelerates; on the upside, a move beyond 8,868 could signal renewed strength. Wall Street upholds its bearish momentum but a rally of the lows puts it into a correction, currently at 42,310, hovering around the 20‐day VWAP of 42,180. With an RSI of 48, the index isn’t oversold but still faces downside pressure. Key support appears near 40,700, and any rebound may encounter resistance around 43,619. Brent Crude continues its bearish trajectory in a corrective phase at 7,210, above the 20‐day VWAP of 7,068 but overshadowed by a broader downtrend. The RSI at 52 signals mild momentum. Sellers are eyeing 6,850 support for another leg lower; any bounce could stall at 7,287. Gold remains firmly bullish and impulsive, hovering at 3,030 just off record highs and well above the 20‐day VWAP of 2,956. An RSI reading of 67 points to strong positive momentum. Should a pullback occur, 2,836 could offer support; otherwise, clearing 3,076 might extend the rally. EUR/USD holds a bullish and impulsive posture, quoted at 1.0840, holding above the 20‐day VWAP of 1.0720 during a brief consolidation. The RSI at 60 leans constructive, though not overbought. 1.0515 is nearest support, while pushing through 1.1077 opens room for continued gains. GBP/USD sustains its bullish tone in an impulsive move, trading around 1.2968—clearing the 20‐day VWAP of 1.2840. With the RSI at 63, upside momentum remains intact but off recent overbought levels. The pair’s support sits at 1.2690, and a break above 1.3091 could spark further advances. USD/JPY stays bearish but has entered a correction, printing 149.55 slightly above its 20‐day VWAP of 149.20. The RSI of 50 indicates neutral momentum. A dip below 146.99 may reinforce the downtrend, whereas moving beyond 150.57 would challenge the current bearish bias.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex