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HK50 trade ideas

HK50 - 3 Wave FailureI've been somewhat neutral on this index since the stimulus pump, but now I think the chart is bearish due to this 3 wave failure that I've drawn on the left. The failure is much more obvious on the day chart on the right with a whipsawing Shooting Star top. But on the 4 hour chart we can see the 3 waves. Notice that the 3rd wave completes with whipsaw to print a slightly higher high. If you've been paying attention, you'll have some awareness that this is a market maker favourite manoeuvre; to tap higher liquidity beyond resistance before tumbling down to complete the bull trap shakeout. Its not impossible that this correction could extend, but most likely this is the start of the next wave down. This is not the type of pattern I would expect to see if another wave up is coming. So I am now favouring this slumping into a downtrend for a while. On highest time frame this has a good chance to resolve bullish. As I covered in the video, this could be a high time frame 3 wave upside correction, that will correct to the 0.618 @ $18.7K, then into the real bull market. There's no guarantee that it will work out exactly like that, but in terms of ratio, I think it is the most likely path. So anyhow, I've entered a small short position here and I'll see how it develops but I am currently thinking to take profit around the 1:0.618 extension @ $19.1K. ... If correct then this will mean our Chinese stocks of interest will trend bearish for a while. And if you did take some profit on BABA at the 1.618 extension @ $117.8, you are in dreamland here. That is the power of these Phi related fib extensions; if you get them right then you end up selling exact tops or buying exact bottoms. Not advice
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Short
by dRends35
12-18 months from now, HSI can hit 30,000, hahaThis is my prediction for 2025 where HSI still have room to rally..........The CCP is serious about shoring up their economy , already confident that they can hit the 5% target of GDP for 2024 and it's recent stimulus of 10 trillion. The two industries that I am banging on are the tech stocks - Meituan, Tencent, Alibaba, Baidu, etc or you can go for the HS TECH ETF , 3067 and if you like a broader index, the 2800 Tracker Fund ETF is also a good options with 3% dividend. The only downside is I think the property sector is struggling to find a bottom and there are lots of supplies issue that need to be taken care of. Time is needed to prop up this sector so I am not longing them for now, the timing is premature at this juncture. Nobody knows if Donald Trump victory will cause a dent in the HK/China stock market since he is blabbering about imposing the 60% tariff on Chinese imports. He is pro business so protecting the big boys in US but the tariffs if imposed will increase the costs to the end consumers in US. Somebody has to pay along the line, simple as that. China is doing all it can to spur up its domestic economy though the result has been quite disappointing at the moment. Let's see if the Singles Day event will help drive up the sales that is much needed in China. Already, we are seeing decreasing revenue sales from major US companies that derives 20-35% revenue from China - Apple, Starbucks, etc and the locals are going for more local brands as well. LVMH also recently reported bad sales figures for a few quarters ! We are now in the Phase 1 of the bull run in China and so long the stimulus is ongoing, the stock market will continue its rally. Any pullback of 10-15% is considered a good opportunity to accumulate/long. Please DYODD
HSI:HSILong
by dchua1969
HSI Bearish Outlook with Potential Bounce at Key Support LevelHSI currently looks bearish, likely heading toward the significant support at 18,300 HKD—a level from which we historically saw a strong rally up to 30,400 HKD, aligning with the triangle pattern target. Upon reaching 18,300, there’s about a 90% chance of a bounce. A bearish divergence also signals potential short-term downside pressure before a possible reversal. Disclaimer: I'm not a financial advisor; please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
HSI:HSI
by MarketPax
Hang Seng might be waiting for earningsHK50’s volatility has calmed down somewhat in the last fortnight as the initial reaction to news of fiscal stimulus seemed to be too aggressive. Sentiment has worsened somewhat: traders are wary of competition in technology between China and the USA regardless who wins the upcoming presidential election while property-related shares have struggled with doubts about the efficacy of stimulus. Technically, though, this is a pretty normal reaction to major unexpected news, just over a significantly higher period. The Hang Seng has retraced about 50% from 7 October’s high and moved slightly into oversold based on the slow stochastic. It looks like a good entry for confident buyers but a more cautious trader might want to monitor the next interaction with the 50 SMA from Bands coming up in (probably) early-mid November. Next week sees the releases of many critical earnings reports from Chinese companies, most notably banks. Even those not listed in Hong Kong will likely have some impact on HK50. Thursday 31 October is probably the most important day for the next direction of the Hang Seng. This is my personal opinion which does not reflect the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
HSI:HSI
by Michael_Stark_Exness
HK50 "Hong Kong" CFD Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Nǐ hǎo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist HK50 "Hong Kong" CFD Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by Thief_Trader
Summary of the week and a swing long position & locked profit FX:HKG33 Summary of the week for the index. 1h chart form a golden cross below zero line and happen that 4h chart had formed the same golden cross even though both are below zero line. I took a aggressive & several long position. TP at 20735 level at time was looking at the index trying to close the week gap. I did keep some position open hoping that the US trading time could continue to boost the index. But it seems it loose its steam and 4h chart not strong for MACD & Signal line breakout zero line. the Index closed at 20506.46 (still record a decline of 1.21% -250.70). Looking at the W chart it seems pulling back and let's continue to monitor if its prepare for the next climb. You may note that the W chart the MACD is above zero line still consider bullish but with weak lighter green histo. Jya. Let's zen during weekend with 🍵 & 📙
HLong
by ChenQianYu
stuck in the middle breakout or breakdown? FX:HKG33 Hi ya everyone here's to a week filled with optimistic, progress and hapiness - may the market treat us well! As you can see from previous post ; last week 1h chart that the MACD & KDJ movement that gave us some insights testing the support level. It has climbing up steadily. quite handsome! It didnt breakdown to 19753 level and staying above 20240 level. Last Friday HSI closed at 20804.11 (+725.01; +3.61%) ; however it still record a down 447.87 ; -2.11% for the week. As mentioned, a healthy pullbackis just the market catching its breath before the next big climb! This D chart showing the momentum has turn weak the MACD had a dead cross and the KDJ is at weak zone too. For today, we are looking at 20700, if it holds above this level then it could break 20900 and next resistance at 21395. May trade within the range of 20400 - 20600. For this week, the key support level at 20400 (the 52MA). Note : the last high was Jan'23 (closed at 22635); the recent high (closed at 23119) early this month Oct'24. Happy trading everyone! My take:- For today I'll watch and wait for a better entry point to avoid my previous mistake enter the party too early. No action is an action. while waiting let's zenning with 📙🍵
H
by ChenQianYu
Time for China Long? $112bln in funding schemes brings clarityHang Seng sold off quite significantly (with oil) after PBOC's return from holiday gave a muddy picture on the funding schemes and degree of the stim package, making investors nervous and uncertainty. On friday, the market recovered 5% on the clarity of news items outlining different funding schemes. There is still some pessimism about the efficacy and ability of these funding schemes to lift the economy towards target growth, but there is a lot of optimism from the west, with funds like Scion (Michael Burry) moving capital into china betting on the funding bringing expansion and lifting the markets. This looks like a reasonable poinit to start to watch sunday night (china AM) to look fro a break of the down trend for the gap fill and beyond. Roughly my plan is to find the move towards fair value (21250) and take a bunch of profit, leaving float to swing. May not happen, there is uncertainty, but I'm betting at least that the stock buying news will bring more interest and lift the Chinese indices.
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by decklyndubs
Hang Seng strikes backAfter a massive inflow of liquidity and initial breakout, Chinese stock market may recover from weekly lows, as the price indicates a solid reversal from the bottom and a breakout of a trendline of a correctional formation as shown in the chart. Overall sentiment in stock markets remains positive with the S&P500 and Nasdaq keeping around historical highs, and the VIX unable to cross 20 (an important threshold). The entry point is not perfect, as the breakout had already happened, but the price is still quite close to the weekly low, so risk/reward is on the side of a trader. Always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
1
HK50 "Hong Kong 50" Market Heist Plan on BearishHello My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰 This is our master plan to Heist HK50 "Hong Kong 50" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Short
by Thief_Trader
Testing the Support Level. One to Zero. FX:HKG33 Testing at strong support level at ¬20240 if it breached, the index is going to test 19753. Hi ya! How is everyone looking at Hang Seng Index and its performance last week? From the 1h chart with MACD movement, seems the mometum is weakening, both index and indicator are in bearish crossover. As mentioned in previous post, we prefer to see the index climbing up the staircase slow and steady which is more sustainable. Nonetheless, for shorter tf swing trade continue to short. Manage position size and the bearish mode expecting to continue at least for this week. Enter short position where tf 1m,5m,15m diverge and using JD line for confirmation of bearish momentum. As you can see from the D chart, the movement and the momentum has been declining and we can see the MACD and signal line is crossing down. You may check other shorter tf 12h - 30m at point of writing ; the index and indicator are below the zero level. With expectations of more stimulus from gov ; the investors still hesitate to take further position with the recent disappointment. Sell the news, buy the dip! This pull back is healthy. With longer tf W chart the index is on the uptrend, time is all we need. Continue to monitor and set SL for all position. Happy trading everyone!
HShort
by ChenQianYu