Nasdaq Bottom Prediction 2025Im planning to buy from the first weekly level bellow the weekly range!
Fundamentals speaks for them self :)
US100 trade ideas
NQ: Upcoming weekly analysis!FA Analysis:
1- Last week macro economic data came +/- inline which did not help to resolve the UNCERYTAINTY.
2- Trump tariffs flip plop confirmed the uncertainty.
3- This week, we have Job Jolts, CPI. PPI and Consumer confidence; they're all key data to resolve the uncertainty. Inline data won't help; we need an overshoot or undershoot.
So until data news, price will continue in the consolidation and accumulation.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
We got a clear bearish close with a somewhat large wick. With the uncertainty context until Tuesday and Wednesday, price might move up to retest 20627. as shown in the chart.
Daily TF:
From daily perspective, we got a bullish close after price was rejected at Weekly support.
Hence, I see price moving up toward 20529-20627.
The chart shows the uncertainty via Extensions (represented by E in the chart).
Price was unable to close below 20529 for 6 days creating extensions but no break. This tells you the battle between buyers and sellers to break or reject that level. All were fueled by inline data and tariffs flip plop.
As a conclusion, I think the break down is not a question of IF but WHEN.
Happy green week Everyone!
NASQ 100 - Let's see if the price stands on daily supportHello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
NASDAQ H1 IdeaPotential for a bullish pullback on the NASDAQ H1 which could lead to a price movement towards the resistance level at 20500. BUY levels from 19900
NAS100 Downtrend Nearing Its End? Bullish Move Incoming!The NAS100 downtrend could be running out of steam this week as price stabilizes around a key trendline. With a fourth test on the horizon, a break higher could signal the start of a bullish move—though it may be short-lived. Will buyers step in to reclaim control? Watch for key levels and potential reversals!
Technical Analysis of NDQ100: Targets at $22,889.74!Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDQ100) – 1W Chart
Hello TradingView Community,
I’d like to share my technical analysis of the NDQ100 on the weekly chart, based on historical price movements and Fibonacci retracements. The index is displaying a clear pattern that suggests a continuation of the uptrend following a correction. Here’s my outlook:
1. Upward Move to $22,889.74
The NDQ100 has seen a strong recovery since the low of approximately $5,692.32 (March 2020) and continues to show bullish momentum. Based on the Fibonacci extension (161.8%) from the last major correction (2022), the next significant target is $22,889.74. This level has been tested multiple times as resistance (see chart), and a breakout seems likely given the ongoing demand for tech stocks. The current price action also shows strong support from the 50-week EMA, which acts as a dynamic support level.
2. Correction of -34% to $15,087.06
Once the NDQ100 reaches $22,889.74, I anticipate a healthy correction. Historically, the Nasdaq has often experienced corrections of 30-40% after strong rallies (e.g., -34.17% in 2022). A -34% correction would bring the index down to approximately $15,087.06. This level aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone from the 2020-2025 rally and provides a strong support area, coinciding with previous consolidation zones (2023). Additionally, the 200-week EMA lies within this range, reinforcing it as a potential reversal point.
3. Rise of +121% to $32,923.00
Following the correction, I expect a new bullish wave. From $15,087.06, a +121% increase would take the NDQ100 to $32,923.00. This target is based on the Fibonacci extension (261.8%) of the entire uptrend since 2020, as well as historical patterns where the NDQ100 often reaches new all-time highs after corrections. The long-term trendline (marked on the chart) supports this outlook, as does the ongoing strength in the tech sector, driven by innovations in AI, cloud computing, and semiconductors.
Additional Indicators:
RSI (Weekly): The RSI is currently at 73.5, indicating potential overbought conditions. A pullback after reaching $22,889.74 would bring the RSI into a healthier range (around 50) before the next upward move begins.
Volume: Volume has increased during the recent rally, confirming the strength of the uptrend. A decline in volume during the correction would reflect a typical pattern for healthy consolidation.
Conclusion:
The NDQ100 exhibits a bullish long-term setup with an intermediate target at $22,889.74, followed by a -34% correction to $15,087.06. Afterward, I anticipate a strong rise of +121% to $32,923.00. This scenario offers both short-term trading opportunities (during the correction) and long-term investment potential. As always, keep an eye on macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and geopolitical developments, as these can significantly impact the tech sector.
NAS100USD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,175.5.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 21,410.0 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NASDAQ a look ahead...As the NASDAQ and other major U.S. Equity Indexes face the pressure of economic uncertainty, the price action between days show that investors are not quite convinced this bull run has seen its finish line. However, we shouldn't only be looking toward private investor sentiment, but also that of the Federal Reserve's presence in the market and how the bond market reflects the Fed's position moving forward.
As shown here, the all time high for the TVC:NDQ is $22,133.22. Our position is that the NASDAQ must reclaim, retest, and continue beyond the all time high in order for us to continue our confirmation on the bull run. The path described should look as shown below...
In this instance, we can assume the bull run should continue. However, we should also be prepared for an alternate scenario where investors leave risk assets behind to chase non-risk assets (bonds for example). This scenario would look as shown below.
All though these are not the only two possible scenarios, we can most likely expect the future to play out in a similar fashion as the examples.
As for the market metrics to keep an eye on, look to TVC:US10Y for any bond yield manipulation, FRED:RRPONTSYD for market liquidity metrics, and FRED:M1V for M1 money velocity. Furthermore, keep an eye on tariffs for consumer tech ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NYSE:TSM ) and military activity ( NYSE:LMT , NYSE:RTX , NYSE:NOC ). Lastly, keep an eye on the banking and financial sector for more than likely banking deregulations withing the coming years.
NAS100 - Bullish Possibility- Resistance zone has push price down but price came right back up testing the resistence zone for the 3rd time... making the chances higher for price to break the resistence area this time.
- The downtrend line has been hit 3 times previously, Very high chances of a bullish break out on the 4th or 5th time.
- Last confirmation, as you look my analysis, you can see a double support in white. If price respect this support zone then it will give a great boost to push price right back up for a great bullish reaction.
* Educational purpose only
NSDQ100 The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Neutral, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range.
Resistance: Key Resistance is at 20660, followed by 21000 and 21315.
Support: Key support is at 19660 followed by 19300 and 18914.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq bounced from major supportNasdaq bounced from major support. It may pause for a while waiting for any fundamental news before downtrend continues.
Approaching short-term bottom, watch for potential rebound(The following is solely a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please make your own judgment before making any decisions.)
Last week, after rebounding to 21,075 on Monday, the price maintained a downward trend.
Currently, the price is approaching a key short-term support level and has fallen below the 200-day moving average. There is a high probability that the market will bottom out and rebound in near term.
Potential Rebound Scenario
If the market rebounds next week, the price may consolidate and form a base on Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday and Thursday, it should at least break above 20,700 and stay above this level.
Continued Downtrend Scenario
If the rebound holds, the price should remain above 19,650. However, if it breaks below this level and stays below, further downside to 19,000 is likely.
Watch Wednesday's CPI Data
If Wednesday’s inflation data meets or lower than expectations, it could provide fundamental support for a market rebound. The initial rebound targets for next week are 20,700 and 20,900. If the CPI data is positive an upward breakout toward 21,345 could occur.
Further Downside Risk After Rebound
Even if the price breaks above 21,345, attention should be paid to its behavior in the 21,400–21,600 range and whether overbought conditions arise. The market may resume a downtrend after completing the rebound, so caution is advised when chasing highs.
Potential Massive SellIf price hits hits the upper part of the H4 resistance zone which is at 20300.7, and fails to break out above that level, then i foresee a massive sell downward to 18456.8
wyckoff pull back execution off 5min enter off the pull back off my the balance zone( distribution in this case). Tp is the closest vpoc
nas buy limitnasdaq is in a bearish move for a short time... but the channel support at 19500 is ahead, that can cause a possible reversal to long move again for all time high again. so we try to place a buy limit order wit sl of last support at 18500... and if we got sl we try to buy from this level again with sl below 16500-17000 ... hope this trade will go accordingly inshallhaa
NASDAQ Potential Bullish Retracement (After Major Correction)NASDAQ price seems to exhibit signs of a major correction as the price action has broken out of it's range.
During the pandemic (Covid-19), NASDAQ experienced two major corrections (worth drops of approx. 18.35% and approx. 24%). Counting these two massive corrections as anomalies, the NASDAQ on average retraces maximum around approx. 17% - 18.5% from a historical perspective.
Once the selling subsides we may potentially see the formation of a credible Higher Low on the Longer Timeframes with multiple confluences from key Fibonacci and Support levels.
The current Trade Plan caters to a drop of approx. 22.5% (to be on the safer side and potentially accounts for a major correction excluding massive systematic failure).
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 19250
Stop Loss @ 17140
TP 1 @ 21360 (Before All Time High)
TP 2 @ 23470 (After All Time High)
Note: Move Stop Loss to Break Even if TP 1 hits.
NASDAQ 100 Index ready to bounceNAS100 has now fallen -10% from its recent peak so officially a correction and has hit 200 day MA and RSI at levels where historically rebounds of 5%-10% over a month or so timeframe have typically happened.
Nasdaq 100 drops below 20K after NFP, but could it rebound?The Nasdaq and S&P 500 were testing their weekly lows after what has been a bruising last few session. But with both indices testing their respective key support areas, could we see a recovery from around the current levels, especially in light of a weaker US jobs report?
Keep an eye on the area around 20,000 on the Nasdaq, where the Trump rally commenced back in November. It is a key psychological area for the market. Can we see a bounce, or will the selling continue as we head deeper into the US session?
At the time of writing, the index was below this level, but the session is not over yet. In any case, a confirmed reversal on the lower time frames should be observed by traders looking to potentially buy this dip. For example, if the index recovers to go bac above yesterday's low of 20180, that would be a bullish sign in my view. But right now it is looking quite bleak.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
NFP Big Day: How does impact NQ?Good day!
Today is a big day for many reasons, but mainly to clear the context of uncertainty.
1- How to read and translate NFP data?
* Inline data: It's positive for equities; it's a ST relief.
* Overshoot: This is tricky: the Average Hourly Earnings must be inline or below expectation of 0.3% and strong green the two other components (NFP and Unemployment Rate). This overshoot will be very well received.
In the case of Average Hourly earnings positive, it will become a mixed data with unknown behavior from the market.
* Undershoot (the opposite of overshoot): NQ will drop to the final target 19620.
2- Powell and other FED members will speak today: In the current context, FED members might hint certain openness for printing free money and rate cut.
Any hint of this type will send NQ up and absorb/erase any undershoot from NFP data.
3- Unpredicted news from Trump's team: As they're following closely the stock market, there is a big chance that they intervene in the case of undershoot NFP with candies and carrots.
Hence, it will be very difficult to trade today. The up and down will be furious.
GL!
