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US Equities Fall Amid Inflationary Pressures and Trade TensionsUS equities closed the week with significant losses, reversing the gains recorded during the previous week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped more than 1%, reflecting a clear deterioration in market sentiment amid multiple adverse factors. The bearish session unfolded in an environment dominated by worrying signs of inflationary pressures, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, a key gauge followed by the Federal Reserve (FED). The core PCE posted a monthly increase of 0.4%, the largest gain since January 2024, exceeding market expectations. On an annual basis, this measure accelerated to a concerning 2.8%, signaling persistent inflationary pressure that could complicate future monetary policy decisions by the FED. At the same time, soft data has continued to deteriorate significantly, adding uncertainty regarding the resilience of hard data. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 57, its lowest level since November 2022, due to negative expectations regarding personal finances, unemployment, and inflation. In fact, two-thirds of consumers anticipate a rise in the unemployment rate, reflecting a level of concern not seen since the 2009 financial crisis. Much of this uncertainty has been fueled by recent policies implemented by the Trump administration, particularly government spending cuts and aggressive trade policies. The latest move came with the announcement of 25% tariffs on imported cars and auto parts, effective April 3. This measure triggered an immediate negative reaction in both local and international markets, anticipating higher costs for US consumers and potential trade retaliation from key partners such as the European Union, Canada, China, Japan, and South Korea. At the sector level, discretionary consumer goods were the most affected on Friday, while utilities showed relative resilience. This uneven performance supports the case for a defensive market, reflecting a growing risk aversion among investors. The combination of inflationary pressures, economic slowdown, and rising trade tensions creates a challenging environment for equities. Overall, current conditions point toward a concerning scenario with signs of stagflation: low economic growth coupled with persistent inflation and a rapidly deteriorating economic sentiment. In conclusion, it will be key to closely monitor the evolution of hard economic data as well as the international response to US trade policies. The big question in the coming months is whether the current fragility in economic sentiment will ultimately translate into hard economic indicators, decisively impacting equities. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish momentum to extend further?Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 19,873.89 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 19,370.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support. Take profit is at 20,971.93 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Long
by FXCM
NAS 100 LONG 2000 POINT MOVE TO BE CAUGHT LIVE TRADE Nasdaq 100 Technical Analysis The Nasdaq 100 has broken above the 20,000 level, an area that, of course, has a lot of psychology attached to it in the pre-market trading on Monday, and as a result, I’m watching this index very closely because one of my main criteria for getting interested in buying the NASDAQ has been whether or not we can close above this level. If we can, then it’s very possible that we will continue to go higher. After all, it would make a certain amount of sense to see a bear market rally, especially after the extreme negativity of this market. But as things stand right now, I would anticipate that volatility continues.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by THEPROTRADERZA
20323.3-20647.3 The key is whether it can rise above this level Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE. Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition. Let's talk about the NAS100 chart. -------------------------------------- (NAS100 1M chart) I think the stock market is fluctuating due to the rapidly changing situation and various economic issues. Therefore, I think it is not easy to analyze index charts such as NAS100 and US30. However, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1M chart is newly generated and is showing a downward trend, if it does not rise above 20647.3 when the competition starts, it is likely to eventually fall. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is necessary to check for support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5 (15898.2) ~ 0.618 (17130.8). - (1D chart) The key is whether it can receive support near 19598.6, the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart, and rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart. If not, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and determine the trend again. Currently, the price is being maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, so it is maintaining an upward trend in the medium to long term. Therefore, when the competition starts, you should respond depending on whether the price is being maintained above or below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart. Currently, the short-term support zone is 19269.9-19598.6, and the medium to long-term resistance zone is 20323.3-20647.3. Even if it is supported and rises in the short-term support zone, if it fails to break through the medium to long-term resistance zone, it will eventually fall. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. --------------------------------------------------
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by readCrypto
Title: How to Spot Potential Price Reversals: Part 2A subject within technical analysis that many find difficult to apply to their day-to-day trading is the ability to spot reversals in price. Yesterday we posted part 1 of this 2 part educational series, where we used GBPUSD as an example of how you could identify and trade a Head and Shoulders/Reversed Head and Shoulders pattern. In today’s post we discuss a Double Top/Double Bottom, using a recent US 100 example. Our intention is to help you understand why price activity is reversing and highlight how knowledge of this may be applied within your own individual trading strategies. The Double Top Reversal: The Double Top, is formed by 2 distinct price highs. This pattern highlights the potential, • reversal of a previous uptrend in price, into a phase of price weakness • reversal of a previous downtrend in price into a more prolonged period of price strength. In this example, we are going to talk about a bearish reversal in price called a Double Top. Points to Note: A Double Top • An uptrend in price must be in place for the pattern to form. • A Double Top pattern is made up of 2 clear highs and one low, forming a letter ‘M’ shape on a price chart. • This pattern reflects an inability of buyers to push price activity above a previous peak in price, potentially highlighting a negative shift in sentiment and sellers gaining the upper hand. This is regarded as a ‘weak test’ of a previous price failure high and leaves 2 price peaks at, or very close to each other. • A horizontal trendline is drawn at the low between the 2 peaks, which highlights the neckline of the pattern. If this is broken on a closing basis, the pattern is completed, reflecting a negative sentiment shift and the potential of further price weakness. Point to Note: To understand a bullish reversal, known as a ‘Double Bottom’ please simply follow the opposite analysis of what is highlighted above. US 100 Example: In the chart below, we look at the US 100 index and the formation of a Double Top pattern from earlier in 2025. As with any bearish reversal in price, a clear uptrend and extended price advance must have been seen for the reversal pattern to be valid. On the chart above, this was reflected by the advance from the August 5th 2024 low up into the December 16th price high. The Double Top pattern is made up of 2 price highs close or at the same level as each other, with a low trade in the middle, which forms a letter ‘M’ on the chart (see below). In this example above, the highs are marked by 22142, the December 16th and 22226, the February 18th highs, with the 20477 level posted on January 13th represents the low traded in the middle, which helps to form the ‘M’. The Neckline of the pattern is drawn using a horizontal line at the 20477 January 13th low, with the Double Top pattern completed on closes below this level. Potential then turns towards a more extended phase of price weakness to reverse the previous uptrend, even opening the possibility a new downtrend in price being formed. Does the Double Top Pattern Suggest a Potential Price Objective? Yes, it does. This can be done by measuring the height of the 2nd peak in price down to the Neckline level at that time, this distance is projected lower from the point the neckline was broken, suggesting a possible minimum objective for any future price decline. In the example above, the 2nd high was at 22226, posted on February 18th 2025, with the Neckline at 20477, meaning the height of the pattern was 1749 (points). On February 27th the Neckline of the pattern was broken on a closing basis. This means… 20477 – 1749 = 18728 as a minimum potential price objective for the Double Top pattern. Of course, as with any technical pattern, completion is not a guarantee of a significant phase of price movement, with much still dependent on future sentiment and price trends. Therefore, if initiating a trade based on a Double Top pattern, you must ALWAYS place a stop loss to protect against any unforeseen event or price movement. This stop loss should initially be placed just above the level of the 2nd price high, as any break negates the pattern, meaning we were wrong to class the pattern as we did. Hopefully, as prices fall after completion of the pattern, you can consider moving your stop loss lower, keeping it just above lower resistance levels to protect your position and lock in potential gains. While both the Head and Shoulders and Double Top/Bottom patterns can take a prolonged period to form and we must be patient to wait for completion, they reflect important signals indicating potential changes in price sentiment and direction. By understanding how and why these patterns form can offer an important insight to potential price activity that can help to support day to day decision making when deciding on trading strategies. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Education
by Pepperstone
A high-probability prediction of where the markets might go From what I see, I think the markets could reverse direction and make a new BoS on the 4 timeframe. We filled the FVG, took liquidity in the 4h structure and now we have not been able to make a new swing point, which resulted in ChoCh. Also the volume is high, this means a lot of liquidity was taken and reversal is happening (accumulation). Macro data tells us that inflation has fallen, which could result in a rate cut. Uneployment also rose, which is another good indicator that supports my idea. PPI is negative this means producers are not raising prices. Overall everything is pretty pozitive, and I don't think Trump will affect this either. People are getting used to it and the economy is adapting. Whats you opinion on my analysis and todays market conditions? Tell me your idea, i am opened to everything as always :)
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Filip_Kozak
Moustafa! NASDAQ 16.03 Warren Buffett would wink to me right now- If you want to know the moves of the market whales, you have to think as you are one of them! then you need to think big! and analyse on the large time frames! - Open the weekly frame then you will notice the biggest rising channel in the history of Nasdaq which started to form on March 2020! then you will find that the index touched already twice its upper and lower line! which validated that channel! inside it you would find other smaller channels! but have a look on when the whales including the great Warren Buffett sold a big portion of his stocks! before it reaches the upper line! for a clear reason! - I believe that chart is showing everything and the people in charge in this world is setting simply reasons to make it happen! any reasons you could imagine! just to make it work out! for example Trump winning or his created agenda of tariffs and the response back from the attacked countries to set other tariffs in return! a trade war! which no one knows when and how it would end! and how will exactly the consequences be in the medium and long term! but why we would not think that the stocks markets were not planned to crash from the early beginning?! nothing is not planned and they know exactly what they are doing! and what they will and how! - You remember me creating an idea since two months and predicted that a huge bearish wave would hit this index and us 30 too and could be the biggest one in that index history! no one believed me! but now only all know that I was right! and Here I am, coming again with an idea for a medium and long term time frames predicting the next move and will tell you why! - I said before that you would find series of red weekly candles and look now, we reached our 4th bearish weekly candles and moreover in a row! and this wave is the 7th fastest bearish waves in Nasdaq history! the 4th candle closed under the moving average 50! imagine that the last week candle closed under the average of the last 50 WEEKS candles! just imagine that! - Just observe with me, that between September 2022 and January 2023, the price formed a double bottom pattern after a very strong bearish trend, was enough to turn the index completely bullish for a complete 2 years till February 2025! but now between December 2024 and February 2025, the index formed exactly the opposite! a double top pattern also on the weekly chart! - In trading, there is a simple rule but not many traders know about it! that every long wick MUST and WILL be filled sooner or later! then have a look on the weekly candle lower long massive wick from the week of carry trade of 05.08.2024! remember that week as we will return back to its low! (the TP2) as the massive pull back happened after its settle on the MA50 exactly, then went up non-stop literally in a huge bullish rally leaving behind a wick could fill the space between the sky and the ground! This wick will be filled in this wave! - Consider please the area I highlighted in yellow in a square! that is an area without any volume and each time recently the price go in that area, would try to return back so fast with a power! that would explain Friday 15.03.2025 massive push up for more than 2% to the upside! as if it would fell down, so no interest from traders in any price that! which means in case it would return back and fall in that area, the index would travel to its end non stop! - The target of the massive double top pattern is 18330 but my TP1 is before that level! as the index did not reach back to test the high of the weekly candle of 20.05.2024 so there a retrace to the upside would happen! but temporarily! but on the weekly! so it could be looking like a big retrace on lower time frames! - Let us say that market could open bullish on Monday then any good news would take place or whatever which would lead to a bullish wave! I would say no chance to go further up more than 20845! and the weekly candle would close under that price, as that the neck line of the massive double top pattern on the weekly chart! - My TP 3 is so critical and the most important support and resistance level, when the index broke that resistance in the week of 15.01.2024 and never tested it back on the weekly chart! so I believe it is the time, that will happen! - My TP4 is the deepest price we could reach to which is at the MA 200 and another top of the week 31.07.2024 which the index did not test too and it was also a strong resistance level! and by reaching there, would mean reaching to the lower line of the rising channel! or I expect it would reach there when the index reaches in same time the lower rising channel line! but I can guarantee the price but can not expect how long time it would take to reach there! -
FX:NAS100Short
by moustafa_marei
1
NASDAQ Bullish Reversal (Potential Tariff Resolution?) NASDAQ price action went through a massive correction with a drop from the top worth approx. 14%. However after the passing of the latest FOMC Meeting, we may finally see a direction towards the resolution of widespread tariff based uncertainty across the macro economic landscape. This presents us with a potential Reversal opportunity if we see the formation of a credible Higher High (given a potential proper break out) on the 4 HR and shorter timeframes. Trade Plan : Entry @ 20045 Stop Loss @ 19070 TP 0.9 - 1 @ 20923 - 21020
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by LevelsBySBT
NAS100 - Market BreakdownHi all, Here we have NAS100 and we will be assessing what price has done and where it might be going So far we can see that price has made a hard run down to sell side Liquidity, although we have seen some consolidation at this current zone we can also notice that price still has an area to fill further down with left over Imbalance I would like to see either of the two following situations happen before getting into any trades 1. Rejection this Resistance level and take sell side Liquidity further down and reject the Demand zone from that level. OR 2. Break out of this current consolidation range and break above resistance to further retest that level before looking for buy trades, in this situation we will have seen a Shift in the market taking out this Protected high of which would give me confluence to buy Follow me if you would like to see more or message for any questions. Cheers and good luck
OANDA:NAS100USD
by jamesibartram
NQ: Weekly/Daily AnalysisGood Week and Day! Finally, buyers showed up late Friday and market opened with a gap up. Both Asian and European sessions continued the move up. We should expect NY session to continue up. Few notes here: 1- As I mentioned it few times now, this is not "buy the dip", this is just to allow large hands to clear their positions. The chart identifies the VA area to sell. 2- The ST/MT/LT outlooks for all US Equities is Sell. Unless, major change happens to US policy (i.e., tariffs, bullying) which it has 0.0001% chance! The self-inflicted destruction is so amazing! Three months ago, US economy was almost the only solid economy worldwide! 3- April 2nd: tariffs come into effect. 3- Money is fleeing US market towards BRICS and European Markets. So, for this week, price will continue up until 20500-20700 area. We have key economic data to fuel the move up. But it won't change anything fundamentally. The damage is structural. So good news is good news for Equities, but bad news it will be neutral.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by OTM-Fadhl
"NAS100/US100" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "NAS100/US100" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30m timeframe (19700) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 20350 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. "NAS100/US100" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Thief_Trader
US100 Bullish AnalysisNASDAQ 100 (US100) - Bullish Setup for Liquidity Grab 📈 Overview: The market recently broke structure (BOS), signaling a shift in momentum. Price is currently retracing towards an Order Block (OB), presenting a potential long opportunity. 🔍 Key Levels: OB Zone: Potential demand area for a buy setup. Resting Liquidity (Resting Liq): The market is likely to target this level for liquidity grab. Target: 20,677 - 20,937 zone, where liquidity resides. 📊 Plan: Wait for confirmation within the OB zone before entering a long position. Target the resting liquidity above for a strong move. Maintain risk management in case the setup invalidates. 💡 Bias: Bullish as long as OB holds. 🚀 Let’s see how this plays out! #US100 #NASDAQ #SmartMoney #Liquidity #OrderBlock
FPMARKETS:US100Long
by RSTrad1ng