NAS100I am looking for selling opportunities for NAS100. The market is very volatile, so trade with caution. Currently, it is trading in a seller-friendly zone, which suggests that we may see an influx of sellers. This should represent a 5/6 Fibonacci retracement, with the potential for a further decline over a longer time frame. However, please note that my sell analysis for NAS has not been very accurate in the past. While I’ve been able to collect a few pips, the broader movements have aligned better.
US100 trade ideas
Can Geopolitics Power Tech's Ascent?The Nasdaq index recently experienced a significant surge, driven largely by an unexpected de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran. Following a weekend where U.S. forces reportedly attacked Iranian nuclear sites, investors braced for a volatile Monday. However, Iran's measured response - a missile strike on a U.S. base in Qatar, notably without casualties or significant damage - signaled a clear intent to avoid wider conflict. This pivotal moment culminated in President Trump's announcement of a "Complete and Total CEASEFIRE" on Truth Social, which immediately sent U.S. stock futures, including the Nasdaq, soaring. This rapid shift from geopolitical brinkmanship to a declared truce fundamentally altered risk perceptions, alleviating immediate concerns that had weighed on global markets.
This geopolitical calm proved particularly beneficial for the Nasdaq, an index heavily weighted towards technology and growth stocks. These companies, often characterized by global supply chains and reliance on stable international markets, thrive in environments of reduced uncertainty. Unlike sectors tied to commodity prices, tech firms derive their value from innovation, data, and software assets, which are less susceptible to direct geopolitical disruptions when tensions ease. The perceived de-escalation of conflict not only boosted investor confidence in these growth-oriented companies but also potentially reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy, a factor that profoundly impacts the borrowing costs and valuations of high-growth technology firms.
Beyond the immediate geopolitical relief, other crucial factors are shaping the market's trajectory. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, where he will discuss monetary policy, remains a key focus. Investors are closely scrutinizing his remarks for any indications regarding future interest rate adjustments, particularly given current expectations for potential rate cuts in 2025. Additionally, significant corporate earnings reports from major companies like Carnival Corporation (CCL), FedEx (FDX), and BlackBerry (BB) are due. These reports will offer vital insights into various sectors' health, providing a more granular understanding of consumer spending, global logistics, and software security, thereby influencing overall market sentiment and the Nasdaq's continued performance.
Nasdaq100 OANDA:NAS100USD has reached the previous highest level.
We see that the trendline has made a high possibility of the nasdaq 100 to reach a new high level because the price has gone above the previous high level, and came back to test it.
Now the price is going back up. It is fascinating as to what nasdaq100 will do next and how
other indices will be affected, including Gold and forex...
My opinion on nasdaq100:
1. It has made a different move compared to the previous high levels when they reached this level. Previously when the price reached the horizontal line (the resistance level) price began to push down and create very long spikes.
2. Nasdaq100 will go way too high and spike on that highest trendline. Spike from that level thereby create a new resistance level.
3. And then price will begin to push down strong. This will happen only if there will be a very strong spike meaning an incredible amount of sells pushing the price down.
Market Structure Breakdown on NASDAQ: What Traders Should Watch📉 NASDAQ (NAS100, US100) Analysis 🧠💼
I’m currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ (NAS100) — price action is telling a story worth watching.
📆 Last week, the index came under clear pressure, and now on the 4H timeframe, we’re seeing a defined bearish structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows 📉🔻. This recent expansion to the downside has led to a break in market structure (BOS), and price is now pulling back into equilibrium 🔄.
⏳ For now, it’s a waiting game. I’m watching to see if this pullback finds resistance at a premium level and rotates back to the downside, which would present a potential short setup 🎯📊.
🕒 On the 30-minute chart, I’m monitoring for a clear structural shift — a change in momentum that confirms bearish intent. Should the NASDAQ resume its downward move, it could trigger risk-off sentiment, bringing strength into the JPY pairs 💴🚨 as capital flows out of risk assets.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
Nas100/US100 Short Setup based on Fundamentals
Hello everyone. We have seen the Nasdaq form a new local top at the 22k area and is now heading back down.
There are many reasons why price is falling but remember this only a temporary sell off as the master trend on the highest time frame is up not down.
Today (Friday 20th June) is OPEX. $6.6 Trillion of options are set to expire today and the Max Pain level is 21,500. Price could drive there to render most options worthless.
Institutions and hedge funds have increasingly added short positions or are sitting on the side lines. Indicating lack of buying from the larger players for the time being.
Buying volume is lower than the selling volume at the top of this rally.
We have 2 weeks roughly until trump tarrifs are implemented and not many trade deals have been made.
Iran-Israel conflict with a possible US involvement.
FED is leaning towards a more hawkish approach due to tarrifs but says the US economy is still growing.
How I am looking at this for the near future. In the chart I have marked my entry, My SL, My Max TP and where I would take partials on the way down. I may also even scale in more if I see the opportunity.
Thanks for reading.
Nasdaq: Bull flag breakout on daily chart, testing ATHsBeen a while since I last posted. So figured I'd share this quick chart. Market undoubtedly have been incredibly volatile this month. However luckily, the Nasdaq has been forming bull flag on the daily chart. This follows a strong prior uptrend. The breakout took place today, sending the index to test ATHs.
Notable stocks making a move are names like NASDAQ:AMZN and NASDAQ:NVDA , mainly due to the broader market strength. Other indices, such as the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) also are breaking out as they form a similar bull flag pattern.
At ATHs, this is a deciding factor of where the market goes next. Either it bounces off to near-term support, or the market rallies to a new all-time high until next cooldown.
Note: not financial advice
USTECH Long opportunity USTECH is currently on a bullish impulse move, sitting at the resistance level of 22,000. price is trading above the 50 SMA and we can see momentum favors the bulls with the RSI above the 55 level
Expecting a drop in price, based on the technical analysis, where we could potentially see a retest of of the 21,800 price level before the bullish trend resumes beyond 22,000.
Fundamentals with the Iran Israel cease fire support further bullish indices with confidence coming back into the markets.
NAS Might Drop Due to Middle East TensionsWild times, eh?
In the midst of a new war in the Middle East, the NASDAQ (like most other indices) is bursting with symbolic strength.
Will it do well? One may doubt it.
Here is a short idea with a conservative target, supported by clearly bearish RSI divergences.
"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (4H timeframe) → 21,770.00 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
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USTECH H4 AnalysisUSTECH Showing a bullish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 22,106.35 and higher TO 23,200. If no, Can rally between 20,800, 20,400 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
Triple Top Forming on NAS100? Reversal Attempt BrewingNAS100 may be carving out a triple top or micro head-and-shoulders, hinting at a potential short-term reversal. A confirmed break of the current range is still required to validate downside momentum. With heightened geopolitical risk (U.S. strike on Iran), capital may rotate into gold and oil, weighing on equities. This is a low-risk, short-term idea only—more structure and confirmation needed before hunting larger trend moves.
NASS1001. Nasdaq 100 (NASS100) Performance
As of mid-June 2025, the Nasdaq 100 index is around 21,600 to 21,700 points, showing moderate volatility with recent declines amid geopolitical tensions and trade concerns.
Technology stocks, including semiconductor giants like NVIDIA and Broadcom, remain influential on Nasdaq movements.
Market sentiment is cautious due to escalating Middle East conflicts and US-China trade uncertainties.
2. US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y)
The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering around 4.3% to 4.4% in June 2025.
Yields have edged up recently, reflecting inflation expectations and Federal Reserve monetary policy stance.
Rising yields often pressure growth stocks, including tech-heavy Nasdaq components, due to higher discount rates on future earnings.
3. US Dollar Index (DXY) Dynamics
The DXY has been relatively stable but showed some weakening in 2025 despite rising Treasury yields, reflecting complex market dynamics including geopolitical risks and shifts in capital flows.
A weaker dollar can support Nasdaq by boosting earnings of multinational tech firms through favorable currency translation, while a stronger dollar can weigh on exports and earnings.
4. Interplay Between NASS100, US10Y, and DXY
Rising US10Y yields tend to put downward pressure on Nasdaq 100 due to increased discount rates and borrowing costs for growth companies.
DXY movements influence Nasdaq via currency effects on multinational revenues and investor risk appetite.
Recent geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties have increased market volatility, occasionally decoupling typical correlations.
Softer inflation and weak labor data have temporarily boosted investor sentiment, supporting modest Nasdaq gains despite yield pressures.
Conclusion
the Nasdaq 100 faces pressure from rising US 10-year Treasury yields, which increase discount rates on tech stocks, while geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties add volatility. The US Dollar Index’s relative weakness provides some support to Nasdaq earnings, partially offsetting yield headwinds. Market participants remain cautious, balancing inflation data, Fed policy, and global risks in their outlook.
#NASS100
Nas Long to clear HH liquidity before correctionHTF Context – Monthly / Weekly / Daily
• Big Beautiful Bill (Trump Tax + Spending Bill)
o Passed July 4th, acting as a stimulus.
o Markets historically rally on fiscal stimulus expectations (tax cuts + spending packages).
o This fuels bullish sentiment short-term, but long-term raises debt, inflation risk, and rate hike concerns.
• Seasonality
o July is typically strong for equities, especially tech, with mid-July often marking local tops before August pullbacks.
• Monthly structure
o Strong bullish monthly candles.
o Next major fib retracements if rejected: 38.2% ~20,398, 50% ~19,625, 61.8% ~18,852.
• Weekly / Daily structure
o HH-HL sequence continues.
o Price in premium zone, approaching major supply block 23,200–23,300.
o Daily BOS not broken downwards yet.
________________________________________
Key Levels
• Major supply / liquidity magnet: 23,200–23,300 (sell-side OB in futures, uncollected liquidity above HH)
• Recent swing high: 22,900
• Daily pivot: 22,470
• Intraday demand zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H wedge base + VWAP)
• Weekly support shelf: 22,100–22,200 (if lost, major trend shift bearish)
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My View – Most Likely Path
1. Price is likely to sweep the liquidity above recent highs into the 23,200–23,300 supply zone.
o Why? Market rarely leaves liquidity uncollected. This move traps breakout buyers and hits stops above HHs.
o Big Beautiful Bill fuels the final squeeze higher as algorithms price in fiscal stimulus.
2. After liquidity sweep above 23,200–23,300:
o Expect strong rejection from that zone.
o Institutions offload positions into trapped retail longs.
o Price pulls back towards daily and weekly support zones for reaccumulation.
3. Alternate scenario (less likely)
o Immediate sell-off from current levels without sweeping HH.
o Weak move; would still expect a revisit higher later to clear liquidity before a proper downtrend.
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Trade Setups – Intraday & Swing
Intraday Long (Most Likely)
• Bias: Bullish continuation
• Entry Zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H demand + VWAP)
• Trigger: 5m/15m BOS up
• Stop: Below 22,300.
• Targets: First at 22,615, next at 22,845, final at 23,200–23,300.
________________________________________
Intraday Short (Countertrend / Liquidity Sweep Reversal)
• Bias: Short from supply after liquidity grab
• Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300
• Trigger: Sweep of HH with rejection wick or bearish engulfing candle
• Stop: Above 23,350 (structure invalidation).
• Targets: First at 22,845, then 22,600, extend to 22,450 if momentum accelerates.
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Swing Long (Continuation)
• Bias: Bullish trend intact
• Entry: After retest of daily pivot (22,470) or 4H demand (22,350–22,450) with 4H CHoCH + BOS up.
• Stop: Below 22,200 (weekly support break invalidates).
• Targets: 22,845 then 23,200–23,300. Blue sky if above.
________________________________________
Swing Short (Only if structure breaks)
• Trigger: Daily close below 22,200
• Bias: Bearish trend shift
• Targets: 21,800 first, then 21,000 major fib cluster and weekly MA.
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Summary – My Final Opinion
Price is in a strong uptrend fuelled by fiscal stimulus, rate cuts and tarrif hopes . I think it will sweep the liquidity above 23,200–23,300 before any deeper pullback or trend reversal. Any rejection from that supply zone will be the cue to short for a structural retracement. Until then, I’ll keep buying dips aligned with the HTF bullish structure.
NASDAQ Key Levels July 7 2025If NY fails to reclaim 22,755–780 early in the week, expect a grind back toward 22,644 → 22,600, with 22,520 in play only if volume confirms. Reclaiming and holding above 22,800+ would invalidate this bearish setup.
Watch for trap volume, delta reversals, and volume imbalances at all key zones before entering.
22,880 – 🔻 Weekly wick top
➤ Major rejection zone with a stop cluster sitting above.
22,800–820 – Possible NY trap zone
➤ Trap absorption detected here on footprint — watch New York for rejection or breakout.
22,755–22,780 – Retest zone
➤ Multiple trap wicks with low delta on 1H/15M. Likely to bait breakout traders before fading.
22,700 – Structural demand / pivot point
➤ A clean break + hold below = bearish market shift.
22,644 – ✅ Session low / Take Profit 1
➤ If 22,700 breaks, this is the first clean downside target.
22,600 – Daily value zone
➤ High-probability liquidity target if selling extends below 22,644.
22,520 – Final sweep target
➤ Only likely if New York session sells off hard mid-to-late week.
NASDAQ 100: Index Holds Within Ascending Channel — Upside MomentThe NASDAQ 100 index continues to move within an ascending channel. After testing support around 22,440 and forming a continuation pattern, the price bounced upward and held above the key level of 22,697. The current structure signals potential for short-term growth.
Technical Signals & Formations:
Price remains within an upward channel
EMA supports the bullish trend
An ABC pattern is forming toward the upper channel boundary
The current impulse is gaining strength after exiting the correction
Key Levels:
Support: 22,664; 22,527
Resistance: 22,974 (upper channel boundary), 23,080 (target zone)
Scenario:
Primary: If the index holds above 22,697, a continuation toward 22,974 and 23,080 is likely.
Alternative: A drop below 22,664 may lead to a decline toward 22,527 and the lower channel boundary.