US30 trade ideas
WEEKLY REVERSAL WEDNESDAY IN SALES
We observe a monthly macro downtrend that we believe may continue to hold. At the beginning of the week, the institution creates an accumulation, followed by a manipulation in the price, breaking that accumulation and making the masses think that the price will continue to drop. However, it is actually a buy to generate more liquidity and achieve a better price for the macro sell that the price has been respecting.
DowJones - 4H Bearish SetupBLACKBULL:US30 has been exhibiting signs of bearish pressure, despite recent upward movements. The chart shows a significant decline below the ascending trendline. The recent upward movement appears to be a pullback, potentially setting up for further declines. Two key resistance zones have been identified on the chart, where the index may face renewed selling pressure.
Fundamentally, the broader economic environment is contributing to the bearish outlook. The possibility of a recession looms large as the Federal Reserve has postponed rate cuts in response to persistently high inflation. Rising unemployment claims are another concern, signaling potential economic weakness. These factors are creating an environment where risk assets like the Dow Jones are likely to struggle, and any rallies may be short-lived.
The current pullback in the TVC:DJI could provide a better entry point for those looking to short the index. The key resistance levels identified on the chart could serve as optimal zones for initiating new short positions, with the expectation that the index will continue its downward trajectory.
Given the macroeconomic uncertainties and technical setup, traders should remain cautious and consider the potential for further declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This cautious stance is supported by both the chart analysis and the broader economic fundamentals.
Dow, Spx and the NasdaqUltimately, where the Dow goes, so does the Spx and so does the Nasdaq.
They have a historically high correlation and always found a way to resync up.
#capitalflows #markets #indicies #stocks #nasdaq #dowjones #spx500 #spx #djia #dji #macro
US30 ( UNDER CPI PRESSURE ) ( 4H )US30
HELLO TRADERS
Yesterday, the Dow Jones experienced a significant rise. Today, due to the release of the U.S. inflation report, the market is expected to show high volatility. From a technical perspective, if the price stabilizes below 39,951, we might see the first and second support levels. However, if it breaks above this level with a close of a 4-hour or 1-hour candle, the price is likely to rise towards the first resistance level.
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level around 39,951
Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 39,951 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) at 40,668 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 41,049 and 41,410 .
Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 39,951 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at 39,448 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 39,022 and 38,370 .
CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 39,951 before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 40,668 , 41,049 , 41,410 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 39,448 , 39,022 , 38,370 .
Market Awaits CPI Impact After Producer Prices Boost Equities Producer Prices Report Lifts Equities Ahead of CPI Data
The price has successfully reached all our previously mentioned targets, and today's movement will be heavily influenced by the CPI release.
Current Outlook:
As long as the price remains below 39,900 and 40,020, the trend indicates a potential downward movement.
Bullish Scenario:
If the CPI comes in below 3.00%, it will likely support a bullish trend, particularly if the price breaks above 40,050, with potential targets at 40,320.
Bearish Scenario:
A bearish outlook will be confirmed if the CPI matches or exceeds 3.00%, especially if the price stabilizes below 39,900, with potential declines to 39,620 and 39,260.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 39,780
- Resistance Levels: 39900, 40050, 40320
- Support Levels: 39620, 39260, 39120
Today's Expected Trading Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between support at 39,260 and resistance at 40,050.
previous idea:
Dow Jones to be bullish next 2 daysDJ is expected to be bullish today and test the order block on D1 at 50%Fib level. The expected move is demonstrated in the chart.
The last D1 candle was a bullish engulfing candle which finished the two day consolidation and now the price is expected to target an order block on D1 which is expected to be a strong one as it is coming off from a previous order block. Next two days is expected to be bullish on DJ and we will see some bearish move on coming Friday.
Good luck and use proper risk reward
This idea is for educational purpose only and not a financial advise .
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to resistance area 40071.Dear Colleagues, in the last forecast the price almost reached the target 41680, but sharply started to decline. This means that the price is in a complex correction (WXY).
I expect that the price has almost finished the downward movement in wave (Y), and will start an upward movement soon.
The level where the price may come to is 38799, but in general I expect an upward movement at least to the area of 40071.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Uptrend Considering that the index has crossed the resistance range, it is expected that the continuation of the upward trend will take place and go up to the specified Fibonacci levels.
US30 longHere is why;
Weekly
Price broke beneath 40,000 resistance level and price has not retested that level.
We see that there is a lot of bullish momentum that has been picked up from 38,500 due to last week's candlestick closure
Everything is pointing towards price going to test 40,000
Daily
We see that price too a lot of buy orders from 38,500.
Price broke and retested 39,300 region three times before finally heading northwards
The next target is 40,000
4 hour
Price today has closed above 39,720 and I expect for price to test the region before heading upwards.
However, for now it is not clear what price will do, so it is best I just sit on my hands.
DJIA – Multi year market top in now? Go short? Optimism is at ATH
Nasdaq is lead by 7 or so main stocks
There has not been a major bear since 2007/8 and even then the market pulled back to historic overvaluation if you look at total data in the past 100 years
Mutual fund mngrs cash reserve was at 2% historically low value suggesting a market top
The upper trend line CAGL – capping ascending grind line was tested and reversed, indicating market prices short term unsustainable at those levels.
Prices may go and retest the upper channel line however they could just sell off from now, if we get a retouch then what a beautiful shorting opportunity
Market crashes happen often in September up to late October which we are approaching
Now is time to be aggressively short or to ease off to safety if you are bullish.
Option for much lower prices ?
2026 is the local top according to Benners cycle theory etc
made in America big banks work on the same information you and I have if they believe and are certain there is a recession they wouldn't tell you, yes there is geo-political turmoil in the Middle East, and recently the breach of Russian territory by Ukrainian forces will make the bear angry n start flattening land as it did in Syrian n Us is obliged to help Ukraine (why: cuz they gave up their nukes to the Us for protection, not a conspiracy) so more government contracts more orders, PMI is down but excepted to go up upcoming quarters
this is not a full analysis just a general idea so do ur macro analysis crunch the numbers n good day
US 30 - Ranges overview (update)Let's see have a look at how US 30 is currently trading...
We have taken the buyside liquidity of the weekly open range (black line) and we are currently trading back towards the HTF buyside (sitting around 40000)
We've reclaimed the weekly open highs and we are currently creating new highs
IF we fail to hold these highs expect us to aggressively retrace towards Monday's sellside.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
Dow Jones Priced In GoldDow jones Industrial Average Priced In Gold.
Only the 4th time this has happened in over 100 years.
Only the 3rd time since gold was unpegged back in 1971.
US stocks are very close to properly imploding priced in gold.
#gold #dowjones #stocks #silver
