DXY : 120One thing about a harmonic pattern is that we can anticipate where the price might go next.
It looks beautiful looking at the chart.
Good luck.
USDX trade ideas
What happens to markets when the dxy rallies?!Scanning through the markets during these turbulent times has me, wondering what would happen when the dollar index rallies to new highs? Will the real estate market be higher? Will Gold be higher? Will inflation be higher? With the great reset well underway and the sheep buying the left- right blame game, what will happen to our beloved investments?
DXY BEARISH TRENDDXY has been on a bearish movement since December, heading to the strong resistance of monthly and weekly timeframe. Currently trapped inside 4hours consolidation zone, if we see breakout to the down side, this will be continuation of the down movement to the monthly resistance before the new uptrend will start. But if the breakout is to the upside, meaning there will be a short bullish movement before another strong fall DXY. this will help to know what Gold and other USD pair is about to do in our analysis. What is your view? comment below.
DXY In Difficult Circumstances Since the Start 80's I decided to give a go at the Dollar Index given the circumstances around the world. And to be honest, I tried to put on the positive glasses.
I believe the dollar has been in a complex correction since the mid 80's. Starting out with a large dump in '85 with the a-wave, the correction slowed down and only grew more and more complex.
Thought about current wave: What I believe we are going through now is, that we are finishing up the purple C-wave in a green (C)-wave. This wave can end at any time now, since it's now at the 61.8% fib level of the purple A-wave. But it might go down to the 95 level (The green box) to complete at the 100% fiblevel of the purple A-Wave.
But first we will have the fourth wave meaning the DXY is gonna struggle for some weeks. Because we had a swift two week wave 2, which means we are probably going have a slow fourth wave according to the rule of alternation. This mean the purple C-wave could drag out into the end of '25 into early '26.
This is also with that in mind that a C-wave most likely will take longer than an A-wave. These are the Purple boxes.
BUT, after this, DXY is gonna experience some happy years again, going back up to the yellow box somewhere between 110 and 120 to finish the WXY of x of the larger degree. This will take DXY into a couple of years bull-run as long as the green (C) wave runs and completes no earlier than late '27, depending when the purple C-wave prior to the green (C) wave ends. But I believe the green (C)-wave will take about two years to complete.
But after this, DXY could again go into some dark ages and considering the high degree purple w-wave took 23 years to complete (blue giant box), there is no reason to believe this high degree purple y-wave will be a swift matter and actually don't complete before the year 2050. And it will take the DXY all the down to start 60's or lower.
The reason I said I tried to put on the positive glasses, is that I tried seeing the white channel as a leading diagonal for a new bull run, but I just don't see it as such.
I also tried seeing it as a C-wave of a flat diagonal, but this would result in another C-wave afterwards, and also take us down to the 60's level. So that didn't do us any good.
For the sake of DXY, I hope I'm wrong, but this is how I see it.
DXY: Summer CRASH but here is why it will SKYROCKET after.The U.S. Dollar Index is oversold on both its 1D and 1W technical outlooks but on the 1M it just turned bearish (RSI = 42.641, MACD = 0.810, ADX = 21.680). This is because it crossed under its 1M MA50 for the first time since January 2022. For more than 3 years the 1M MA50 has kept it on the upper side of the 2008 Channel Up but now the time has come for it to aim at its bottom as every time it broke under it, the pattern dropped more and made a bottom a few months later.
We anticipate a bottom around July, ideally with the 1M RSI inside our Target Zone, which consists of the last two lows. Then the new bullish wave of the pattern should begin, reaching the January 2025 High by the end of 2026.
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DXY BEAR INCOMING"DXY just broke an important low! I want to believe the price will go down! Not to mention all the uncertainty in the market! This drop might be temporary either!"
$DXY suffers worst day since Nov 10, 2022 – What does it mean?💵 The US Dollar Index just posted its biggest daily drop in nearly 2.5 years, crashing through the 100 level with strong volume. This breakdown signals weakness in the dollar that could have massive implications across all asset classes:
📉 Why it matters:
A weak dollar makes US exports more competitive globally, but also reflects investor fear or policy shifts.
Commodities like gold, oil, and crypto tend to rally when the dollar drops.
Could indicate a pivot in monetary policy, potential rate cuts, or macroeconomic concerns.
🧠 From a technical standpoint, this break of support could trigger further downside. The last time this happened, we saw a significant shift in risk appetite.
📊 What to watch:
Upcoming Fed statements
Inflation & jobs data
Reaction in equities and crypto
👇 Is this the start of a larger trend, or just an overreaction?
Let’s discuss!
#DXY #USD #DollarIndex #Forex #Macro #MarketUpdate #Commodities #Gold #Crypto #TradingView
DXYDXY trading below 100$ mark,fed dovish stance and tariff war will continue to sink dollar index.
EUR,AUD,NZD,GBP,CAD all trading big against dollar
on 0.618 we have a support
DXY Trapped in Bearish RectangleThis Bearish Rectangle will drop USD Index DXY low. The Chart Pattern is working and has started its down trend already.
USD Breakdown – Trump, Tariffs, and the End of King Dollar?📉 USD Breakdown – Trump, Tariffs, and the End of King Dollar?
In my February post, I said:
2025 would be the Year of the Normalized Dollar — where political pressure meets policy hesitation.
Now that scenario is unfolding.
The dollar is unwinding. The technicals are confirming it.
And the macro backdrop? Only intensifying the move.
📊 Chart Breakdown
100.95 — the key mid-level — is now broken
That level is resistance
Target remains 94.00 — the zone I first called as a bottom back in 2020
From that zone, I called the bull run.
Now, we’re completing the circle.
The King Dollar move is done.
🌐 Macro Pressure Mounts
CPI cooled to 2.4%
Trump wants a weaker dollar to push exports
Tariffs are back — and escalating
The Fed is paused , but still under fire to cut rates
Meanwhile:
🇨🇳 China is accumulating gold aggressively
🪙 Gold is at all-time highs
🧠 Bitcoin is rising as the U.S.'s digital hard asset hedge
⚔️ This Isn’t Just a Chart — It’s a Shift
What we’re watching is more than a breakdown in DXY.
It’s the realignment of monetary confidence:
→ Gold for protection
→ Bitcoin for evolution
→ Dollar for... survival?
The breakdown in USD may be normalizing on the surface...
But underneath it’s signaling a changing of the guard.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Dollar I Daily CLS I Weekly CSL Potential plays for next weekHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
The Dollar's Gone Crab-Walking!!The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has recently breached the 100 level, marking the first instance of such a decline since July 2023.
This development signifies a potential shift in the dollar's strength against a basket of major currencies.
Market observers are now closely monitoring the index, particularly around the 99.3 mark, as some anticipate a possible rebound and upward trajectory from this level.
The near-term performance of the DXY will likely be influenced by a variety of factors, including evolving macroeconomic data, shifts in monetary policy.
SEYED.
DXY Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Builds Amid Weak U.S. DataThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is maintaining a clear bearish trajectory, with price action on the H4 chart showing a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows inside a descending channel. The technical structure points to continued selling pressure, and recent fundamental developments only reinforce this view.
📰 Key drivers behind the decline:
The latest U.S. CPI data came in weaker than expected, signaling easing inflationary pressure and fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sooner than anticipated.
A slight uptick in jobless claims has raised concerns that the U.S. labor market may be losing momentum.
Simultaneously, global players like China and Japan are shifting toward more stable monetary policy, prompting capital flows away from the dollar.
📉 From a technical perspective, DXY has broken below the key 100.817 support zone and is now trading around 99.7. Each attempt at a bullish pullback has been short-lived, with sellers regaining control quickly. The green arrows on the chart indicate potential reaction zones, but the descending channel structure remains firmly intact.
Outlook: If the index fails to reclaim the 100.8 – 101.3 resistance area, there’s a high probability of further downside toward the 98.5 – 98.0 support region.
In short, DXY is under pressure both technically and fundamentally, which explains the current bullish momentum in EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and especially gold (XAU/USD).
End of the US Dollar ****** end of INFLATED USD
Deflation is coming.
Food for thought.
Because THE CYCLES EXIST and THEY RHYME.
Dollar Index Tests Key Demand Zone: What's Next?The Dollar Index is currently testing a major demand zone between 99.50 and 101. This area has marked the end of downward moves and the beginning of dollar rallies five times since early 2023.
The recent downward pressure is largely driven by rising expectations of an economic slowdown and a strengthening euro.
At this point, several possible scenarios could unfold, depending on how the market reacts to this key support zone:
Repeat of the Past: Just like the previous five instances, the Dollar Index rebounds sharply from the zone and starts a strong upward move.
Trendline Test: The Dollar Index breaks below this zone and moves toward testing the long-term uptrend line that originated in 2011.
Fakeouts and Reversal: The Dollar Index briefly falls below the demand zone, approaches the long-term trendline, and then stages a false recovery above the zone. After trapping both bulls and bears and creating a fake breakout signal, it dips below the trendline before reversing and beginning a new medium-term uptrend that ultimately aligns above the long-term trend.
Given the high level of global economic uncertainty and recent sharp reversals in financial markets, the third scenario may carry slightly higher probability. A similar pattern played out in 2017, when both the 200-week moving average and the demand zone were broken. The key difference this time is that TVC:DXY is much closer to the long-term trendline.
DOLLAR INDEX - Important BreakdownHello Traders !
Yesterday, The Dollar Index Broke the support level (103.200 - 103.700).
This key level becomes new resistance !
So, I expect a bearish move📉
________________
TARGET: 100.730🎯
start of uptrendThe downtrend is expected to break through the support zone and advance to the 138% level. Then there is a possibility of a trend change and an upward trend starting.
DeGRAM | DXY broke the triangle downwardDXY is in a descending channel under a triangle.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel, resistance level and upper trendline, which previously acted as a pullback point.
The chart failed to form an ascending structure, but it formed a harmonic pattern and broke down the mirror support level, which now acts as resistance.
On the main timeframes, the relative strength index is below 50 points.
We expect the decline to continue.
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11.04.25 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:GBPAUD
FX:NZDCAD
FX:GBPUSD
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
DXYthe Dollar shows a strong momentum to the downside, it has reached a strong level, we expect it to break and continue to the downside
DXY – Bullish BAT Harmonic Pattern Formed
✅ Overview:
Pattern Identified: Bullish BAT
Current Trend: Bearish
Reversal Zone: Near 0.886 Fibonacci level (Potential PRZ – Potential Reversal Zone)
Bias: Short-term bearish ➝ Medium-term bullish
🧩 Pattern Structure:
X to A: Initial bullish leg
A to B: Retracement ~38.2%–50%
B to C: Extension to ~88.6%
C to D: Final bearish leg completing near 0.886 of XA
→ D point is the potential long entry zone
📈 Trade Plan – LONG Setup (Once PRZ is Hit)
Entry:
Buy near the 0.886 level of XA leg (watch for reversal candles or structure break)
Wait for confirmation on lower timeframes (1H or 4H)
Stop Loss:
Below the X-point or slightly below 0.886 zone
Targets:
TP1: 0.382 retracement of AD
TP2: 0.618 retracement of AD
TP3 (Optional): Break and retest of structure above B point
R:R Goal: At least 1:2
⚠️ Key Considerations:
Short-term DXY is still bearish; wait for reaction at PRZ
Ideal to pair with bullish divergence or support zone confluence
Watch for fundamental catalysts (CPI, NFP, Fed speakers) impacting USD strength
Outlook for Trump's Second TermExpecting price to retest the bottom descending channel and return to the moving averages next year. From there, price will likely rebound hard and surge back upwards to continue the muti-decade ascent.
