US30 Weekly: Support Under Threat - Prepare for More Downside?US30 Weekly Analysis - Potential Trading Setup
Technical Outlook — 21 April 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 on the weekly timeframe is trading within a long-term ascending channel. Price recently experienced a sharp correction, breaking below the middle of the channel and is now testing a key support zone.
Potential Trading Setup:
Potential Reversal/Long Setup (Primary Scenario):
Entry: Look for strong bullish reversal signals within the current support zone (around 37,500 - 38,500). This could include bullish candlestick patterns on the weekly or daily timeframe, coupled with the Stochastic indicator showing a bullish divergence or crossing up from oversold territory.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the low of the reversal signal or below the lower boundary of the support zone (below 37,500).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: The middle of the ascending channel (around 40,500 - 41,000).
TP2: The upper trendline of the ascending channel (currently around 44,000 - 45,000, and rising over time).
Bearish Continuation Setup (Secondary Scenario):
Entry: If bullish reversal signals fail to materialize and the price breaks decisively below the current support zone (below 37,500), look for short entry opportunities. The Stochastic indicator confirming downward momentum would add confluence to this setup.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the high of the breakdown candle or above the broken support zone.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: The next significant support level around 34,000 - 35,000.
TP2: The lower boundary of the ascending channel (currently around 32,000 - 33,000, and rising over time).
Important Considerations:
Weekly Timeframe Significance: Trading setups on the weekly chart require patience and can take time to play out.
Confirmation is Crucial: Wait for clear confirmation signals, including price action and signals from the Stochastic indicator, before entering any trades.
Channel Dynamics: The ascending channel trendlines are dynamic and will change over time.
Risk Management: Employ appropriate position sizing and always use stop-loss orders.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
DJIA trade ideas
Dow JonesDow Jones
MTF Analysis
Dow JonesYearly Demand 36,970.0
Dow Jones 6 Month Demand DMIP 35,008.0
Dow Jones Qtrly Demand 37,786.0
Dow JonesMonthly Demand BUFL 38,581.0
Dow JonesWeekly Demand Resistance now support 36,970.0
Dow Jones Daily DMIP 37,390.0
ENTRY -1 Long 37,390.0
SL 37,128.0
RISK 262.0
Target as per Entry 45,307.0
RR 30.2
US30 Outlook on 4H TF - LONG US30 - Bullish Wave 5 Push to 42,000 📈
We're still in a Wave 4 correction on the daily, but price just retested Wave 4 lows at 38,900 area and held (for now). Now forming a double bottom on the 4H, and Wave 1 is starting on the 1H.
Looking for a Wave 5 push up toward 42,000 before a major selloff.
Key Levels:
🔹 Support: 38,970
🔹 TP Zones: 40,000 → 41,000 → 42,000
🔻 Short Bias kicks in after Wave 5 completes (Target: 38,100-38,200)
Plan: Buy dips while above 38,900, scale out near 42K, watch for reversal confirmation.
US30 - medium to long term opportunity setting upHello,
The US30 futures are forming a bullish pattern, signaling potential upside. The MACD and moving averages align, presenting a compelling opportunity for buyers.
Investors should note President Trump's aggressive push for Federal Reserve Chair Powell to cut interest rates, including threats to dismiss him if he resists. While this rhetoric could unsettle markets, we believe Trump is unlikely to follow through, as markets have likely found a bottom and he would avoid actions that could trigger a downturn.
Technical analysis supports early entry for bold investors, with a stop-loss placed below the recent low. Proceed with caution and good luck.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Drop followed followed by long.Dow Jones is currently attempting to continue its bullish resurgence, but has failed to do so by failing to stabilise above 40,883. As long as price action is under the 40k mark, the points may likely retest the previous support barriers, situated between 39,500 and 38,750, as likely bullish catalysts for a long opportunity. However, by failing to go down, breaking, and stabilising above 40,883, the price may continue going up, targeting 42,600 and 42,000.
DOW/US30 - what the expectation from the marketTeam, last week we kill the market
I have prepare for the next week strategy
We currently have some small volume position long at this stage
and will add more if the market down to next level,
However, we expect some recovery at this stage.
Strategy:
TARGET 1 - 39266-39335
TARGET 2 - 39375-39467
TARGET 3 at 39600-39929
TARGET 4 at 40.400-41400 - run with mini volume and hold.
DOW/US30Team, time to go long DOW/US30
yesterday the market disappointed on the FED decision,
i just cant believe the FED compare the inflation in 2020-2021 that is where the COVID and lock down. And compare to 2024. he should have cut the interest rate to ease the market.
Given the fact the market is dropping 1000 points, i expect we should have some recover at least 200-300 points medium
Target 1 at 39225
Target 2 at 39335-39420
Target 3 at 39560-39670
We should see the market pump in 2-3 hour time frame or recover.
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 17 April 2025
- Dow Jones reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 38500.00
Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 40815,00 (former strong support from the start of March), 20-day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last month.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous minor correction (iv) from the start of April.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 38500.00.
US30 WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅DOW JONES is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 41,000
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 40,000
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Beyond the Noise: US30 Analysis and Actionable Trade Ideas.Technical Analysis: US30 (Dow Jones)
📊 The US30 index is currently displaying a bearish trend on the weekly timeframe. We're observing a strong rally followed by a pullback into equilibrium when measured against the previous price swing range.
🔍 At present, the index sits in a premium zone, creating conditions where short positions may be accumulating for potential downside movement. However, market sentiment remains highly susceptible to external factors, particularly political statements and social media activity from key figures like Donald Trump.
⚠️ Given this unpredictability, a more prudent approach involves shifting focus to lower timeframes and following price action signals directly. The 30-minute chart presents a defined range that offers potential trade opportunities.
💡 Trade Idea: Monitor the current range on the 30-minute timeframe. A decisive break above the range could signal a long entry opportunity, while a break below may indicate a short entry position.
📈 This range-breakout strategy allows traders to adapt to market conditions rather than attempting to predict overall market direction, which has proven increasingly challenging in the current economic and political climate.
Not financial advice.
The Federal Reserve continues to tackle inflation🧠 Fundamental Analysis:
The Dow Jones (US30) experienced significant volatility in Q1 2025, with a slight decline due to economic challenges.
Major companies like Coca-Cola and Goldman Sachs are expected to report Q1 earnings this week, and these reports could have a big impact on the index’s movement.
The Federal Reserve continues to tackle inflation, which supports expectations for potential rate cuts later in the year, helping to support the markets.
However, high inflation and ongoing geopolitical tensions may put pressure on economic growth.
💬 Sentiment Analysis:
Market sentiment is currently mixed; there are concerns about a possible recession, but the market is also looking forward to potential monetary easing by the Fed.
Despite the economic pressures, there is limited optimism that the markets may see a recovery as Q2 2025 begins.
The market may experience volatility due to increasing concerns about inflation and corporate earnings, but overall, there is sentimental support in anticipation of clearer economic data.
Moustafa! My analysis and view for US 30! on 16.03.2025!- I expected a huge bearish wave would hit the index by end of December and also in January and I sat an idea for it and it was right and that is the new idea
- On the weekly frame, you would notice that the index is in a rising channel
- Formed a double top pattern and even broke the neckline of it and is supposed to go to minimum the Take profit 2 then after the retrace towards the take profit 3
- The index retraced to the upside due to the uptrend line in green and there is a possibility that it could continue the bullish run but I do not expect here that a weekly candle would close above the neckline before reaching to the below TPs
- The lower weekly candles wicks from 15.04.2024 and 05.08.2024 must be filled anyway, which is giving another confirmation to the validation of this idea concept and the continuation of the bearish wave on the weekly chart! we could see on the way some retracements on the daily frame and the lower frames, but that will not have any influence on the bigger bearish image!
- The index had broken already the uptrend line (in red) which was not broken from October 2023! and the last week candle closed under the moving average 50!
- By reaching to the TP3, means that the index would go to the lower line of the rising channel
-- Conclusion is that we are in a bearish market on the weekly chart and the real target is exactly when the index will reach to the line (in yellow)
I sat also another idea for Nasdaq
which I see also there the continuation of the big bearish wave on the weekly chart! so feel free to have a look on too! so all is going in harmony together!
Dow Jones - Value Is The King Of 2025!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) withstands all bearish struggles:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
All major U.S. indices have been weakening lately but the Dow Jones is clearly the strongest of all. It seems like big institutions are shifting back to value stocks and therefore the Dow Jones remains very strong. Looking at technicals, this trend is rather likely to continue during 2025.
Levels to watch: $40.000, $50.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Long US30 chart CMCMARKETS:US30 NDS style analysis : Based on this NDS-style analysis from DR fuzzy logic, we expect that for the completion of our king pattern, from this point f2 after hitting ND, our chart will temporarily become Saudi to hit point 2, then we will fall again to below F3 to create the F3 peak.
Close to the short entry zone.BLACKBULL:US30 Following a potential move above the 41,108 resistance level, we anticipate short-selling opportunities. The initial downside target is identified at 38,406. Should bearish pressure persist, a secondary target lies below 36,470. Upon reaching this key support zone, we will closely monitor price action for signs of a possible bullish reversal and the emergence of new long setups.