DJIA trade ideas
US30 Breaks Trendline Support – Will Geopolitics Add FuelUS30 (Dow Jones) — Trendline Breach & Rising Geopolitical Risk
Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 is currently trading at 42,339, showing early signs of risk-off sentiment following a clear break of both the ascending trendline and the Previous Day Low, with price rejecting from the 42,863 supply zone. This sharp decline aligns with growing tensions between Iran and Israel, which are weighing heavily on investor confidence. The breakdown suggests a shift in momentum, with further downside likely if key support levels fail to hold.
Key Technical Highlights:
Major ascending trendline support has broken, indicating a structural shift toward bearish sentiment.
Price broke below both the Previous Day Low (42,551) and Fib support, invalidating short-term bullish setups.
EMA 50 was lost, and price is heading toward the 200 MA at ~42,100.
Stochastic shows strong bearish momentum, currently in a downward cross and nowhere near oversold.
Major downside levels: 42,100, 41,900, 41,700, and 41,500.
Upside resistance: 42,550, followed by 42,863 and 42,970.
🌍 Geopolitical Factor – Iran-Israel Conflict:
The recent escalation between Iran and Israel has intensified risk aversion across global markets. Defensive sectors are gaining while equity indices like the Dow Jones face increased selling pressure. With concerns over possible oil supply disruptions and global uncertainty, traders are pulling capital from equities and seeking safe-haven assets like gold and bonds.
The volatility spike from this geopolitical conflict may overshadow technical setups, amplifying moves and reducing the reliability of support/resistance zones unless confirmed with volume.
Trade Plan:
🔻 1. Bearish Continuation Setup (Short Bias) – Most Probable
Trigger: Retest of 42,550 fails (previous demand turned supply)
Target: 42,100 → 41,900 → 41,500
Stop Loss: Above 42,600
⚠️ 2. Pullback Bounce (Short-term Buy) – Less Probable
Trigger: Strong bounce from 42,100 with bullish divergence on Stochastic
Target: 42,550 → 42,700
Stop Loss: Below 42,000
Risk Management Note:
Due to the unfolding Middle East conflict, markets may behave erratically and spike unpredictably. Use smaller position sizes, widen SL buffers slightly, and stay alert to news headlines. Prioritize confirmation over anticipation.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Pullback From Support
US30 shows some strength after a test of a key intraday support.
A cup and handle pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
indicate a local strength of the buyers.
I expect a pullback to 42550
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US30 Long OpportunityUS30 had a break out to the upside from $42560 and we are not seeing a potentially retracement to the break and retest level where we can expect a further jump to the upside. Seeing bullish structure on the 15 min and higher timeframes with confluence at the breakout.
Price is currently above the 50 SMA on all timeframes above the 15min and momentum is bullish per the RSI trading above the 55 level, adding to the bullish confluence
Looking to the ride the bullish wave from $42560 to $42920 where currently resistance level is sitting
US30 BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 42,200.7
Target Level: 42,556.5
Stop Loss: 41,963.5
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
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DowJones uptrend retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 43192
Resistance Level 2: 43620
Resistance Level 3: 44290
Support Level 1: 42100
Support Level 2: 41420
Support Level 3: 40990
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Wall Street Eyes Volatility: Dow Jones Tests Reversal ZoneUS30 (Dow Jones Index) — Clashing Forces of Risk & Reality
Technical Outlook — 16 June, 2025 | 1H Chart
Current Market Condition:
The Dow Jones (US30) has staged a recovery from the recent dip, but price is stalling at the Previous Day High (~42,588), a key confluence zone with the broken rising trendline, 50 EMA, and overhead supply.
This hesitation comes amid heightened global risk aversion triggered by the intensifying Iran–Israel conflict, adding pressure to global indices as investors rotate into safer assets like treasuries and gold. Despite intraday rebounds, equity bulls are showing signs of fatigue at resistance zones.
Markets are also bracing for upcoming US economic data and Fed commentary, which may further amplify intraday volatility.
Key Technical Highlights:
Price rejected from the confluence of PDH (~42,588), horizontal supply zone, and old rising trendline (yellow).
Currently hovering just under the 50 EMA; failure to hold could initiate a rotation back toward PD Low.
Stochastic RSI nearing overbought — suggests possible local top if no momentum breakout follows.
EMA 200 and the Previous Day Low at ~42,053 remain critical intraday supports.
Overall structure forming potential lower high under bearish macro cloud.
Trade Plan:
🔼 Bullish Breakout (Intraday Long):
Trigger: Break and sustained hold above 42,600 with rising volume
Target: 42,900 → 43,100
Stop Loss: Below 42,450 (to avoid whipsaws)
🔻 Bearish Rejection (Intraday Short):
Trigger: Clean rejection from PDH + trendline with bearish engulfing
Target: 42,100 → 42,050 → 41,850
Stop Loss: Above 42,650
⚖️ Neutral / Range Trade:
Play the range between PDH (~42,588) and PDL (~42,053) until breakout.
Scalp based on price reaction at either boundary with tight stop loss.
🛡️ Risk Management Note:
Global uncertainty tied to war escalation and Fed policy expectations make this a headline-driven market. News risk can spike volatility and invalidate technical setups. Trade with reduced size and increased caution, especially around US market open and geopolitical news cycles.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
US30 Trade Update – 06/16/2025🚨 US30 Trade Update – 06/16/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 is rebounding after holding above the 42,102 demand zone. Price is now reclaiming EMAs with short-term bullish momentum, approaching the 42,605 resistance level.
✅ Key Observations:
Strong bounce off 42,102 ✅
Reclaimed 42,341 EMA support
Bullish momentum building toward 42,605
📍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 42,605 → 42,793
Support: 42,248 → 42,102
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long Setup:
Buy above 42,605
→ Target: 42,793 → 43,021
🔻 Short Setup:
Breakdown below 42,248
→ Target: 42,102 → 41,947
⚠️ Market flipping short-term bullish – watch for breakout and confirmation above 42,605!
This weeks #US30 outlook. High Probability Trade Zones
A. Short Setup – Fade the Grind Into Resistance
Zone: 42,900–43,200 (confluence of R1, previous highs, sell rejection zone).
Trigger: Slow grind + bearish engulfing / break of structure on 15M–30M.
Stop: Above 43,250
Target: 42,400 > 42,150 > 41,800
B. Long Setup – 4H Breaker Block Retest
Zone: 42,050–42,200 (OB + support + 30M demand)
Trigger: Sweep of 42,000, followed by bullish engulfing or displacement candle
Stop: Below 41,770
Target: 42,600 > 42,900 > 43,193
C. High-Risk Fade Long – Deep Discount Sweep
Zone: 41,750–41,800 (S1 proximity, previous accumulation base)
Trigger: Wipeout + bullish PA on 15M with volume spike
Stop: 41,670
Target: 42,200 > 42,500
DOW/US30 - TIME FOR RECOVER DURING UK MARKET OPENINGTeam, very sad day to see Israel missle flying
We can only hope the world in peace
We are now finding opportunity to entry LONG DOW/US30
Please set your target 1 and 2 ranges
Make sure take 50-70% at first target and bring stop loss to BE
then second target
Please review the chart carefully and pricing target
Good luck.
US30 Analysis: Liquidity Dip or Deeper Correction?📉 US30 (Dow Jones) Trade Idea 📉
Currently analysing US30 – the Dow Jones Index 🏛️, and there are some key developments worth noting…
On the 4-hour timeframe, we’re observing a clear shift in market structure, with price breaking through previous lows ⚠️. This raises two possibilities:
🔹 It could be a liquidity grab before a rally 🚀
🔹 Or, it may be the beginning of a deeper end-of-week sell-off targeting levels below 🔻
At this stage, I’m watching for a potential counter-trend short position — but only if the conditions outlined in the video are met with precision 🎯.
🧠 As always, it’s about waiting for confirmation, not jumping in early. Disciplined execution is key. 🧩💼
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
US30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East TensionsUS30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions
U.S. indices, particularly the Dow Jones (US30), are under sustained bearish pressure due to intensifying geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of de-escalation or negotiation, market sentiment remains risk-off.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the crisis continues, US30 is likely to maintain its downward momentum. The price appears set to test the 41770 level, with potential continuation toward 41310.
Only a clear signal of de-escalation or diplomatic engagement may reverse this trend, possibly triggering a recovery toward 42810.
For now, the directional bias remains bearish.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42160
• Support: 41770, 41310, 40700
• Resistance: 42410, 42810, 43210
Click to see the Previous idea
us30 outlook US30 Supply & Demand Outlook (1H–2H)
The market is currently trading within a fair value range (highlighted in yellow), with no clear edge for high-probability entries.
I'm waiting for price to move out of this range and into one of the fresh supply or demand zones marked above and below.
DOW JONES Inverse Head and Shoulders close to a bullish breakoutDow Jones (DJI) has completed an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, having formed the Right Shoulder supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
The price is now slowly rising to test the upper neckline and if broken, expect a strong movement upwards. Technically, such patterns target their 2.0 Fibonacci extensions. The current one is at 49200 and that's our long-term Target. If you seek lower risk, you may target the 1.5 Fib extension.
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DOW - H&S is getting progressed. 📉 DOW JONES – Head & Shoulders Pattern Formation (Right Shoulder in Progress)
The chart illustrates a clear Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal, forming on the higher timeframe.
🧠 Pattern Breakdown:
Left Shoulder: Formed in early March.
Head: Sharp dip and recovery formed during early April.
Right Shoulder: Currently in the making, aligning with a weekly resistance near 42,880 levels.
Price is expected to reject this resistance and complete the right shoulder.
📌 Technical View:
Strong rejection expected near the weekly horizontal resistance.
If the right shoulder completes and breaks below the neckline (around 41,500–41,600), it may trigger a measured fall.
Fibonacci levels also align, with the 0.382 and 0.5 retracement acting as potential reaction zones.
🎯 Target:
Target: 40,900 levels (Right Shoulder support zone).
This is a confluence zone where buyers may reappear.
Also forms a neckline test, critical for breakout confirmation or reversal.
🔔 Trade Setup Insight:
Short bias activated near 42,880 resistance zone.
Watch for confirmation via bearish engulfing candles or lower time frame breakdowns.
Targeting 40,900 initially. Further downside possible if neckline breaks decisively.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation. All trading involves risk. Please perform your own due diligence or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
US30(Dow Jones)The combination of the COT data showing a shift towards more short positions and the technical picture suggests that bearish momentum could continue. Sell/Short: Consider entering a short position at current market levels, ideally on any retracement or rally towards the resistance zone.
Rush and Choke: Why the Patient Dog Wins in the MarketsWhere I come from, the expression “the patient dog eats the fattest bone” is sometimes seen as a myth—mostly because people want to get it fast. But that mindset doesn’t work in trading.
In this game, you have to be patient. Rushing into trades, chasing the market, or trying to force profits will only lead to unnecessary losses. If you’re not careful, that "bone" you’re so eager to grab might just get stuck in your throat.
Patience in trading means waiting for the right setup, managing your emotions, and trusting your strategy. It’s about playing the long game, not the fast one.
So remember: in the markets, the patient dog doesn’t just eat—the patient dog feasts.