What is the future of interest rates?Only time will tell. My guess is that they'll be coming down, but first we get a major melt up from equities and then the recession can start when government spending gets the Elon AXE.
About Effective Federal Funds Rate
FRED Federal Reserve Funds Rate: 5.33% | Prime Moverthe higher it goes the more selective issues instruments go up
as cost of money is expensive unless a project or asset class has
the five forces of porter in its favor more so SCARCITY & Unique Selling proposition to offer
for the rest expect volatility foreclosure or takeover
FED RATES VS BTC AND SPX📉 Important to note: Historically, the start of monetary policy easing has often been accompanied by market corrections. This time is likely to be no different. Investors should remain highly cautious.
SPX direction after first and last FED rate cutsThis chart compares FED rate cuts to SPX chart.
The last 3 times after the first rate cuts there was a slight upward rally of the SP500 of about 5-10%, before going on a bearish retrace of about -40%, -50% & -20%, and then bottoming out only AFTER the final rate cut.
Based on this, if history re
Inflation, 2yr-bond yield, fund rate, unemployment, recessions The chart illustrates how five key economic indicators—Inflation, 2-Year Bond Yield, Federal Funds Rate, Unemployment Rate, and Recessions—compare across different time periods or economic conditions.
1. Inflation: This line or bar typically shows the rate at which prices for goods and services ris
FED Funds Rate 9-10%FED Funds Rate In the long-term, the United States Fed Funds Rate is projected to trend around 9-10%
Alertes de la courbe des rendements : correction de marché soon?Observations récentes sur le marché obligataire :
Les dernières évolutions sur le marché obligataire ont soulevé des questions parmi les investisseurs. L'inversion de la courbe des rendements, souvent considérée comme un indicateur de récession, est de plus en plus observée. Cette situation, associ
Fed Funds, return to the mean? You can see what a sharp increase in the Funds rate results in, sharp cuts later on.
Will we spiral into the death zone as the dollar dies and even go negative rates? Or can they hold above 0%, we will see.
The rise of the Fund RateThe Fed rate has a potential rise to 0.41. This would be the temp target for now in my opinion and further rise above this 0.41 signifies higher in the future.
FED hawkish with encouraging inflation data. ...are we at a pantomime of a creaking economic system?
bond futures are currently pricing in a cut of just over 25 basis points in fed funds between now and the end of the year.
While the Fed bides time on a possible interest rate cut, inflation data is encouraging. Core goods (excluding food an
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