FED: less than 5% probability of a rate cut on July 301) The US labor market remains resilient according to the latest NFP report, which is good news for the macro-economic situation
The US labor market demonstrated its resilience last week, making a rate cut by the FED on Wednesday July 30 unlikely: the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% of the labor fo
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FED, rate cut possible on July 30? With the US Federal Reserve (FED) meeting on July 30 fast approaching, the markets are scrutinizing the slightest signals likely to indicate an inflexion in monetary policy. While a rate cut seems unlikely in the short term, it cannot be ruled out altogether. Despite Chairman Jerome Powell's firm st
The FED on June 18 will be decisive for the stock market!Several fundamental factors will have a strong influence on the stock market this week, including trade diplomacy, geopolitical tensions and the FED's monetary policy decision on Wednesday June 18.
1) The FED on June 18, the fundamental highlight of the week
The stock market week will be dominat
FED FUNDS Rate Inflation Adjusted Remains TightFED FUNDS Rate Inflation Adjusted for core inflation remains in the tightening area. As inflation rises over the next few months, thanks to Trump's liberating all Americans with higher taxes and less discretionary income to spend.
I expect this chart to drop as inflation rises and Fed holds rates s
Will Jerome Powell give in on Wednesday May 7 by cutting rates?Introduction: As the US Federal Reserve (FED) approaches a new monetary policy decision, the central question is: Will Jerome Powell bow to political pressure and initiate a rate cut on May 7? To answer this question, it is essential to look back at the institutional framework of the FED and the hi
Fed Funds Before CPICPI will be an important event tomorrow an hour before open. I believe the most important thing will be the reaction of the fed fund futures. Currently the target rate is sitting at 4.64 and the market is pricing in an 86% chance of that rate moving down to between 4.25-4.50.
As long as this expect
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