Diesel prices Retail Diesel – Monthly: Currently resting at monthly support of 5.31. (Ichimoku indicator not shown) Daily and weekly swings above and below the blue Tenkan line should be expected. A monthly close below could open the door to the red Kijun line at 4.09. This would be very strong support on a monthly scale.
There was a 5 leg event from the 02’ low to the 08’ high. Leg 1 climbed 80% in under 2 years. The 3rd leg high climbed 230% higher in over 6.5 years. The 5th leg high climbed 390% off the 02 lows in just over 9 years.
The 16’ low to the 18’ high (Leg 1) climbed 75% in under 3 years. The current (3rd leg) high climbed 190% off the 16’ lows in under 6.5 years. If Diesel can break the trendline above $6.00, historically speaking $9.00+ diesel is not out of the equation…
Price risk on higher diesel is warranted. What broke the last strong run higher was the great 08’ recession…