Rising money supply DOESN'T always equate to stock markets riseRising money supply DOES NOT always equate to stock markets going up.
Includes Bitcoin & Crypto.
Using liquidity (m2) to anticipate stock market reaction is a dangerous game
About M2 Money Stock
Money and StocksDon't fall for the narrative that money supply will save stock markets (or bitcoin) from entering vicious bear runs.
Rising Money Supply Will NOT save stocks markets from a bear market
Global Liquidity: A Turning PointLooking at the state of global liquidity, I believe we're in a solid position for some longer trades. The chart reflects a potential inflection point, suggesting that liquidity could increase over the next six months. This aligns well with my base case that we may see a gradual rise in liquidity, su
M2 Peaking as Reverse Repo Drains to ZeroThe reverse repo balance at the Fed represents trapped liquidity. When this balance comes down it means liquidity is released into the economy and markets. The M2 level lags the change in reverse repo by about 300 days. Because reverse repo changes have been steady for some time, it is possible to d
Global Money Supply going up!This is the chart for the Global Money Supply.
It's clearly bouncing on the channel. BULLISH !!
Here's the formula to put in TradingView:
(FRED:M2SL+ECONOMICS:EUM2*FX:EURUSD+LSE:JPM2/FX:USDJPY+ECONOMICS:CNM2/FX:USDCNH)/1000000000000
M2 needs to move to historic trend to avoid massive risks.The United States has the capacity to bailout the retirement system for Boomers and Millennials if we do not blow the "dry powder" of American Exceptionalism on pumping up the economy and markets for political and 1%er gains.
America will be at peak Boomer dependence on Social Security & Medicare
Top 5 M2 vs SPXThis shows the relationship between the top M2 of the top 5 financial areas and the price of SPX.
M2 Money Supply!!! THEY ARE NOT PRINTING MONEY FAST ENOUGH !!!
#recession #disinflation #moneysupply #yields #rates
But the 10 year rate of change is telling a more nuanced story...
10 year yields track money supply rate of change
Will the Global Money Supply break the trendline?When the Global Money Supply goes up, markets go up.
Will the money supply break down the trendline?
Hopefully, we get a nice bounce from here!
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) due for a correction ?US M2 Money stock / Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
has reached its March's 2000 low.
Bullish divergence on both the RSI and MACD.
The Nasdaq 100 seems due for a correction which
would imply a rebound on this ratio of M2/QQQ
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