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NDQ100 trade ideas

How AI is Becoming a Bearish Factor for the Nasdaq 100How AI is Becoming a Bearish Factor for the Nasdaq 100 In 2024, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has risen by approximately 20%, with optimism around the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) acting as one of the bullish drivers. However, yesterday's reports from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) indicated that AI, as a factor influencing stock prices, may be shifting from a bullish to a bearish driver. The issue lies in the rising expenses that these tech giants are incurring in the race for leadership in this area. Earlier today, we noted that due to increasing expenditures, MSFT shares fell by roughly 4%, despite a strong earnings report. A similar trend is seen in Meta Platforms' stock: actual earnings per share and gross revenue exceeded analysts’ expectations. However, due to high capital investments, META shares in pre-market trading today are around 3% lower than yesterday's opening. Meanwhile, technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) index chart indicates several bearish signals: → Since mid-September, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel, constructed using linear regression (shown in blue). However, following the reports from Microsoft and Meta Platforms, the index value has sharply dropped from the upper half of the channel to its lower boundary. → The pattern of peaks A-B-C-D shows that bulls find it difficult to maintain momentum: each successive peak only slightly exceeds the previous one, followed by a decline. Considering this information, it is reasonable to assume that the current ascending channel may be unable to drive the price to the July 11 peak and could be breached by bears. Additionally, the formation of a bearish channel is not out of the question (its preliminary outline is shown in red). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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by FXOpen
2
US100 Trade LogTrade Setup (31/10/2024) - US100 Long in 1H FVG 1. Setup: Enter long within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which serves as a potential demand zone for an upward move. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:2 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Confirmation: Look for bullish reversal patterns, such as a strong rejection wick or bullish engulfing candle, within the 1H FVG to confirm entry. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss just below the lower boundary of the 1H FVG to limit downside risk. - Set take-profit at twice the distance of the stop-loss for a 1:2 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Be aware of market-moving news or data releases that could impact US100 volatility. - Ensure price action within the FVG indicates strong buying interest before entering. This setup aims to capitalize on potential bullish momentum within the 1H FVG as a support zone.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Fondera-Trading
3
DreamAnalysis | NASDAQ's Next Move Key Levels & Strategic Setups✨ Today’s Focus: NASDAQ (US100) – A Major Market Influencer We’re diving into the latest NASDAQ price action to pinpoint crucial levels, assess potential trends, and uncover strategic trading opportunities. 📊 Market Overview: Currently, NASDAQ is positioned in a deep premium. The price has broken through significant buy-side liquidity levels, including the Previous Month High (PMH) and Previous Week High (PWH), setting the stage for a potential move toward the all-time high. A bearish Smart Money Technique (SMT) signal also aligns with the SPX500 (ES), hinting at possible headwinds. 🔴 Short- and Long-Term Outlook: We’ll explore both bullish and bearish setups, equipping day traders with insights to approach both short-term and long-term trends effectively. 🗣 Short-Term Outlook: In the short term, two scenarios could play out: either a push into the Buy Side Liquidity targeting the all-time high or a rejection at the 4-Hour Imbalance, leading to a lower move. Lower timeframes will be crucial for monitoring these moves—drop down to spot key market movements in real-time. 🗣 Long-Term Outlook: Looking long term, there’s potential for a pullback into a Discount level. For entries, tracking lower timeframes is essential, especially as we’re near the all-time high. The bearish SMT divergence with SPX500 (ES) reinforces the possibility of a downward expansion. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: These levels will likely shape price movement: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - Weekly FVG: Weekly Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone) Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) serve as pivotal retracement zones, potentially guiding the next price movement. 📈 Bullish Scenario: In a bullish setup, watch for Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes (LTF). Look for entry signals targeting higher levels, including a potential move toward the all-time high (ATH). 📉 Bearish Scenario: For bearish trades, focus on lower timeframes such as the 15-minute chart. Short entries within the 4-Hour Imbalance or a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity provide further confirmation. 📝 Final Thoughts: Stay adaptable as market dynamics shift. By monitoring these key levels and setups, you’ll refine your strategy and increase the potential for high-probability trades. 🔮 On the Radar: We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets for evolving insights and timely updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by DreamAnalysis
U.S. Futures Rise on Strong Tech Earnings; Key Technical Levels U.S. stock index futures rose on Wednesday, as Alphabet's strong quarterly results buoyed sentiment around technology megacaps, while investors also awaited crucial data to gauge the strength of the economy and the labor market. Technical Outlook: The price is expected to consolidate between 20,550 and 20,700 until a breakout occurs. Bullish Scenario: A 1-hour or 4-hour candle close above the ATH at 20,790 would signal potential for further upside, with the price likely to reach 20,950. Bearish Scenario: A 4-hour candle close below 20,550 would suggest downside pressure, targeting 20,420 initially. A break below 20,330 would further confirm the bearish trend, with potential declines towards 20,240 and 20,130. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20770 Resistance Levels: 20790, 20950 Support Levels: 20550, 20420, 20240 Trend: - Bullish above 20790 - Bearish below 20550
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
US100 Trade Log### Trade Setup (29/10/2024) - US100 Aggressive Re-Entry with Pyramiding 1. Initial Entry on 1H FVG: - Target: 1:2 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account per entry. - Stop-Loss: Below the 1H FVG. - Entry Signal: Look for a pullback into the 1H FVG with bullish confirmation. 2. Aggressive Pyramiding: - Re-entry with additional positions if price respects the 1H FVG and shows continued bullish momentum. - Monitor each entry with independent 1:2 RRR. - Keep total cumulative risk across all entries within risk tolerance limits (e.g., overall 5% max risk if fully pyramided). 3. 4H Signal Confirmation: - Use 4H timeframe signals (e.g., strong bullish close, support/resistance confirmation) to justify continued re-entries. - Pyramiding allowed only if 4H signal aligns with the bullish bias, providing added strength to the trade. ### Strategy - This aggressive pyramiding approach relies on multi-timeframe alignment with the 1H FVG as the entry zone and the 4H chart supporting the trend. - Track earnings and news, as US100 can be sensitive to market sentiment changes. - Adjust and manage cumulative risk carefully with each additional entry.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Fondera-Trading
NASDAQ Ready for an impressive finish of the year.Nasdaq (NDX) is coming off a 4H Golden Cross, the same kind if formed on November 08 2023, straight after the bottom of the 18-month Channel Up. As the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) has been in strong support of this Channel Up, the index is now on a similar Bullish Leg (blue Channel) as the one that started 1 year ago. We are at the stage were after a roughly +20% rise from the bottom, the short-term Bullish Megaphone tested and held the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which based on the January 2024 fractal, could initiate the 2nd Phase of the Bullish Leg. The previous one peaked on a +31% rise, so we expect the index to reach at lest 22000 by the end of the year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
NAS100USD / TRADING SUPPLY ZONE / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Situation , Prices are in a supply zone, stabilizing between 20,418 and 20,522. This suggests a consolidation phase, where prices may move sideways as buyers and sellers are in balance. Potential Decline , A possible decline could reach the demand line at 20,146. This level could act as a support, as buyers may step in if prices drop here. The analysis indicates an overall bullish pressure, as long as prices remain above the demand line. A bounce here could signal buyers gaining strength, potentially pushing prices up toward the supply line at 20,820. If the demand line at 20,146 breaks, further declines are anticipated, possibly bringing prices to a lower demand zone between 19,963 and 19,735. This scenario would suggest that bearish momentum is taking over.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Long! Take a look at our analysis for NAS100. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 20,379.97. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 20,800.00 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
ULong
by SignalProvider
2