UNRATE trade ideas
UNRATE - Dangerous low levelsLow levels of unemployment normally mean that the economy is at its best and that all companies are fully hired and investors have been investing a lot to grow businesses. The danger is overinvesting and a very competitive environment which backslash in this euporic low levels of unemployment. These are well correlated to economies topping as the tipping point only means to fire people and turn into a downward trend again.
Additionally the negative rates from the European Central Bank have sparked a lot of debate and there is no more further room for quantative easing if a economic collapse occurs. A recipe for distaster if you ask me, we will see it come around and most of the time act too late. There is no escape from it.
Unemployment Rate Overlayed Federal Funds RateOne must admit it is remarkable where the unemployment level was pre-covid. There would have been a considerable melt up within the market at peak employment like that.
It is a trying state of affairs as the unemployment rate is viciously targeting various sectors relentlessly.
📉Record unemployment in the US -an opportunity to earn IPO ACCD🔎 Hello everyone! We have an interesting trading idea for you - how you can earn 50% or more on the exchange by participating in the initial placement of Accolade shares (ACCD). Accolade is a startup that has developed a healthcare platform for employers. The company's platform helps its users better navigate the healthcare system, as well as reduce costs for medical purposes. As you know, due to COVID-19, many companies now suffer huge costs and strive to optimize their performance as best as possible. By the way, unemployment in the US is now at a record level, which has not been recorded since the great depression (1929-1939) - see the chart.
ACC Accolade uses a range of technologies - from machine learning to mobile apps-to make it easier for employees to access medical care. Employers are charged a subscription fee depending on the number of employees. The volume of investments attracted by the company, according to crunchabase, amounts to $237.3 million. In addition, Accolade has bought the company and konciergeMD MD Insider. You can see the picture of the business structure of this company below.
🤝 If you need statistics on the company's financial performance, you can write to me and I will send you a detailed report. If you do not know how to perform the operation and start from 25,000 rubles, you can also write to me, I will help you, but the deadline is 20-00 today in Moscow. Opportunities appear quickly and disappear just as quickly. I expect the return on this IPO to be around + 50% or higher, but I remind you that there is a risk of losing all or part of your capital, so invest no more than what you are prepared to lose.
📈 Graphs will be in the comments, so that the article is not blocked
Highest Unemployment Rate ever!!!!!Here you will clearly see the highest Unemployement rate ever recorded in the US. This chart only goes back so far, but if you could go back further you would see that it is definetly the highest rate ever.
Unbelievable.
US unemployment rate from a TA perspective
RSI at its historic low (in the available data).
It looks like the rate hit (or almost hit) the support line.
Can we say there will be an increasing unemployment rate, based on low RSI and the support line?
Covid Depression 2020 reached point of no return? URATE at 14%.The Awesome Oscillator (graph below) went from negative to positive this month (MAY 2020). The last two times this happened in 2001 and 2008, recessions hit the US and the world economies were shacked. Is this the starting point of the downward acceleration spiral?
Shit has started to hit the fan - 2020 Covid Great DepressionUnemployment rate in the US has increased at a very accelerated rate.
US Unemployment Rate is starting to IncreaseIn 2001, 2008 and now in 2020, the Unemployment rates started to increase considerably before economical crisis. I've put this quick chart together to keep an eye on this.
Unemployment and Market Value Inverse CorrelationGrowth drives employment. Contraction drives unemployment.
Unemployment as an indicator for Recession or DepressionsI've put together this simple chart to try to visualize how the unemployment rate may be an indicator of what's to come. When credit flows and people and companies can get debt to drive growth, you get more spend, more income, more highers, more employment, more jobs. However, as this starts to slow, it starts to drop, leading to potentially the economy slowing down. Companies stop hiring, and eventually firing. It might be interesting to get LinkedIn data here, as they probably have this dynamic reflected in Open Positions and People looking for jobs. What are your thoughts on the graph? Any other way you'd calculate the rate of change of the graphs (inflection points on employment/unemployment)?
I might be a prophetHey guys,
I have a strange feeling that on April 3rd, this FRED is going to go straight up. Just a gut feeling...
In other words,
We screwed.
US unemployment rate with 12 month MA versus SP500This indicator has proven a fairly one as to turns in the market over the years and if (and it is a big if with the situation ever fluid and the US chucking literally trillions to keep the economy afloat)) but if this Covid-19 pandemic does send the US into a recession and the unemployment rates up with it then perhaps we shall have to start looking for a more protracted decline in the markets. Lets hope it doesn't.
Unemployment looks like it's about to skyrocket.I hope I'm wrongI don't hear to much debate about what part of the business cycle we're in. We were in the part of the cycle when no profit generating companies go parabolic ( the of the cycle if you don't get the reference). This unemployment chart suggests we might be in for some darker days ahead.
Stay safe.
CIVILIAN UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (UNRATE) MonthlyDates in the future with the greatest probability for a price high or price low
Unemployment Rate Recession correlatesThe 9/15 month MA that I posted previously combined with an additional specific event, an increase in unemployment of 0.6% from a recent low, better correlates with recessions since the 1950s than just the MA crossover. The crossover has in recent history preceded recessions while the 0.6% increases happen before, along with the start of of in the first 3 months of a recession. Currently neither of these events has occurred.
UNRATE(Civilian Unemployment Rate) Gartley Pattern just for funIn UNRATE Chart there is a worked bullish Gartley Pattern. FRED:UNRATE
Unemployment rate moving averageLooking for the Unemployment rate moving average to crossover in order to signal incoming recession. Crossover will provide useful investment reassessment trigger.
Unemployment Rate ReversalWe can't ignore that every time the Bollinger Bands tighten up we get a reversal in the unemployment rate.
With this and along with other factors, a reversal is imminent.
Check the comments section to see how this correlated to the S&p500 .
recession indicatorEvery single time the FED has started a rate-cutting cycle with unemployment under 5%, a recession has ensued. 100% of the time since the 1940s.
Every orange vertical line is a recession in the USA. notice how the fed funds rate (red line) tends to drop right before. Exactly like what is happening now. Value and real estate is where its at now that the fed will most likely return rates to effectively 0%.
unfortunately long on unemployment. And short the stock market indices.
