TM on the Rise or Fall? In-Depth Crypto Analysis Revealed✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day.
📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the FTM coin in the crypto market.
🗂 About the Project : FTM is a blockchain-based project with its own ecosystem and blockchain. It is one of the popular networks for DeFi enthusiasts, and if you're interested in this space, you're probably familiar with this blockchain.
⌛️ Weekly Timeframe
In this timeframe, FTM experienced a significant upward movement with high volume, pushing the price up to 1.0993, reaching a critical supply zone. After hitting this resistance, the price started a low-volume correction, indicating the strength of the upward trend and volume-price convergence. However, in the last wave of decline, as you can see, the volume is increasing while the price has corrected a significant portion of its upward movement, currently sitting at the 0.4138 support.
📈 If the price is supported and candles stabilize above the 0.5720 area, we can confirm that the price trend has regained bullish momentum with the potential for further price increases. The main resistance for confirming an upward High Wave Cycle (HWC) is at 1.0993. For FTM to have a significant pump, the price must stabilize above this area, allowing you to enter a buying position according to your trading strategy after confirmation.
📉 If the price returns to the range box between 0.1756 and 0.5720, we can confirm this after the price stabilizes below the 0.3276 area, as this is the last low before the range box breakout and move towards 1.0993. It could be the final defense against further price drops.
📊 In both scenarios, candle volume must confirm the price movement, and there should be no volume divergence; otherwise, the trend will not be healthy.
⌛️ Daily Timeframe
In this timeframe, you can see more details of the price movement. As indicated, the price ranged for a long period on the 0.6147 support and, after a breakout and pullback, initiated another downward wave to the 0.4163 area with the 0.5334 trigger. Currently, there is significant bearish momentum in this timeframe, and the volume aligns perfectly with the downward trend.
Given the strong support at 0.4163, we can expect another bearish wave if candles stabilize below this area.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe: In this timeframe, the price has pulled back to the SMA99 and simultaneously reached the critical 0.4889 resistance, which was the main market low in the previous cycle. The volume is gradually decreasing, indicating that the long-term downward trend impacts the 4-hour timeframe. In my opinion, this upward movement offers a better entry point for a short position.
🔑 Key Levels : For a long position, the key levels are 0.4889, 0.5350, and 0.6147. For a short position, 0.4150 and 0.45 are critical areas where the price may react in the future.
💥 RSI Oscillator : The RSI is ranging between 45.01 and 60.97, and breaking either of these levels can provide confirmation for opening positions. However, be sure to use these levels only for confirmation and rely on candles to find the trigger.
🎲 My Strategy : Given the bearish market in the 4-hour and daily timeframes and the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I prefer to open a short position on this coin as I always trade in the direction of the momentum. However, there's no necessity for you to do the same; everyone should trade based on their strategy and plan. This is a personal decision, and each trader must find their strategy.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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