Nikkei to see a temporary move higher?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Sell at 32340 (stop at 32540)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 32340 level.
Our profit targets will be 31840 and 31740
Resistance: 34015 / 35000 / 36110
Support: 30800 / 29810 / 28815
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
JPN225 trade ideas
JPN225 buy ideaThe area at 31964.5 was previously a very strong support and then price broke through and price is now testing the area as resistance but it does not seem like it hold back the bullish momentum
NIkkei 225 possible correction before continuation of downtrendBasis short term break of trendline, I assume the Nikkei 225 will proceed upwards to 31900, this is subject to the break above 31500
JPN225 ANALYSISThe move from Jan 23 has been impulsive by nature. The current correction is from June this year is corrective by nature and is taking a shape of a double zig-zag. The move up is expected to complete wave five targeting the 35171.09 market level @ which wave 1 will equal wave five. The market still remains the final arbiter.
Nikkei Long positionits looks that Nikkei at end of correction wave , it could bounce back any time soon ,
keep any aye on it, track it in STF for proper entry and Sl.
JPN225 Short Pivot: 31550.00
Our preference:
short positions below 31550.00 with targets at 31230.00 & 31000.00 in extension.
Alternative scenario:
above 31550.00 look for further upside with 31750.00 & 31910.00 as targets.
Comment:
a break below 31230.00 would trigger a drop towards 31000.00.
✅NIKKEI BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT🔥
✅NIKKEI was trading in an
Uptrend but now we are seeing
A bearish breakout of a strong
Horizontal support level of 32,000
So I think that the index will go down
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Buying Nikkei at pivotal swing low.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 31770 (stop at 31475)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 32610 and 34015
Resistance: 34015 / 35000 / 36110
Support: 30800 / 29810 / 28815
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
bearish hchWe come from the break of a bearish hch with its respective pullback at the 32600 levels.
the visit to 32260 seems to be inevitable.
In that area we would look to buy to look for previous highs.
Stock Index Review...Key Levels you need to watch!!We take a look at the Daily charts and price action on our Key Indexes.
It is important to have a longer term view of the price action and risk levels on the key markets so we will discuss our major markets and what we are looking for in the video.
We take a look at the following Key Indexes:-
Nasdaq, DOW, DAX, FTSE, ASX200, Hang Seng and the Nikkei.
*** Feel free to take a look at our profile page and Please Follow for more content ***
*** Please Leave a Like and Comment if you enjoyed this video ***
Further upside is expected from Nikkei.NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy a break of 32430 (stop at 32190)
Selling posted in Asia.
Daily signals for sentiment are at oversold extremes.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Further upside is expected, however, due to the strong resistance above we prefer to buy a break of 32430, which will confirm the bullish sentiment.
Our profit targets will be 33030 and 33150
Resistance: 34015 / 35000 / 36110
Support: 32030 / 30800 / 29810
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
Stock Index Review - Key Markets and levels to watchWe take a look at the Daily charts and price action on our Key Indexes.
It is important to have a longer term view of the price action and risk levels on the key markets so we will discuss our major markets and what we are looking for in the video.
We take a look at the following Key Indexes:-
SP500, Nasdaq, DOW, DAX, FTSE, ASX200, Hang Seng and the Nikkei.
*** Feel free to take a look at our profile page and Please Follow for more content ***
*** Pleas Leave a Like and Comment if you enjoyed this video ***
NIKKEI Uptrend And Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NIKKEI is trading in an
Uptrend and trend is your
Friend so as the index
Is retesting a horizontal
Support of 32,000 I think
That we will see a local rebound
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
NI225 LONG FROM SUPPORTNI225 is going down now but a strong support level is ahead at 31,874 this I am expecting a rebound and a move up towards the target at 32.600.
✅NI225 LONG FROM SUPPORT🚀
✅NI225 is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 31,874
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target at 32,600
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
any thoughts on NKD?looks like the overnight bets are that carry trade reverses
any thoughts would be appreciated
we still expect low levelsafter the sharp drop in the indices we expect a rebound in the J225.
we will wait for a rebound to seek entry in shorts when the time is right.
The low rating given by Fitch to the USA from AAA to AA+ has pushed the Sp500 down and with it the other international index.
The price marked a low at 31677 . what we are looking for is that the price goes directly to 50% Fibo right at the 32565 level and from there it falls to 30550.
This is in troubleDidn't do a full analysis on this, but at a glance easy to see that this is at risk of getting slammed.
Bank of Japan sitting on the fence on easy policy exitCentral banks packed quite a punch last week. Unlike the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank that raised policy rates by 25Bps, as was widely anticipated, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on July 28 unexpectedly decided to tweak the Yield Curve Control (YCC) band.
The BOJ begins its withdrawal from YCC
It will now allow some deviation above the long-term rate cap of 0.5% and has raised the rate for its 10yr Japanese Government Bond (JGB) fixed-rate purchase operations to 1%. They are effectively doubling their YCC band as it has outlived its purpose over the last seven years. This is despite Governor Kazuo Ueda stressing the BOJs patience a week prior to the meeting leading to 82% of the economists surveyed by Bloomberg expecting no change. There is a strong likelihood the decision was made because the market was least expecting it, similar to the last YCC policy tweak made in December 2022. As it helps avoid the inevitable speculation about the impact of the change on the JGB curve thereby forcing the BOJ to step up its interventions.
It’s hard to determine whether the new YCC with greater flexibility and nimble responses in its purchase schedule will achieve the BOJs goal of sustainable and stable achievement of the 2% inflation target. Longer dated JGB yields are likely to stay under upward pressure until clearer signs emerge that Japanese inflation and wage pressure are easing again.
Core inflation at highest level since 1982
The deflationary headwinds confronting Japan have been around for decades. Signs of change have been seen in firms’ wage- and price-setting behaviour, and inflation expectations have shown some upward movements again (as seen in the chart above).
Spring in Japan is the season for shunto, the annual wage negotiations between company management and unions. This year some firms have already announced significant wage hikes in response to a tightening labour market and rising inflation. May wages rose by 2.9%1. However, a large part of the increase was tied to bonuses. Real wages fell by less but continued to decline by 0.9%2. Japanese headline inflation stayed at 3.2% year on year in July for three consecutive months3. However, core inflation excluding fresh food and energy, reaccelerated to 4.2%, marking the highest level since April 1982.
Looking ahead, headline inflation will likely slow owing to falling global commodity prices and base effects but core inflation will likely remain higher owing to structural change in the labour market.
BOJ struck a dovish tone with below target inflation forecasts
The BOJ’s inflation forecasts for the fiscal years ahead are expected to slow further. The BoJ lowered its (median) forecast for FY2024 to +1.9%4 and left its FY2025 projection unchanged at +1.6%3, in effect justifying ongoing easing from the Bank of Japan. BoJ Governor Ueda mentioned at the press conference that there is still some distance to foresee 2% price stability target in a stable and sustainable manner given our inflation outlook for FY2024 and FY2025. This echoes a dovish narrative on the new YCC regime and a continued communication that the BOJ intends to in effect ease policy by still increasing the monetary base via fixed operations.
More volatility beckons for risk assets
The initial response to the BOJs surprise decision was a sharp rise in Japanese bond yields. Japan’s benchmark bond yields surged, extending gains above the central bank’s previous 0.5% cap. The yen whipsawed, falling more than 1% before reversing course and rallying to trade about the same amount higher.
On Monday 31st July, the BOJ sprung another surprise announcement (2 days post the BOJ meeting) of an unscheduled bond-purchase operation to stem the rise in yields5. The BOJ intends to purchase ¥300Bn of five-to-10-year notes at market yields. This serves as an important reminder that the flexibility is intertwined with opaqueness, as the BOJ can intervene at any time (between 0.5% to 1%) which will continue to stoke volatility across risk assets. The BOJ has positioned the YCC as enhancing sustainability of its current accommodative policy. With Japan’s monetary environment likely to be kept relatively loose, the yen is likely to trade in a volatile range for the remainder of 2023.
Sources
1 Bloomberg as of 31 May 2023
2 Bloomberg 31 May 2023
3 Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communication as of 20 July 2023
4 Bank of Japan as of 28 July 2023
5 Bloomberg as of 31 July 2023
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Nikkei to stem dip?NIK225 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 32105 (stop at 31905)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 32605 and 32705
Resistance: 34015 / 35000 / 36110
Support: 32030 / 30800 / 29810
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Weekly Technical Analysis 31/07/2023Start your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
US TECH (1 day)
US Tech bulls failed to reclaim 16k, but remaining above 15375 keeps the chances of a takeover high. Soaring higher will expose 16250, while a slide might open up 15k.
GERMANY 40 (4 hours)
The German index spiked to 16500 following the completion of a flag pattern at 15500, opening the door to 17k, with interim resistances at the round levels. Losing 16250 might see the index decline towards 16k.
JAPAN 225 (4 hours)
While Japan 225’s prices remain under the 34k handle, the potential completion of a pennant at 32k keeps chances of a breakout towards 35k relatively high. This prerequisites a retest at the peak and bulls recapturing 33730. Sliding under 32500 might see the index drop further.
GOLD (4 hours)
Gold’s price action suggests an inverse-and-shoulders pattern might have already been completed by $1955/oz, thus inspiring bets above $2k and potentially towards $2070 if $2045 gives in. $1955/oz must hold for further bullish PA, with prices easing more, opening up $1935.
EUR/GBP (4 hours)
The EUR/GBP pair might be in a broadening triangle pattern, pending rejection at the bottom trendline under 0.85. If bulls lose 0.8550 and the low of 0.8516, the chances of seeing the pattern complete will rise. Conversely, advancing past 0.88 could inspire bullish bets, paving the way towards 0.8630.
USD/CAD (4 hours)
The swing reversal at $1.3120 might be the bottom of a potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, with the current PA targeting the neckline shy of $1.34. Without reclaiming $1.33, bears might reverse bets, with a slide under $1.32 paving the way to $1.31, should the shoulder low gives in.
GBP/JPY (4 hour)
GBP/JPY appears in a breakout mode following the completion of a flag at 176.40, clearing the path towards 189.40 in the event of a 184.00 takeover. 185.00 and 186.00 can act as resistance levels on the way up, whereas a decline towards 180.00 will also expose 179.50 and the flag low.
