Nasdaq has broken the resistanceNasdaq has broken the resistance. It may pull back before continueing its uptrend.
NAS100 trade ideas
Nas100NAS100 is approaching a key resistance level at 22,000—a strong barrier that has held firm in the past.
🔹 If price breaks above 22,000, we look for a confirmed breakout and take an entry.
🔹 If it gets rejected, our first support zone is 21,830 to 21,850.
Why is this level important?
✅ The 9 EMA aligns as support
✅ It previously acted as a key resistance twice before turning into support
If price drops further, our next key support is 21,820, and below that, we have a strong buy zone at 21,650.
Why?
✅ It aligns with the trendline support
✅ The 20 EMA adds confluence
By watching these levels closely, we can react accordingly and position for high-probability trades!
Crucial to observe Price action on Monday and TuesdayDisclaimer: This is solely a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please conduct your own assessment before making any decisions.
The market performance last week aligned with prior expectations.
Price maintaining an upward trend from Monday to Thursday. On Friday, prices saw a noticeable pullback; however, the decline was limited and did not break the previous low, remaining above 21,436.
If bearish, next week, the price should break below 21,436 between Monday and Tuesday, with any rebound likely staying below 22,000. If the price successfully breaks below 21,436, short opportunities can be considered in the 21,700–21,950 range, with downside targets at 20,870, 20,648, and 20,549.
However, in my opinion, the probability of this scenario is relatively low at the moment. The market is still maintaining a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. It is likely that the price will find support around 21436.
If the price fails to break below 21,436 effectively on Monday or Tuesday and instead rebounds with solid support near this level, the market is more likely to maintain its upward trend. In this case, long opportunities could be considered on dips, with an upside target of 22,300–22,465. If the bulls gain control, there is a high probability that the price will retest 21,950 between Monday and Tuesday. However, if the price fails to retest 21,950 and remains above 21,700, it may indicate weak bullish momentum, suggesting a potential further decline.
Next week, it will be crucial to observe the market’s performance on Monday and Tuesday to further assess its direction.
NAS100 Possible tradeI originally wanted to go short targeting 22023 and 2180 but i want to risk it and maybe go long off of this
$NAS100 IdeaIf the monthly close occurs as projected, we will confirm a double liquidity purge, signaling a bearish scenario. Additionally, buyer liquidity will have been absorbed, with the price closing within the range, further reinforcing the downside perspective for NAS100. However, we still have one more week to validate this bias. On the daily chart, we will wait for a market structure shift before considering short positions.
Nas100 - Weekly OutlookI wont be breaking this one down until smaller TF as this was the exact prediction I anticipated prior this bullish move but I will be looking at the 4H Demand zone to now buy from
More possibilities here, but overall bullish on nas100From what i am seeing, market strukture looks bullish to me. Now the question is whether markets will make some pullback or just go straight up. I feel like markets will make pullback, take liquidity or fill 4h imbalance.
From fundamental side of thing, the pullback can be caused by 0.9% drop in retail sales. But that's about all of the importance that could support my idea.
Overall, I will be looking for long trades as the US economy appears to be strong despite the increased tariffs and the market structure suggests the same.
Tell me your perspective on the situation, I'd love to learn :)
NAS100USD: Retracement to Target Sell Stops Below Support ZoneGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, while the market is currently showing bullish momentum, there are clear signs that we may experience a retracement toward the downside. This move would likely target the discount sell stops below the illustrated support zone, providing an opportunity to align with institutional order flow.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
Institutional Resistance Zone: A strong order block has formed, creating a significant resistance level that price may struggle to break through. This order block, coupled with the Fair Value Gap (FVG) beneath it, strengthens the bearish case. These two institutional resistance zones suggest a higher likelihood of a retracement.
Premium Price Zone: Price is currently trading in a premium range, a favorable area to monitor for potential selling opportunities upon confirmation.
Liquidity Target : Our primary target is the discount sell stops resting below an engineered support zone. This zone is a key draw on liquidity, where we anticipate significant institutional interest.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Strategy : Wait for confirmation before entering short positions at the current premium price level.
Targets : Focus on the liquidity pools below the support zone, particularly the discount sell stops, as these represent the main draw on liquidity.
Patience and precision are crucial. By following institutional clues, we can effectively position ourselves for high-probability trades.
Happy Trading!
The Architect 🏛📊
NAS100 4H AND 1H ORDER BLOCK AND SUPPLY ZONENas100 is currently in a major supply zone and tapped into a 4h order block with a 1h order block little higher.
Could see a possblie retracement from these levels to the previous breakout zone. 100 points/ 1000 pips Stop loss range for a 300 points/ 3000 pips profit target.
NAS100The Nasdaq Stock Market is one of the largest stock exchanges in the world, known for its focus on technology and growth-oriented companies. It was the first electronic stock market and continues to be a leader in innovation and trading efficiency. The Nasdaq Composite Index tracks nearly all stocks listed on the exchange, while the Nasdaq-100 includes the largest non-financial companies. Trading on Nasdaq follows regular U.S. market hours, with extended pre-market and after-hours sessions available. Investors closely watch the Nasdaq for trends in the tech sector and overall market performance.
USTEC, NAS100USTEC is in a correction phase. If the price cannot break through the 22110 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Market Alert: Considering Shorting NASDAQ?he NASDAQ is showing signs of potential weakness amid rising bond yields, geopolitical tensions, and mixed earnings reports. Key tech stocks are under pressure, and the index is testing critical support levels.
Why Short NASDAQ Now?
Rising interest rates are weighing on growth stocks.
Overbought conditions in tech suggest a pullback could be imminent.
Bearish technical patterns forming on the daily chart.
Learn why the Nasdaq 100 could be about to soarThe Nasdaq 100 is showing an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout toward 23,100. Trade war concerns with Mexico and Canada have eased, while China has worked around tariffs by shifting production to other countries. A break above 21,962 could push prices up 5.3%, but rising inflation near 2.9% might force the Fed to consider rate hikes. Jerome Powell’s testimony tomorrow will give us a better idea of what’s next for markets.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
USNAS100 | Breakout Confirmed! Will ATH Hold or Push Higher?📊 NASDAQ 100 (USNAS100) – Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
🔹 Market Overview:
The price has broken the key resistance zone and stabilized above it, confirming bullish momentum. The bullish volume pushed the price up quickly to reach ATH at 22,100 before facing some resistance.
🔹 Current Price Action:
A correction toward 21,900 is likely before another push higher.
As long as price trades above 21,900 and 21,807, the market remains bullish and can target 22,292 next.
🔥 Potential Bullish Scenario:
✅ As long as price holds above 21,900 - 21,807 → bullish continuation expected!
📌 Targets:
📍 22,100 (ATH Retest)
📍 22,292 (Key Resistance Target)
📍 22,412 (Major Resistance Level & Channel Top)
⚠️ Potential Bearish Scenario:
❌ A 4H close below 21,807 would signal a short-term pullback.
📌 Support Targets:
📍 21,900 (first support zone)
📍 21,807 (critical pivot area, potential bounce zone)
🔑 Key Levels:
📍 Pivot Zone: 21,900 - 21,807
📍 Resistance: 22,100 | 22,292 | 22,412
📍 Support: 21,900 | 21,807 | 21,570
📌 Conclusion:
✅ Bullish bias remains intact while price holds above 21,900.
🚀 Break above 22,100 = new bullish leg toward 22,292+.
⚠️ Failure to hold 21,807 could lead to a drop toward 21,570.
💬 Do you think we break 22,100 or correct first? Drop your thoughts below! 👇👇
NAS100USD / TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT ZONE /4HHELLO EVERYONE
The price has changed direction and is now trading within an ascending channel, which increases the likelihood of a continued bullish trend. However, today’s CPI data release is expected to create market sensitivity and lead to strong price movements.
Technically, as long as the price remains above 21,570, the bullish momentum is likely to continue, with the next target at 21,930 and, if broken, further upside potential toward 22,120. On the other hand, if the price breaks below 21,570 and closes a 4-hour candle beneath this level, a bearish trend could begin, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Given the impact of economic data, increased volatility is expected, and traders should look for confirmation before making decisions.
FULL TRADE-ABLE SET UPS FOR NASDAQ 100
1. Macro & Market Overview
Strong U.S. Economic Backdrop:
• The United States is outpacing other major economies, with ~3% GDP growth and inflation moderating near 2.9%, supporting a “soft landing” scenario. This underpins bullish sentiment for U.S. equities, including the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100.
Monetary Policy & Earnings:
• The Federal Reserve has paused rate hikes, maintaining a tight-but-on-hold stance (Fed Funds ~4.25–4.50%). Markets expect no immediate cuts but anticipate eventual easing later in the year, keeping rate-sensitive growth stocks afloat.
• Nasdaq 100 earnings remain solid thanks to big tech’s strong profits; hedge funds retain net long exposure in Nasdaq futures, though they are more defensive overall.
Institutional Sentiment & Positioning:
• Hedge funds are selectively bullish on technology, while also hedging broader market risks. Retail investors remain optimistic, reinforcing tech’s upward bias.
• Global liquidity is no longer “superabundant,” yet no severe credit stress exists; interest rates remain high but stable, which still supports equity valuations for high-quality growth names.
Key Macro Risk Factors to Watch:
• Potentially hotter-than-expected inflation data could spark another wave of rate-hike concerns, pressuring high-valuation tech stocks.
• Any major escalation in trade policy (e.g. tariffs on key tech components) could weigh on the Nasdaq 100, given many constituents’ global supply chains.
Overall, the macro backdrop leans positive for large-cap U.S. tech, though caution persists due to high valuations and geopolitical uncertainties.
2. Technical & Institutional Flow Perspective
• Hedge Fund Positioning: Futures positioning shows hedge funds net long the Nasdaq 100, reflecting conviction in secular growth themes (AI, cloud), even as they hedge other parts of the equity market.
• Liquidity Conditions: There is no acute repo or funding stress, which generally supports risk assets. However, flows into money market funds signal that institutions are keeping some “dry powder” to buy dips.
• Options & Gamma: A positive gamma environment often stabilizes equity prices, yet heavier put buying late in the week signals an increasing desire to hedge. If put volume continues to rise, short-term volatility could pick up quickly.
3. US100 Price Action & Key Technical Levels
Overall Trend:
• Long-term (Weekly) and medium-term (Daily) trends remain bullish, with higher highs and higher lows since 2023.
• Recent price action is range-bound between roughly 21,400–21,500 (support) and 21,800–22,000 (resistance).
Consolidation Zone:
• The Nasdaq 100 (US100) has been coiling just under strong resistance at ~22,000. Price repeatedly bounces off the 21,400–21,500 region intraday, indicating institutional buying interest.
Momentum Indicators:
• On daily and 4-hour charts, RSI hovers in neutral territory (50–55 region), and MACD is near the zero line. This confirms a sideways consolidation within a larger uptrend.
• No significant bearish divergences have formed; momentum has simply cooled, awaiting fresh catalysts to drive a breakout.
Key Zones to Watch:
• Support: 21,400–21,500 (short-term intraday floor), then 21,000–21,200 (deeper daily support).
• Resistance: 21,700–22,000. A clear break above 22,000 could open upside targets (e.g. 22,500+).
4. Potential Trade Setups
Below are three sample strategies—one aiming for a range breakout, one for a pullback entry, and one for a range fade—depending on how price reacts around the current consolidation zone.
A) Bullish Breakout Trade
Rationale:
• The primary trend is bullish, macro data remain supportive, and hedge funds hold net long exposure in tech. A strong push above established resistance (~22,000) could trigger momentum buying.
Entry Trigger:
• Wait for a decisive breakout above 22,000 on a daily closing basis (or a strong intraday move with higher volume).
• Look for volume expansion and a clear candle close above the resistance band to confirm that buyers have absorbed supply.
Stop-Loss Placement:
• Set an initial stop just below the breakout zone, e.g. 21,700–21,800, to avoid whipsaws if the breakout fails.
• For extra caution, place stops under the last swing low near 21,400 if a wider stop is preferred.
Target Objectives:
• First target: ~22,500 (a minor psychological/round level).
• Potential second target: ~23,000–23,200 if bullish momentum accelerates and fundamentals remain supportive.
Trade Management:
• Consider trailing the stop if price quickly moves 1:1 or 1.5:1 in your favor, and lock in partial profits if momentum stalls near 22,500.
B) Buy the Pullback (Support Bounce)
Rationale:
• Institutions appear to defend the 21,400–21,500 region. If price dips back into that area without a major macro deterioration, it may offer a favorable reward-to-risk entry in line with the longer uptrend.
Entry Trigger:
• Look for a pullback to the 21,400–21,500 area, followed by bullish rejection candlesticks (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing on 1-hour/4-hour charts), or an oversold intraday RSI.
Stop-Loss Placement:
• Place a tight stop just below 21,400 (e.g. 21,350), as a break below may signal a deeper correction.
Target Objectives:
• Aim for a retest of the 21,800–22,000 resistance zone, capturing the move from the mid-21,400s to around the 21,900s.
Trade Management:
• If price fails to bounce and closes below 21,400, exit quickly to reduce downside exposure. Reassess lower supports near 21,000–21,200.
C) Range Fade / Mean Reversion (Short at Resistance)
Rationale:
• If macro data or headlines (e.g., tariffs) resurface concerns, the Nasdaq 100 may struggle to break 22,000 and continue chopping sideways. A short near the upper range resistance can work if the index keeps rejecting that zone.
Entry Trigger:
• Watch for a bearish candlestick pattern or repeated intraday rejections around 21,800–22,000. Confirm with short-term momentum rolling over (for example, a 1-hour RSI crossing below 50 from an overbought reading).
Stop-Loss Placement:
• Set a stop above 22,000 (e.g. 22,050–22,100), as a decisive break would invalidate the fade thesis.
Target Objectives:
• First target around the midrange near 21,600, and a second target near the lower bound at 21,400–21,500.
• This approach is suited for short-term traders who anticipate more sideways chop. Since it is counter to the main uptrend, be nimble with your exits.
Trade Management:
• If price breaks above 22,000 with force, cut short positions promptly to avoid a breakout squeeze.
5. Risk & News Catalysts to Monitor
1. Inflation / Fed Guidance:
• Surprise inflation prints or hawkish Fed comments can spike bond yields, pressuring highly valued growth stocks in the Nasdaq 100.
2. Earnings Releases (Late Q4 & Q1 2025):
• Watch guidance from top Nasdaq constituents (mega-cap tech). Strong outlooks can fuel upside, while cautious forward guidance may keep the index stuck under resistance.
3. Trade Policy Headlines:
• Any tariff announcements aimed at tech supply chains or key trading partners could weigh heavily on the Nasdaq, especially if margins for chipmakers or consumer electronics are threatened.
4. Dollar Strength or Weakness:
• A sharp dollar rally can sometimes hamper multinational tech earnings. Conversely, a softer dollar could boost foreign revenue translation, favoring further Nasdaq gains.
6. Final Perspective
• Macro Take: A late-cycle expansion with cooling inflation, decent consumer demand, and stable rates supports the tech sector’s growth story.
• Institutional Flows: Hedge funds remain net long Nasdaq futures, while retail sentiment is still positive for AI and tech. This tilt underpins potential rallies but is balanced by heightened hedging.
• Technical Backdrop: The US100 sits in a bullish consolidation, with strong support near 21,400–21,500 and key resistance at ~22,000. Momentum is neutral, awaiting the next catalyst to break out (or fail) from the range.
Bottom Line:
• The long-term uptrend remains intact.
• Near-term price action is range-bound.
• Watch for either a bullish breakout above 22,000 for a continuation trade, a pullback buy at 21,400–21,500 if support holds, or a range fade short if the index keeps rejecting the 21,800–22,000 region.
Always manage positions with clear stops and stay alert to macro data releases or sudden geopolitical news, as either can ignite volatility in the Nasdaq 100.
NASDAQ Technical AnalysisTrade Setup Overview
Entry Price: 21,530.33
Target Price: 22,232.41
Stop Loss: 21,297.97
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3
Trade Type: Long Position
Suggested Position Size: 0.25-0.5% of capital
Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart
Position Sizing and Risk Analysis
Conservative position sizing (0.25-0.5%) indicates proper risk management
Total Risk per Position: 232.36 points (Entry - Stop Loss)
Potential Reward: 702.08 points (Target - Entry)
Maximum capital risk at 0.5% position size provides buffer for market volatility
Technical Timeframe Considerations
4-Hour chart setup suggests a swing trading approach
Longer timeframe reduces noise and false signals
Allows for proper development of price action and trend confirmation
Consider holding position through multiple sessions if needed
Catalyst Analysis
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Impact Scenarios
Positive NFP Scenario:
Strong jobs data could accelerate upward momentum
Consider trailing stop adjustment on strong move
Watch for potential extension beyond initial target
Negative NFP Scenario:
Have preset stop loss in place
No emotional attachment to position
Accept defined risk and move on to next opportunity
Trade Management Strategy
Entry Execution
Enter at specified price of 21,530.33
Consider scaling in if market provides opportunity
Maintain discipline on entry price
Position Management
Initial stop loss at 21,297.97 (non-negotiable)
Consider partial profit taking at 1:1 risk-reward
Trail stop loss after significant movement in favor
Maximum hold time based on 4H chart context: 5-7 trading days
Exit Strategy
Primary target: 22,232.41
Consider market context at target approach
Use price action at target level for exit timing
Don't force trades beyond technical invalidation
Risk Management Rules
Strict adherence to position sizing (0.25-0.5%)
No averaging down on losing positions
Respect stop loss level - no exceptions
Consider market hours volatility
Account for pre/post market gaps
Technical Price Levels
Entry Zone: 21,530.33
Critical Support: 21,297.97
Psychological Levels:
21,500
22,000
22,200
Target Zone: 22,232.41
Session Considerations
Monitor pre-market sentiment
Watch correlated markets (S&P 500, DOW)
Consider reduced position size during high-impact news
Be aware of market hours volatility spikes
Trade Invalidation
Clear invalidation below 21,297.97
Technical structure breaks
Significant shift in market sentiment
Unexpected negative catalyst impac
t
Key Reminders
"Live to trade another day" - maintain emotional discipline
NFP is a known catalyst - plan accordingly
4H timeframe requires patience
Stick to planned position size
Monitor correlated tech sectors for confirmation
Remember: Trading success comes from consistent execution of a well-defined plan, not from any single trade outcome.
Remains bullish and wait for reversal signalLast week, both CPI and PPI data came in below expectations, indicating signs of rising inflation. However, the market did not experience a sharp decline; instead, prices held above 21,432, demonstrating strong support.
This market reaction suggests that seller were not willing to enter at this stage. The market maintained its uptrend, broke through previous highs, and reached the target level on Friday, surpassing the 21,968 and 22,100 resistance levels consecutively.
As long as there are no technical signals indicating a market reversal, the overall outlook for next week remains bullish. The next price target is 22,465, and attention should be paid to the market's performance within the 22,300–22,465 range to further assess its direction.
From a long-term perspective, I still believe that U.S. tech stocks are overvalued, and various risk factors could trigger a downturn. And the potential correction could be significant. My specific views can be referenced in my previous market commentary from February 3–7, 2025.
Therefore, when taking long positions, it is crucial to remain vigilant about market sentiment shifts, as the market could reverse at any time. I will wait for technical confirmation on the 4-hour chart and enter short positions once reversal signals appear.
NASQ 100 - looking to a new higher highHello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
NAS100USD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 21,661.7.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 21,981.2 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NAS100USD: CPI Volatility & Institutional Continuation Sell-OffGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe that the market remains bearish following a significant CPI news release. This high-impact event resulted in a sharp bearish displacement, reinforcing the ongoing bearish narrative. Yesterday, I shared an analysis predicting this continued bearishness. For those interested, you’ll find that analysis attached at the end of this description for deeper context.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
CPI-Induced Displacement : The CPI release triggered a large downward move, forming a massive single candle that left behind a noticeable inefficiency—a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Liquidity Grab & Fair Valuation: After sell stops were taken, price retraced to fill the FVG, restoring fair valuation. This retracement fully closed the gap, confirming a continuation of bearish order flow.
Premium Price Zone: We are currently in a deep premium price range, which aligns with institutional distribution zones. These areas offer excellent opportunities for confirmation-based sell entries.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Strategy: Look for confirmation at the current premium price level before entering short positions.
Targets: Focus on discount liquidity pools at lower prices, as these are the areas institutions will likely target to take profits.
By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key!
For more context, here’s yesterday’s analysis below.
Happy Trading!
The Architect 🏛📊
