As you saw me post yesterday, I encouraged those who were buying to cover their profits from the H1 LH was formed.
It went up and put on a HH (no worries...profits are profits)
I also mentioned that before I buy again, I need to see the retracement and get another guaranteed HL...While that did not happen yesterday, that concept keeps me from taking trades that do not align with my strategy and so I am not rushing...just waiting for the next setup..
The market is guaranteed to retrace and form another HL.
Always remember the largest HL we currently have is still the weekly, however if you have been following my commentary you will also know that the smaller timeframes must create LH's to LL's in order to fulfill the largest HL.
So for me I just wait...(not chasing the price...just wait for my setup)
Since the last H1 low on Friday, the market has move over 9,000 pips to it's current position.
If you took the HL yesterday until around 8:00pm last night that was another 2500 pips.
Although the LH has been signaled on the daily, you still see that it continued to push yesterday...that is why rather than sell, I wait.
Will it sell? absolutely Is my bias still bullish? Absolutely and will continue until the monthly starts making LH's to LL's
What do I do while it is selling?
I take my largest HL and exit on my largest High...(if it is only a LH...I TP and wait for another HL that is guaranteed to come)
Again...this is a concept that has taken years to perfect...do not expect to master it in a few sessions, days, or months.
Learn to be patient take your time master your craft
SPX ๐ฆ๐ช UAE Announces a Historic $1.4 Trillion Investment in the U.S. Economy
UAE National Security Advisor Sheikh Tahnoun bin Zayed met with the U.S. President at the White House alongside senior officials, unveiling a 10-year investment plan worth $1.4 trillion.
Key Investment Areas: โ๏ธ Artificial Intelligence โ Boosting digital infrastructure and innovation โ๏ธ Semiconductors โ Supporting technological advancements โ๏ธ Energy โ Investing in sustainable and clean energy solutions โ๏ธ Manufacturing โ Strengthening industrial growth in the U.S.
NAS100 ๐ NASDAQ Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels โ March 26, 2025
Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 20,251
Critical Insight: Price consolidates near the 20-EMA with immediate resistance at 20,253 and critical support at 20,040.
๐ฅ Key Technical Zones
๐ Resistance (Above DCMP)
๐ฉ 20,253: Fib 61.8% extension + options gamma cluster ๐ฉ 20,467: Multi-week resistance anchor ๐ฉ 22,239: Major swing high
๐ Support (Below DCMP)
๐ก๏ธ 20,040: High-volume institutional support ๐ก๏ธ 19,908: 4H chart demand zone ๐ก๏ธ 19,109: Macro swing low
๐ Market Drivers
RSI: Hidden bullish divergence on 4H (48.7 โ 54.2) MACD: Bullish crossover imminent as histogram flips green Fib Levels: 50% retracement at 19,695 aligns with pivot
๐ก Trade Idea 1: Intraday Buy Setup
Entry: ๐ฏ 20,040 (Support Confluence) Stop Loss: ๐ซ 19,800 Take Profit 1: โ 20,253 Take Profit 2: โ โ 20,380
Catalyst: Bullish engulfing pattern at 20,040 with rising put/call ratio.
๐ก Trade Idea 2: Intraday Sell Setup
Entry: ๐ฏ 20,253 (Resistance Cluster) Stop Loss: ๐ซ 20,467 Take Profit 1: โ 20,040 Take Profit 2: โ โ 19,800
Catalyst: Bearish rejection at descending trendline with rising VIX futures.
โ ๏ธ Risk Management Notes
Breakout Alert: Close above 20,253 opens path to 20,467 liquidity pool Breakdown Watch: Sustained trade below 20,040 risks test of 19,908 Event Catalyst: Fed speech at 14:30 ET Pro Tip: Track Nasdaq 100 futures premium/discount to spot for momentum confirmation
๐ Why Traders Care: These levels intersect with algorithmic trading clusters and ETF rebalancing flows. The DCMP at 20,251 sits where tech earnings momentum clashes with bond yield sensitivity!
BTCUSDT Risk assets continued their move higher as volatility retreated further. The S&P 500 has reclaimed the $5800 level, marking a 5% rebound from the trough just two weeks prior. BTC has surged 15% since briefly dipping below $77k last week, with alts broadly outperforming over the same period.
The spike in VIX, which topped at 30 and triggered a wave of stop losses along with a sharp reduction in positioning, has now retraced to 17. We see the equity move as a tactical relief rally driven by asset managers rotating back to into risk, rather than a response to any fundamental macro shift.
Uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy and the broader political landscape remains front of mind. Trump has teased further tariff measures ahead of the April 2nd deadline. However, the market still lacks clarity on the scope, timing and magnitude of these potential actions. Until then, we expect more sideways volatility.
Copper and Gold have taken center stage. Copper has rallied to fresh all-time highs on the back of tightening supply dynamics. While hopes of China-led demand recovery are being cited, we believe these are only a secondary tailwind. Meanwhile, Gold has also breached the $3000 level, though we anticipate this to act as a key psychological cap.
In digital assets, we see scope for BTC to outperform tactically in the near term. In a surprising twist, GameStop (GME) has added BTC to their treasury. While this is not a first in the corporate adoption story, the symbolic weight of GME's meme status could rekindle speculative fervour among retail participants. As the 2021 playbook reminds us, retail flows, if coordinated, have the power to challenge institutional positioning.
NAS100USDtradingview.com/x/Nh2VWcy3/ [update] showing now only detail of wave B up, which has reached 0.382. other targets on the channel up, price is currently at level 3 out of 4. 20 and 200 ema. the channel down is yellow solid, the dotted yellor is 1.5 ext dotted rectangle is weekly gap.