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US30 trade ideas

Flat correction in DOW JonesA flat correction differs from a zigzag in that the sub wave sequence is 3-3-5, as shown in chart. Since the first actionary wave, wave A, lacks sufficient downward force to unfold into a full five waves as it does in a zigzag, the B wave reaction, not surprisingly, seems to inherit this lack of countertrend pressure and terminates near the start of wave A. Wave C, in turn, generally terminates just slightly beyond the end of wave A rather than significantly beyond as in zigzags.
TVC:DJI
by imkhushal
Dow Jones: A Make-or-Break Buy Setup with Smart Money BackingDow Jones Industrial Average - Buy Setup Technical: U.S. markets have struggled recently due to uncertainty over tariffs imposed by President Trump. While the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have broken key support levels, the Dow remains resilient, holding the critical 41,648 support. A break below would confirm a large double-top pattern, signaling a bearish outlook. This is a pivotal moment. The rebound from overnight lows is encouraging, but with the U.S. CPI release tomorrow, caution is warranted. While speculative, COT and seasonal data favour a short-term move higher. Fundamental: The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increasing long interest in the Dow, suggesting "smart money" accumulation. Seasonal: Historically, from March 12 – May 2, the Dow has posted gains 84% of the time, averaging +3.68% over the past 25 years. Setup: Entry: 41,800 – 42,000 Stop Loss: 41,285 (below the Nov 2024 low at 41,648) Target: 44,290 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US30Long
by Signal_Centre1
Financial Apocalypse? Markets Crash as Billions Flow into Cash –A New Wave of Market Turbulence: How Trade Wars and Uncertainty Affect Investors The US stock market is currently undergoing a massive sell-off, which analysts compare to previous financial crises. Both institutional and retail investors are actively exiting equities and high-risk instruments, including cryptocurrencies. The accumulated anxiety is driven not only by the global economic cycle but also by specific political decisions: trade wars and protectionist measures are putting significant pressure on corporate earnings and market expectations. Early Signs: Tariffs and Escalation When Donald Trump announced increased tariffs on imports from China a few years ago, the stock market reacted sharply but briefly. Many analysts hoped the tensions would turn out to be short-lived negotiating tactics. Ultimately, however, the trade confrontation evolved into a prolonged phase, affecting not only the US and China but also European partners. Today we see a continuation of this policy, where new restrictions and tariff threats have been added to the previously introduced measures. This has prompted capital outflows and increased uncertainty, as global supply chains have come under question, and the prospects for global trade recovery are murky. Parallels with the 2008 Crisis Comparisons to 2008 are inevitable due to the scope and speed of the drop in stock prices. However, while the primary trigger in 2008 was the collapse of the subprime mortgage market and the banking sector, the current negative factors lie in the realm of trade and geopolitical tensions. Leading companies' financial results are declining because of rising costs for raw materials and logistics due to mutual tariffs. Global demand is weakening, and heightened instability is causing management teams to cut back on investment programs. All this is reflected in stock market indices, which continue to lose several percentage points in a single trading session. Buffett’s Role and the Cash Accumulation Strategy Warren Buffett, one of the largest and most conservative investors, prepared for such a scenario by amassing an unprecedented amount of cash. Buffett’s approach does not involve “catching a falling knife” at the peak of panic, but as soon as the situation stabilizes or compelling long-term opportunities arise, he will likely begin buying undervalued assets. This strategy is typical for major players who focus on fundamental indicators. They are not looking at short-term fluctuations but rather the potential gains when the market recovers and prices return to fair value. Cryptocurrencies: Expectations vs. Reality Many assumed that cryptocurrencies would serve as a haven during crises. However, experience shows that in periods of global uncertainty, risk-averse investors exit digital assets alongside everything else. Bitcoin and Ethereum have lost 20–30% since the latest “flare-ups” began, and even statements about a “national bitcoin strategy” have so far failed to influence their prices. Meanwhile, fundamental factors—limited supply, the development of blockchain technology, and IT-sector interest—have not disappeared. These arguments gain traction when investors’ risk appetite returns. But when the market is dominated by fear of further declines, they tend to avoid risky trades and prefer liquid, proven instruments. Where the Money Goes Unlike previous downturns, capital has not rushed into gold. While gold prices reached their peak a few weeks ago, their growth has since slowed, as some investors opt to keep their funds in cash, considered the safest choice. Such behavior may suggest that the sell-off is nearing its climax: when capital remains “on the sidelines,” it eventually starts seeking new opportunities—whether in bargain-priced shares of large industrial giants, the tech sector, or even the cryptocurrency market with its depressed valuations. The volume of outflows from the US stock market is colossal; over the last couple of weeks, the total market cap of leading indexes has fallen by several trillion dollars. It is expected that a substantial portion of this money will re-enter the market, though likely redistributed among different asset classes. Medium- and Long-Term Outlook Investors with a six-month or longer horizon often see the current levels as potential entry points. Historically, global conflicts and economic crises end sooner or later, opening opportunities for those who can tolerate temporary volatility. However, short-term trading remains extremely risky: as uncertainty persists, we may see more waves of sell-offs that knock out speculators with weak nerves or insufficient liquidity. During such moments, those who remain disciplined and steadfast can find profitable opportunities. Conclusion Today’s financial market conditions stem from a convergence of factors: aggressive trade policies, geopolitical risks, and the natural winding down of certain economic cycles. The mass sell-off of stocks and cryptocurrencies indicates that investors are unwilling to take on new risks until tariff disputes calm down, a clearer picture emerges for corporate profits, and major economic centers reach some form of agreement. Nevertheless, the market retains its cyclical nature: historical parallels show that after the steepest drops, recovery periods often follow. The only question is when the turnaround will occur and who will be the first to capitalize on it.
TVC:DJILong
by StarTradePro
DOW JONES Can the 1W MA50 hold and spark an end-of-year rally?Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the late July 2023 High. The decline of the last 30 days can be technically seen as the Bearish Leg that will price its new Higher Low bottom. The price isn't only close to the Channel's bottom but also the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a level that has been supporting since the October 30 2023 bullish break-out. As a result, a 1W MA50 hit will be a potential double support test, with the 1W RSI also printing a Bearish Leg similar to the one that led to the October 2023 bottom. On the other hand, the ranged price action since the late November 2024 High, resembles the sideways volatility of the first half of 2024. Both were initiated after Higher High pricings at the top of the Channel Up. The rallies that led to those tops have been +21.00% and +23.72% respectively. If there is a decreasing rate on each Bullish Leg, then the new one should be +17.30% (i.e. -3.30% less than the previous one), which falls marginally below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, which is where the November 2024 High was priced. As a result, as long as Dow is closing its 1W candles above the 1W MA50, the 2-year Channel Up is more likely to push upwards again for its new Bullish Leg, potentially targeting 48900 (+17.30%). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US30Long
by TradingShot
1
US30🚨 US30 Trade Outlook 11/03/2025 🚨 📊 Market Structure & Key Levels The Dow Jones (US30) remains in a downtrend, with price currently attempting a retracement after a strong bearish move. The market structure suggests that sellers are still in control, but a temporary pullback could be in play before further downside. 🔍 Key Observations: ✅ Bearish Trend – Price continues to trade below key moving averages. ✅ Major Resistance – 43,021.31 level is a key supply zone. ✅ Support Retest – Price bounced from the 41,717.11 - 41,491.21 demand area. 🎯 Trade Idea: If price rejects resistance at 42,021 - 42,176, a short opportunity could emerge, targeting 41,717.11 and 41,491.21. However, a break above 42,176 could lead to a bullish retracement towards 43,021.31. 💡 Patience is key. Wait for confirmations. Manage risk wisely! 🔥
FX:US30Short
by h4rVey
US30FU- Small sell opportunities setting upHello, Another easy future to trade on Trade Nation is the US30FU. US30FU is the ticker symbol for the "Wall Street 30 - Rolling Future," which is essentially a futures contract tracking the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (often abbreviated as "US30"). In other words, it's a derivative instrument that lets traders speculate on or hedge against movements in the US stock market index. The chart above shows that the future is forming a corrective pattern (Expanding triangle). This provides us with a clear trade direction both when the price is coming down or going up. From the current point, look for sell positions to the trendline at the bottom. We shall then look for buy positions to the top again. Zero crossover on the MACD will confirm the small sell setup. You can have your stop loss above the previous top. Good luck & happy trading
TRADENATION:US30FUShort
by thesharkke
US 30 DOW JONES TRADE IDEA 11 MARCH 2025The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, having recently rejected the upper trendline resistance near 45,100 - 45,124. Price has started a pullback, indicating a potential move lower towards key support levels. The first demand zone to watch is around 41,757 - 40,897, where buyers may step in to push prices higher. If this level fails to hold, a deeper retracement into the 40,084 - 38,923 range could be expected, aligning with previous liquidity zones. The ideal trade plan involves waiting for a reaction around these support levels for a potential long entry, while a break below 38,089 would invalidate the bullish structure and shift the outlook bearish. Fundamental Analysis: From a macro perspective, US30 is highly sensitive to U.S. Federal Reserve policy, interest rate decisions, and economic data. The Fed’s approach to interest rates will dictate market sentiment; if the central bank pauses or cuts rates, equities could see renewed upside momentum. However, persistent inflation could lead to higher-for-longer rates, which might trigger further downside pressure. Additionally, the U.S. election cycle in 2024/2025 could introduce volatility, as markets react to policy shifts. Geopolitical risks, including China-U.S. trade tensions and Middle East instability, could also weigh on investor sentiment, increasing downside risks. Conclusion: The technical outlook suggests a correction towards 40,897 - 38,923, which aligns with demand zones where a potential bullish reversal could occur. However, if the market structure shifts below 38,089, it could open the door for a deeper decline towards 35,643 or lower. Traders should watch economic reports (CPI, GDP, NFP) and Fed commentary closely, as they will heavily influence US30’s direction. The bias remains cautiously bullish, but further confirmation at key support zones is needed before re-entering long positions. 🚀
SKILLING:US30Short
by karabompesi
Will it be a distribution or a re-accumulation The DJIA is looking at a crossroad and based on Wyckoff schematics, the index is looking at a possible distribution BUT the current price action is tilting towards a re-accumulation phase as the SOW (Sign of weakness) is not in yet. We think that the rebound is likely to happen TODAY. However, we would want to see a break above 43,100 resistance to confirmed the upside. Otherwise, there's a risk of the index correction towards the 123.6%. Well a rebound will happen there and high chance it will if it goes there. But the hope of new high will be dashed. BUT I'm still hopeful for a bull rise.
DJ:DJILong
by William-trading
Long US30 Trade: Targeting 43,200 for Potential Upside1. On-Balance Volume (OBV) Analysis The On-Balance Volume (OBV) for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) shows a strong bullish signal: Current OBV value: 122 billion as of March 7, 2025 Trend: Consistently rising (115B to 122B over the last 5 periods) 2. Volume RSI and Market Sentiment The Volume Relative Strength Index (RSI) provides insights into the market's momentum: Current RSI: 40.5 as of March 7, 2025 Interpretation: Not oversold, potential for reversal 3. Trading Volumes and Market Participation Recent trading volumes indicate strong market participation: Average 3-month volume: 571,237,219 Recent daily volumes: 378,263,925 and 355,151,349 Last 24-hour volume: 543,817,886 4. Institutional Money Flow The Commitments of Traders (COT) report and other indicators suggest strong institutional presence: Institutional traders maintaining substantial positions in US30 futures High trading volumes indicating active institutional participation Rising OBV confirming institutional accumulation This institutional involvement provides a solid foundation for the long position, as large players often have the power to drive market trends .
FX:US30Long
by FtradeFXArabic
US30 Technical Analysis: Potential Decline Towards 44,182In this detailed market analysis provided by Brokerir, the US30 index has recently exhibited a strong bullish trend but is now showing signs of exhaustion, with price action suggesting a potential retracement. Utilizing technical indicators and key support/resistance levels, we anticipate a potential decline in price from the 44,600 level toward 44,378 and ultimately 44,182. Market Structure & Price Action • The price is currently trading at 44,585, showing initial signs of rejection from the 44,600 resistance zone. • The market structure indicates a lower high formation, suggesting a weakening bullish trend. • A break below 44,585 would confirm further downside pressure, targeting the next support zones. Key Support & Resistance Levels Level Type Expected Reaction 44,600 Resistance Price rejection & potential pullback 44,378 Support Short-term reaction, potential consolidation 44,182 Major Support Critical level, potential trend shift If price breaches 44,378, the probability of reaching 44,182 increases significantly, given the lack of strong liquidity zones between these levels. Technical Indicator Analysis MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) • The MACD histogram is turning bearish, with decreasing momentum towards the zero line. • The MACD line is crossing downward below the signal line, further confirming bearish sentiment. • If this bearish divergence persists, price action is likely to follow with increasing sell pressure. Volume & Liquidity Considerations • Current trading volume is declining at resistance, indicating a lack of strong buying interest. • If selling pressure intensifies, we could see an acceleration in downward movement once key levels are breached. Conclusion & Trade Outlook Given the technical factors at play: • A confirmed break below 44,585 would signal further downside movement. • The 44,378 level is expected to provide some short-term support; however, if price breaks below this zone, a retest of 44,182 becomes highly probable. • The MACD trend shift supports this bearish outlook, reinforcing the expectation of further downside. Brokerir will continue monitoring price action for confirmations before committing to a definitive bearish scenario. It is crucial to observe how the market reacts at key support levels to validate further movements.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SasanHATAM
1