US 30 Idea Wait Weekly candle to be broken to enter long sell position ...if not broken then still making dramas in OTE areas
US30 trade ideas
dji looking to rebound after 2 days on the rough marketThe fib circle looks to be showing an upward trend. Notice how the blue circle is completely overtaken and the drop yesterday. Showing that a potential reversal is within both levels. Seeing how this formation is. Looking to be on a continuous volatility for the djia.
If someone could look at this and if you would, I ask for an opinion?
Great Depression 2.0 Starting in 2030?Looking at the Dow Jones, we can see clear cycles forming on this index. I believe we could see one more major run on the Dow between now and 2030, followed by a repeat of the Great Depression. I could easily be wrong, but the charts suggest this is a very real possibility.
So, between now and our potential top in 2030, we have an opportunity to make a significant amount of money in markets like crypto.
As always, stay profitable.
– Dalin Anderson
Bull Run To New Highs?The Dow got slammed on Wednesday, down 2%, no follow through yesterday.
Despite all the look of this rally being a bounce to sell, notice the uptrend line of support developed, this is the dynamics of markets, morph and twist to shake out weaker hands.
Would not be surprised to see a resumption of this rally to all time highs into June/July, the tariff wobbles are gone for now, any firm close below the trend line changes the trend.
We buy this market now at support in prospect of a larger rally to resume.
Appreciate a thumbs up, Good Trading & God Bless you all!
US30 Technical Analysis From that zone, I'm expecting US30 to keep flying. We should see a bit more push to the upside if price reacts to our zone.
US30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – June 2025 Outlook📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Analysis – June 2025 Outlook
🔍 1. Fundamental Analysis
The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently navigating a complex environment shaped by macroeconomic shifts and geopolitical tensions. Below is an in-depth review of current factors influencing its price action:
🏦 Monetary Policy & Economic Indicators
Federal Reserve Stance:
After a series of rate hikes between 2022 and 2024, the Fed has adopted a more dovish tone in 2025.
Market consensus now expects the Fed to cut rates by Q3–Q4 2025 as inflation cools and growth moderates.
Inflation:
The May 2025 CPI came in lower than expected at 2.7% YoY, signaling disinflation.
Core CPI and PCE data also reflect a slowing pace of price increases, strengthening the case for easing.
Labor Market:
Non-farm payrolls have stabilized, but wage growth is slowing.
Unemployment remains low at 3.8%, but job creation is skewed toward lower-paying service sectors.
Growth Metrics:
ISM Manufacturing PMI remains below 50 (contraction), but Services PMI is resilient.
Consumer confidence dipped recently, reflecting uncertainty, yet consumer spending remains robust.
🌍 Geopolitical Climate
Iran–Israel Conflict Escalation (Mid 2025):
The recent Iran-Israel military clashes have rattled markets, briefly triggering risk-off flows.
The conflict has led to spikes in crude oil prices, pushing energy stocks higher but raising concerns about inflation re-acceleration.
US–China Relations:
Ongoing trade tensions over semiconductors and AI have led to sanctions on key Chinese tech firms.
Despite this, tech-heavy indices remain resilient due to domestic demand and AI sector optimism.
Global Monetary Policy Divergence:
While the Fed is dovish, the ECB has already started cutting rates, boosting global liquidity.
This divergence supports capital inflows into US equities, especially defensive and industrial sectors represented in the Dow.
📉 2. Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concepts)
The daily chart of US30, as annotated, reflects a clear transition from a bearish structure to a bullish regime, validated by Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology:
🔄 Market Structure Shift
Bearish Trend: Price was forming Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) into early 2025.
Change of Character (ChoCH): A significant bullish shift occurred with a closure above 42842, invalidating the prior LH and suggesting institutional buying.
Break of Structure (BOS): Followed by a clean higher high, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
🧱 Key SMC Levels & Zones
Buy Zone (Demand):
Between 41,600 and 41,800, this region aligns with:
A previous Higher Low (HL)
A visible Fair Value Gap (FVG)/Imbalance
Psychological support zone
Expected to be a strong institutional demand zone for a long setup.
IDM (Intermediate Demand Mitigation):
Minor liquidity grab possible before retest of buy zone.
An early sign of bullish intent may appear here.
Bearish Invalidation Level:
41,179 is the key structural level.
A daily closure below 41,179 would invalidate bullish bias and trigger a bearish BOS.
📈 Trend & Liquidity Outlook
Liquidity Pools:
Sell-side liquidity rests below recent HLs, particularly near IDM and the Buy Zone.
Buy-side liquidity above recent HH (~43,800) is the next target if price rebounds.
Trendline Support:
Ascending trendline from April continues to hold.
Acts as dynamic support intersecting the Buy Zone in late June.
Targets:
TP1: 43,000 (recent swing high)
TP2: 43,800–44,000 (liquidity magnet zone)
Final Supply Zone: 45,078 (historical resistance, visible on chart)
📌 Scenario Planning (SMC-Based)
Primary (Bullish) Scenario:
Price retraces into Buy Zone (41,600–41,800).
Forms bullish engulfing or displacement candle.
Entry long → Target 43,800+, SL below 41,179.
Alternate (Bearish) Scenario:
Price closes below 41,179 (breaks structure).
Bias flips to bearish.
Next support zone lies around 40,300–40,500.
NOTE: ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
US30 | Bearish Below 42610, Eyes on 42410 and 42160US30 | OVERVIEW
The price has reversed and is now under bearish pressure, following stabilization below the 42690 – 42610 zone.
📉 As long as the index trades below this zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 42410, and a 1H candle close below that level could extend the move to 42160.
📈 Alternative Scenario:
A clear stabilization above 42810 would shift momentum to bullish, targeting higher levels.
Pivot: 42610
Support Levels: 42410, 42160
Resistance Levels: 42690, 42810, 43080
US30 Breaks Trendline Support – Will Geopolitics Add FuelUS30 (Dow Jones) — Trendline Breach & Rising Geopolitical Risk
Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 is currently trading at 42,339, showing early signs of risk-off sentiment following a clear break of both the ascending trendline and the Previous Day Low, with price rejecting from the 42,863 supply zone. This sharp decline aligns with growing tensions between Iran and Israel, which are weighing heavily on investor confidence. The breakdown suggests a shift in momentum, with further downside likely if key support levels fail to hold.
Key Technical Highlights:
Major ascending trendline support has broken, indicating a structural shift toward bearish sentiment.
Price broke below both the Previous Day Low (42,551) and Fib support, invalidating short-term bullish setups.
EMA 50 was lost, and price is heading toward the 200 MA at ~42,100.
Stochastic shows strong bearish momentum, currently in a downward cross and nowhere near oversold.
Major downside levels: 42,100, 41,900, 41,700, and 41,500.
Upside resistance: 42,550, followed by 42,863 and 42,970.
🌍 Geopolitical Factor – Iran-Israel Conflict:
The recent escalation between Iran and Israel has intensified risk aversion across global markets. Defensive sectors are gaining while equity indices like the Dow Jones face increased selling pressure. With concerns over possible oil supply disruptions and global uncertainty, traders are pulling capital from equities and seeking safe-haven assets like gold and bonds.
The volatility spike from this geopolitical conflict may overshadow technical setups, amplifying moves and reducing the reliability of support/resistance zones unless confirmed with volume.
Trade Plan:
🔻 1. Bearish Continuation Setup (Short Bias) – Most Probable
Trigger: Retest of 42,550 fails (previous demand turned supply)
Target: 42,100 → 41,900 → 41,500
Stop Loss: Above 42,600
⚠️ 2. Pullback Bounce (Short-term Buy) – Less Probable
Trigger: Strong bounce from 42,100 with bullish divergence on Stochastic
Target: 42,550 → 42,700
Stop Loss: Below 42,000
Risk Management Note:
Due to the unfolding Middle East conflict, markets may behave erratically and spike unpredictably. Use smaller position sizes, widen SL buffers slightly, and stay alert to news headlines. Prioritize confirmation over anticipation.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
US30 on Track for 43KHappy Monday, traders.
Here’s my latest analysis and trade idea for US30. Since April 6th, US30 has been in a strong bull run, breaking above the descending weekly trend line while continuing to print higher highs and higher lows.
Although price action has shown some uncertainty since May 22nd, the bigger picture remains bullish it’s just noise. The trend is intact, and we’re now pushing back above the 50 EMA.
Currently, US30 is forming a wedge between two descending trendlines I’ve marked on the chart. I expect some consolidation within this structure, with a potential pullback into my entry zone.
From there, I’m anticipating another short-term push higher, with a target in the Golden Zone between 43,100 and 43,400 . My entry range is between 42,179 and 42,481 , with a stop-loss just below the current swing low at 41,980.
I expect this move to develop sometime within the next couple weeks.
What do you think will it play out? Let me know in the comments.
PEPPERSTONE:US30
Tuesday Outlook #us30Tuesday Outlook #US30. As we head into the Fed's Decision. Be careful trading today.
US30US30 is consolidating right now for another push up towards the highlighted box.
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DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Pullback From Support
US30 shows some strength after a test of a key intraday support.
A cup and handle pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
indicate a local strength of the buyers.
I expect a pullback to 42550
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Dow Jones Approaches Two-Month Highs AgainThe Dow Jones index has started the week with a strong bullish bias, pushing the price up by more than 1% in the short term. This upward trend has remained solid despite growing military tensions in the Middle East. While the conflict caused significant volatility last week, markets have now digested the uncertainty, with CNN’s Fear and Greed Index remaining steady in the “greed” zone, showing no signs of retreating toward neutral territory. This suggests that confidence remains firm in the short term, allowing demand for risk assets like the Dow Jones to stay consistent in recent sessions.
However, it is important to note that the Dow has historically shown significant sensitivity to trade war developments. Although ongoing negotiations between the United States and China continue, the outcome regarding tariffs remains uncertain. If no agreement is reached, negative trade dynamics could resurface, triggering a renewed loss of confidence and possibly leading to sustained selling pressure in the long term.
Consistent Bullish Trend
Since early April, the Dow Jones has maintained a strong buying trend, with price movements consistently above the 40,000-point level. So far, there have been no major bearish corrections that would break this structure. However, the price is currently facing a key resistance level. If this barrier holds, it could mark the beginning of a corrective phase in the short term.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The RSI line has begun to show a bearish divergence, as it records lower highs, while the Dow’s price posts higher highs. This reflects an imbalance in market forces, which may lead to short-term downside corrections.
TRIX: The TRIX line, which measures the momentum of exponential moving averages, remains above the neutral level (0), but has started to flatten, potentially signaling the beginning of a neutral phase, especially as the price tests resistance zones.
Key Levels to Watch:
42,700 points: A critical resistance zone, aligned with the 200-period simple moving average. A breakout above this level would strengthen the current bullish bias and help consolidate the uptrend.
41,900 points: A short-term support level, associated with a recent neutral zone. It could act as a barrier against downward corrections.
41,064 points: The final support, aligned with the 50-period simple moving average. A drop to this level could threaten the ongoing bullish trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Follow him at: @julianpineda25
US30 Long OpportunityUS30 had a break out to the upside from $42560 and we are not seeing a potentially retracement to the break and retest level where we can expect a further jump to the upside. Seeing bullish structure on the 15 min and higher timeframes with confluence at the breakout.
Price is currently above the 50 SMA on all timeframes above the 15min and momentum is bullish per the RSI trading above the 55 level, adding to the bullish confluence
Looking to the ride the bullish wave from $42560 to $42920 where currently resistance level is sitting
US30 BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 42,200.7
Target Level: 42,556.5
Stop Loss: 41,963.5
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Wall Street Eyes Volatility: Dow Jones Tests Reversal ZoneUS30 (Dow Jones Index) — Clashing Forces of Risk & Reality
Technical Outlook — 16 June, 2025 | 1H Chart
Current Market Condition:
The Dow Jones (US30) has staged a recovery from the recent dip, but price is stalling at the Previous Day High (~42,588), a key confluence zone with the broken rising trendline, 50 EMA, and overhead supply.
This hesitation comes amid heightened global risk aversion triggered by the intensifying Iran–Israel conflict, adding pressure to global indices as investors rotate into safer assets like treasuries and gold. Despite intraday rebounds, equity bulls are showing signs of fatigue at resistance zones.
Markets are also bracing for upcoming US economic data and Fed commentary, which may further amplify intraday volatility.
Key Technical Highlights:
Price rejected from the confluence of PDH (~42,588), horizontal supply zone, and old rising trendline (yellow).
Currently hovering just under the 50 EMA; failure to hold could initiate a rotation back toward PD Low.
Stochastic RSI nearing overbought — suggests possible local top if no momentum breakout follows.
EMA 200 and the Previous Day Low at ~42,053 remain critical intraday supports.
Overall structure forming potential lower high under bearish macro cloud.
Trade Plan:
🔼 Bullish Breakout (Intraday Long):
Trigger: Break and sustained hold above 42,600 with rising volume
Target: 42,900 → 43,100
Stop Loss: Below 42,450 (to avoid whipsaws)
🔻 Bearish Rejection (Intraday Short):
Trigger: Clean rejection from PDH + trendline with bearish engulfing
Target: 42,100 → 42,050 → 41,850
Stop Loss: Above 42,650
⚖️ Neutral / Range Trade:
Play the range between PDH (~42,588) and PDL (~42,053) until breakout.
Scalp based on price reaction at either boundary with tight stop loss.
🛡️ Risk Management Note:
Global uncertainty tied to war escalation and Fed policy expectations make this a headline-driven market. News risk can spike volatility and invalidate technical setups. Trade with reduced size and increased caution, especially around US market open and geopolitical news cycles.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Bulls game over now 35697 incoming Short from 43000 Tp 35697.. weekly TF down move incoming.. Bulls Fasten your seatbelt please... Good luck and safe trade
Buy for R/R1Buy or Buy Limit @ 42615
SL: 42377
TP1: 42850
Signal from a backtested strategy with a win rate of 60 %.
Manage your risk...
Quick take US indices and the Fed's interest rate decisionQuick look at what can we expect from the Fed's rate decision and press conference on Wednesday.
TVC:DJI
TVC:SPX
TVC:NDQ
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US30 Trade Update – 06/16/2025🚨 US30 Trade Update – 06/16/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 is rebounding after holding above the 42,102 demand zone. Price is now reclaiming EMAs with short-term bullish momentum, approaching the 42,605 resistance level.
✅ Key Observations:
Strong bounce off 42,102 ✅
Reclaimed 42,341 EMA support
Bullish momentum building toward 42,605
📍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 42,605 → 42,793
Support: 42,248 → 42,102
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long Setup:
Buy above 42,605
→ Target: 42,793 → 43,021
🔻 Short Setup:
Breakdown below 42,248
→ Target: 42,102 → 41,947
⚠️ Market flipping short-term bullish – watch for breakout and confirmation above 42,605!
This weeks #US30 outlook. High Probability Trade Zones
A. Short Setup – Fade the Grind Into Resistance
Zone: 42,900–43,200 (confluence of R1, previous highs, sell rejection zone).
Trigger: Slow grind + bearish engulfing / break of structure on 15M–30M.
Stop: Above 43,250
Target: 42,400 > 42,150 > 41,800
B. Long Setup – 4H Breaker Block Retest
Zone: 42,050–42,200 (OB + support + 30M demand)
Trigger: Sweep of 42,000, followed by bullish engulfing or displacement candle
Stop: Below 41,770
Target: 42,600 > 42,900 > 43,193
C. High-Risk Fade Long – Deep Discount Sweep
Zone: 41,750–41,800 (S1 proximity, previous accumulation base)
Trigger: Wipeout + bullish PA on 15M with volume spike
Stop: 41,670
Target: 42,200 > 42,500
DowJones uptrend retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 43192
Resistance Level 2: 43620
Resistance Level 3: 44290
Support Level 1: 42100
Support Level 2: 41420
Support Level 3: 40990
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