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DXY Holds Above 106, Currency Markets at Risk?The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains firm above the 106-mark, applying pressure on the latest currency market rebound amid escalating tariff and trade war concerns. With the first wave of tariffs on Canada and Mexico set to take effect in early March, Trump's renewed tariff threats against the EU are further strengthening the Dollar's stance. This has kept the EURUSD capped below 1.0530 and GBPUSD struggling at 1.27. Friday’s key inflation reports—including the German Prelim CPI and US Core PCE—are expected to introduce additional volatility risks. 🔻 Downside Scenario: A break below 106, aligning with June 2024 highs, could expose the next support at 1.0520, coinciding with the upper boundary of the declining channel connecting lower highs from October 2023 to June 2024. Further declines could see DXY testing 104 and 102.20, aligning with the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. 🔺 Upside Scenario: A solid close above 107.30 could reignite bullish momentum, pushing DXY towards the 2025 high of 110, potentially derailing the currency market’s 2025 rebound. - Razan Hilal, CMT
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
1
Is the Dollar's Rally Over? Key Levels to WatchIs the dollar trend doomed? Many say the trend is over, but the charts tell a different story. The Dollar Index remains at key support levels, with technicals pointing to a potential upside. A breakout retest around 105 could determine the next move. Will inflation, wage growth, and the Fed's stance push the dollar higher? Or will weak economic data trigger a breakdown? Watch now and decide—long or short? This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
THINKMARKETS:USDINDEXLong
by ThinkMarkets
DXY Is Going Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 106.184. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 107.245. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
#DXY 4HDXY (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish reversal pattern. This suggests that the downtrend is losing momentum, and a potential upward move could follow if the price breaks above the wedge resistance. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise if the price confirms a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, signaling increased bullish pressure. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a confirmed breakout above the wedge resistance. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the recent swing low to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target key resistance levels based on previous price action. Market Sentiment: The falling wedge suggests potential bullish momentum. A confirmed breakout with strong price action can provide better validation for the buy setup.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by PIPSFIGHTER
DXY – Break or Bounce? Key Levels to WatchTVC:DXY The DXY has broken below the 106.96 support, establishing a new fractal at 106.14 while testing the major April 2024 fractal resistance forged at 106.51. This price action leaves the dollar in a critical decision zone, with two main scenarios in play: 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario: If the dollar holds above the newly formed support and reclaims the daily fractal resistance at 107.38, it could trigger a recovery attempt, potentially leading to a retest of previous highs and the weekly fractal resistance. 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold current levels could push the DXY below the emerging triangle structure, targeting the weekly fractal support at 105.42. A break below this level increases the probability of reaching the 200% Fibonacci extension at 104.59, where a bullish Crab pattern is projected in convergence —a critical area for potential trend reversals. 🔍 Key Technical Factors: 📌 Consolidation Triangle: DXY is stuck below the double top neckline but above the most recent fractal support forged at 106.14. 📌 Fibonacci Levels : The dollar is currently trading at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (106.35) , with projected harmonic patterns aligning near the next 50% retracement level. 📌 Liquidity & Stop Hunts: Multiple bullish harmonic patterns emerging just below the weekly fractal support indicate possible stop-hunting activity against short positions. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: 📈 Resistance Levels: Weekly – 110.17 Daily – 107.38 4H – 106.65 Monthly – 106.51 📉 Support Levels: 4H – 106.17 Daily – 106.14 Weekly – 105.42 Monthly – 100.15 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: DXY is at a crucial inflection point. A breakout above 107.38 could fuel a bullish move, while a breakdown below 105.42 may accelerate a bearish extension towards 104.59-104.78. Until the price confirms direction, it is advisable to remain neutral and wait for a clear signal before committing to a directional bias. Happy Trading, André Cardoso 💡 Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
TVC:DXY
by Andre_Cardoso
DXY Bearish to 85-90The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart: A zigzag corrective pattern is identified. Resistance levels at 113 and an inverse bearish level at 115 are highlighted. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA 9) and Simple Moving Average (SMA 50) are displayed. Elliott Wave analysis appears to be used, indicating a possible downward correction. A bearish scenario targeting around 90 in the long term is projected. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). Here are some key insights from the chart: A weakening dollar will boost growth in the export sector. I believe this will occur during President Trump's term.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mostafa-Mir
1
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar📉💵 2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar! 🔥 The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness after breaching key support levels. With interest rate cuts on the horizon and a shift in economic policy, we may be entering a new phase for the dollar’s normalization. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Resistance: 107.5 (Immediate resistance) 🔹 Key Mid Support: 100.95 (Next major level) 🔹 Final Target: 94.8 (Major support & potential bottom) 📰 Fundamental Factors Driving the Move 💡 Trump’s Dollar Policy: Historically, Trump has favored a weaker dollar to boost exports. His recent remarks during the Executive Order signing on January 23, 2025, reinforce this stance, as he pushes for interest rate cuts and lower energy costs. Remarks by President Trump at Executive Order Signing (January 23, 2025): Q: Mr. President, you said earlier that you would like to see interest rates come down. THE PRESIDENT: Yeah. Q: How much would you like to see them come down? THE PRESIDENT: A lot. Q: And will you talk with Powell? THE PRESIDENT: I’d like to see them come down a lot, and oil prices will come down. And when oil prices come down, everything is going to be cheaper for the American people — and actually for the world — but for the American people. So, I’d like to see oil prices come down. Q: Are you worried that there’s too much going on at once if you’re trying to bring interest rates down and get the economy back going? THE PRESIDENT: No, no. It just works that way. I mean, it just economically works that way. When the oil comes down, it’ll bring down prices, then you won’t have inflation, and then the interest rates will come down. Q: You said that you would demand that the interest rates come down. Do you expect the Fed to listen to you? THE PRESIDENT: Yeah. 📉 What’s Next for the Dollar? 🔸 If 100.95 breaks, we could see further downside, testing the 94.8 region. 🔸 A retest of resistance at 107.5 would be a key test before further declines. 🔸 The global macro environment (oil prices, inflation, and geopolitical shifts) will heavily influence the dollar’s trajectory. 🌍 Economic & Geopolitical Impact Beyond monetary policy, Trump’s trade and labor policies are also playing a role in shaping the inflation outlook. His push for tariffs and tighter immigration policies has led to higher labor costs, causing short-term inflation. However, on the global stage, Trump's potential deal with Putin to resolve the Ukraine conflict could help ease inflation worldwide by stabilizing supply chains and reducing geopolitical risks. With Trump pushing for rate cuts, the Fed under pressure, and DXY losing momentum, could we see a full-scale dollar correction in 2025? Let’s discuss! ⏬ 📢 Follow for more macro insights & market analysis! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
TVC:DXYShort
by FX_Professor
$DXY HOLDS FIRM—TRUMP TARIFFS & FED FUEL 2025 BUZZTVC:DXY HOLDS FIRM—TRUMP TARIFFS & FED FUEL 2025 BUZZ (1/9) Good afternoon, Tradingview! The U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) sits at 106.47 today—tariffs and Fed vibes keep it humming 📈🔥. Down a hair from 106.60—let’s unpack this greenback glow! 🚀 (2/9) – YEARLY SURGE • 2024 Run: From 100.16 to 107+ by Dec 💥 • Today: 106.47—off 0.12% from yesterday 📊 • Driver: Trump tariffs juice inflation fears TVC:DXY ’s got grit—2025’s off to a zesty start! (3/9) – BIG BOOSTERS • Tariffs: Auto, chip threats—dollar darling 🌍 • Fed: Slow cuts—rates outshine abroad 🚗 • Crypto Nod: Pro- AMEX:USD admin vibes 🌟 Greenback’s flexing—policy packs a punch! (4/9) – MARKET PULSE • Vs. Peers: Outpaces euro, yen—rate gaps shine 📈 • X Chatter: 107 peak, post-swearing dip? • Edge: U.S. growth trumps global woes 🌍 TVC:DXY ’s steady—king of the currency hill? (5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY • Deficits: Fiscal bloat looms long-term ⚠️ • Geo-Tension: Wars nudge safe-haven bets 🏛️ • Fed Pivot: Faster cuts could dim shine 📉 Tough tailwinds—can TVC:DXY dodge the drag? (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Tariffs: Inflation lift—dollar darling 🌟 • Rates: Fed’s edge over ECB, BOJ 🔍 • Haven: Chaos loves $ USD—rock solid 🚦 TVC:DXY ’s got muscle—global star! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Debt piles—future wobble? 💸 • Opportunities: Tariff hikes zap rivals 🌍 Can TVC:DXY keep the crown or stumble? (8/9) – TVC:DXY at 106.47—what’s your vibe? 1️⃣ Bullish—108+ by spring. 2️⃣ Neutral—Holds steady, risks hover. 3️⃣ Bearish—Dips below 100 soon. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY TVC:DXY ’s 106.47 glow—tariffs, Fed, and grit shine 🌍🪙. Deficits lurk, but strength rules—bull or bust?
TVC:DXYLong
by DCAChampion