$DOW - critical levelI do not like where the DOW is heading right now. It closed below the 200d EMA last week, this is not looking good. I would be careful with the stock market right now as there are still plenty of volatility. If DOW drops below $52, it might form a cup and handle at $49.50 and if completed, targeting $43. Stay safe.
2OY trade ideas
Dow Inc – DOW – Wait to step inLeft chart – daily chart / 1 year
• Resistance from the price gap formed mid-January 2023 at USD 56.58/57.02
• Resistance from 76.4% Fibonacci Retracement at USD 56.64
• Support from the price gap formed mid-November 2022 at USD 50.02/50.90
• It looks like that the MACD-Line is crossing the Signal line from the top to the bottom
• If there is another negative day, the share price will cross the 100-day MA
Right chart – weekly chart / since inception
• Resistance from the price gap formed June 2022 at USD 60.58/61.86
• Resistance from the 100-week MA
This doesn’t look like an entry point. The stock is trading between the price gaps from the short-term chart (left chart). The financial are coming out in 2 days. I would wait to invest and see an entry point at around USD 50.00
DOW - Short OpportunityA double top pattern was formed and the stock crashed and now price has retraced back to the resistance level, giving us another opportunity to ride the waves down. Near-term short signal has also appeared. Price failed to break above 200 MA, showing bearish sentiments.
Entry: 49.77
Stop Loss: 53.6
Take-Profit Target: 43.95
Get get DOW with itSo looking at the DXY, I still feel we are expecting 2 situation (yes the old up and down what can we do in the world of charting!) I'm being bearish , sorry bulls! We are still expecting a move down.
I have been stopped out of a large position because I was too eager to get my short in with high leverage. That's fine I will be risking a big short depending on how we finish the day. Friday naturally will be a key point. This DOW chart shows us in a downwards channel. Your thinking, idiot, consumer spending is big its Christmas how can you be so bearish? Lets see it play out, we still have big factors in the world that can trigger lots of downside.
Dow price targets simulated in chart ****** this chart was made a over a week ago ***** DOW is in a downward channel and a bearish ascending wedge. Key points for me. If you zoom out on the daily you can draw a trend line from the 16th as a support up to where we are now it connects to the target at 44. so between 44-48 will we see us retest this point before moving on.
Importantly, can someone tell me how Powells meeting gave the space a bullish sentiment? He always comes on the scene with wet paper speeches? However, everyone makes movements regardless of solid figures coming out? He literally stated we "maybe" able to fix the situation but the window is "very narrow", I don't understand how that gives people confidence.
Regardless, DXY is in a make of break position to fall to big support or blow up wards, I'm more inclined for a move down over the next few weeks to bring the DXY towards the 100/101 mark. However, a bounce up to 107/108 should happen first before we can make a decision on it's direction.
It's coming up to Christmas consumer spending will drive the markets ultimately IMO.
Hit me up with your thoughts lets brainstorm. No opinion is wrong do not be shy to express a feeling or information that you feel can change the space.
$DOW breaking out of a ~13 month base. Can it go higher?Notes/Thoughts:
* Great earnings record
* Strong up trend
* Breaking out of a ~13 month base with higher than average volume
* Recently used historical highs of $65.56 as support
* Last bullish hammer indicating tonnes of demand below $67.49
* Extremely close to the broken resistance of $67.49 offering a great risk/reward
Technicals:
* Sector: Basic Materials - Chemicals
* Relative Strength vs. Sector: 9.19
* Relative Strength vs. SP500: 8.08
* U/D Ratio: 1.2
* Base Depth: 29.46%
* Distance from breakout buy point: 0.86%
* Volume 46.06% above its 15 day average.
Trade Idea:
* You can enter now as the price is really close to the broken base resistance
* Manage risk accordingly
* If you're looking for a slightly better entry you may wait for the price to pull back to $67.49
* Due to the nature of this choppy market I've reduced my stop and targets accordingly.