AAL - Oversold Rsi, Potential bounce1. Extremely undervalued (P/S 0.13, Forward P/E 3.7)
2. Cash per share exceeds stock price
3. Huge earnings beat (EPS surprise: +29.83%)
4. Oversold RSI (28.99) = potential technical bounce
A1G trade ideas
$AAL super oversoldRSI at very low levels and has long term support at the $10 range. Anticipating a move back to current resistance levels $12-$13. Look at RSI 1D, 1W, 1M. Not the worst company and traveling isn’t going anywhere and Southwest ( NYSE:LUV ) is charging for bags.
NFA
WSL
AAL – 30-Min Short Trade Setup !📉 🚨
🔹 Stock: American Airlines Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAL )
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Bearish Breakdown Trade
📌 Trade Plan (Short Position):
🚀 Entry Below: $10.58 (Breakdown Confirmation)
⛔ Stop-Loss: $11.17 (Invalidation Level)
🎯 Profit Targets:
📌 TP1: $9.93 (First Support Level)
📌 TP2: $9.31 (Extended Bearish Move)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio (R/R):
📈 Risk (SL Distance): $11.17 - $10.58 = $0.59 per share
📉 Reward to TP1: $10.58 - $9.93 = $0.65 (1:1.1 R/R)
📉 Reward to TP2: $10.58 - $9.31 = $1.27 (1:2.1 R/R)
🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy:
📌 Downtrend Structure: Price continuously rejecting the descending trendline.
📌 Bearish Breakdown Confirmation: Price failing to hold above $10.58.
📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Increased selling pressure for strong momentum.
📌 Momentum Shift Expected: Breakdown could accelerate the fall to $9.93, then $9.31.
📊 Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance: $11.17 (Stop-Loss / Invalidation Zone)
🟡 Breakdown Level: $10.58 (Entry Zone)
⚪ First Target: $9.93 (TP1 – First Support Zone)
🟢 Final Target: $9.31 (TP2 – Extended Move)
🎯 Risk Management & Trade Execution:
📊 Confirm Volume – Ensure strong selling pressure before entry.
📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to $10.58 (breakeven) after TP1 ($9.93).
💰 Profit Booking Plan:
✔ Take 50% profit at $9.93, let the rest ride to $9.31.
✔ Adjust SL to breakeven ($10.58) after TP1 is hit.
⚠️ Fake Breakdown Risk:
❌ If price reclaims $10.58, exit early to minimize losses.
❌ Wait for strong bearish candle close below $10.58 before entering aggressively.
🚀 Final Thoughts:
✔ Bearish Setup Forming – Breakdown signals further downside.
✔ Momentum Shift Expected – Selling pressure gaining strength.
✔ High R/R Trade – 1:2.1 R/R to TP2 makes this a quality short setup.
🔗 Follow @ProfittoPath for More Trade Setups! 📈🔥
#ProfittoPath 🏆 | #AAL 📉 | #StockMarket 📊 | #ShortTrade 🚀 | #BearishSetup 💰 | #RiskManagement 🔍 | #MarketAnalysis 📉 | #SwingTrading
AAL Trade Plan – Strategic Entry & Profit Targets📊Analyzing AAL, potential entry points are identified at $11.8, $11.0, and $10.0, with profit targets at $13, $14.8, and $18. This setup considers both short-term opportunities and longer-term potential, depending on market conditions and individual risk tolerance.
🎯 Strategy:
First profit target: $13 – A reasonable short-term exit if momentum supports a rebound.
Second target: $14.8 – A mid-term level where resistance may be tested.
Final target: $18 – A more extended target, assuming a strong uptrend develops.
This plan allows for flexibility, whether you prefer to secure early gains or hold for potential larger movements. As always, market conditions and external factors should be monitored closely.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, assess risk carefully, and consult a professional if needed before making investment decisions.
AAL/USD – 30-Min Long Trade Setup !📌 🚀
🔹 Asset: AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Reversal Trade
📌 Trade Plan (Long Position)
✅ Entry Zone: Above $13.91 (Breakout Confirmation)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $13.18 (Invalidation Level)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
📌 TP1: $14.76 (First Resistance Level)
📌 TP2: $15.84 (Extended Bullish Move)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation
📉 Risk (SL Distance): $13.91 - $13.18 = $0.73 risk per share
📈 Reward to TP1: $14.76 - $13.91 = $0.85 (1:1.16 R/R)
📈 Reward to TP2: $15.84 - $13.91 = $1.93 (1:2.64 R/R)
🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy
📌 Falling Wedge Breakout: Price has broken out of a falling wedge, a strong bullish reversal pattern.
📌 Support Rejection: The price tested $13.18 support and showed buying pressure.
📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure high buying volume when price holds above $13.91 to confirm bullish momentum.
📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If price remains above $13.91, it could push toward $14.76, and further to $15.84.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels
🟢 $13.18 – Stop-Loss / Support Level
🟡 $13.91 – Breakout Level / Long Entry
🔴 $14.76 – First Resistance / TP1
🔴 $15.84 – Final Target / TP2
📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management
📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure high buying volume above $13.91 before entering.
📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($13.91) after TP1 ($14.76) is hit.
💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy:
✔ Take 50% profits at $14.76, let the rest run toward $15.84.
✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($13.91) after TP1 is reached.
⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk
❌ If the price fails to hold above $13.91 and drops back, exit early to avoid losses.
❌ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above $13.91 before entering aggressively.
🚀 Final Thoughts
✔ Bullish Setup – Bouncing from $13.18 support suggests a potential reversal.
✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation.
✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.16 to TP1, 1:2.64 to TP2.
💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈
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American Airlines | AAL | Long at $13.34As the Great American Wealth Transfer happens, people are using that money to travel more (after all, few can afford to transfer that wealth into real estate). Airline data show passenger counts are increasing rapidly and with airfares expected to rise, this sector is likely to go through a long-awaited boom cycle.
Those following me know I am heavily long in airlines, cruise lines, and travel companies. With today's dip, and the long-term historical moving average starting to show upward momentum, American Airlines NASDAQ:AAL is in a personal buy zone at $13.34. A further dip to $11.00 to close the daily price gaps is also where I will be adding more.
Targets:
$15.00
$18.00
AAL to $17My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes above it's Bollinger Bands
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels (period 100 52 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under over at bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $15.67, buying shares from here to $15.50
Stop loss is $15.00
Target is $17 or channel top
AAL +3% Play - Bullish Gap FillAmerican Airlines ( NASDAQ:AAL ) is showing signs of strength as it attempts to break above recent resistance. The price has been consolidating and is now pushing higher, indicating a potential move toward a gap fill.
Bias: Bullish
Target: $17.73 (~2.31% gain from $17.33)
Entry: Watching for a confirmed break and retest of resistance
Indicators: Momentum increasing, price structure improving
If the breakout sustains, a move toward the gap fill zone is possible, but I am conservatively targeting $17.73.
If the gap fills to $18.50, the potential percentage gain from $17.33 would be approximately 6.75%.
AAL Short Trade Setup (30-Min Chart)! 🚨🔥
🔍 Stock: AAL (NASDAQ)
⏳ Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
📉 Setup Type: Bearish Breakdown
📍 Trade Plan:
🔻 Entry: $17.03 (Breakdown Confirmation)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $17.60 (Above resistance level for risk control)
🎯 Target 1: $16.39 (Key support level)
🚀 Target 2: $15.79 (Major support zone – Extended Downside Potential)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable for shorting 📊
🔹 Momentum: Strong bearish pressure and breakdown 📉
🔹 Pattern: Descending triangle breakdown
🔥 Trade Strategy & Refinements:
📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure strong selling volume for sustained move.
📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: If price reaches $16.39, consider adjusting SL lower to secure profits.
💰 Partial Profit Booking: Take partial profits at Target 1 and let the rest drop towards Target 2.
⚠️ Watch for Fake Breakdowns: If price reclaims $17.03, exit early to minimize losses.
🚀 Final Thoughts:
✅ Bearish Pattern Confirmation – High probability of downward continuation.
✅ Strong Resistance at $17.60 – Ideal SL placement.
✅ Breakdown Momentum – Potential for a sharp decline.
Trade Smart & Stick to Your Plan! 🏆💰
Let me know if you need a more detailed breakdown! 🚀📈
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AAL American Airlines Group Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on AAL:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAL American Airlines Group prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 18usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $1.23.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
American Airlines | AAL | Long at $14.00Similar to my cruise line picks, I anticipate airlines to quite literally "take off" in the coming years as interest rates are lowered and people travel more. These two industries never quite recovered from the pandemic, but their time to do so is "likely" fast approaching.
American Airlines NASDAQ:AAL has been consolidating near my selected long-term simple moving average (SMA) for several years. Many retail investors have been beaten up by the sudden up and (especially) down price movements, but this is where larger investors gather their shares. The fact NASDAQ:AAL did not make a new low in August 2024 is a hopeful sign from a technical analysis perspective. While the price may dip to close out the new lower price gaps, I think we are nearing the "take off" zone which will be a massive break through the long-term SMA. A confirmation that something bigger is brewing would be a price move into the $15s, dip down to the $12s, and the larger move up. Regardless of trying to predict bottoms, NASDAQ:AAL is in a personal buy zone at $14.00.
Target #1 = $15.25
Target #2 = $16.55
Target #3 = $18.40
Target #4 = $27.00 (very long-term outlook...)
AAL Approaching Pivotal Zones! Will Momentum Hold?
30-Minute Timeframe Analysis
* Trend Overview: AAL has broken out of a downtrend channel, showing bullish momentum with a strong recovery toward $17.61. However, the market may gap up or down at the open, drastically changing this setup. Traders must reassess the price action and adapt their strategies accordingly.
* Key Levels:
* Support: $16.28 and $16.50 are critical areas where buyers might step in after a gap down.
* Resistance: $17.61 and $17.93 are immediate levels to watch for a potential breakout, especially if the market gaps up.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Currently bullish, but any gap in price could alter this signal. Keep an eye on crossovers for confirmation of trend direction.
* Volume: A recent increase in volume supports the upward move. Watch for follow-through volume to confirm strength, especially in case of a gap.
1-Hour GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Positive GEX: $17.50 and $18.20 act as significant call resistance levels. A gap up could propel the price to test these zones.
* Negative GEX: $16.00 and $15.00 are critical put support levels, offering downside protection if the market gaps down.
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: Moderate at 63, suggesting options premiums are still favorable for strategies like selling covered calls.
* Calls vs. Puts: Slight bullish skew with calls at 26.5%, hinting at cautious optimism among traders.
* Actionable Gamma Zones:
* Bullish Scenario: A gap up above $17.61 could trigger momentum toward $18.00 or higher as call buyers dominate.
* Bearish Scenario: A gap down below $16.50 may result in increased put activity, pushing the price toward $15.50.
Trade Scenarios
* Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Break and hold above $17.61, or after a gap up that sustains above $17.50.
* Target: $18.00 and $18.50.
* Stop-Loss: Below $17.20.
* Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Breakdown below $16.50, or after a gap down that fails to reclaim $16.80.
* Target: $15.50 and $15.00.
* Stop-Loss: Above $16.80.
Important Note for Traders
* Markets are dynamic, and gaps can alter setups significantly. Reassess price levels at the market open and adapt your strategy based on the updated conditions.
* If you need technical analysis for another stock, feel free to reach out, and I’ll provide a detailed analysis.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your research and trade responsibly.
$AAL Formation Analysis for American Airlines Group1. Bullish Flag Formation:
The chart shows a strong upward move (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase, where the price moves downward in a controlled and narrow channel (red trendline).
The consolidation phase is marked by lower highs and lower lows, which aligns with a bullish flag pattern.
This pattern suggests that the stock may break out upward, continuing the prior bullish trend.
Key Levels:
Breakout Point: Above $17.52 (resistance formed by the flag's upper red trendline).
Confirmation: A strong breakout candle with high volume would confirm the pattern.
Target: The height of the flagpole (~$2.50) can be added to the breakout point, projecting a target around $20.00.
2. Ascending Support:
The green trendlines indicate ascending support levels, reinforcing a broader bullish trend.
The price has consistently respected these trendlines, showing strength and buyers stepping in on dips.
3. Moving Average Support:
The stock is trading above key moving averages (likely 8 EMA and 21 EMA), confirming a bullish bias.
The 21 EMA (around $17.11) is providing dynamic support, with multiple recent bounces off this level.
Potential Trade Setup:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Above $17.52 with confirmation of a breakout.
Target: $18.50 (short-term) and $20.00 (based on the flagpole height projection).
Stop Loss: Below $17.00 (to account for a failed breakout and loss of momentum).
Bearish Scenario (if the pattern fails):
Entry: Below $16.80, breaking the ascending green trendline and moving average support.
Target: $16.47 (next key support level) and $15.50.
Stop Loss: Above $17.35 to limit losses in case of a false breakdown.
Conclusion:
The chart currently shows a bullish flag pattern with potential for a breakout above $17.52, targeting higher levels. However, if the price fails to hold the ascending support or moving averages, a pullback to lower support levels is possible. Monitor for confirmation with volume to validate the breakout or breakdown.
AALTarget 1 = 22$
Target 2 = 26$
Target 3 = 38$
3 months chart, Day frame
What do you guys think ??
is it good for long investment ??
I am new here and trying to practice what I've learned
this is not financial advice buying or selling on you own risk
Can AAL do it?AAL attempted to break outside this channel last week, but price failed to hold above it and now is coming back down inside the trendline.
If price manages to go back above it with volume, this has great potential.
However, nothing to do until we see price pushing above it again.
AAL BullFlag On the monthly timeframe we identified a 10x opportunity. AAL provides us with a potential bullish flag.
- Years of bullish divergence buildup
- RSI resistance finally broken
- Price break of descending resistance
- Flagpole measures a move to $165.00
Keep in mind it is a monthly analysis so it will take time
Potential Reversal for AAL!AAL is forming a symmetrical triangle near a key support level of $16.15 on the 30-minute timeframe. A breakout above the resistance at $16.85 could signal a reversal with upside potential toward $17.35.
Entry: $16.58 (Breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss (SL): $16.15 (Below support)
Target 1 (T1): $16.85
Target 2 (T2): $17.35
The narrowing triangle suggests momentum buildup; monitor volume for confirmation of the breakout.
AAL Reversal: Entry $16.90 | SL $16.70 | Targets $17.23, $17.64This chart highlights a potential reversal trade setup for AAL on the 30-minute timeframe:
Entry: $16.90
Stop-Loss (SL): $16.70
Target 1 (T1): $17.23
Target 2 (T2): $17.64
The setup is based on a key support level indicating a potential reversal, supported by a decrease in bearish momentum. This trade aims to capture the upward move while maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Ideal for traders looking to capitalize on trend reversals.
#AAL #ReversalTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeSetup #RiskManagement #BreakoutStrategy
@TradingView @StockTraders @MarketWatch
AAL: Short Trade Opportunity from Triangle Breakdown!AAL is breaking down from a symmetrical triangle on the 30-minute chart. Entry for the short trade is at $17.51 with a stop-loss at $18.19. Profit targets are $16.77 and $15.98. Monitor closely for sustained downward momentum!
AAL: A Potential Breakout on the Weekly Chart
The AAL stock has been trading in a prolonged downtrend, with consistent lower highs and lower lows from its peak at $59.08. However, recent price action indicates a potential breakout, as the stock approaches a critical descending trendline resistance. This move, accompanied by increasing volume, could mark the beginning of a bullish reversal.
Key Analysis:
Descending Triangle Breakout Potential:
The stock is breaking out of a long-term descending triangle, with a key breakout point near $16.00.
Confirmation of the breakout would signal a shift in trend, opening the door for higher price levels.
Targets (TP):
$17.86: Initial short-term target aligned with prior resistance.
$24.56: Next major resistance level, supported by historical price action.
$38.63 and $51.75: Medium and long-term targets if bullish momentum persists.
Support and Stop Loss (SL):
Strong support lies at $12.12, serving as a stop-loss level for risk management.
The base support at $8.25 represents a critical zone to monitor if the price fails to sustain above the breakout levels.
Volume and Momentum:
The recent increase in volume near the trendline suggests growing buyer interest. A sustained breakout with strong volume could confirm bullish momentum.
Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $16.00 could drive the stock to test $17.86, with potential for further upside toward $24.56 and beyond.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above $12.12 may see the stock retesting lower support levels at $8.25.
Conclusion:
The AAL stock is at a critical turning point. A breakout above the trendline and sustained trading above $16.00 could indicate the start of a major reversal, with significant upside potential. However, careful risk management is crucial, with $12.12 serving as the key level for stop-loss placement.
Buy position Price correction seems ended
A flat correction has ended.
And a new pattern is emerging.
Elliott Wave View: Strong Impulsive Rally in American Airlines (Short Term Elliott Wave in American Airlines (AAL) suggests that rally from 11.6.2024 low is in progress as an impulse. Up from 11.5.2024 low, wave ((i)) ended at 15.13 as the 1 hour chart below shows. Pullback in wave ((ii)) unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave a ended at 14.7 and wave b ended at 15.05. Wave c lower ended at 14.46 which completed wave (w). Rally in wave (x) ended at 14.81. Down from there, another zigzag unfolded with wave a ended at 14.5 and wave b ended at 14.6. Wave c lower ended at 14.38 which completed wave (y) of ((ii)).
The stock has resumed higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 14.74 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 14.44. The stock resumed higher again in wave (iii). Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 15.05 and pullback in wave ii ended at 14.61. Wave iii higher ended at 17.8. Expect wave iv to end soon, and stock to resume rally higher again in wave v to complete wave (iii). Near term, as far as pivot at 14.39 low stays intact, expect pullback to find buyers in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
