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A1G trade ideas

AAL has plummeted in 10 weeksAAL has plummeted in 10 weeks This chart shows the weekly candle chart of American airline stocks from the end of 2019 to the present. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section at the beginning of 2020. As shown in the figure, the stock of American Airlines has maintained a relatively weak and volatile consolidation pattern after completing a small level double top pattern in March and June 2021. The low point in October 2022 just stepped back on the 0.236 position of the bottom to top golden section in the figure, completing the shoulder position of the large level head to shoulder! The stock of American Airlines has plummeted in the past decade and is about to hit its October 2022 low again! So in the future, we can use the low point in October 2022 as the watershed to determine the strength of American airlines!
NASDAQ:AAL
by Think_More
AAL : Going LongFundamental Analysis According to data released by Statista on August 29, 2023, AAL holds approximately 17.5% of the domestic market share among leading US airlines from February 2022 to January 2023. This marks the highest percentage of market share held by a single airline in the US, indicating a significant competitive advantage. Furthermore, the airline industry is a crucial sector for economic growth, and governments typically strive to support major players within it to prevent failures. My game plan is to invest in the top four airline companies in the US, based on their market share, at favorable values determined by price action. I already hold a position in UAL. The remaining airlines on my list are AAL, LUV, and DAL. Technical Analysis The current price is at the lower end of the channel, prompting me to initiate a position, representing approximately 2.5% of my capital as a single entry. I do not intend to increase this position further, even if the price experiences a significant decline. However, I will consider purchasing other airline stocks from my watchlist if they reach my desired entry levels. Conclusion If I decide to make any changes to my position in the future, I will provide updates to this post. Check out the posts, regarding my other Airline stock entries,which is attached underneath.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by Sniper-Traders
1
Preparing for Takeoff ✈️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. AAL has been overall bullish trading inside the flat rising wedge pattern and it is currently approaching the lower bound / red trendline. Moreover, the zone 12.5 - 13.0 is a strong support. 🏹 So the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. As per my trading style: As AAL approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
NASDAQ:AALLong
by TheSignalyst
4
47.08 it's real ?Certainly, here's the translation of your message into English: "It's worth keeping an eye on these. If they give an opportunity, I'll buy on March 14th. UPD: I'm observing the developmental trend using the Shields and Bottoms methodology. (Every time it's a higher shield, and every time it's a higher bottom.) At the moment, we've bounced off 78.6% from the last downward trend and are in a correctional movement. The bulls' strength is starting to show in the vicinity of $14.50-$14.60 per share. Since we broke the support at 68.1% on the Fibonacci from the last growth movement, I expect a reaction around $14.05-$14.00 per share. When a signal candle appears, I will open a deal with a stop at the last confirmed bottom (LCB) of $12.65 and the first take profit (TP) at 75% of the deal, which is $19.08. After that, it's just a matter of adjusting the stop loss according to the LCB and LTP methodology. Please note that the stop loss is only imaginary, and it is represented on the chart as an Alert. If the price reaches $12.65 and the next bullish candle takes us back into the range, the deal will continue to be held." I hope this helps! If you have any more questions or need further translations, feel free to ask.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by Scythe_
Impact of FAA Regulations and Rumors in Aerospace Stock TradingInvesting in aerospace-related stocks can be a lucrative endeavor due to the industry's potential for growth and innovation. You may find a lot of long-term investors holding major airline stocks (especially, positions added during COVID lows) and relatively new aerospace startups. However, it is essential to closely monitor and consider the impact of Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) regulations and even rumors on their investment decisions even if you’re not day trading these stocks. In this article, we explore real-life examples of how FAA regulations have negatively affected the stock prices of companies in the aerospace sector, highlighting the crucial role of monitoring and reacting to regulatory developments. Example #1. FAA Limits on Flight Numbers and the Plunge in US Airline Stocks: The FAA recently imposed restrictions on the number of flights to alleviate pressure on the national airspace. While this regulation aims to enhance safety and efficiency, it has directly impacted US airline stocks, such as American Airlines (AAL). Airlines faced reduced capacity and higher operational costs. This resulted in decreased revenue and profitability, causing a sharp decline in American Airlines' stock price. Investors who were not prepared for this regulatory change suffered losses. However, in reality this has been a topic of conversation since April, so the late June announcement shouldn’t have caught anybody by surprise. If taken proper measures, the positions might have been cashed out at July highs until the FAA inevitable reduces the geography of this regulation. Which it already started as of 3-4 weeks ago, meaning we can expect a retracement soon. Example #2. Minimum Flight Time Requirements and the Struggles of EVTOL Companies: FAA regulations now require small aircraft, including Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing (EVTOL) vehicles, to have a minimum flight time of 30 minutes. This regulation has posed significant challenges for EVTOL companies like Joby Aviation, as battery technology limitations make meeting this requirement very difficult. For instance, even industry leaders like Joby Aviation, despite its high potential, faced setbacks due to the FAA's minimum flight time regulation. The company's stock price suffered as investors became wary of the challenges presented by battery size limitations amid this new requirement. Some other example of FAA regulations impacting aerospace stocks include: 1. Noise Restrictions: Recent FAA regulations aimed at reducing aircraft noise levels have affected companies specializing in quieter aviation technologies. 2. Safety Mandates: Stricter safety regulations have led to increased research and development costs for aerospace companies, impacting their profitability. 3. Environmental Regulations: Regulations promoting sustainable aviation and reducing carbon emissions have influenced aerospace companies' strategies, causing fluctuations in their stock performance. As you may see FAA regulations have a substantial and immediate impact on the stock prices of companies in the aerospace sector. However, this analogy was just an example because of my personal interest as a PhD in Aerospace Engineering and investor into several aerospace stocks. In reality, when trading/investing you should always stay up to date with regulations imposed by your governing body (food or pharmacy should watch out for FDA and so on). Knowledge is power, dear community members. So stay alert and informed in any comfortable way for you. Some like to watch Bloomberg, some read yahoo finance. In reality, you can substitute that by reading through some of the deep good breakdowns by fellow TradingView writers. Make the most out of it!
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:AAL
by Investroy
21
Stocks pairs trading: DAL vs AALDelta Air Lines (DAL) Valuation: P/E and Forward P/E ratios suggest the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings. Earnings and Revenue: Strong earnings expected next year, and overall better profitability. Performance: Stronger recent performance across different time frames, including YTD. Ownership: Higher institutional ownership, which can be a sign of institutional confidence. Dividends: Paying dividends, although the yield is low. Recommendation: Analysts have a "strong buy" or "buy" recommendation, with a target price considerably above the current price. American Airlines (AAL) Valuation: Extremely low P/E and Forward P/E, which could indicate either significant undervaluation or skepticism. Earnings and Revenue: Slightly less optimistic outlook for future earnings growth. Performance: Generally weaker performance, particularly in the shorter term. Ownership: Lower institutional ownership, which might indicate less institutional confidence. Dividends: Not paying dividends. Recommendation: Analysts have a "hold" recommendation, with a moderate target price above the current level. Potential Strategy Go Long on DAL: Given its stronger performance metrics, better institutional ownership, and more favorable analyst recommendations, DAL seems to be the stronger candidate for a long position. Go Short on AAL: With its lower performance metrics, less favorable valuation ratios, and lower institutional ownership, AAL could be the candidate for a short position. How Oil Data Could Impact Airlines: Increase in Oil Prices: The Brent crude oil spot price is forecasted to increase from $79 to $83 in 2023 and up to $86 in 2024. Higher fuel prices generally mean increased operational costs for airlines, affecting profitability. U.S. Crude Oil Production: It's forecasted to increase, which could potentially help offset some of the price increases, although the impact might be marginal given the percentage change. U.S. Gasoline Inventories: A decrease in inventories generally means higher prices. Airlines use jet fuel, which is closely related to gasoline, so this could further increase operational costs. GDP Growth: A slower GDP growth rate could mean less consumer and business spending on travel, affecting the airline sector's growth. Implications for DAL and AAL: Profit Margins: Both airlines will face challenges with rising fuel costs. However, DAL's stronger financials could make it more resilient in absorbing these costs compared to AAL. Operational Efficiency: Rising costs might make operational efficiency even more critical. DAL's potential for operational efficiencies could serve it well here. Debt Levels: Rising oil prices and potentially higher interest rates could make debt servicing more challenging. DAL has a Debt/Eq of 2.49, while AAL has no long-term debt, potentially making AAL less susceptible to this particular challenge. Consumer Behavior: If higher operational costs are passed onto consumers, the willingness to spend on travel might be affected, given the already increasing interest rates and softening of some travel indicators as per the previous analysis. This could hit both airlines but might hurt AAL more if travelers opt for more financially stable airlines during uncertain times. Final Strategy: Long on 1*DAL: Despite rising fuel costs, DAL’s better financials and potential for operational efficiencies could make it a more resilient investment. Short on 3*AAL: AAL’s weaker financials, higher volatility, and greater susceptibility to sector-wide challenges make it a candidate for a short position.
NASDAQ:AAL
by joyny
Is America Airlines about to take off? With a 20% higher than expected earnings today and also raising future expectations...is American Airlines NASDAQ:AAL about to "take off" ? ✈️✈️✈️ EARNINGS RELEASED: Exp 1.59 / Rep 1.92 (20.6% higher than expected) - Breaking diagonal resistance line - Price peaking above the 200 week SMA - Nice to see 200 week SMA slope up now (TBC) - Ideally OBV to make a new higher high (TBC) Pre-market coming in lower. Pull back to $17 before continuation would not surprise me. I would enter having established support on the 200 week SMA. I would be waiting here. An eventual rise to over head resistance possible.
NASDAQ:AAL
by PukaCharts
2
America Airlines (AAL) Starts New Impulse HigherShort term view in AAL (America Airlines) suggests the rally from 5.24.2023 low is ongoing as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 5.24.2023 low, wave ((i)) ended at 16.78 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 15.92. Internal subdivision of wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 16, wave (b) ended at 16.39, and wave (c) lower 15.92. This completed wave ((ii)) in higher degree. The stock has turned higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 16.32 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 16.11. The stock resumes higher again in wave (iii). Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 16.49 and pullback in wave ii ended at 16.27. The stock resumes higher in wave iii towards 17.48 and dips in wave iv ended at 17.12. The stock extends higher in wave v towards 17.98. This completed wave (iii) in higher degree. Pullback in wave (iv) ended at 17.51. Up from wave (iv), wave i ended at 17.94 and pullback in wave ii ended at 17.67. Near term, as far as pivot at 15.92 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
NASDAQ:AAL
by Elliottwave-Forecast