Adobe Inc. (‘ADBE’)
Shares of Adobe Inc. (symbol ‘ADBE’) have performed exceptionally well over the last 3 months, reaching a 20-month high. The company’s earnings report for the fiscal quarter ending August 2023 is due for release on Thursday 14 August, after market close. The consensus EPS is $3.17, well up from $2.63 in same quarter last year.
The company has consistently had around a 3% revenue rise quarter-over-quarter for the last 3 consecutive quarters, and if it this pattern continues, we might see the share price reflect this positive performance. The total assets as of 31 May were $27.8 billion, up 5.74% year-on-year) while total liabilities were $13 billion, up 5.34% year-on-year. That shows a ratio of assets to liabilities of more than 2:1, indicating a financially sound company and therefore an attractive addition to investor portfolios.
From the technical analysis perspective the price has been aggressively bullish, to a 20-month high. It’s currently testing the resistance of the Bollinger bands as well as the inside reaction area of mid-October 2021’s price, while the faster moving 50-day average is trading well above the slower 100-day, further validating the market’s bullish trend.
The price broke above the 61.8% weekly Fibonacci retracement level, which is now a strong technical support for the price.
ADB trade ideas
ADBE suppress by the top to bottom golden ratio of 1.382ADBE suppress by the top to bottom golden ratio of 1.382
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Adobe's stock over the past two years. The top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, the highest point of Adobe's stock in the past two weeks has been suppressed by the top to bottom golden ratio of 1.382 in the figure, and the high point in early June and low point in mid August this year are exactly 2.000 positions in the top to bottom golden ratio in the figure! So, in the future, just use the top to bottom golden section of 1.382 in the figure as the watershed to determine the strength of Adobe's stock!
AdbeEarnings this Friday...
Think adbe will correct after this earnings back to 500.
Price broke out of a triangle and the move is now complete
Bearish divergence on daily RSI and chart
Usually with symmetrical triangles the measure move of the breakout is the length of triangle like so :
As you can see, the move is completed.
My short term target is 500 post earnings, if Adobe loses 500, it's going to 450. Price could gap up on earnings news and flush after similar to NVDA
ADBE Adobe Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought ADBE ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ADBE Adobe prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 600usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $32.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Adobe's stock has risen by 4 small bandsAdobe's stock has risen by 4 small bands
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Adobe's stock in the past two years. The top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, Adobe's stock has risen by 4 small bands since the short-term bottom formation at the end of September 2022, and the bull momentum has been perfectly released! The recent peak of Adobe's stock has just peaked at the top to bottom golden ratio of 1.618 in the picture, and now it has fallen back to 2.000! In the future, the top to bottom golden ratio of 2.382 in the figure will serve as the long short divide for Adobe's stock!
Rising WedgesThe most recent Rising Wedge (top wedge) was broken but price quickly recovered.
There is another RW below this one that is not valid as the bottom line has not been broken.
Price broke up and out of this wedge.
Rising wedges interrupt supply and demand causing too much supply inside the wedge.
Both lines slope up and converge at the apex.
No recommendation.
ADOBE: $307 up (+147,000%) Doing Nothing since Day a superior product inspired by XEROX PALO (PARC) R&D in 1970
come 1982 (12 years later) ADOBE was born
come 1986 (4 years later) adobe got listed at $0.21 cents
since then it rewarded early believers to (144,000%) for 33 years
thats a CAGR of (+4,300%) yearly yiled with an upward correction of -60%
up until todate where are media are becoming in demand to post millennial generartion
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MSOFT Microsoft listed around the same time @ $0.09 cents now spot $152 up (+168,000%)
also inspired by PARC
ADBE - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Breakout rising trend up in the medium long term.
🔹Supports at 450 if NEGATIVE reaction occurs.
🔹RSI bearish diverges against the price, indicating downward reaction.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
ADOBE: Pull back to the 1D MA50 unless the High breaks.Adobe is consolidating after the June 16th high that was the peak of an enormous 1 month rally. The 1D timeframe has started to normalize (RSI = 68.673, MACD = 19.860, ADX = 22.091) the previously overbought condition but technically there is still some way to go before we reach a low risk buy entry.
We believe that is near the 1D MA50, so we are turning bearish (TP = 450.00). If the 518.55 High breaks however, we will take the loss and go long instead targeting the Resistance (TP = 580.00).
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Bearish Elliot waves This looks like we may be somewhere late in an ABC correction. Attached is a projection of what the following cycle of Elliot waves would be like if this move completed.
We'd be looking for a hard dump sometime soon (Maybe after a spike). Run to the previous low. Chop around there for a little while and then the hard sell-off.
$ADBE tends to be more bullish in July than in JuneFor decades, Adobe has delivered hundreds of intelligent capabilities in its applications through Adobe Sensei, enabling customers to create, work, and collaborate more efficiently.
Adobe Ventures invests in early-to-midstage companies that create software at the forefront of creativity, digital experiences, and document productivity.
TipRanks: Based on the 28 sell-sidetooltipClick this button to read the definition of sell-side analysts who offered a 12-month price target in the last three months.
ADBE - BULLISH SCENARIOWhen considering the purchase of a stock, the future outlook becomes a crucial factor, particularly for investors seeking portfolio growth. While value investors emphasize the importance of intrinsic value relative to price, a compelling investment thesis often revolves around high growth potential at an attractive price. In the case of Adobe, it is projected that the company's earnings will increase by 61% in the coming years, signaling a highly optimistic future. This expected growth is likely to result in stronger cash flows, which in turn should contribute to an increase in the company's share value.
The next price target is $ 520
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ADBE - Solid Fundamentals and MomentumAdobe Inc. (ADBE) stands out as a company with strong fundamentals. Adobe is renowned for its exceptional products such as Photoshop, Acrobat Reader and Creative Cloud.
ADBE's price climbed up to 54% since May 2023 Rather than succumbing to the fear of missing out (FOMO), a patient approach is warranted. I refused to chase the price. I want the price to come to me.
Waiting for a pullback or the formation of a solid base will provide opportune moments for entry.
A pullback can offer an attractive entry opportunity. Waiting for a pullback or the formation of a solid base would provide me strategic entry points. By monitoring key support levels, daily pivot misses, and structural breakouts as a mean of my timing to buy the stock with optimized risk and reward.
Entry trigger from a pullback : Price retraces to significant levels and then a bullish reversal candle formed or a structural breakout or a daily pivot being missed.
Entry trigger from a solid base : Price breaks the resistance level WITH volume.
Adobe's stock will enter a downward trend! Adobe's stock will enter a downward trend!
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Adobe's stock in the past two years. The graph overlays the recent top to bottom golden section. As shown in the figure, after bottoming out at the end of September 2022, Adobe's stock is now in the fourth largest upward trend band! The long up shadow line at the weekly level last week indicates that in the short term, bulls are weak! In the future, Adobe's stock will enter a downward trend!
Adobe Target $539 - After Consolidation🐂 Trade Idea: Long - ADBE
🔥 Account Risk: 2.50%
📈 Recommended Product: Stock
🔍 Entry: +/- 446.00
🐿 DCA: Yes, down to 400.00
😫 Stop-Loss: 357.00
🎯 Take-Profit #1: 539.00 (50%)
🎯 Take Profit #2: -
🎯 Trail Rest: Yes
🚨🚨🚨 Important: Don’t forget to always wait for strong confirmation once possible entry zone is reached. Trade ideas don’t work all the time no matter how good they look. Do not get a victim of FOMO, there is always another trade idea waiting. 🚨🚨🚨
If you like what you see don’t forget to leave a comment 💬 or smash that like ❤️ button!
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Adobe participated in the AI boom and made more than 50% from its May low at around 325.00. Huge selling pressure came in around 520.00 showing stronger resistance in that area. We’ll need to see some more consolidation before considering stepping in. First buy zone would be around 446.00 from where one can DCA-in into the stock down to 400.00. We might not see the stock reaching the second buy zone, so consider start buying in multiple tranches starting in buy zone 1.
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ADBE Adobe Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of ADBE Adobe prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 460usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-21,
for a premium of approximately $21.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Momentum Stock: Adobe IncAdobe has been on a good upward run over the last 9 months recovering a bit over half of its drop from previous highs. I think they are well positioned to take advantage of all the AI momentum and be able to deeply integrate it with their products. Could lead to a significant revival for the brand and its products.
With earnings only 2 days out it is looking a bit expensive on some of the technicals, but I think longer term it could be an interesting stock.
As always how you interpret and decide to act on any results is up to you. This is just data not financial or trading advice and past performance is in no way any guarantee of future performance. Think of it as a way to spot stocks you might be interested in and can add to your watch list and perform further research on and or discuss with your broker.
Again. Not trading advice . Industries and companies change. Trends can end. Do your own research / discuss it with your advisor, but might be one to watch.
ADBE earnings @ 4:05pmAdobe Systems (ADBE) Q4 November 2022 earnings are today 12/15/22 at 4:05pm. ADBE reported Q3 August 2022 earnings of $3.33 per share on revenue of $4.4 billion. The consensus earnings estimate was $3.35 per share on revenue of $4.4 billion. Revenue grew 12.7% on a year-over-year basis. The company said it expects fourth quarter non-GAAP earnings of approximately $3.50 per share on revenue of approximately $4.52 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $3.50 per share on revenue of $4.53 billion for the quarter ending November 30, 2022. Here's ADBE levels on the 1-day chart:
Q4 November 2022 Consensus:
EPS: $3.50
Revenue: $4.53 B
SMA10 Triangular Trend Channel:
top = $375
R3 = $365
R2 = $355
R1 = $345
pivot = $335
S1 = $325
S2 = $315
S3 = $305
bottom = $295
SMA's
SMA50 = $318
SMA100 = $345
SMA150 = $361
SMA200 = $378
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
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7pt Trading compass:
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Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
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+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
Beware of analyst's motives
Emotions & Opinions
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Lack of planning & discipline
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