AP2 trade ideas
Applied Material Entry PointsSigns of uptrend
- Candles challenging MA 200 (neutral)
- Expectation of Line C (1:1 of line B) is not met - weak downtrend
- New higher high being formed (dotted line) - downtrend breached
Waiting between $80 to $90 to enter, where more volume are being traded.
$AMAT with a Bullish outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Bullish outlook for $AMAT after a Positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B with an expected accuracy of 71.43%.
A level to short off of on AMATA level to watch and think about on AMAT. I am surprised AMAT made it this high, but I am quite confident it makes it no higher. I expect stocks to fall on CPI, I think semis will fall especially. Even if they don't, I'd watch this level on AMAT; I'm not sure it revisits it- I think the top is in. Make of it what you will. This is as good as it gets; I think this thing breaks new lows in November or early December
Applied Materials: Another Lower High?Applied Materials has recently bounced along with other technology stocks. But some trend followers may look for it to roll over.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the line running along the highs of January and August. The chip-equipment stock is approaching that potential resistance area. Will it roll over again?
The most recent price action may have already answered that question. After all, Wednesday’s peak was $0.06 below its monthly high from October 6. The S&P 500, in contrast, made new highs last week versus earlier in the month. That may reflect a lack of relative strength.
Third, AMAT has been stalling at its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Is the intermediate-term downtrend still in effect?
Finally, stochastics are back to an overbought condition.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Short idea #4Hey, I think AMAT drops, and significantly so; this will make new lows. I'm not shorting yet, but I'm posting my idea ahead of time. I WILL short this when SPY hits $390
AMAT long on a day of underperformanceHey all, as of Friday, I've been very bullish and net long. I sized up my long bet by buying AMAT here. I think everything has room up, especially AMAT as it is up negligibly on a very strong day. Predicted move, soft SL, and pt's drawn out. I think this name actually gets higher than my drawn out move.
Sharp rally, but likely to be capped at 93 or 98 resistanc levelRising volume and divergence are seeing stong bullish upside. But likely another downside is seen
AMATT This flat support has been pretty strong. However although the bulls have a chance to create a nice double bottom, the daily candles are creating more of a Barash flag Currently we are breaking the support and what we want to see is a daily candle close below in flipped to the hourly chart And look for a WIC back test or a nice back test rejection that we can get a suite entry on a short position upon this flipping to resistance. 82.83-83$ is the support to watch and see if this flips to resitance
$AMAT with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $AMAT after a Negative Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift D with an expected accuracy of 83.33%.
AMAT shortHey all, I'm currently up negligibly on my AMAT short. Along with SMH, I've been short on this name for the longest period of time out of any of the positions in my portfolio- I filled short when this thing hit 108 for the first time on the rally it is seeing. That being said, this is about as incredible a short setup as I've ever seen. I firmly believe this thing will virtually straight line down to $72/share. Even if that isn't the case, the risk:reward on this name is incredible, even here, down a few percent from the highs of this rally. I'm extraordinarily bearish on semiconductors currently; the names across the board look terrible, and as a very cyclically-sensitive sector, I believe they are primed to fall, a lot.
AMATter of timeHey all, I've been calling for a rally these last few weeks, and the rally has occurred. I am now looking to enter short with heavy size tomorrow, 7/29. AMAT is one of my favorite shorts- it has made a very clean Wyckoff distribution at the top, and has virtually no support until $70. I am incredibly bearish on semiconductors here, and AMAT is my favorite of the names to short. Favorable risk, favorable reward, with many safety net levels to hide behind if this rally does somehow, miraculously continue.
Applied Materials on the way down - AMATLong term chart here, logarithmically scaled to account for the long time span. As you can see, it's at the top of the channel and after the horrific week it just had I think that's the catalyst for a trip back down in the channel. It just broke below the 50 SMA. Top of channel + 20% down week + 50 SMA breach + macro market headwinds = down.
Head and Shoulders//Double BottomPrice is below the neckline.
It is often a good idea to wait for at least one retest of the neckline to be sure it formed resistance.
The neckline is strong support before it is broken.
No recommendation.
Short is low at 1.28%/Ratio is 1.3
Earnings 8-18
AMAT - Cup and Handle ContinuationAMAT has formed a large cup structure above the dominant Up trend in green
From this cup we can assume a handle will follow
Price once finished this formation acts bullishly and will continue upwards above the green trend line
$AMAT with a Neutral outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Neutral outlook for $AMAT after a Negative Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift D with an expected accuracy of 80%.
Short scalp $AMATBased on its downtrend, regress off resistance and a familiar chart pattern confirmed by my technical indicators, I expect at least half a percent in profits IF $AMAT breaches yesterday's low of $111.86 during today's session.
4/17/22 AMATApplied Materials, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMAT )
Sector: Producer Manufacturing (Industrial Machinery)
Market Capitalization: 100.142B
Current Price: $113.36
Breakdown price: $114.50
Sell Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $125.60-$136.95
Price Target: $97.20-$94.80 (4th)
Estimated Duration to Target: 40-44d (4th)
Contract of Interest: $AMAT 5/20/22 110p
Trade price as of publish date: $4.95/contract
Short Idea: $AMAT1) I expect a momentaneous recovery in the week. Why? The stock market never goes directly to 0, the price always fluctuates and moves in waves (ups and downs), but the overall trend prevails. Also, sellers will take profits on the way down, causing a small recovery. That being said, I will start adding 15% of my total capital for this trade (Risk Management).
2) Once the stock resumes the trend I will add 25% at the breakout of the first trade.
3) 3% down since 2), I will add 40% as the trend, once again, is confirmed.
4) Last but not least, I will add the last 20% after a 4% drop since 2) happened.
Average price around $115, take profit $91, total profit 21%.
All ideas are welcome! Thanks for your time!
