Cisco catching the DowAfter a big gap down, Cisco is becoming interesting. Let's take a look at what happened last 6 months.
After a strong rally, the stock gapped down strongly in August, a sign that the big uptrend is over. At the 3rd wave bottom, which at the time i thought to be a C from an ABC correction we had a tripple bullish divergence, both on the MACD lines and histogram, indicating that there might be some up movement. There was up movement, till the earnings report dissapointed strongly. After the gap down following the bad Q3 earnings report, the stock stopped declining at the 20 psychological level, where we also had older support levels, forming what looks like a sharp bottom. Last 3 weeks, i can see some bullish activity.
Considering that Cisco was well correlated with the DOW Jones last years, I expect them to synchronize again, shorting the Dow now would be a bad thing to do, so the alternative is going long Cisco.
If we look at the way the stock moves, I mean the lower lows and lower highs, we notice that this high is exceeding the previous one made after there were some bulls buying after the Q3 earnings report.
The MACD has been giving us bullish signals a week ago, all details outlined on the chart.
IF and only IF we have a close over the blue weekly resistance line, I am going long, first two targets outlined on the chart. However, if we close over that level i expect the stock to go even higher than my targets, but it's a long road till there. First let's see 25 bucks per share
CIS trade ideas
Cisco - Possible uptrend resumeCisco Systems has been in a strong uptrend for a long time, completing a five wave formation. Last months we can see an abc correction till the 38.2% fib, around the 200 day moving average.
If we look closely at the top (at wave 5), and look closely at the recent bottom (at wave c), we can see a perfect simetry, a double divergence.
Red lines represent strong support and resistance from the weekly charts. Close support is the blue line.
First target is at the 61.8% fib retracement from the top, and the second target is the actual top.
Remember, this trade is relative to the earnings report and the price action preceding it. If the report comes out good and there is no gap or strong bullish price action, i would be really reluctant toward this trade.
For now the trade is in stand by, waiting for confirmation
Cisco Potential Recovery AheadCisco shares breaking higher, as price may be heading to resume the overall long term bullish trend. After testing its main ascending trend line, price has broken a classic falling wedge bullish pattern, key horizontal resistance around 23.40, 23.40 is also a neckline for Adam and eve double bottom pattern. Targets and technical notes outlined on chart.
Earnings Watch.$CSCO. Sorrily priced with such deep and rich potential. Get to know how it responds to the uptrending market. Nobody really seems to care and I am thinking maybe they should start doing proper homework. Sincerely, Beauty - Please follow me on twitter @BeautyBubble and here on TradingView