$FCEL Fuelcell Energy Inc Long term PTs 39 - 682 and higherNASDAQ:FCEL Fuelcell Energy Inc
Long term PTs 39 - 682 and higher
FuelCell Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells stationary fuel cell and electrolysis platforms that decarbonize power and produce hydrogen. The company provides various configurations and applications of its platform, including on-site power, utility grid support, and microgrid, as well as distributed hydrogen; solid oxide-based electrolysis; solutions for long duration hydrogen-based energy storage and electrolysis technology; and carbon capture, separation, and utilization systems. It also offers technology to produce electricity, heat, hydrogen, and water. In addition, the company provides turn-key solutions, including development, engineering, procurement, construction, interconnection, and operation services. It serves various markets, including utilities and independent power producers, industrial and process applications, education and health care, data centers and communication, wastewater treatment, government, commercial and hospitality, microgrids, manufacturing, industrial hydrogen, port, oil and gas, wind and solar projects, food and beverage, hydrogen for mobility and material handling, and hydrogen fuel for heat, as well as engineering, procurement, and construction firms. The company primarily operates in the United States, South Korea, and Europe. FuelCell Energy, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, Connecticut.
FEY trade ideas
FCEL possible big move in the making!Hi folks! Here is my perspective of the chart. Anything is possible, could revisit $1 if resistance zone cannot be broken. However, it does have strong divergent patterns, as well as volume not seen in some time. Please read my annotations.
Thank you for viewing! Happy trading!
OnePath
FCEL 1W Bearish Running Flat CorrectionWave 4 of C upwards over 100% then final wave 5 down to retracement of previous wave 2 on the left. 82% Decrease in Price for wave 5.
FuelCell Energy, Inc. engages in the development, design, production, construction and servicing of high temperature fuel cells for clean electric power generation. It develops turn-key distributed power generation solutions and provides comprehensive services for the life of the power plant. The firm's fuel cell solution is an alternative to traditional combustion-based power generation and is complementary to an energy mix consisting of intermittent sources of energy, such as solar and wind turbines. It provides solutions for various applications, including utility-scale distributed generation, on-site power generation, combined heat and power, distributed hydrogen, carbon capture and hydrogen-based long duration storage. The company's platform has the differentiating ability to do all these applications utilizing multiple sources of fuel including natural gas, renewable biogas, and propane among others sources. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, CT.
FCEL/PLUGHi, I show the concatenated Fcel/plug in a Fibonacci channel. Plug has 7% down to hit supports at “two prior peaks”. The bleeding is almost over. Meanwhile Fcel, which I own with a $160k opening position at $2.40, is landing on the bottom of the pair’s fib channel. Fcel “should” run net bullish Plug from here on, even if they are both falling. But when plug bottoms, and starts to pump again, the Fcel strength will be obvious.
FCEL UpdateI've mentioned this stock a few times in the past, I said it'll get close to book value because they lose money every quarter. Well, it's pretty dang close now.
Might be worth throwing a few bucks there today or tomorrow if you like long term plays. Low risk at this point. Not gonna recommend options since you never know when this will pop, could be next week.... or 2 months from now.
Fcel fib channelHi, I show Fcel fib channel price location, and on balance volume landing. Price is at $2. I’m in from $2.40, and looking for $185ish. Short term head and shoulders pattern pointing to $1.77, but not guaranteed. Volume coming in again slowly, and nearing vpvr lower bounds, and linear lower bounds. Do you have the will and fortitude to realize life-changing gains?
fcel playfcel looks like itr can head to 3 dollars by the end of the week and then can be rejected back to two dollars this can happen all in a week or two so watch out if it passes the 3 dollar it can get a bullish trend but it loosk over bought and needs to come down and kevel out before it goes up again
FCEL UpdateThe problem with micro cap stocks is that a pump on news doesn't last very long. FCEL dropped out of a pennant reversal, looks like it's going to fill that news gap.
I wouldn't buy until MFI goes oversold on the daily, probably headed below $ 2 again within the next 2 weeks. I said a few weeks ago that this wouldn't make it above $ 3 resistance, it only made it to $ 2.5. Old support is new resistance, will have a hard time breaking that again.
$FCEL The Future Of Clean EnergyOver the past week, the stock of the Connecticut-based fuel company FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: FCEL) climbed nearly 40%. News regarding development in the company’s collaboration with Toyota Motor Corporation (NYSE: TM) and its other partnership with Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) were two major catalysts driving the stock in the last few days. Furthermore, one of the biggest investment companies in the US BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE: BLK) increased its stake in FCEL last week. With the company expecting its Toyota plant to start operating in Q3 of this year while anticipating its Derby, Connecticut power grid one to start operating in Q4, FCEL stock could continue its rally going into the latter half of the year.
FCEL Fundamentals
With rising concerns about climate change, cutting emissions and energy transitions is one of the world’s current biggest challenges. Enter FCEL, the company that manufactures and operates fuel cell power plants, especially hydrogen ones. The idea of hydrogen production is using natural gas or renewable biogas, to produce hydrogen, power, and water through a trigeneration platform or by a solid oxide platform where water is split into oxygen and hydrogen which can be stored as compressed gas for future use.
Despite hydropower forming only 6.4% of different sources of energy used to fulfill energy demand in 2020, the demand for hydrogen is expected to grow to 500–680 million metric tons (MT) by 2050 compared to 87 MT in 2020. The demand for hydrogen and other clean sources of energy might increase even further due to the European Union’s proposed approximately $270 billion program that would offer tax breaks for businesses investing in net-zero technology. Moreover, the market size of hydrogen production has been valued at $155.35 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.3% from 2023 to 2030. With this in mind, FCEL could witness a surge in its demand long term.
Partnering with Anaergia Inc, FCEL is set to receive natural gas from the company’s subsidiary SoCal Biomethane, LLC to produce hydrogen and electricity using FCEL’s trigeneration platform for Toyota Motor Corporation’s (NYSE: TM) Logistics Services Center at the Port of Long Beach in California. The facility is Toyota’s largest port operation handling import/exports for North America and processes about 200,000 vehicles per year, where it will be powered by FCEL’s hydrogen fuel cells which will produce a net of 2.3 megawatts of electricity. Moreover, FCEL will produce approximately 1.3 tons of renewable hydrogen per day to fuel Toyota Mirai which is Toyota’s hydrogen fuel cell vehicle. The global hydrogen fuel cell vehicle market size was valued at $0.92 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach $43.2 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 45.5% from 2022 to 2031. With this in mind, FCEL could prove itself as a magnate in this aggressively growing market if its partnership with Toyota bodes well.
Alongside hydrogen production, FCEL offers carbon capture services where its platforms can capture carbon emissions from the exhaust streams of coal or gas-fired power plants that can be recycled by being sold or used for industrial processes while simultaneously producing clean power. This technology is to be demonstrated in one of Exxon Mobil Corporation’s (NYSE: XOM) facilities after FCEL secured an order from the Texas-based oil and gas company. The demonstration project is expected to be a full-scale prototype of the modules utilized in large-scale systems for industrial and commercial point source carbon capture applications. However, ExxonMobil hasn’t made a final investment decision yet, but the company stated that the order is a crucial step in equipment procurement and module engineering work.
Using its carbon capture platform, FCEL is set to provide enhanced grid resiliency, reliability, and low carbon power to the Connecticut power grid as the company is currently constructing a plant in Derby, Connecticut. This 14-megawatt installation will be the second largest installed fuel cell platform in the US, only falling behind FCEL’s other 15-megawatt platform in Bridgeport, Connecticut. The company expects commercial operations to begin in Q4 2023, which could boost FCEL’s stock price upon operation.
In other news, BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE: BLK) – the New York-based multinational investment company – has its stake in FCEL shares by 8.59% at the start of May. Blackrock now owns 10.3% of FCEL with 41.6 million shares which is an increase from 38.3 million shares back in January and a 0.8% increase in ownership. As a result, the FCEL stock forecast could be promising having the backing of one of the biggest investment companies in the US.
FCEL Financials
In its Q1 2023 report, FCEL reported $892.3 million in assets, including $315 million in cash and cash equivalents. FCEL witnessed a decline in its assets from $939.7 million, including a decline in its cash and equivalents from $458 million in Q4 2022. FCEL’s liabilities shrank QoQ from $185.3 million to $157.1 million as its current liabilities decreased from $85.8 million to $66 million while its long-term debt decreased from $82.8 million to $81.5 million.
For the three months ended January 31, FCEL revenues grew YoY from $31.7 million to $37 million, while its gross profit increased from a loss of $2.8 million to a profit of $5.2 million as its cost of revenues decreased from $34.6 million to $31.8 million. Moreover, FCEL’s operating loss shrank YoY from $44.8 million to $22.4 million. Finally, FCEL’s net loss also shrank YoY from $46.1 million to $21 million.
Technical Analysis
FCEL stock’s trend is bullish as it is currently trading in an upwards channel.
Looking at the indicators, FCEL stock is currently trading above the 21 MA, 50 MA, and 200 MA which is a bullish sign. The RSI is approaching overbought at 60 and the MACD is bearish.
Fundamentally, FCEL stock’s most recent catalysts are more news regarding its collaboration with Toyota and its other one with ExxonMobil, in addition to Blackrock increasing its stake in the company. FCEL stock has two upcoming catalysts which are the expected commercial operation of its trigeneration platform in Toyota’s Logistics Services Center in Q3 and the expected commercial operation of its carbon capture platform in the Derby, Connecticut power grid plant.
FCEL stock price is expected to increase in light of these catalysts. A possible entry point would be at current price as it’s currently testing the lower trend line, taking profit on testing the upper trend line, while leaving a tail anticipating the expected operation of its platforms in Q3 and Q4.
FCEL Forecast
After partnering with Anaergia Inc, FCEL is set to receive the necessary natural gas that will be used to produce hydrogen and power through its trigeneration platform, which is expected to operate in Q3 of this year for Toyota’s Logistics Services Center. Furthermore, FCEL secured an order from ExxonMobil and is set to demonstrate its carbon capture platform in one of its facilities. FCEL is also constructing a carbon capture platform that is set to power the Derby, Connecticut power grid which is expected to start operation in Q4 of this year. Based on these reasons, the FCEL stock forecast could be bullish for the rest of 2023. Finally, the European Union’s $270 billion program offering tax breaks for businesses investing in net-zero technology could further increase the rising demand for hydrogen fuel cells making FCEL stock an exceptional long-term investment.
FCEL UpdateRemember a while back I said all speculative money losing stocks will do a slow decay and eventually wind up at book value? I posted BLDP and FCEL stock back then....
So here we are, tangible book value $646M, market cap now $880M. Looks like it's headed under $2.
No position, just wanted to say I was right, lol. Unfortunately this one is too hard to predict on a day by day basis, so I didn't trade it much.
Buying FCELI am buying FCEL here.
FuelCell Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells stationary fuel cell energy platforms that decarbonize power and produce hydrogen.
Revenue is forecast to grow 24.21% per year
Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years
FCEL: Squeeze CandidateWhen a stock has a parabolic move, the pullback tends to be unrelenting but nevertheless organized in a way that presents regular squeeze opportunities. The pullback can lead to an "echo" pop (sometimes before the stock eventually disappears altogether) - or even new all-time highs down the line. It is a pattern to watch for. GME had a similar pattern in 2021 on the hourly chart.
The decline will initially hold the most aggressive moving average, with multiple tests along the way. Then at some point the frequency of the tests will increase or a consolidation just below it will occur where upon the pop will come. A necessary second close above that line will show whether the move has some legs. Often the first test of any strong MA trend, as discussed here, will fail on the second period candle - which presents a good short opportunity with an obvious stop.
The decline may resume but the force of the first moving average will waver and the next moving average will characterize the active resistance level. More tests of this second MA will ensue in a similar way to the first, with the familiar omens suggesting the approaching timing of a pop, like the first. Consolidations between moving averages like the one on GME (between the 20 and 50) are particularly good because they present a clear breakout level or pattern failure. Similarly, when price trades in an organized range directly below or directly above the relevant MA, then that is also a good tell that the stock is being accumulated for manipulation higher. The relevant consolidation will look atypical to the previous tests of the MA, because it obviously won't be rejected in the way as previously shown by that level (i.e. such as trapping one period candles noted earlier).
FCEL's decline has consistent characteristics to this organized pattern and looks ready for a pop. It is also notable for its similar long-term pattern. First level of interest is close however at 4.10. But then the levels to open up to 4.8, 5.8, and 13-14 for the immediate time horizon.