GS - longI don't really have much technical analysis support for this trade. This one is basically all fundamental:
GS just reported earnings, and they took a bunch of charges, which made 3Q2023 a lot worse than 3Q2022. They did, however, still beat estimates.
It looks to me like GS is finally getting out of a lot of the headwinds they had over the past couple of years:
IPO and M&A activity has been very muted over the last several quarters, and we are finally starting to see a decent pipeline emerge.
The bank is getting ready to jettison its Apple partnership, and its whole consumer-facing Marcus franchise.
GS significantly cut exposure to commercial real estate, which looks like it will produce losses for years to come.
The WFH controversy that has caused a lot of dissatisfaction within the ranks seems to have died down.
Most importantly, today's earnings seem to be met with relief by investors that it wasn't as bad as feared. From a valuation perspective banks have been cheap for a long time, and continue to look cheap to me. And IV is very low by historical comparison. I got long a December out of the money vertical call spread.