HeidelbergCement AG | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
* Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
* Weekend Crypto Session
# Trend | Time Frame Conductive | Weekly Time Frame
- General Trend
- Measurement on Session
* Support & Resistance
* Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead
# Position & Risk Reward | Daily Time Frame
- Measurement on Session
* Retracement | 0.5 & 0.618
* Extension | 0.786 & 1
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
HEI trade ideas
H&S and Dark Cloud Cover indicate short term bearish reversal?Heidelbergcement's future not looking good amid a raising interest rates environment for real estate promoters.
Technical analysis: Bearish
A Head and Shoulders pattern could be underway since Sep 2022 and once the stock has reached a double ceiling level at 77.50€. Besides, a Dark Cloud cover was formed on Friday 29th of September in the right shoulder and today's candle seems to be confirming the candlestick pattern prophecy, which would lead us to first support level ranging from 68.5-70.5€.
Beyond analysis and POV: Bearish and Bullish
The fact that Vonovia has frozen 60.000 apartments that were supposed to be built now also indicates a reduction of materials' demand to build houses and perhaps other real estate promoters have come up with the same decision. This means, less materials needed for now which could potentially affect Heidelbergcement's profits in the near future. However, the ISM Manufacturing PMI came better than expected for September (actual 49, exp. 47.7 prev. 47.6). This means, any short-term bearish reversal could not last long.
Fundamental analysis: All bullish considerations
The debt level is considered satisfactory with a net debt to equity ratio of 32.8%. Earnings Payout to Shareholders is 26%. P/E ratio = 7.5 while industry average is 9.1.
🔜 bullish move ahead!Technicals
The 50 % retracement of the correction from the bullish movement from the high last April was reached. It's a healthy correction so far.
We're above the EMA 17 and SMA 30 and 50 on a daily basis.
An inverse shoulder-head-shoulder-formation has been built and already broken.
As we have cut through the SMA 200 (red) without any major resistance the last time(s), we could consider it not a significant resistance when moving upwards.
We've got a bullish seasonal pattern in HEI over the last 15 years considering Seasonality. 80 % win rate in the date range from the 24th of February until the 9th of May.
Fundamentals
A growth by 1.5 % in 2022 is expected in the construction sector: www.bauindustrie.de
Construction volume is growing in 2022: www.tga-fachplaner.de
Economic growth is expected in the construction industry: www.deutsche-handwerks-zeitung.de
So I'm bullishly invested.
Long in Heidelberger CementHeidelberger Cement had a good business in the last year with an enormous rise in dividend.
The building boom after corona is in the beginning, so it should be profitable.
The stock is currently on a strong trend line and MA200 (4d), which where support in the last months.
So a position good bring a good profit here.
Solid Set-up in HEI (Weekly Chart) for a Strong Rebound 13 TD Countdown Exhaustion.
In a very supportive area.
Close to the 0.618 retracement level from the multi year rally begun in 2011.
Stochastics showing positive divergence forming. Bottom forming similar to 2008/09 GFC.
Targets 68 / 79
Stops 51.00
HeidelbergCement AG LONG Signal In the making(mid/longterm)As you can see we are about to leave the downtrend. Have a look at the daily chart to have some better insight in the exact structure of the outbreak process. But for now I want to highlight the similarity between the price behavior right now compared to the last time we hit that similar price area.
Pretty much the same movement and also Volume shows at least some change in structure. Let's see what we can get.
My Plan for Now:
Not quiet sure if that possible right shoulder is already done.. I could also imagine some more consolidation phase, but if not we are ready. This is a solid German company and I do imagine investing for longer term into it. But nevertheless less this is also a great short/midterm setup. Let's see if we can break that neckline of our pattern.
I placed an alarm close above 63.00. I think if we climb above some more daily trader will enter the market and might push it even higher.
Done for now.
Let´s see what tomorrows opening brings us.
Hang around for updates.
Feel free to ask..
Stay safe out there.