INL trade ideas
Intel Analysis for OtosanOne of four companies who received funding from the US Gov to develop semiconductor plants within the USA (Intel, Texas Instruments, Samsung and TSMC).
Intel and Texas are domestic (more likely to receive funding in long term as coming from US tax payers). Of the two Intel was most bearish for 5+ years due to competition from AMD (direct competitor) and more recently NVDA.
Opportunity: The last fabrication site built domestically was in built in 1995 (New Mexico) for Intel and has simply outsourced manufacturing to TSMC. Due to recent global climate and supply chain issues they upgraded this old factory in 2021. This recently upgraded factory can only produce 14nm chips (THIS IS 2014 TECHNOLOGY!!!). In August, 2021 Intel has partnered with the Department of Defense and will be building two new factories scheduled to open in 2024 to make 5nm chips (2020 technology and likely to be delayed). These two factories will cost roughly the price of 12 aircraft carriers (more than the 11 in service now). Though intel claims that they will be at the TSMC by 2025 this is impossible as this assumes that TSMC makes no progress in 5 years time. Foreign Policy experts believe that this will take 10 years time and a lot more money.
Congress is currently working on a bill expected to pass by July 4th - The legislation called the COMPETES Act authorizes almost $300 billion for research and development, including $52 billion to subsidize semiconductor manufacturing and research (10x more than the recent funding for Ukraine for 35 billion). For Intel this will of course be on top of the contract from last years with the Department of Defense. Keep in mind that allocation of funds to which companies is unclear but Intel is a likely candidate for they have been already been working in partnership with the Deparment of Defense.
INTC 10-05-2022 LongAsset and Time frame -INTC,1M
Entry Price -44.39
Exit(Stop Loss) -42.22
Exit(Take Profit) -52.03
Technical Analysis - Pretty simple, the price has reached a multi-year support line that has been tested over 15 times in its past, add the 100 Month moving average, and that's a tough trade to say "no" to,
The market is choppy, bearish, and volatile, risking 0.75% instead of 1% to reduce exposure
Good luck!
$ITNC - Dip Buy @ 2018, 2019, 2020, & 2021 "Low of Year" Prices$INTC is currently in the $44-$45 range, an area where it has bounced since 2018. High probability of bouncing again as it has already held this area even when SPY hit the 2022 low of year (so far) @ $405. This indicates strong demand in this area that bulls are likely to protect.
The ultra conservative play here would be to set limit orders and for the supply zone marking the yearly highs from 2014-2017, and hoping for a dip that low. This seems unlikely unless $SPY breaks below the low of $405.
Break or Bounce?Price is back again to test a previous strong level of support! Will it break or bounce ? I don't know and will the market tell me what's next ! But as all major indices a breaking lower or retesting 2022 lows, my guess is it will most probably break lower but this is just a hunch and will wait for confirmation ! Just my opinion :)
Intel (NASDAQ: $INTC) Flashing Super Strong Support Area! 🔦Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide. The company operates through CCG, DCG, IOTG, Mobileye, NSG, PSG, and All Other segments. It offers platform products, such as central processing units and chipsets, and system-on-chip and multichip packages; and non-platform or adjacent products, including accelerators, boards and systems, connectivity products, graphics, and memory and storage products. The company also provides high-performance compute solutions for targeted verticals and embedded applications for retail, industrial, and healthcare markets; and solutions for assisted and autonomous driving comprising compute platforms, computer vision and machine learning-based sensing, mapping and localization, driving policy, and active sensors. In addition, it offers workload-optimized platforms and related products for cloud service providers, enterprise and government, and communications service providers. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, and cloud service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic partnership with MILA to develop and apply advances in artificial intelligence methods for enhancing the search in the space of drugs. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
Is Intel about to broke his strong supports???After checked only in 1d and 1w timeframes I was able to see a knowing bearish price-action pattern which indicates that we are almost about to SELL, as per supports in 1d and 1w I just add an arrow which indicates the most possible FIRTS target, need to go deep into analysis in order to check if stonks will stay there or they carry on with bearish trend.
⏩ INTEL. 1 WEEK CHART ACCUMULATION?Hello! Lets look at Intels 1w chart.
1. Mark-up finished with climactic action (buying climax = resistance line) in 2018. Then we saw change of behaviour reaction from bears, we stopped at 42$ level (support line)
2. Then price started to move between resistance and support lines in a horizontal range. In December 2019, January 2020 bulls rally breaked the resitance line but covid incident have declined this try. Bears immidietaly seized the initiative and price tested support line (demand zone). Just look at this BIG SUPPLY BAR (july 2020) with the one of the biggest spreads and volume! But whats the result? Looks bearish, but acts neutral.
3. After that, Bulls tryed to rally and they overcame that bar but have been declined at 68$ as in January 2020 - Lower High.
4. Finally, bears started their reaction - downward channel. Supply and demand lines of the channel work properly.
5. Now we are still in this structure. To tell the truth, this sellers move does not consist great momentum, spread of the bars are not as big as in 2020 reaction so thats more bullish. Recent low on 22 february is LH compare to previous one. Look at rally that began - good spreads, there is no climactic volumes too, just consistent demand, But resistance line have declined that move.
6. Last week closed in a body of big bullish bar, we expect local stopping action (1d. 4 hour) at 45-46 level. This is a nice Point of entry. Targets:
1st - 51$, 2nd 53-54$
7. Overall, in our opinion, we havent seen phase C yet (shakeout, spring) , final move to shake out all weak hands. Only after that we will see higher prices!
Massive cause, isnt it? Write your thoughts down in comment section below.
INTC- Some trends catch fire slowly
I have been bullish on this name for a while, and missed out options play twice, but I know that market gives you several opportunities if you are listening.
This weekly chart is just a start of what I expect to be MUCH bigger move in next few years.
Test of ATh might come as early as next month. then breakout, perhaps C&H (which already shows on the monthly TF)
In the midst of semiconductor chips shortage, when every other name has been devoured by institutions and retail alike, an industry leader $INTC remains undervalued and underestimated. I expect that to change soon.