Buy MARA $12.07 sell $12.67 MARA bullish Short term
Momentum
Marathon is a Bitcoin miner that mines its own Bitcoin with massive fleet of high end application specific integrated circuit miners.
M44 trade ideas
$MARA down again to $6-8 before up?Similar to my thoughts on NASDAQ:RIOT , I also think NASDAQ:MARA likely has another leg down before starting the uptrend higher.
I think most likely scenario is price tests the $10.43 level once more, rejects, and falls to retest the lows.
After retesting the lows in the gray box, then we start the real rally higher.
If this idea does play out, my current thinking is that the rally higher would be quick in early December hitting between $16-20 as the final move higher.
This idea lower would be invalidated on a move higher than that $11-12 region.
Let's see what happens.
Moon. Soon.Bitcoin has moved a bunch whilst these stocks lagged. A big divergence in price appreciation. NDX is bottoming out. So is the S&P.. as long as bitcoin holds price up here these stocks could easily run 150% - my prediction is 27$ before a pull back to 14.50
MARA iHS + falling wedge, points to $20All on the chart - i am long, needs patience. Also needs support of BTCUSD
MARA Marathon Digital Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MARA Marathon Digital Holdings prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 8usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-10,
for a premium of approximately $1.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Mara to break 200 emamara is moving with the 50 and 20 emas band tightly to price action 200 day is the next hurdle . After that i target 12.85 this is a 25% move
Calling CLSK to help unfold the MARA chartNeeded to overlay CLSK and MARA as the MARA corrective move down (observed in isolation) suggests a five waves move from the highs. However, the CLSK chart is a pretty clear ABC three wave move. Assuming the two charts correlate on the big picture.
$MARA capitulation, then strong bounce to new yearly highs?I've been tracking the movement of NASDAQ:MARA very closely over the past few weeks as I think the setup will end up being one of the best possible trades over the next month or two.
I originally turned bullish on it a bit too early last week, but the chart has become clearer over the past week or so as it hasn't been able to gain any strength.
From here, I think we'll see a capitulation in price over the next week going into the lower support area (buy zone).
From there, I think we'll see a very strong upside move in September that pushes price all the way up to the upper resistance (sell zone).
If you're able to trade it perfectly, it would setup a potential return of somewhere between 2x-3x (hence why I think it's one of the best trades).
Let's see if it plays out.
$MARA - Bull or Bear?NASDAQ:MARA
I like the stock and currently hold.
I personally feel one more high to $28-$33 (Could extend past this). Then potentially fall to sub $3.
The new lows present an opportunity for big money to buy miners whilst exceptionally low in value. The current fair value price for NASDAQ:MARA is $9.59. Anything below this is deep value in my opinion.
Whilst I know institutions are accumulating at record levels, the exchange traded volume is dropping off.
Based on Elliot Wave, I am optimistic we are currently in a Wave 4 with the Wave 5 low expected to be in the region of $1.80 - $2.20.
Although Miners Revenue is at a near record high, Miners have a tenancy to fall before a BTC halving and then reach new highs following the halving.
ETF approval is expected soon - It may give Institutions time to manipulate BTC and ETH prices before the halving or send the miners on a parabolic course with 'new money' entering the crypto market.
For clarity the blue vertical lines represent the BTC halving points. NASDAQ:MARA did not run on it's July 2016 halving as this appears to be a 'new entry' pattern. On the third BTC halving, it ran to new highs within months of the May 2020 BTC halving. This also backs up my theory we will see lower lows, before new highs, ahead of the next BTC halving (exp April 2024).
I hope I am wrong with lows coming given I will not be selling, but a wave 5 move down would form a primary inverse head and shoulders and would be an ideal area to load up on stock and long term options!
God speed!
**This is not financial advice**
#MARA - Marathon digital holdings back to single digitsLikely scenario in a during #Crypto winter
2014, 2018, 2022
more evidence #Bitcoin likely to bread down it seems
I can feel it in my plumbs..Mara hitting upper trend boundary, likely to come down in coming days and coil up into a much bigger move once BTC > £37.5K (Maybe 2 weeks from now).
$Mara - Following Bitcoin BullishIm looking for NASDAQ:MARA to join the pump train for a move higher to 14 then 18/19 before the year end.
Crypto has been on a pump with strong fundamental news. These crypto mining stocks for the most part has been consolidating as they are headed into earnings. We could potentially see a pop on earnings following the move on crypto.
Adversely we could see a dip on earnings however that wouldnt change the overall bullish trend. Taking a further out contract would mitigate that risk.
mara So here is my thoughts on MARA which I get a lot of requests for in my group. Been nailing Mara since Mid 2022 TBH.
We are either finished with Wave C of the B or still finishing. If finished with B then we are in W1 of the HTF C which can extended to the 1.618% or truncate at 2021 highs
$MARA - Cup and Handle formationNASDAQ:MARA Marathon Digital is in Cup and Handle ☕️formation and trying to break through the neckline. I believe it is ready to make a move to $12 in the near term.
I am long so I may be biased.
Price target:
$12
$15
$20
Downside risk:
$8
MARAMARA broke above resistance after a failed breakdown with arguments of accumulation on the chart for this trade my approaching plan is to wait for a pull back to confirm 8.86$ as support after the violent push if the price rejects lower prices at the support it's much safer and easier to apply risk management as break below that price would mean possible lower prices and if it holds enough above 8.86$ the target would be 20$ and with the current information given by the chart bullish divergence is being formed on 3D timeframe
Is Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) Underrated? Or A TrapValue-focused investors are always on the hunt for stocks that are priced below their intrinsic value. One such stock that merits attention is Marathon Digital Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:MARA). The stock, which is currently priced at $10.58, recorded a gain of 20.91% in a day and a 3-month decrease of 36.96%. The stock's fair valuation is $26.24, as indicated by its GF Value.
Understanding GF Value
The GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. The GF Value Line on our summary page gives an overview of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on three factors:
1. Historical multiples (PE Ratio, PS Ratio, PB Ratio and Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow) that the stock has traded at.
2. Based on the company's past returns and growth.
3. Future estimates of the business performance.
We believe the GF Value Line is the fair value that the stock should be traded at. The stock price will most likely fluctuate around the GF Value Line. If the stock price is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher.
Identifying Potential Risk Factors
However, investors need to consider a more in-depth analysis before making an investment decision. Despite its seemingly attractive valuation, certain risk factors associated with Marathon Digital Holdings should not be ignored. These risks are primarily reflected through its low Altman Z-score of -0.37. These indicators suggest that Marathon Digital Holdings, despite its apparent undervaluation, might be a potential value trap. This complexity underlines the importance of thorough due diligence in investment decision-making.
Company Introduction
Marathon Digital Holdings Inc focuses on mining digital assets. It owns cryptocurrency mining machines and a data center to mine digital assets. The Company currently operates in the Digital Currency Blockchain segment. The Company's Crypto-currency Machines are located in the United States.
Marathon Digital Holdings's Low Altman Z-Score: A Breakdown of Key Drivers
A dissection of Marathon Digital Holdings's Altman Z-score reveals Marathon Digital Holdings's financial health may be weak, suggesting possible financial distress:
The first factor we need to consider is a measure of short-term liquidity. This is calculated as the working capital divided by total assets. When we evaluate the data provided: 2021: 0.01; 2022: 0.00; 2023: 0.00, it's clear that Marathon Digital Holdings has experienced a declining trend in its Working Capital to Total Assets ratio over the past few years. This decline suggests potential liquidity issues that the company may be facing. The ratio is strikingly low, which unfavorably influences the overall Z-Score.
The EBIT to Total Assets ratio serves as a crucial barometer of a company's operational effectiveness, correlating earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) to total assets. An analysis of Marathon Digital Holdings's EBIT to Total Assets ratio from historical data (2021: -0.06; 2022: -0.13; 2023: -0.38) indicates a recent dip following an initial rise. This reduction suggests that Marathon Digital Holdings might not be utilizing its assets to their full potential to generate operational profits, which could be negatively affecting the company's overall Z-score.
In conclusion, despite its attractive valuation, Marathon Digital Holdings (NASDAQ:MARA) displays several risk factors that suggest it might be a potential value trap. The company's declining Working Capital to Total Assets ratio and EBIT to Total Assets ratio, along with its low Altman Z-Score, indicate potential financial distress. Therefore, careful due diligence is recommended before making an investment decision.
MARAMID-TERM: Zone breakout, 200 SMA breakout, wedge breakout, BTC breakout. (not financial advice)
cost averaging is important to note, already up a lot this week.
MARA longbought shares at $8.5
I think the stock is close to breakout to the upside.
The potential is huge.
I will hold it until CRYPTOCAP:BTC is at least $100k
What if to MARA Never Comes MARA - Marathon Digital Holdings
We covered CIPHER (CIFR) Mining recently which is the 3rd largest public bitcoin mining company. MARA, which we are covering today is the is the 2nd largest public bitcoin mining company in the world. Soon I will cover RIOT which is the LARGEST. We save the best till last.
THIS TRADE:
18:1 trade with 592% potential upside and only -32% downside (the stop could be lowered if you have a higher risk tolerance).
Bullish Developments on the chart:
- Price above the POC means strong underside support
Point of Control (POC) is the price level at which
the greatest number of contracts have been traded
within a volume profile.
- Above 200 day SMA means further strong underside support along side POC line. The 200 day
SMA has not turned upwards yet and I would be much happier is this would materialize.
- We are potentially breaking out of the parallel channel right now. We need confirmation of this. I would prefer the 200 SMA to turn up and for price to bounce off it at some point. This would provide additional comfort.
FINALLY, I think this could be also fall into the long term trade category. The RR is exceptional. The stop can be tight or a little looser. For me, im playing the long term game with BTC and will be holding positions long term in Miners too. If the trade plays out ill be skimming the position for sure but ill be leaving positions run and will update as we follow.
Play it safe guys. Positions that mean nothing to you. Remove and/or manage emotions with position size.
Some Fundamentals to help MARA stick in the mind
- 2nd largest public bitcoin miner
- MARA have 105,200 mining rigs deployed (CIPHER by comparison have 70,000 rigs and RIOT have 84,000+. My understanding is RIOT have the newer 2,000 Antminer S19j Pro miners and 3,000 S19 Pro rigs which arguably perform better) Ill make a table of these differences at some point
- Interestingly the market cap of MARA is $1.98bln just behind RIOT at $2.00bln. CIPR is $0.70bln
- MARA mined 825 bitcoin in the month of March 2023 (Cipher by comparison mined 493 in May and RIOT mining an ATH of 740 BTC in Jan 2023). Again ill do a bit of digging here to see can we get updated figures.
Thats all folks, stay posted for RIOT coming next and some comparison work on T--itter
PUKA
*** $MARA 2025 Plan **** NASDAQ:MARA 2025 Plan probable path for Mara which will correlate with CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart current going for right shoulder in wave c bottoming.
Will start buying 10& 12 calls for jan 17 & then some pullback around 11 that time will buy long term calls for 60 ,90 for Mar/jun 2025
MARA Squeeze it V2MARA has been taking a huge hit recently. If you have been following my trades, you likely know that we have been waiting for this pullback to the $8 range as we have some strong support zones here.
We're seeing some consolidation here in the form of a descending wedge. I can see a move upward as the RSI is also showing us some positive signs.
Looking to move towards the 200MA and we will see how the market reacts at that point.
Cheers!
