MSF trade ideas
MSFT, 10d+/-15.29%falling cycle -15.29% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
MSFT after acquisition.....1. Activision Blizzard
On January 18, 2022, following the announcement of the acquisition, the stock price of ATVI reached its peak at $82 after initially being at $65, which is 25% increase.
Around December 8, 2022, before and after the FTC's indication of opposition, the stock price experienced minor fluctuations of around 10%. However, after the CMA's opposition on April 26, 2023, the stock price plummeted by over 13%.
Overall, since the announcement of the acquisition on January 18, 2022, the stock price of ATVI has risen by over 20% from $65 to $78 on May 19, 2023. Despite this increase, it remains significantly below the premium price of $95 proposed by MSFT (-17%).
2. Microsoft
As of May 2023, Microsoft (MSFT) has a market cap of 2.363 trillion dollars. The acquisition of Activision Blizzard (ATVI) for 69 billion dollars represents approximately 3% of Microsoft's market cap. This indicates that M&A issues related to Activision Blizzard are not correlated with the MSFT stock price. As evidence of this, on January 18, 2022, after the acquisition announcement, Microsoft's stock price only declined by 2.43%. Similarly, on May 15, 2023, when the acquisition received EU approval, the stock price increased by a mere 0.16%. The 7.24% increase in the stock price after the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) rejection on April 26, 2023, was largely attributed to the company's strong earnings report.
3. Overall Microsoft does not show much fluctuations from the acquisition or any other anti-trust issues. May be due to the high premium paid to ActivisionBlizzard that makes the investors slightly lackluster towards the deal.
ActivisionBlizzard – Very enthusiastic towards the deal. Perhaps due to the expected synergy effect and the high premium paid by the Microsoft. Need to talk about why FTC’s rejection shows little to no effect while the CMA’s rejection has a significant impact in the stock market.
Sony – Mostly the opposite of ActivisionBlizzard
MSFT AnalysisPrice did not play out as analyzed last week. From here, price is over extended to the upside. Do not FOMO into buying from here. I'm expecting price to make a bearish retracement, at least into the bullish POI at 322.72 next. Price could also potentially go lower and take out the sell-side liquidity built in early May.
Cup & Handle//Rising WedgePrice is NOT to EL level yet.
There is a possible Rising Wedge and price broke up from the bearish Rising Wedge.
This happens when the narrowing of the wedge forces price up, but usually price is forced down.
This pattern is not valid until the bottom trendline of the wedge is broken.
Rising wedges are bearish but this stock has defied the odds for now.
No recommendation/If this makes it to long entry level, I will calculate targets.
ATH IS 349.67 and this will need to break this level for this pattern to reach EL.
$MSFT extended along with other A.I StonksMSFT is around 24% extended from the 200 MA and looks ripe for a reversal. Always need to be careful shorting stocks acting so strong but this looks like a nice blowoff event from the debt ceiling.
MSFT - Breakout Rising Trend Channel🔹MSFT has broken the rising trend up in the medium long term, which indicates an even stronger rising rate.
🔹Positive volume balance, with high volume on days of rising prices and low volume on days of falling prices, strengthens the stock in the short term.
🔹RSI is above 70 after a good price increase the past weeks.
🔹High RSI may be a sign that the stock is overbought and that there is a chance of a reaction downwards.
🔹Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
MSFT Share Nears All-time HighSince the beginning of the year, the price of MSFT shares has risen by more than 35%, about 5% remaining to a historic high. Perhaps the most important reason for MSFT's stock price to be bullish is the artificial intelligence (AI) hype.
According to the head of Microsoft, AI is a fundamental discovery that can help humanity do better research, learn more, and better select data.
According to an AI Writer survey, ChatGPT has become the most productive AI tool used by enterprises, increasing their productivity by at least 50%.
According to Business Insider, the bubble in AI stocks is not yet inflated at the moment. The current growth has been provided by "institutions" and this leaves the potential for further growth as retail investors become more active in this direction.
According to Wall Street Journal polls, out of 51 analysts, only 1 gives a recommendation to sell MSFT shares. The target price for MSFT shares is USD 337, but given the hype, it could be raised.
The MSFT stock chart shows that the price has been rising during May along the median line of the rising channel (shown in blue). But on the last bars there is an acceleration of growth. The price powerfully broke through the USD 320 level and, if the bullish mood does not subside, in June we can see a price of USD 320 per MSFT share, which will mark a new historical peak.
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Microsoft (MSFT) shrugged off its MACD bearish divergenceMicrosoft (MSFT) shrugged off its MACD bearish divergence and rallied as its traded above the $306 level highlighted on 15 May
2023’s weekly CFD commentary. Based on this price action, Microsoft may continue towards the next resistance at $337.50 if prices can
stay above the $320 level. In contrast, prices are likely to retest $290 support if there is a daily close below $306. That possibility could
not be ruled out as Microsoft’s MACD still showing a bearish divergence.
Small fall for growthThe stock's growth has been impressive in recent times; however, the prediction indicates that if the next breakout does not occur by May 19th, the upper band of the 20-day Bollinger Band will decrease, which may hinder sustained attainment of levels above 320. (Red circle)
To facilitate further growth, it would be beneficial to reinforce the resistance level at 290 - 295 at the intersection of the 50-day moving average. (Green circle)
Additionally, the RSI's 70 level limits further growth potential. To push this level upward, a drop above the sudden, one-time average movement would be favorable.
[Microsoft] bearish then bullishBullish divergence in progress, wait for the next golden cross to buy.
MSFT.. diamond topShort target is 292 or trend line support
Of course this isn't a MEME stock so don't expect this drop in days..
All stocks return to their trendline support .
Rsi is at resistance
Cci at resistance
My target for msft has always been 310 gap close.. we'll pullback to support before any new leg higher..
First target is 300
Final target is 290
313 stop loss
MSFT AnalysisPrice did not play out as expected last week. Price rallied and is now showing signs of bearishness. No changes to my original expectations, expecting price to go lower and fill the fair value gap at 292.73.
Microsoft - Fundamental Analysis: Everything you need to know.Microsoft's Stock Rises on the Back of AI Expansion, Gaming Dominance, and Positive Analyst Outlook
Over the past few months, Microsoft's stock has experienced a remarkable surge of almost 30%, driven by the company's ambitious venture into the field of artificial intelligence (AI). This cutting-edge technology has the potential to revolutionize numerous industries in the years ahead, and Wall Street has taken notice, leading to a bullish outlook on Microsoft's stock. While Microsoft already boasts established brands like Office, Windows, Azure, and Xbox, the growing influence of AI has further enhanced its potential, making it an opportune time to explore the opportunities presented by this tech giant. Here are three crucial factors that knowledgeable investors should consider.
AI Potential:
In 2019, Microsoft made a strategic investment of $1 billion in OpenAI, a move that has proven to be a significant win for the company. OpenAI's advanced chatbot, ChatGPT, has triggered an AI race among tech giants and prompted Microsoft to invest an additional $10 billion in the company. This partnership has positioned Microsoft as a frontrunner in the market, allowing the integration of OpenAI's technology into its own services such as Office, Azure, and Bing. As a result, Microsoft has solidified its position as the leading provider of AI services for both consumers and businesses.
Furthermore, Microsoft's cloud computing platform, Azure, has the potential to become a market leader with the help of AI. Richard Bernstein, an investment manager, predicts that Microsoft's cloud revenue could more than double as the company expands its AI offerings. As of the first quarter of 2023, Azure currently holds the second-largest market share in the cloud industry at 23%, with Amazon Web Services leading at 32%. However, Microsoft's leadership in artificial intelligence gives it the potential to surpass its competitors in the coming years.
Growing Dominance in Gaming:
In addition to making strides in AI and cloud computing, Microsoft has made significant progress in the gaming industry. The Xbox brand has propelled the company to become the fourth-largest games company globally, trailing only Tencent, Sony, and Apple. However, Microsoft is actively taking steps to increase its market share in this sector.
One of Microsoft's notable achievements in gaming is the introduction of the Xbox Game Pass, a game subscription service that has transformed how millions of gamers consume games since its launch in 2017. By offering users access to an extensive collection of games for a low monthly fee, Game Pass eliminates the need to purchase games individually. Moreover, Microsoft adds its own game titles to the platform on their launch day, which is a significant selling point. With the acquisition of more game studios, Game Pass has become increasingly attractive to gamers, offering hit titles and value-added features that make the Xbox console more appealing than competitors like Sony's PlayStation 5.
Despite facing macroeconomic challenges, Microsoft's games business has continued to grow, thanks to the success of Xbox Game Pass. In the third quarter of 2023 (ending March 2023), revenue from the service increased by 3% year-on-year, and the number of Game Pass members grew by an impressive 150% from 2020 to 2022.
Analysts' Optimism:
Investors have been drawn to Microsoft this year due to the company's expansion into AI, resulting in the stock price rising nearly 30% since the beginning of 2023. Microsoft's strong brands, such as Office, Windows, Azure, and Xbox, have already made it an appealing investment. However, the company's foray into AI has further boosted its outlook. Savvy investors recognize that Microsoft possesses significant potential in AI and is leveraging its partnership with OpenAI to integrate the startup's technology across various services, including Office, Azure, and Bing. Additionally, Microsoft has made notable progress in gaming, with the rapid growth of its subscription service, Xbox Game Pass, which adds value to the Xbox console.
Analysts have expressed optimism about Microsoft's prospects, giving the company a buy/strong buy rating. They recognize the significant potential of Microsoft's expanding role in AI, the cloud market, and gaming. The average 12-month price target reflects a projected 7% growth in the stock. With its strong foothold in established industries and its investments in emerging technologies, Microsoft is seen as a long-term buy with substantial growth potential.
In summary, Microsoft's stock has experienced a substantial rise driven by its expanding ventures into AI, its dominance in the gaming industry through Xbox Game Pass, and the positive outlook from analysts. The company's strategic partnership with OpenAI and its integration of AI technology into various services position it as a leading provider in the AI market. Furthermore, Microsoft's cloud computing platform, Azure, has the potential to become a market leader. As Microsoft continues to innovate and expand its offerings, investors recognize the long-term growth opportunities it presents.
Microsoft Stock To Keep In Portfolio!Hello ladies and gentlemen, according to my graphical analysis of Microsoft , I recommend for the moment to keep Microsoft Stock in your portfolio because there is a great probability of reaching 315$ in the next few weeks .
MSFT is waiting for...
it's waiting for sth happen but it still have a little room to up and then it has to choose direction.
Again same as apple , do not short it. not that easy. look at those strong supports on weekly chart.
MSFT coming to an important levelIdea: Short
Horizon: 1-3 weeks
Target 1: 302.99
Target 2: 293.26
Target 3: 285.95
Potential of the idea: 9.85%
Stop order: $319.54
Technical analysis
The price is approaching an important resistance level without any significant corrections. Such levels are rarely broken through on the first try. We assume that a corrective movement will start soon. It is necessary to wait for reversal patterns on the younger time frames and then enter a Short position to the nearest support zone (the trade is highly risky). There, you can already look for reversal patterns in Long since the trend on the asset is ascending.
The RR ratio when reaching Target 1: 1 to 2.3. After reaching Target 1, we advise moving the stop-loss to breakeven.
You can only enter after confirmation on younger time frames.
MSFT AnalysisPrice consolidated since my last analysis. No changes to my expectations, I'm still expecting price to make a bearish retracement down to fill the fair value gap at 292.73 before deciding if price wants to continue higher following the bullish order flow.
MSFT continues to impressA strong uptrend remains in MSFT as it hunts for the next key resistance level. Letting it ride and raising my stop.
MSFT Update: Seems Like a Theme is Occurring As shared in my other posts today I think the majority of stocks making up the S&P 500 are set for a drop. If you follow the index or the ES1 you probably know we are due for a decent decline soon. This is becoming more and more obvious with the price action we are seeing. Get ready, because there is a drop right on the horizon. The last high we made was on negative divergence, which is a hidden bearish signal. We could possibly move as low as the $190 area if this is a C wave down. The other possibility is this has all been a part of a bigger B wave meaning we would drop to around $230-$240. Only time will tell. For now, we await price action to tell us which it is.
Bonam Fortunam,
--Tyler
The REAL S&PAs you might have heard headlines like
"97% of the gains in SNP this year are made up by the top 15 companies"
"Worst market breadth of all time"
Here's a chart of the big 5 (FAANG with microsoft instead of google)
Those "TECH" companies are seemingly ignoring bearish economics and skyrocketing on AI
But...how long will it last when people are seeing 30% lettuce inflation and the like?
(Not to mention NATGAS and USOIL sitting at strong support levels forecasting another possible runup on inflation)
Who knows... I'm not an oracle but here's a chart shows elliot count and pre-distribution supply level
Good luck
