NIO holding AVWAP….for nowNIO continues to hold the June swing low anchored VWAP. But long term the downtrend continues to be the dominant theme, especially as SEC China pressure continues.
N3IA trade ideas
NIO AnalysisPrice is playing out as expected. Price bounced off the bullish POI at 19.18. We have a slight increase in volume with the bullish bounce. However, price does not seem to be able to close higher, resulting in sketchy price action right now. If price still plays out as analyzed, we can see price starting an uptrend to take the highs at 21.17 at least.
NIO Long The Safer Way 15 strike Nov Earning day play:
SELL DOTM PUT NIO 18 NOV22
FOR $2.13
Strike 15 ROI =15/2.13= 14.3 %
Target support zones 13-16 target resistance 27-30
*** 2 outcomes
a) Stocks close above 15 By EXP in November we make an income 14.3%
b) Stock Tanks because of delisting fears or geo political USA china We get the asset stock at 15 strike - credit received $2.13= $12.87
Safety of margin current stock price 22-12.87= 9.13 trade structure safer
Hope it helps
Marc
NIO - The Top is in. Lower Prices AheadTo no surprise NIO like most of equities is vulnerable to the increasing pressures of inflation and the feds responsibility interest rate hikes.
Technically we see NIO is a BEAR FLAG structure right at the $20 Key Level
Making NIO more interesting is that this structure is formed with LESS participation on the second attempt at $20
Meaning NIO made a HH (Higher High) with LESS participation, So... we have a M top inside a bear flag
We love seeing these patterns as it brings confluence to much lower prices.
Ideally we would like to see the market open Tuesday Strong then position in NIO for additional confirmation however NIO is a sell NOW.
We have positions open and running so we are going to wait on ideal to enter.
Price targets on NIO would be a 3 Month contract down to $10/11 or 50% off.
NIO AnalysisPrice has been doing exactly as analyzed last week. Price is on a downtrend, expecting the price to hit the bullish POI. Here we are at the bullish POI. Volume is decreasing as price mitigates this bullish POI. I'm expecting a further down move as the price took liquidity at 21.80 and has been breaking structure to the downside. Target for this downtrend should be the lows at 15.84
UPDATE #3 When will NIO finally get going?I've been playing with NIO for almost a year now and seemingly very familiar with it's predictability. I haven't moved any of my lines on the charting above from the initial June post, just added in a few directional guesstimates (depending on good earnings). We broke below what initially appeared to be an ascending triangle, continuing to support my idea of a small entry at $17 and a few more nibbles down into $16
NIO NEXT BULLISH MOVENIO has been on a bullish move since its all-time low ($1.19) in Sep-2019 to its all-time high ($66.9) in Jan-2021. The monthly chart shows that the price made a 1 - 2 wave movement. 2 making a deep 0.791 retracement of 1.
On the Weekly (supercycle) chart wave 1 can be seen making a 5 wave movement then a ABC correction with wave B retracing to 0.66 of A making it a zigzag correction with an expected 5-3-5 move.
On the daily chart we can clearly see the 5-3-5 wave correction. Wave C created a 5 wave move convergence proposing the end of the ABC zigzag correction
On the 4H chart the 5th wave of C also converged with another 5 waves shown in purple. Now that we have 5 waves upon 5 waves we are expecting a new grand super-cycle bullish move. We can see that we have just completed a 5 wave move forming a grand super cycle 1. The price is expected to retrace to 0.791 where we find using smart money concepts a breaker and an imbalance where price might retrace to and turn bullish. Projected buy entry would be at $15.00 being a key level entry inside the zone.
In terms of harmonics we can clearly see the chart slowly creating a bat pattern with an expected shallow C retracement of 0.786 or 0.886 before the move up.
In terms of targets the first target would be the 1.618 of wave 1 which is $31.78.
The next target would be the end of the harmonic pattern at D which is $40.64.
Nio - Garbage stockI continue to be short Nio - the little garbage stock till the 18s this week... I expect a little bounce around 18.80/ 18.85 till that finally breaks but I do not expect that to happen just yet, when it does though, that has plenty of downside. Stay turned. More downside coming this week for things.... In the event NIO holds the 20.77 and makes it way back to 22.80s, I expect a full rejection there and just be a little more patient for the 18s to be showing up. They are on their way.
NIO - Bearflagging in the key zone
Rejected VMA at 24 and now showing signs of bearflag on daily.
Early to call, but any push above hear and below VMA (black line) should be treated with skepticism. In fact, it'd be a good spot to short with the S/L just overhead at VMA
If it can close above VMA, then watch for continuation to 30-32 before pullback.
Disclosure: I am long at 20.90, will give it a couple of days with breakeven stop loss if the pricer moves higher or 20.50; whichever hits earler.
$NIO a technical blessing 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
My team entered Chinese Electric Vehicle company $NIO today at $22.50 per share. Our first take profit is set at $27.50. We also have a stop loss at $21.
OUR ENTRY: $22.50
FIRST TAKE PROFIT: $27.50
STOP LOSS: $21
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