NVD trade ideas
NVDA 4-hr Outlook1. Swept Weekly High with draw back into 4-hr gap up.
2. If price breaks below here, my target becomes the re-test of the 4-hr break due to the impulse move through that high.
a. WARNING: Need to watch for support on Weekly FVG and CE of 4-hr wick and support off .382 fib.
b. If target breaks below, then I would like long puts or sell calls into re-test of break as it shows rejection on the .25 fib line.
3. As we re-test this area I would like to see full support into the .50 fib/FVG.
a. Why? Confluence with FVG and Fib
b. Want to see a hammer style candle indicating support
BUY NVDABUY NVDA at 108.00 to 99.00, riding it back up to 142.00 to 151.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 86.00!
If anyone likes mumbo jumbo long garbage analysis, than this is NOT for you.
Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than
run as fast as you can from the markets, because it is definitely NOT for you.
WARNING: This is just my opinion of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a RISKY business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
NVDA Hits the Ceiling – Breakout or Bull Trap?NVIDIA is charging into a massive resistance wall with fading momentum and no volume punch—either it explodes through $150 or this rally dies at the top.
Technical Breakdown – NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA)
1. Price Action – Into the Fire
NVDA is retesting its all-time high zone ($135–$150), which previously rejected multiple times. This yellow/red zone is a congestion and distribution range — classic bear battleground. Each push into this area has ended in selling pressure — so buyers need real power to break it this time.
2. MACD – Bullish, But Flattening
MACD crossed bullish in early May, driving this run. However, momentum is now flattening out — a sign that follow-through is weakening. Histogram bars are shrinking → momentum is fading, not building.
3. RSI – Bullish but Tiring
RSI peaked near 70 and is now at 63.06 — momentum rolled off just as price hit resistance. This sets up a bearish divergence risk: if price breaks higher and RSI makes a lower high, that’s a classic top signal. For now, RSI is still constructive, but losing steam.
4. Volume – No Climax Yet
Volume is not exploding on this push into resistance — suggests this is not a conviction breakout (yet). Prior breakouts came with clear volume surges; without that, we could see a failed breakout / bull trap.
5. Contextual Read – High Expectations
Sentiment around NVDA is extremely bullish with AI mania in full gear. But that’s exactly when tops form — when everyone’s already in, there are no marginal buyers left. The $135–$150 zone is where smart money sells to latecomers if there's no catalyst to push higher.
Conclusion – NVDA at a Probable Inflection Point
NVIDIA is at major resistance with waning momentum and no volume confirmation — the burden of proof is on the bulls.
Unless:
We get a decisive close above $150 on surging volume
MACD extends bullish
RSI holds above 60
This looks like a sell zone, not a buy zone.
TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025📉 TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025
🚨 AI Consensus: Bearish Momentum Ahead of June 6 Expiry
🧠 Summary of AI Model Signals
🔹 Grok (xAI)
Technicals: Below EMAs, RSI deeply oversold (26.95), MACD bearish.
Sentiment: VIX steady, max pain at $340 implies downside.
Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.25 → Target $9.08 (+10%) / Stop $6.60 (−20%)
Confidence: 65%
🔹 Claude (Anthropic)
Technicals: Bearish EMAs/MACD, volume spike on red bars.
Sentiment: Negative sales buzz, falling VIX, max pain $340.
Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.20 → Target +50–100% / Stop $5.74
Confidence: 72%
🔹 Llama (Meta)
Technicals: Bearish M5 EMA stack; support at $345 zone.
Trade: Buy $342.5P @ $9.40 → Target +20% / Stop −50%
Confidence: 70%
🔹 Gemini (Google)
Technicals: Strong bearish momentum, RSI oversold.
Trade: Buy $305P @ $0.95 → Target $1.90 / Stop $0.47 (Day trade)
Confidence: 75%
🔹 DeepSeek
Technicals: Breakdown in progress, momentum fading.
Sentiment: Weak China/Europe news; max pain support at $340.
Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.25 → Target $12.38 (+50%) / Stop $5.78
Confidence: 70%
✅ Consensus Takeaways
🔻 Bearish technical setup on all timeframes
🔄 Max Pain at $340 = potential price magnet
📉 Strong directional momentum + oversold RSI across models
📆 Preferred strategy: Buy weekly naked puts, enter Monday open
🎯 Recommended Trade Setup
💡 Strategy: Bearish Single-Leg Weekly Put
📈 Ticker: TSLA
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: $340
💵 Entry Price: $8.25
🎯 Target: $9.08 (+10%)
🛑 Stop: $6.60 (−20%)
📏 Size: 1 Contract
📆 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry: At Market Open
📊 Confidence: 70%
⚠️ Key Risks to Watch
📉 RSI is oversold — potential for a short-term bounce
🕒 Time decay accelerates midweek — don’t hold too long
🚀 Unexpected bullish catalyst (e.g., SpaceX PR, macro rally)
💵 Liquidity fine (4.4k OI), but wide spreads in fast markets
📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
json
Copy
Edit
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 340.0,
"expiry": "2025-06-06",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 9.08,
"stop_loss": 6.60,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 8.25,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-06-02 09:30:00 UTC-04:00"
}
SHORT Nvidia, Bearish Chart Setup, Resistance ConfirmedThe resistance from 21-May has been confirmed 28-May.
The same level has been working as resistance since 14-May.
After two weeks, this resistance level continues to hold and it is now confirmed.
In November 2024 NVDA produced a high.
Later in January 2025 NVDA produced an all-time high.
18-February 2025 NVDA went to produced a lower high; a rejection that led to a major drop.
The major drop resulted in a recovery and the recovery found resistance earlier this month. This resistance, the same from 14-May, 21 and 28-May, is also a lower high compared to the previous levels just mentioned.
The signal here is double: (1) Resistance confirmed and (2) a lower high.
There is one more. 28-May produced a volume breakout day. The day ended up closing red. So, Nvidia is confirmed bearish now.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Fundamental and technical analysis on NVDA (Chicken Nugget) soonFundamental Analysis
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) remains a key player in the tech sector, benefiting from the rise of artificial intelligence, data centers, and gaming. With sustained growth, constant innovation, and strong demand for its graphics chips, the company continues to deliver solid financial results.
Recent reports indicate revenue growth and expansion in key markets. Product diversification, particularly in supercomputers and embedded systems, strengthens NVDA’s position against competitors. Investor interest in the semiconductor industry helps maintain the stock’s positive momentum.
Technical Analysis
The chart analysis highlights key technical levels for investors:
- Key Resistance: $150 USD – This level must be broken to confirm a strong bullish trend. A breakout with volume could signal a gradual rise toward higher targets.
- Support Level: $131.50 USD – Strong demand and low supply are identified at this level, making it an excellent entry point for investors looking for buying opportunities before a potential rebound.
Targets & Strategy
- Short-term target (late June/early July): The target range of $170-$175 USD is possible if the bullish trend is confirmed. This level aligns with technical extensions and favorable market dynamics.
- July buyback (-5% to -10%): A moderate correction could occur, offering another buying opportunity before an upward recovery.
- Selling target (September to November): The next selling target is between $200-$240 USD, depending on market developments and investor sentiment.
Conclusion
NVDA stock presents interesting prospects, with well-defined technical levels and a strong fundamental outlook. Investors should monitor these thresholds to adjust their strategy based on market fluctuations.
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I hold a CCVM and MNC (Certificate of Competence to become a securities broker anywhere in Canada) and have been working as a trader for five years.
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Nvidia could be worth $220 by this time next yearThe amount of money this company is making is insane and it doesn't look like its going to slow down any time soon. There is strong demand for Nvidia products universally there is no limit to how far this thing will go. Over the past 5 years it has outperformed Bitcoin, need I say more?
I am abit late to be buying into the rally but I will keep accumulating should the market provide me with ample opportunities. I think this is a fantastic growth stock for a diversified portfolio and I think Nvidia is one of the top dogs of todays economic eco system.
Despite the fact it looks expensive the stock is actually still under valued. The range of the intrinsic value is between $110 - $240. I do not recommend going all in FOMO but this thing is going up, I have done some research and it is a fantastic company to work for everyone says they love working there and they pay their employees well.
They continue to innovate and pave the way forward for semi conductor tech. I love my Nvidia chip in my laptop I can only imagine what the more expensive chips are capable of. Nvidia and Broadcom make up about 15% of my portfolio. Thank you for reading my article and please comment if you want to talk about stocks. Have a great day.
NVDA to $240 by 2026NASDAQ:NVDA is bullish still, anyone can see that, however I wanted to find some targets once it's in price discovery mode, well the golden pocket happpens to be $240 ($225-$250)
on weekly trend is confirmed extremely bullish so I'll continue holding and NASDAQ:NVDA should break $240 before 2026
Even a buy signal went off at the bottom in April. Let's see how much gas NASDAQ:NVDA has after it breaks the famous $150 resistance level
$NVDA Breaks Out of Ascending Triangle – 140 Next?NVDA just broke and retested an ascending triangle on the 4H chart — a textbook bullish continuation pattern.
After plunging more than 40% from its highs, NVDA is now pressing higher, setting its sights on the $140 resistance zone — which also lines up closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the all-time high to the swing low at $86.
🟢 Bullish case: We’re seeing clean structure, breakout volume, and a successful retest of prior resistance as new support.
🔴 Bearish divergence: RSI is flashing a potential warning — price is climbing, but momentum is cooling off.
With earnings on the 28th and $140 looming above, this is a must-watch chart. NVDA was the media darling of 2023–2024, and now it’s quietly building steam while most aren’t paying attention.
Could we be setting up for a run back to all-time highs — while the herd sleeps?
📊 Watchlist this one. This move could impact the entire semiconductor sector. NASDAQ:NVDA
Potential Reversal Zone for NVDAThis chart of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) as of June 3, 2025, shows a technical analysis scenario forecasting a possible bearish reversal. The price action, zones, and arrows suggest a setup based on supply and demand zones.
Key Elements in the Chart:
🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance Area)
Location: Around $141.73 to ~$144
Observation: The price recently entered this red-shaded area, indicating strong historical resistance.
Implication: The area is expected to act as a ceiling, where sellers may overwhelm buyers, causing a reversal.
⚫ Price Reaction:
The chart shows price approaching and briefly piercing the supply zone, followed by a bearish candle or rejection (as indicated by the top arrow).
Arrows project a downward movement, suggesting bearish sentiment.
🟢 Demand Zone (Support Area)
Location: Approximately $114–$121
Observation: This green-shaded area acted as a base for a previous upward move.
Implication: It is likely to act as a strong support if the price drops significantly.
Projected Price Path:
Short-term reversal from the resistance zone (~$144).
Initial drop to mid $130s (likely a lower high or minor support).
Continuation to demand zone around $116, completing the projected bearish move.
Technical Interpretation:
This setup is a classic supply and demand reversal strategy.
Confirmation of the short setup may require:
A clear rejection candle at resistance.
Break of minor support levels on the way down.
Risk for bulls is high near resistance; short sellers may find opportunities targeting the demand zone.
NVDA 6/3 $143 CallsPrice has been going in an uptrend so just continuing the trend.
Price broke above Mondays high and retested during premarket this morning on tuesday
Entry and confirmation was during market open because it closed in a hammer candlestick indicating a continuation to the upside.
Target was 141 a respected key level
NVDA Just Broke Structure – Bounce or Breakdown Incoming?📊 NVDA GEX Daily (Options Sentiment Overview)
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) closed at $135.13, down nearly 3% on Friday, and has now pulled back from the gamma resistance cluster between 140–145. GEX sentiment is cooling, and the chart shows we just lost the HVL (High Volume Level) around 137.5, putting bulls in a tricky spot.
GEX Levels to Know:
* 🟢 Positive gamma stack at 140 → 145 → 150, with 143.9 as the next key magnet IF price recovers.
* 🟥 Heavy dealer put interest below 134 → 130 → 125; GEX sharply negative down there.
* 🧊 IVR 10.2 = super cheap options → ideal setup for directional trades using debit spreads.
💡 Options Strategy:
* Bullish: If NVDA reclaims 137.5, play for bounce back to 140–143. Look at Jul 19 140c or 137.5/145c spread.
* Bearish: If it fails to reclaim 135 and breaks 133.25, play toward 130–131. Look at Jul 19 132p/125p vertical.
Dealers may flip short under 133, increasing the chance of acceleration if support breaks.
🕵️♂️ 1H Chart Breakdown (Swing/Intraday View)
The 1-hour chart tells a clear story: NVDA broke short-term structure with CHoCH and BOS under 135, and is now channeling downward with a falling wedge-type pattern. The SMC supply at 143–145 held strong.
Key Notes:
* ⚠️ Breakdown from rising structure, now forming new bearish channel.
* 🟩 Short-term CHoCH support near 133.25 is key — if lost, opens 130 fast.
* 🟣 Momentum + RSI screaming overbought → likely a lower high if it bounces to 138 area.
📈 Swing Setup:
* Short bias while under 137.5.
* Entry: rejection near 136–137
* Target: 133.2, then 130.4
* Bull case only resumes if we reclaim 138 clean → invalidates the breakdown.
📊 Intraday Playbook:
* Short bounce into 136.25–137.5 (previous BOS zone).
* Long scalp bounce off 133.25, but only for short-term risk-controlled play.
Bias = Bearish unless 137.5 is reclaimed. Don’t fight the momentum.
🧠 Final Thoughts
NVDA has shifted from leader to potential drag — at least near term. The structure is broken, and GEX is aligning with downside momentum. IV is cheap, making this a great week for defined-risk option plays, whether you’re looking to fade pops or scalp breakdowns.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NVDA (NVIDIA) False Breakout and Synchronized Pullback with SPYNVDA printed what appears to be a false breakout at the 1.0 Fib extension level ($143.49), now reversing sharply — potentially aligning with SPY's projected retracement. This presents a high-probability mean reversion setup.
📉 Technical Breakdown
Current Price: $135.13
False Breakout Zone: 1.0 Fib extension ($143.49)
Key Breakdown Zone: 0.786 Fib ($133.12)
Probable Retest Zones:
0.618 Fib: $124.98
0.5 Fib: $121.25
Target: $119.25 (confluence with SPY's demand zone)
🔍 Probabilistic Trade Outlook
⚠️ False breakout + bearish engulfing = 80% probability of continued downside.
📉 Targeting $119.25 = 65% probability as it aligns with institutional levels and SPY’s projected retrace.
💡 Volume and momentum suggest profit-taking and supply absorption.
🌐 Macro Context (May 31, 2025)
AI bubble cooling: Rotation from AI mega caps into broader market value plays.
SPY & NVDA correlation: NVDA typically leads tech-heavy indices — the confluence here could signal broader market pullback.
Fed Policy Uncertainty: No rate cut priced in for June; July will be key.
🧠 Institutional View
This setup echoes the "buy-side trap" — liquidity engineered above previous highs, now reversing to collect resting orders below. This is textbook Smart Money Concepts (SMC) in play.
🧭 Trade Setup
Entry: On confirmed breakdown below 0.786 ($133.12)
Target: $119.25
Stop: $143.60 (above fakeout zone)
Optional Re-entry: Near 0.618 ($124.98) on confirmation
📌 If NVDA hits the $119–121 zone in confluence with SPY’s bounce region, a high-R:R reversal trade may follow.
#NVDA #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #TechStocks #MarketReversal #AIStocks #TradingView #WaverVanir
$NVDA - head and shoulders + possible bull shark harmonicOn my chart, NVDA appears to be potentially forming a head and shoulders pattern.
At the same time, an almost perfect bullish shark harmonic woukd comple around the target for the head and shoulders pattern.
Could be something, could be nothing.
But I'll be careful and not spend my money on NVDA just yet.
Positive earnings might invalidate this idea and send NASDAQ:NVDA to the moon instead.
Let's see what happens.
NVIDIA 1D — When “Head & Shoulders” Aren’t Just for the GymOn the daily chart, NVDA has broken out of the descending channel and reclaimed the 50-day moving average (MA50), triggering a classic inverted head and shoulders formation. Price is now holding above the key $113–$114.50 zone, confirming a structural shift. As volume picks up, buyers are eyeing the next levels of resistance.
Near-term upside targets: – $119.80 (0.5 Fibonacci) – $127.62 (0.382) – $137.28 (0.236) — primary resistance zone – Extended target — $152.91 (1.0 Fibonacci projection)
Technical setup: — Breakout from channel + above MA50
— Inverted head and shoulders pattern completed
— $114.50–$118.00 now acts as buyer support
— EMA and MA convergence supports trend reversal
— Increasing volume on rallies supports bullish momentum
Fundamentals: NVIDIA remains the AI and semiconductor sector leader. Growing demand for high-performance GPUs in AI and data centers positions NVDA as a core tech play. Expectations of strong earnings and continued institutional accumulation support the bullish narrative.
The confirmed breakout and inverted H&S setup mark a clear structural reversal. As long as price stays above $114.50, the path toward $127–$137 remains the primary target zone, with $152.91 in sight if momentum continues.
Nvidia Maintains Bearish Bias After EarningsNvidia released its quarterly earnings yesterday, and since then, market confidence triggered a significant bullish gap that pushed the stock price up by nearly 5%. However, in recent hours, a new bearish bias has started to emerge, steadily closing the gap as the market digests the company’s latest report.
Nvidia reported $44 billion in revenue, slightly above the $43 billion expected, while earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.77, below the $0.87 forecast. Nevertheless, the most notable aspect of the report was the announcement of an estimated $8 billion revenue loss due to U.S. export restrictions. In response, CEO Jensen Huang strongly criticized these measures, warning that they could negatively impact the company’s performance in the coming months.
Uptrend Channel Remains Intact
Since early April, Nvidia has maintained a steady upward channel. Although a slight bearish bias has emerged recently, it is not yet strong enough to pose a threat to the broader bullish trend seen in recent months. Therefore, this technical structure remains the most important pattern for the upcoming sessions.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show signs of a possible bearish divergence, as lower highs on the RSI contrast with higher highs in the stock price. This mismatch could signal short-term corrective movements.
MACD: The MACD, meanwhile, continues to oscillate around the zero line, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressure. As long as the histogram remains near this level, it suggests neutral momentum in price direction.
Key Levels to Watch:
$140 USD: Current resistance level where short-term selling pressure may emerge.
$150 USD: Distant resistance around January highs. A breakout toward this level could support a stronger bullish channel.
$125 USD: Important support that coincides with the 200-period moving average. A bearish move toward this level could break the current bullish formation.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst