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AT + T INC. DL 1

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Quantum's T (AT&T) Trading Guide 4/13/25Sentiment: Neutral. Dividend yield (4-5%) and debt reduction ($123B) attract income seekers, but telecom competition and tariff fears limit enthusiasm. X posts praise stability, though growth concerns persist. Outlook: Neutral, slightly bullish. Options pin $27, with call buying eyeing $28. ICT/SMT supports $26-$26.50 buys to $27.50-$28 if support holds. Bearish risk below $25 low unless earnings falter. Influential News: --Federal Reserve: Rates unchanged, two 2025 cuts expected, easing debt costs. Liquidity boost mildly positive. --Earnings: Q1 due April 23 (EPS $1.97-$2.07 vs. $2.13). Fiber (28.9M locations) and cash flow (>$16B) could lift if beat. --Chatter: X mixed—stability vs. tariff risks. Analyst focus on earnings revisions. --Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): Talks to acquire Lumen’s fiber unit ($5.5B+), potentially boosting growth but risking debt concerns. --Other: Tariffs caused volatility; RUS:T stable. Broadband expansion adds value. Indicators: --Weekly: ----RSI: ~45 (neutral). ----Stochastic: ~50 (neutral). ----MFI: ~40 (neutral). ----SMAs: 10-day ~$27.10 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$27.30 (below, bearish). ----Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMA signals suggest consolidation. --Daily: ----RSI: ~48 (neutral). ----Stochastic: ~55 (neutral). ----MFI: ~45 (neutral). ----SMAs: 10-day ~$27.10 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$27.30 (below, bearish). ----Interpretation: Neutral, bearish SMAs indicate pullback but recovery possible. --Hourly: ----RSI: ~50 (neutral). ----Stochastic: ~60 (neutral). ----MFI: ~50 (neutral). ----SMAs: 10-day ~$27.10 (below, bearish), 20-day ~$27.30 (below, bearish). ----Interpretation: Neutral, mildly bullish momentum. Price Context: $26.79 (April 11 close), 1M: -6%, 1Y: +59%. Range $25-$29, holding $26 support amid tariff concerns. Options Positioning (May 2025): -Volume: ----Calls: $27 (3,500, 60% ask = buying), $28 (2,500, 55% ask). Bullish bets on $27-$28. ---Puts: $25 (2,000, 70% bid = selling), $26 (1,500, 65% bid). $25 put selling supports $26 floor. -Open Interest: ---Calls: $27 (10,000, +2,000 = buying), $28 (7,000, +1,500). Institutional bullishness. ---Puts: $25 (4,000, flat), $26 (6,000, +1,000). Hedging, not bearish. Put-call ~0.9. -IV Skew: ---Calls: $27 (25%), $28 (27%, up 2%). $28 IV rise shows $28+ speculation. ---Puts: $25 (22%, down 1%), $26 (24%). Falling $25 IV reinforces $26 support. -Probability: 60% $25-$28, 20% >$29. Karsan’s Interpretation: ---Vanna: Neutral (~50k shares/1% IV). Stable IV limits flows; earnings IV spike could push $27.50. ---Charm: Neutral (~20k shares/day). Pins $27. ---GEX: +20,000. Dealers sell $28, buy $26, holding range. ---DEX: +1M shares, neutral. ---Karsan view: GEX pins $26-$28; catalyst needed. ICT/SMT Analysis: --Weekly: Neutral, $25 support, $29 resistance. No $T/ NYSE:VZ divergence (~$43 NYSE:VZ ). --Daily: Bullish at $26 FVG, targets $28. Bearish < $26. --1-Hour: Bullish >$26.50, $27.50 target. MSS at $26.50. --10-Minute: OTE ($26.69-$26.80, $26.73) for buys, NY AM (8:30-11:00 AM). Trade Idea: ---Bullish: 60%. ICT/SMT buys $26-$26.50 to $27.50-$28 (OTE $26.73). Options favor $27-$28 calls. Earnings, M&A, Fed cuts support. ---Neutral: 30%. RSI (~45), SMAs (bearish), $25-$29 range, balanced options (put-call ~0.9). ---Bearish: 10%. Below $25 needs earnings miss. Low $25 put volume.
NYSE:T
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Quantum's T (AT&T) Trading Guide 4/11/25T (AT&T Inc.) Sentiment • Sentiment is neutral with a bearish tilt. April 10 options activity shows put-heavy volume at $26 strikes, reflecting caution. RSI (14) at ~50 (estimated, flat trend at $26.40 close) suggests indecision. X posts highlight concerns over telecom debt loads and tariff risks on equipment imports, but some speculate on institutional accumulation below $26.50. A liquidity sweep below $26.33 could trigger a bullish reversal if buy-side liquidity is tapped. Catalyst: Potential sweep below $26.33 may spark short covering. Tariff Impact - Rating: Moderate. • Explanation: T relies on imported telecom equipment, facing cost pressures from tariffs on China (active as of April 11). No relief announced, so margins could tighten, capping upside. X posts suggest tariff fears weigh on sentiment, but domestic revenue focus limits fundamental damage. News/Catalysts • Driver: Flat telecom sector performance on April 10, with T holding steady amid mixed market signals. X posts cited stability but no clear catalyst. • Upcoming: CPI (April 11): High CPI could hurt T (-1.5%) due to rate hike fears; low CPI may lift it (+1%) as a yield play. • Retail Sales (April 15): Strong data supports T (+1%); weak data pressures (-1%) due to consumer spending risks. Technical Setup Weekly Chart: • HVN: $26.00 support (bullish). • LVN: $27.00 resistance (neutral). • EMA Trend: 8-week ≈ 13-week > 48-week (neutral). • RSI (14): ~50 (neutral). • MACD: Near signal line (neutral). • Bollinger Bands: At midline (neutral). • Donchian Channels: At midline (neutral). • Williams %R: ~-50 (neutral). • ADR: Stable (neutral). • VWAP: At VWAP $26.40 (neutral). • ICT/SMC: No clear MSS; consolidation phase. One-Hour Chart: • Support/Resistance: Support at $26.33; resistance at $26.56. Stance: neutral. • RSI (14): ~50 (neutral). • MACD: Near zero (neutral). • Bollinger Bands: At midline (neutral). • Donchian Channels: At midline (neutral). • Williams %R: ~-50 (neutral). • VWAP: At VWAP $26.50 (neutral). • ICT/SMC: Sell-side liquidity below $26.33; OB at $26.40; FVG at $26.35–$26.45; OTE at $26.45; no displacement. 10-Minute Chart: • Closing Move: Flat into close. • EMA Direction: 8/13/48 EMAs flat (neutral). • RSI (14): ~50 (neutral). • MACD: Near zero (neutral). • VWAP: At VWAP $26.50 (neutral). • ICT/SMC: Potential sweep below $26.33; OTE at $26.45; no clear entry signal yet. Options Data • GEX: Neutral, pinning at $26.50. Dealers hedge minimally. • DEX: Put delta bias (-0.15), bearish pressure. • IV: Low (~18%), limited swings. • OI: Put-heavy (55% puts at $26), capping upside. Cem Karsan’s Application: • Weekly Trading Breakdown: OI at $26 suggests pinning. Low gamma limits volatility; vanna neutral; charm favors puts near OPEX. • Strategy: Buy $26.50 calls at $26.45 (OTE), exit at $27, profit $0.30, risk $0.40. Ties to sweep below $26.33. • Vanna: Stable IV, no dealer-driven lift. • Charm: Puts gain delta near OPEX, pressuring $26. Timeframe Analysis: • Weekly (exp. April 18): Put OI at $26, low IV, bearish stance. • Monthly (exp. May 16): Balanced OI, neutral stance. • 3-Month (exp. July 18): Neutral outlook. • Directional Bias: Neutral, leaning bearish unless sweep triggers reversal. Sympathy Plays • Correlated Assets: VZ (+1%), CCI (+0.5%). • Opposite Mover: If T fades, risk-on SPOT rises (+1%). Sector Positioning with RRG - Sector: Communication Services – Telecom. • RRG Position: Lagging vs. XLC, reflecting weak momentum. Targets • Bullish: +2% to $27.00 (OB). • Bearish: -2% to $25.87 (FVG).
NYSE:T
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
T: In the meantime, making some heavy stridesAT&T is not something we see in the finance news that often nor has the sexiness of the Silicon Valley names, but, since July of 2023, this company has been on a tier. Seem like the new CEO knows what he's doing and combined with missteps from the competitors, T has seen a 100% move up from the bottom. At the moment a bounce is most likely incoming along with the general markets. But after that I would expect another leg down to 0.764 fib level or a bit lower to confirm support and then move up from there. At some point this stock could be one of the best defensive names if overall economy slides into a recession.
NYSE:TLong
by mukit1
3
AT&T 1 Month Chart Technical Analysis Chart Pattern: Bull flag(bullish) broke upwards following upward trend line(green). Exponential Moving Average: EMA 9(green line) is above EMA 21(red line) bullish Bollinger Band (BB): AT&T is in the upper band(red) it could be bearish, however, let’s check the volume to make sure this isn’t signifying a reversal downwards. Moving Average Convergence Divergence: The MACD (green line) is above the signal (red line) bullish. Volume: The volume for last month (Monday 3, Feb 2025) is higher than this month's volume (Monday 3, Mar 2025). Granted, we’re only nine days in this month. Red Rectangular Box: AT&T is in a zone where the most bearish activity or choppiness is. Opinion: Bullish on the 1-month chart. Everything related to the chart looks promising. The volume will come as the month progresses. If AT&T closes above my trendline $28.04, I see it going to my next target $29.72 and potentially $32.35. Out of the money options (OTM): Calls for 18 Jul 25 100 0.63 x 100= $63.00
NYSE:T
by Tk19
1
AT&T Wave Analysis – 18 February 2025 - AT&T broke the resistance zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 27.00 AT&T recently broke through the resistance zone at the intersection of the long-term resistance level 25.00 (which has been reversing the price from 2020) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from 2024. The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active medium-term impulse wave (3) from the start of January. AT&T can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 27.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).
NYSE:TLong
by FxProGlobal
1
Speculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks Some stocks areSpeculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks Some stocks aren't just overvalued—they're in full speculative bubble mode. Fundamentals? Irrelevant. When euphoria takes over, rationality disappears. Here’s my list of bubble stocks that scream unsustainable pricing: SBUX, T, PLTR, BMY, PYPL, NFLX, GS, ISRG, ARM, C, SHOP, BSX, SPOT, UBS, IBKR, RELX, CEG, CRWD, MSTR, MMM, DASH, COF... And let’s not forget the obvious: TSLA, META, AMZN, AVGO, GOOGL, JPM, MA, V, WMT. Honestly, the entire banking sector, brokers, and tech are in bubble territory. What the hell is going on with this market? Why are algos just buying, buying, buying, squeezing all the shorts?! Unbelievable. The dump will be insannnnnnnne!!! 🚨
NYSE:TShort
by Maximus20000
1
AT&T Wave Analysis – 31 January 2025 - AT&T reversed from long-term resistance level 25.00 - Likely to fall to support level 23.00. AT&T is under the bearish pressure after the price failed to break above the long-term resistance level 25.00 (which has been reversing the price from the start of 2020), standing above the upper weekly Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from the resistance level 25.00 will likely form the weekly Shooting Star (strong sell signal for AT&T) – if the price closes this week near the current levels. Given the strength of the resistance level 25.00, AT&T can be expected to fall to the next support level 23.00.
NYSE:TShort
by FxProGlobal
AT&T on course for $93b / -60% correction?On the above 3 month chart price action has rallied 70% since July 2023 for no reason whatsoever on this loss making company. A phone company picks a finance guru to run a business that relies on creativity. What could go wrong? Regardless, short term liabilities are almost 2 fold the assets with net income in loss, -$174m last quarter alone. Before consideration of the $146b debt.. how is this business even paying a dividend?! A master of finance this guru is, but let us not question the era corporate America is operating these days. (Boeing says hello.... hell with engineers, what do they know?!) Despite this the market is bullish. Morningstar (December 4th, 2024) “With Room to Sharply Increase Broadband Margins, We’ve Increased Our AT&T Fair Value Estimate to $25” “Results were solid, with strong wireless customer churn pushing net customer additions” The Motley fool (November 6th, 2024) “AT&T has returned its focus to its core operations, and those businesses are steadily strengthening. That, coupled with its debt reduction and rising FCF, makes AT&T look like a worthwhile long-term investment.” Tradingview.com ideas are mostly all long ideas.. people! The TA: On the above 3 month chart: 1) Price action and RSI support breakouts. 2) Regular bearish divergence. 3) Rising wedge breakout, which forecasts the first 40% correction. 4) The larger uptrend channel forecasts the complete 60% correction to monthly support of around $9. Is it possible price action continues upwards and onwards? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww
NYSE:TShort
by without_worries
AT&T stock looks bullish nowHi Traders AT&T Inc (T) is in an uptrend since August ’23. The price level broke the resistance of $21.3 and seems to confirm the fact that the old resistance level serves as a support level right now. I suspect the stock to make new higher highs as long as the uptrend doesn’t get invalidated. In other words, if the stock price doesn’t fall below it’s support range between $21.2 and $22.8. We can, thus, see this range as the buy area. Also in terms of fundamental analysis, there is something to say about this stock. Shares of AT&T have gained 28.7% in the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Wireless - National industry, which has returned 25.4% over the same period. Per the Zacks analyst, the company is likely to gain from increased deployment of mid-band spectrum, along with greater fiber densification. The planned commercial-scale open radio access network across the country will additionally help it build a more robust ecosystem of network infrastructure providers and suppliers. Therefore, the stock seems bullish. Entry this trade in the price range of $21.2 - $22.8 stop loss at $20.85 and target a share price of $27.65. 2 possible scenarios are shown on the chart Good luck
NYSE:TLong
by vf_investment
AT&T’s $7.6B DirecTV Stake Sale: What Next?AT&T (NYSE: NYSE:T ) recently announced a monumental deal, selling its remaining 70% stake in satellite TV provider DirecTV to private equity firm TPG for $7.6 billion. This move marks a decisive step for AT&T (NYSE: NYSE:T ), allowing the telecom giant to refocus its efforts on its core operations in wireless and fiber connectivity while continuing to stabilize and strengthen its balance sheet. Background and Financial Context AT&T’s acquisition of DirecTV in 2015 for $49 billion was met with high hopes but ultimately faced challenges as the television market shifted toward streaming services. Since then, DirecTV has seen a steady decline in distributions, with payments dropping from $2.65 billion in 2022 to $2.04 billion in 2023. In 2021, AT&T (NYSE: NYSE:T ) formed a joint venture with TPG, selling a 30% stake in DirecTV for $1.8 billion in cash. Under this agreement, AT&T agreed not to sell its remaining stake for three years. With that period expiring in July 2024, the telecom company is now selling its entire 70% interest in DirecTV to TPG in a deal that is expected to close by the second half of 2025. This sale comes at a time when AT&T is seeking to consolidate its focus on wireless and fiber networks, areas where the company sees the most growth potential. The deal is also aimed at reducing debt and improving AT&T’s financial stability, which has been a key concern among investors. AT&T will receive an initial payment of $2 billion in 2025, with additional payments through 2029. Fundamental Outlook: Refocusing for Growth With the divestiture of DirecTV, AT&T (NYSE: NYSE:T ) is sharpening its focus on its 5G wireless and fiber connectivity businesses, which are expected to be the primary growth drivers in the years ahead. The sale also aligns with AT&T’s long-term strategy to simplify its business model and allocate resources to higher-margin operations. Despite the challenges in its satellite TV division, AT&T remains one of the largest telecom players in the U.S., boasting significant market share in both 5G and fiber. By freeing up capital and reducing operational distractions, the company can better invest in next-gen technologies like 5G and fiber-to-the-home, both crucial to AT&T’s future competitiveness. The company's balance sheet will benefit from the additional $7.6 billion in cash inflows, allowing AT&T to deleverage and improve its financial health. AT&T’s management has signaled confidence in maintaining financial discipline while seeking new growth opportunities in the rapidly evolving telecommunications landscape. Technical Outlook: What the Charts Say On the technical side, (NYSE: NYSE:T ) stock has shown resilience, currently trading at a bullish RSI of 66.82, indicating that it is not overbought or oversold. This positioning presents a healthy technical outlook, suggesting the stock has room for further upward movement. The stock is trading above its key 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, further supporting a bullish sentiment. While the recent news provided a slight boost to the stock, with shares marginally up by 0.11% in premarket trading, caution is still warranted. The RSI hovering around 66 points to a potentially bullish scenario, but investors should remain mindful that any negative macroeconomic developments could exert pressure on the stock price. However, the positive momentum could see (NYSE: NYSE:T ) reaching its resistance point around $24 if broader market conditions remain favorable. AT&T stock (NYSE: NYSE:T ) saw a slight dip of 0.11% in aftermarket trading, suggesting that the market is still digesting the impact of the DirecTV stake sale. If the stock manages to hold above its 50-day moving average in the coming sessions, a breakout toward the resistance level could solidify the bullish trend. Conclusion: AT&T’s decision to sell its stake in DirecTV is a pivotal move, one that repositions the company to focus on its strengths in 5G and fiber connectivity. While DirecTV was a significant part of AT&T’s portfolio for nearly a decade, the satellite TV business no longer aligns with the company’s growth trajectory. AT&T (NYSE: NYSE:T ) stock is in a promising position, with positive momentum supported by solid moving averages and a healthy RSI. However, investors should remain cautious and watch for any potential pullbacks, particularly as the stock approaches its resistance point. Fundamentally, the sale allows AT&T to simplify its business, improve its balance sheet, and double down on its most profitable segments. As the telecom landscape continues to evolve, this strategic shift could help AT&T (NYSE: NYSE:T ) capture more of the market in a fast-growing 5G environment, making it an interesting play for both long-term investors and those looking for near-term opportunities.
NYSE:TLong
by DEXWireNews