SOBA trade ideas
T could see another thrust downI longed T a while ago, but more evidence is now building up that T could see one more thrust downward to the 31.11 level.
1. Bear flag on daily. Not impulsively moving away from the trend line.
2. Failing to break 32.7 resistance area.
3. OBV continuously going downward, showing more selling pressure.
Expected volatility in AT&T The final ruling in the anti-trust case against the proposed AT&T-Time Warner merger is expected on June 12. Either way the decision goes, price movement is likely. Current prices suggest a recovery from the recent decline. Options strategies that hedge against movement in any direction may be profitable.
AT&T is in a BUY ZONE - but a drop below $30.50 could mean $26I am long T. I hold a 5% position in my retirement account as a blue chip dividend stock with potential growth (pending merger). I bought in two troughs, at $34 and $32.
I have a mental stop loss at a close under $30.00, because a close under the buy zone likely means a break down to the bottom of my long-term channel.
I don't see that happening and I expect additional consolidation between $30-$34 while the lawsuit with the US Government takes its course to allow the merger to proceed.
I see the merger being allowed, AT&T will benefit substantially long-term, and my investment will continue to pay huge dividends moving into the long-term future.
For the time being, look to see if 30.50 holds and if so, we could get back into the upper trend channel and back to $40. A lot has to happen for this to be so, and the 20-day is acting as HEAVY resistance to breaking out of this bearish downtrend. I see the risk/reward to buying at these levels about 3 to 1, with a higher probability of the upside hitting before my mental stop... and in the meantime, pay me my 5%.
THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL - THIS IS JUST MY OPINION BASED ON MY REVIEW OF THE CHART. I AM LONG T