$TSLA Time to Fade or..?NASDAQ:TSLA (like NASDAQ:GOOG ) is standing out to me as bullish, yet, corrective Elliot Waves a higher degree series of ABCs appear to be underway.
A final wave C appears to be underway which would take price too all time highs in an expanded flat correction pattern. My count could be wrong and the interference could be from the increase it sentiment volatility connected to the US headlines lately and Trump posting on socials. Things may get back to normal after the summer and a clearer pattern may emerge.
Price is struggling to get past the weekly pivot point bullishly or the weekly 200EMS bearishly and is trapped within that range.
For now long term target is the R2 daily pivot at $693 as the higher probability is continued upside
Safe trading
TL0 trade ideas
Tesla (TSLA) 1H Chart – Wyckoff Cycle in ActionThis chart reflects a textbook Wyckoff pattern unfolding on TSLA’s 1-hour timeframe:
🔹 Accumulation Phase observed early May
🔹 Followed by Manipulation & Distribution – classic trap before markdown
🔹 Sharp selloff led to another Accumulation zone around $305
🔹 Further manipulation wicks indicate smart money involvement
🔹 Now projecting a move towards $360–$370 distribution zone
📌 Structure breakdown:
Smart Money Accumulation ➡️ Manipulation ➡️ Distribution
Bullish momentum building from $306 support
Eyes on reaction near the marked green distribution box 📦
📅 As of June 15, 2025 – chart aligns with Wyckoff theory and institutional behavior.
TSLA: Agentic and real world AIThe "this is a just a car company" crowd, as usual, continues to point at the valuation as a reason to short. Not realizing that the valuation has always been high. It's been apart of Tesla's DNA for many years. Like a trend line, you must consider it in your thesis along with everything else.
We will remain on trend. Money printer is running again. Don't get left behind. Don't be a hater because the stock will move the way it wants regardless of how you feel about it.
I'm not a trader.
TSLA Elliott Wave Analysis | Bullish Scenario UnfoldingThis chart presents a detailed Elliott Wave analysis on Tesla (TSLA) in the 4-hour timeframe.
The price structure from the April low suggests a completed corrective ABC pattern, forming a solid wave (4) base.
A new bullish impulse appears to be underway, with wave (1) and (2) of wave (5) already confirmed.
We are now tracking the development of wave (3), which has the potential to extend toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone around $426, with intermediate resistance at $406.84 (1.414 Fib).
The projected wave (5) could complete near $440, marking the end of a larger degree 5-wave impulse structure.
Key levels to watch: support near $320.47 (0.5 retracement level of wave 1–3) and resistance at $360–380 before the next leg higher.
Two possible scenarios are outlined:
Primary Path (solid lines): Strong bullish continuation toward wave D and (5).
Alternate Path (dotted lines): Short-term correction back to the trendline support before resuming the uptrend.
The chart also highlights the breakout from a long-term descending trendline and a potential cup-and-handle continuation pattern, supporting the bullish thesis.
📈 Trade Plan: Watching for confirmation above $360 to target $406 and $426+ in the coming weeks. Stops should be considered below $310 depending on risk tolerance.
NFA
TESLA falling down to 250 USD?Tesla is consolidating in a tight range, showing bearish pressure near the lower boundary of the formation. Moving averages (MA 5/10/30/60) are flattening, indicating a loss of bullish momentum, while the Wavetrend oscillator has issued a sell signal (bearish crossover below the zero line). A downside breakout from this range projects a potential move toward the $250 level, as illustrated by the measured move. This bearish scenario gains validity if price breaks below the $315 support level.
Possible TP: 250 USD
Tesla: Back on Track?Tesla has resumed downward momentum, aligning with our primary scenario and moving away from resistance at $373.04. As part of the ongoing turquoise wave 5, we expect continued selling pressure: it should break below the $215.01 support. This would complete magenta wave (3) of the current bearish impulse. A reversal back above $373.04 – and especially a breach of $405.54 – would force us to adopt the 38% likely alternative scenario. Under this count, the correction low of blue wave alt.(II) would be already in, and Tesla would now be rallying in wave alt.(III) .
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
TSLA Honey Ticking Bull Trap! UPDATE 1This is an updated chart, as I keep being prompted to reach "My Target" by TV.
No matter how bad things get for Elona and TSLA, there are always people who are willing to pile in and buy at any price. The problem is the chart is showing lower highs, as TSLA no longer attracts the people needed to boost price, just like TSLA the brand. As a result, people keep getting honey ticked.
Don't Get HONEY TICKED!
As I always say, never EVER!! Invest in toxic people like Elona. They always blow themselves up in the end. It's in their nature!
Click Boost, Follow, subscribe, and let's reach 5,000 followers. ;)
Short setup TiqGPT MARKET NARRATIVE:
Analyzing the Tesla Inc. charts across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent downtrend from the daily (1D) to the 1-minute (1m) timeframe. The price action shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicative of a bearish market structure. The 1D chart reveals a significant bearish momentum with recent candles closing near their lows, suggesting strong selling pressure. This trend is echoed in the 4-hour (4h) and 1-hour (1h) charts, where price has failed to reclaim higher levels, instead forming bearish continuation patterns.
The 15-minute (15m), 5-minute (5m), and 1-minute (1m) charts provide a more granular view of the selling pressure, with price consistently making new lows. The absence of significant bullish retracements across these lower timeframes indicates that liquidity is being taken rather than created, as sellers push the price downward without substantial opposition.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in a distribution phase, offloading shares which is evident from the sustained downward movement and lack of significant pullbacks. This suggests a continuation of the bearish trend with potential further downside.
LEARNING POINT:
The consistent lower highs and lower lows across all timeframes highlight a strong bearish momentum engineered by institutional selling pressure.
SIGNAL: WAIT
SYMBOL: TSLA
ENTRY PRICE: $317.60
STOP LOSS: $322.00
TARGET PRICE: $310.00
CONDITION: Sell on a slight pullback to $317.60, which aligns with recent minor resistance levels on lower timeframes.
RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.7 (Risk=$4.40, Reward=$7.60) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters.
Momentum & Exhaustion: No signs of exhaustion in selling, with candles closing near lows.
Liquidity Behavior: Continued push lower without significant retracements suggests ongoing institutional distribution.
Pressure Analysis: Strong selling pressure evident from the lack of bullish counter-moves.
Context Awareness: Price is trending down with no significant areas of demand observed that could halt the bearish momentum.
STRATEGIES USED:
Multi-Timeframe Bearish Continuation
Distribution Phase Trading
URGENCY: HIGH
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$4.40, Reward=$7.60, Ratio=1:1.7 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Risk = $322.00 - $317.60 = $4.40
Reward = $317.60 - $310.00 = $7.60
Ratio = $7.60 / $4.40 = 1.72
RECOMMENDATION:
The calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.72 does not meet the minimum requirement of 2:1. Therefore, the recommendation is to WAIT for a better risk/reward setup or further confirmation of institutional activity that could provide a more favorable entry point.
V-Bottom + Apocalypse news => Going UpV bottom was formed.
News are clearly bearish in a conclusive way =>> fool the public to sell shares to the big fish while the market will go up...
Overall market sentiment under the hood is bullish. Public is in huge fear of banks that collapsed and will continue to collapse, so the masses will sell stocks on an up wave fearing it will go down.
How else you will make the mass public sell their stocks? if there is no apocalypse on the way...? think about it...
Will the Robotaxi euphoria continue to push TSLA higher?NASDAQ:TSLA pushing higher the last few days thanks to the start robotaxis. Will this rally continue? the answer is yes until the LIS gets broken.
LIS is at 311, any break below will give a retrace. If you are long, get out and get back in when the next LIS gets broken on the upside. This is efficient investing. Don't waste time doing HODL.
LIS is evolving over time, I will keep you updated on it.
This is really simple trading based on important levels. Keep following my post, so you can see it by yourself.
Safe Entry Zone TeslaGreen Zone is Safe Entry Zone.
Target is Take Profit line.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Weekly Technical Analysis for TSLA (June 24–28)TSLA is entering a critical squeeze zone between major gamma walls and key price structure levels. Let’s break this down with both the Daily GEX Map and the 1-Hour Price Action to strategize your trades this week.
📊 GEX Map (Daily Timeframe Insights)
From the first chart:
* Current Price: $322.16
* High Gamma Resistance Zone:
* 🧱 $330 = GEX Cluster
* 🧱 $336–$342 = Highest NTE/Call Wall
* 🧱 $348–$367 = 2nd and 3rd CALL Walls
* Support Levels:
* 🛡️ $315 (2nd PUT Wall)
* 🛡️ $310 (3rd PUT Wall)
* 🔻 Below $310 = Gamma unwind and vacuum toward $296
GEX Sentiment:
* GEX: ✅ Bullish (green dot)
* IV Rank (IVR): 26.6 (low) → cheap options
* CALL$ flow: 59.3% bias bullish
* IVx < IVR → low IV crush risk on CALLs
Interpretation:
TSLA is pinned between two strong gamma zones: $315–$330. A breakout could magnet price quickly to $342+, but a breakdown below $312.50 puts $296 in play fast.
🕐 1-Hour Chart (Smart Money Concepts)
* CHoCH confirmed around $330 zone → bearish pressure
* BOS and reaccumulation near $312–$316 zone → short-term buyer defense
* Trendline support holding, price coiling in a wedge
* Volume shows weak conviction in breakdowns; potential trap under $315
🎯 Trade Scenarios for This Week
🔼 Bullish Setup (Breakout Above $330):
* Entry: Above $333 (confirm breakout + GEX flip)
* Target 1: $342 (GEX target, CALL wall)
* Target 2: $348–$357
* Stop: Below $322
* Trigger: Volume surge + clean CHoCH over pink zone
🔽 Bearish Setup (Breakdown Below $312):
* Entry: Below $311 (gap-filler move)
* Target 1: $296 (FVG + structure zone)
* Target 2: $284 (OB demand)
* Stop: Above $318
* Trigger: CHoCH failure + BOS retest fails under OB
🧠 Smart Tips
* If you’re scalping: watch the $322–$325 chop zone. Only commit on break of wedge.
* Gamma compression + low IV makes TSLA explosive this week—perfect for vertical debit spreads or lottos on direction breakout.
* Best confirmation = volume + higher timeframe CHoCH + breakout candle from consolidation.
🔚 Final Thoughts
TSLA is coiled tight. Watch for the breakout of $330 or a flush under $312. Both offer strong risk-to-reward opportunities. Stay patient, and let price confirm before sizing in.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk properly.
Technical Analysis – TSLAChart Summary:
Current Price: ~$349.21
Local Top: ~$357.53 (100% Fib extension)
Bearish Rejection: Notable wick + retrace from 0.886–1.0 zone
Probable Pullback Zone: 343.00–338.50 (Fibonacci 0.618–0.5 retracement)
Major Support Levels:
$334.50 – Prior key horizontal + Fib confluence
$311.62 – Historical demand zone
Projection:
Intraday double-leg correction toward $338–$343
Possible bounce and continuation toward the golden target zone:
$366.47 (1.236 Fib)
$374.16–$380.95 (1.618 zone)
🌍 Macro Alignment
Bullish backdrop:
Tech sector leading broader rally
Tesla’s robotaxi and AI narrative lifting sentiment
Oil down → margin relief for EV production
Catalysts this week: Powell testimony, PCE inflation
📈 Trading Plan
Type Direction Entry Target(s) Stop Loss Confidence
Intraday Bearish $352–$353 rejection zone $343 → $338.5 Above $357.5 🔶 Medium
Swing (Buy the dip) Bullish $338–$334 zone $366.47 → $374.16 Below $330 🟢 Strong
📌 Suggested Strategy
Scalp short if rejection at $353.2–$357.5 confirms with bearish candle on volume.
Add long exposure if price consolidates or reverses from the $338–$334.5 support area.
Monitor Powell’s remarks – Any dovish tilt could accelerate tech upside.
TSLA sentiment remains strong, but intraday shakeouts are expected.
✍️ Summary Signal
“TSLA remains bullish on a swing basis, but intraday looks set for a Fibonacci pullback to $338–$334. Buy dips if structure holds. Macro backdrop (robotaxi + Fed pause) supports continuation to $366–$374.”