Target around 270-260This is what I see and I am thinking this will go down. Cup and handle, inverted of course. However, it can break out of the sequence, but I do like the downside right now.
TL0 trade ideas
#TSLA - Bounce Back ZoneTesla is currently in a correction phase within a broader upward trend. The $333–$350 zone is a key support area that could act as a potential bottom for the pullback. If the price holds this level, it is likely to resume its upward movement toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
However, if the price breaks below $333, it could signal a deeper correction and invalidate the bullish scenario in the short term. Monitoring price action around the support zone is crucial for confirming the next move.
Why Tesla Stock Could FallHi traders this is why tesla could fall in the coming days.
- Musk’s political alignment with Trump may alienate environmentally conscious buyers and complicate international expansion, especially in markets like the EU where Chinese competitors face high tariffs.
- Tesla's 2024 annual deliveries fell for the first time in its history (1.79 million EVs, down 1.1% from 2023), missing Wall Street expectations and raising doubts about its ability to achieve Musk’s 20–30% growth target for 2025.
- Tesla has repeatedly slashed prices in China to maintain market share, but this strategy is eroding profit margins
- Tesla’s P/E ratio of 200 far exceeds peers like Apple or Microsoft
- Tesla’s growth narrative hinges on Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxis, but regulatory approval delays and technical challenges persist, these initiatives are unlikely to generate significant revenue before 2026
I am looking for shorts around 409.74, Targeting 291.89 with stop loss at 468.74
Tesla short on earningthe chart says it needs to reach $320-$300 zone. risky but less risky for short
Tesla in next few dayshello traders i think tesla path in next few days be like this base on price action I read. and it have to decide where its going to continuing up or down. we should wait and see i think odds will be in favor of down trend after that but till then we should do no thing. myself as day trader will trade by risking 2% of my account base on this idea till it rech my destination and then decide to risk more or not.
crossing SMA200...not Good for TSLATSLA has just crossed 200 SMA, which does not bode well. Price target of low 300s (best case scenario). Great company and products, but let's not fool ourselves that much of this hike in prices was purely because of the Champgne effect of Trump. Tesla may cross over to higher levels later, but my opinion is that it will def dip very soon and one could leverage MSTZ on this set-up.
All the best and always do your own due diligence!
Too good to be true, TESLA STRONG BULLA simple and scholastic triangle formation shows a possible rise in the stock price even in view of the earnings release. Too simple to be true, but if it were it would be a regret not having tried. It is not a bet and just an opportunity to carry out a good study.
TSLA after correction/ PullbackTSLA after correction/ Pullback
My trade is as follows.
Entry: $397
SL: $387
TP 1: $440
Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings CallTesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event.
Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect:
Current Stock Performance
Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395.
The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback.
Earnings Expectations
Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter.
Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%.
Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation
👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO.
👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory.
👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call.
👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business.
Analyst Sentiment
There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term.
The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels.
Technical Sentiment
Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence.
Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA.
Conclusion
As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.
TSLA - Correction & Recovery TimeTesla plans to release fourth-quarter results after the bell on Wednesday.
Here’s what analysts are expecting, based on an average of estimates compiled by LSEG:
Earnings per share: 76 cents
Revenue: $27.26 billion
Tesla’s earnings report follows a steep rally in the company’s stock price tied to the election of President Donald Trump. Tesla CEO Elon Musk was the biggest backer of Trump’s campaign efforts and is now leading the president’s new government efficiency advisory board.
The electric vehicle maker’s stock price is up 58% since Trump’s victory in November as investors bet that Musk’s influence would lead to both favorable policies and less oversight of his companies.
In early January, Tesla reported deliveries for the fourth quarter of 495,570. For the full year, deliveries came in at about 1.8 million, marking the company’s first annual decline. Deliveries are the closest approximation of sales reported by Tesla, but are not precisely defined in the company’s shareholder communications.
To end 2024, Tesla offered a range of discounts on inventory vehicles and special discounts for buyers in North America who were referred by another Tesla customer. In China, Tesla cut prices on its popular Model Y SUVs before debuting a refreshed version, the Model Y Juniper.
TSLA at a Critical Level! Bullish Momentum or Resistance BreakouPrice Action Analysis
* Current Price: $401.00 (Ask)
* TSLA is trading within a consolidation zone near $400. Recent price action suggests indecision, as the stock tested resistance at $413 but failed to sustain momentum.
* Key Support Levels:
* $395: Immediate support, aligning with previous consolidation zones.
* $378.85: A stronger level that could act as a potential demand zone if the price breaks lower.
* Key Resistance Levels:
* $413: Immediate resistance. A breakout above could signal a bullish continuation.
* $420.73: The next critical level for bullish momentum.
Indicators
* MACD: Flattening near the signal line, indicating a lack of momentum but suggesting a potential bullish crossover.
* Stochastic RSI: Neutral at 52.77, suggesting a balanced condition. A cross above 70 could confirm momentum.
GEX Analysis and Option Sentiment
* Gamma Exposure (GEX): 93.2% calls, suggesting a bullish sentiment in the options market.
* High Positive NETGEX Level: $420 (Gamma Wall) serves as a strong resistance point.
* Key GEX Levels:
* $450: Strong CALL wall, potential upside target.
* $365: PUT support, strong demand zone.
Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout
* Entry: Above $413
* Target 1: $420
* Target 2: $430
* Stop Loss: Below $395
Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection
* Entry: Below $395
* Target 1: $378
* Target 2: $365
* Stop Loss: Above $413
Option Strategy
1. Bullish:
* Calls: Buy $420 Calls (expiration within 2 weeks).
* Target premium growth if TSLA breaks $413 convincingly.
2. Bearish:
* Puts: Buy $380 Puts (expiration within 2 weeks).
* Target profits if price breaks $395.
My Thoughts
Tesla is poised for a significant move. The consolidation near $400 suggests that the next breakout or rejection will dictate the short-term direction. With GEX supporting a bullish case, $420 remains a critical target. However, a failure to hold $395 could bring a bearish wave.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions may vary at premarket open. Traders are advised to adjust strategies accordingly. For questions, please PM me!
Opening (IRA): TSLA February 21st 330/340/460/470 Iron Condor... for a 3.35 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV earnings announcement volatility contraction play.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 3.35
Buying Power Effect: 6.65
ROC at Max: 50.4%
50% Max: 1.68
ROC at 50% Max: 25.2%
$TSLA expected move for earnings todaySo for earnings today the expected move for TSLA is between 359-437 That is a 9.83% move implied... let's goooo...
I'm rooting for down, I'm not a big fan of TSLA or Musk.
Tesla UpdateStill no clear indication of where Tesla is headed next. Looking at the afterhours (24hr market) price on Robinhood it is down $10/share. Is this a snapshot of what tomorrow will look like or are insiders giving a hint that price will head lower again in the near future. I have been saying for a few trading sessions now that price hit the smaller 1.0 of sub-minuette a-b of minor B. This is all that is "required" for the move to be considered standard.
What does this mean? It means that the minimum requirements for a standard move have already been completed, and we could head lower at any time. If it has in fact topped in minor B already, then the next area we will be targeting is the low $300's - high $200's. The big clue to know if we're headed down that low, is a breach of the prior low made by minor A @ $373.04.
If we do not breach that low, there remains the chance that price rises again to the minor B target box. This uncertainty is the reason I sold my position and why I haven't re-entered. When we get to a better risk/reward area I will re-enter. I have a feeling that will be a few weeks though. Until then, I remain an observer.
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought TSLA before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 400usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-31,
for a premium of approximately $16.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
TSLA Pre Earnings Spread - Short 1/31 400 and Long 2/7 400TSLA is in a symmetrical butterfly or Iron Butterfly configuration and is awaiting earnings tomorrow evening.
It is sitting at institutional support at the bottom of its long term ascending channel flashing a double bottom.
The 400 strike is dominant in terms of TSLA open interest with approximately equal open contracts for both puts and calls going out 90 days and the implied volatility of the 1/31 expiry is massive.
I deployed calendar put spreads earlier this afternoon that I plan to close tomorrow afternoon.
1/31 400 puts were trading for around $22.00 per contract this afternoon and are massively decaying. This position should be profitable by the open and its breakeven levels are 360 to the downside and 450 to the upside.
I assess the probability of a significant move in TSLA before earnings to be minimal and so I'm looking to scalp some IV inflated rapid theta decay for a quick win. I mistakenly believed that TSLA's earnings were the 30th rather than the 29th and so I'm going to get less time on this trade than I would have liked, but, them's the breaks.
See associated spread:
optionstrat.com
$TSLA Pattern IdeaNASDAQ:TSLA stock is moving similarly to the previous consolidation cycle. I expect it to revisit the 20 weeks EMA very very soon and then head to 1.618 fib!
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Tesla Testing Key Levels: Breakout or Breakdown Ahead? Jan 28Analysis: Tesla (TSLA) is displaying a consolidation pattern following a recent decline. The price is currently hovering near the $397 level, with support at $379 and resistance at $418. The
MACD is neutral, while the Stochastic RSI shows overbought conditions, suggesting a potential short-term pullback.
* Key Support: $379
* Key Resistance: $418
If the price breaks above $418 with significant volume, it could test $439 as the next resistance. On the downside, a breakdown below $379 may push the price toward the $360-$350 zone.
Price Action Insights:
* Tesla is consolidating within a descending channel. A breakout could signal trend reversal.
* Volume remains moderate, indicating indecision among traders.
Trade Scenarios:
1. Bullish: Enter above $418 with targets at $439 and $450. Set a stop-loss at $397.
2. Bearish: Short below $379 targeting $360 and $350. Place a stop-loss at $400.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis for TSLA Options
* Highest Call Resistance (Gamma Wall): $440
* Put Support: $350
* Implied Volatility (IVR): 66.1
* Call Dominance: 83%
Options Observations:
* Significant GEX levels at $440 suggest strong resistance, with a potential pivot at $407.5.
* The $350 zone acts as a substantial put wall, providing support.
Options Trading Setup:
1. Bullish Option: Buy Call at $418 strike, targeting $440. Premiums are elevated; manage risk with tight stops.
2. Bearish Option: Buy Put at $379 strike, aiming for $360-$350. Use defined risk strategies to minimize losses.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading.
Simple charts needs no explanationif you see earnings back to 2022 Dec and whenever CMF hit the trend line and we had a volume confirmation in next few days on daily chart, the price always took off marking it the local bottom for the Quarter.
So on Wednesday if I see $365 and if you can hold 90 days, backup your truck to load it.
TSLA Consolidation Breakout or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch Technical Analysis:
* Trend Analysis: TSLA appears to be in a consolidation phase, trading within a rising wedge pattern. This signals potential for either a breakout or breakdown depending on market momentum.
* Volume: Volume has been declining, suggesting reduced conviction in the recent price movement.
* MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line, signaling bearish momentum.
* Stoch RSI: The oscillator is moving into oversold territory, potentially indicating a bounce soon if demand picks up.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Support Levels:
* $405: Immediate support level coinciding with recent price action.
* $380: Stronger support if the wedge breaks downward.
* Resistance Levels:
* $440: First significant resistance.
* $480: Critical gamma resistance wall.
Trade Scenarios:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: $410
* Target 1: $440
* Target 2: $480
* Stop Loss: $395
* Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: $405
* Target 1: $380
* Target 2: $350
* Stop Loss: $420
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights for Options:
* Call Wall:
* $440: 94.99% of GEX concentration, making this the primary resistance level.
* Put Support:
* $380: High concentration of puts, indicating strong support if prices test this level.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank):
* 54.3: High implied volatility, making options premium-rich for selling strategies.
* Directional Bias: Neutral with a slightly bearish lean due to the MACD crossover and wedge pattern.
Actionable Suggestions:
1. Consider selling options (e.g., iron condors) to capitalize on premium from TSLA’s high IV.
2. Watch for price action near the $405 level for a potential breakdown or bounce.
3. Avoid over-leveraging as volatility remains elevated.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before trading.
TESLA - Earnings will make or break them!Where are my NASDAQ:TSLA bulls at?!
It all comes down to this ⚔️
Earning report is Wed. and we need to finish this month above 2021 ATHs.
Good Earnings = $731 🎯
Bad Earnings = Sub $400 🔻
Not financial advice
