TL0 trade ideas
TSLA in the way to the all time highTSLA has jumped across the Greek (Wyckoff) and currently above the wide range for 2 weeks.
Now , TSLA heading to the all time high that marked in white color and may be reach before D.Trump inauguration on January 20, 2025
Target points and Stop Loss are marked on the chart.
I am Just sharing insights and market trends for learning and growing every day and it is not financial advice.
TSLA Surges Higher! Key Levels and GEX Insights for TomorrowTechnical Analysis (TA)
1. Daily Chart (1D):
* TSLA remains in a parabolic uptrend, holding well above the 9 EMA and 21 EMA.
* Elevated volume supports the bullish trend, but price nearing key psychological resistance around $480–$500 suggests caution.
* A healthy retracement could bring the stock back to test strong support near $450 or $440.
2. 1-Hour Chart (1H):
* TSLA is trading within a well-defined rising channel.
* Channel resistance aligns near $480, while MACD divergence indicates slowing momentum – signaling a potential short-term pullback.
* Support levels to watch for a bounce: $450 and $440–$430.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Call Walls (Resistance):
* $490 – Moderate gamma resistance.
* $500 – Major resistance where options sellers may defend this strike aggressively.
* Put Walls (Support):
* $440 – Highest positive NETGEX, providing strong support.
* $417.5 – 3rd PUT Wall level, additional downside defense.
* Options Oscillator:
* Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 9.1 (low), indicating options premiums are relatively cheap.
* Call dominance: 124%, suggesting strong upward positioning in the options market.
Trade Suggestions:
Bullish Setup (If price holds support):
* Call Options:
* Strike: $480 or $500 (expiring 1–2 weeks out).
* Look for entry near pullback support zones $450–$440.
* Strategy: Buy calls or debit spreads targeting $490–$500.
Bearish Setup (Short-term pullback):
* Put Options:
* Strike: $450 (short-term pullback).
* Entry: If TSLA fails to hold $470–$460 with momentum confirming a breakdown.
* Strategy: Buy puts or put debit spreads targeting $440 support.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance: $480, $490, $500
* Support: $450, $440, $417.5
Outlook:
* TSLA remains bullish, but the risk of a pullback increases as price nears major resistance.
* Traders should consider buying Calls on pullbacks or hedging with Puts near resistance if momentum weakens.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Tesla UpdateIf y'all remember, I was originally counting the raise off the $101 bottom as the primary wave ((5)) of cycle wave I. Due to the price action we carved out from the April 24' low, I changed that to the cycle wave I as already completed. All I have been seeing / able to count from that low are 3-wave moves. This hardly seems like an impulsive pattern to me. Also, MACD says that cycle wave I ended Nov 21'.
With the recent price action, I am forced to reconsider / revisit my long-term analysis. This leaves only an ED as a viable option should it not be corrective. If this is corrective, it is way over extended and border line invalidated. Yes, an abc pattern can extend above the prior impulsive wave high, and no rules dictate by how much. However, at some point you have to call it what it is and look at other possibilities. That is what I am doing now. Should it not be corrective, which I am extremely doubting, the only other viable option following EWT is an ED. Should it be an ED, then that means price will be required to revisit the high $200's for wave (4). What could cause that kind of a fall in value followed by another larger move higher is anyone's guess.
There technically is one other option. This option cannot be predicted by EWT and there is no way to account for it. That is if some huge news that is unexpected from insiders and retailers' alike drops changing the trajectory of a stock. In this case, for whatever reason I cannot understand, many people thought President Trump was going to lose the election. Before he won, Musk had tied himself very close to the president elect. Did this alter the pattern? We cannot yet know. However, we can boil this stock down to three possible options.
Option #1 - This is a way over extended abc pattern that will be concluding soon. (Least favorite option personally)
Option #2 - This is an ED and we're currently within wave (3). This suggests that price will come down sub $300 to overlap with wave (1) before moving to new ATH's. (My favorite option)
Option #3 - The stock has changed its trajectory / structure due to the election outcome and is now in a very bullish pattern much higher.
Option #1 suggests that price is topping and will head down any time now (again, least favorite option). I have drawn a turquoise box on the chart tracking the Option #2 possibility. Option #3 will follow the turquoise count but not fall as low on the retrace. We will know in the next couple weeks what price has in mind.
$TSLA - 500 incomingTSLA - stock up $12 after hours. in a big breakout mode. Stock having another 6% plus move day to the upside. Next level on the FIB at $513.71. possible hit this week if keeps moving. swing calls added in group looking for that $500 break. Stock has support at $450
Tesla's Bullish Outlook: A Closer LookBeyond its electric vehicles, Tesla is at the forefront of AI research and development. Its self-driving technology, Autopilot, and Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities are prime examples of this. These advancements have the potential to revolutionize transportation and significantly impact other industries.
The Impact of SoftBank's Investment
SoftBank's significant investment in US AI infrastructure further solidifies the growing importance of AI and its potential to drive economic growth. This investment could indirectly benefit Tesla, as it might lead to increased demand for AI-powered solutions and accelerate the development of AI technologies.
Kathy Wood's Bold Prediction
Cathy Wood's optimistic forecast for Tesla's future is based on the company's strong fundamentals, innovative products, and disruptive potential. While her prediction is ambitious, it's not entirely unrealistic, given Tesla's track record of exceeding expectations.
Technical Analysis and the $700 Target
The monthly chart you're referring to provides a long-term perspective on Tesla's price trajectory. While technical analysis can be a valuable tool, it's important to remember that it's not a crystal ball. Market conditions, economic factors, and unforeseen events can all influence stock prices.
Cautious Optimism
While Tesla's future looks promising, it's crucial to approach investing with a balanced perspective. While the company's long-term potential is significant, short-term market volatility and unforeseen challenges can impact its stock price.
Before making any investment decisions, it's advisable to conduct thorough research or consult with a financial advisor. Consider factors such as the company's financial performance, competitive landscape, and overall market conditions.
Remember, past performance is not indicative of future results. While Tesla has a strong track record, it's essential to approach investing with realistic expectations and a long-term perspective.
TSLA-SELL strategy weekly chart It is not for the fainthearted trading this share currently, however, it is good to place things in perspective. Pre- US-election the share was trading around $ 250 and today we are after market $ 472 per share, which represents a move of 88% of the value before the election. For sure, the leader of the pack, is bright and a visionary and has achieved incredible things, and more so, it has shaped the EV space.
Now coming down to earth, technically we are way overbought from short- to long-term, and technically trading way above KC and extremely wide BB as well. So, the choice is yours.
Strategy SELL @ $ 460-480 and take profit at $ 390 for now.
Beta is not right indicator to pick high volatile stocksI have done extensive analysis on lot of stocks to see, which group of stocks gives more returns compared to market, index or any other household branded companies.
Before i get into alternative to beta, here i will try to get into the details of beta calculation to understand ourselves why beta may not represent true nature or momentum of a stock.
How is beta calculated?
Beta is multiplication of two numbers, Correlation and volatility. If any one number out of these two are less, the result will be a low beta number.
Correlation: If a stock moves in same +ve or -ve direction as that of market, it will have good correlation. On a given window of 48 prior days from now, how many days(or whatever timeframe) the stock matches up/down movement with respect to market, will give us correlation number. This value will be in the range +1 to -1. If price moves as per market direction, it will be 0 to +1. If price moves in opposite direction of market( that is stock goes up when market goes down or stock goes down when market goes up), the correlation will be 0 to -1.
Usually in practice, all stocks are mostly positively correlate with market, so they end up having values between 0 and +1. This means, stocks with close to +1 correlation will have high beta and low correlation( say 0.5) will result in low beta.
So correlation will play big role in beta value of a stock.
However there will be few stocks, which doesn't move exactly as that of market but still are high volatile. I will explain volatility in short. If one is filtering stocks based on beta, they will loose out gains on these high volatile stocks.
Instead of measuring an expected amount of return on a stock with respect to beta, we could simply use volatility to monitor a list of high volatile stocks to reap good returns over time.
Volatility: If market moves +0.5%, say stock x moves 1%, conversely if market moves -0.5%, stock x moves -1%, it is safe to say stock x is high volatile. In statistics/math terms, how much the stock is deviating from its mean compared to market, gives a relative value of volatility with respect to market. Standard deviation of stock versus market gives the volatility of the stock.
Higher the volatility, higher the gains or losses on the stock. Expecting returns on a stock based on the standard deviation is difficult. Instead, I will simply use a different calculation(explained below), that helps you easily see the expected returns in layman terms.
Say, if you buy a stock at the lowest price on a specific month, and sell at highest price in that same month, the profit can be measured in percentage wise. That same number averaged over 12 months gives a rough idea of how much profit one can expect if timed properly every month.
Selecting and timing on these high percentage profit returning stocks will amplify the returns over long time, compared to investing or trading in the low volatile stocks.
The indicator(free) of mine sangana beta table will list the stocks sector wise, how much percentage a stock moves low to high in a month.
It works for S&P500 and Nifty 500 stocks.
Happy trading !!!
Tesla is overhyped and over-extendedHistory repeats itself. Tesla is getting overhyped without clear tangible reason. Robotaxis? Sure, maybe they will be launched next year, but how will the car charge itself? A bunch of logistics and legislation are not yet in place. The Cyber-Truck was a bit of a failure. At least two Chinese EV's are not only catching up, but overpassing it (Nio, BYD). The new Tesla refreshed models are in a way a step-back. Disclosure: I do own a 2022 Tesla Model 3 Performance, but am a bit disappointed with the latest model refresh. Instead of giving people what they want, HUD/screen for the driver, they took out the stalks, and the parking sensors... great decision, now the car instead of showing me exactly the distance to an object, it continuously beeps for non-existent ones.
Anyway, returning to the Tesla stock, with a P/E ratio of over 100, no way this will stay at such a value for long. One of the reasons it got so high, I suspect is due to it being somewhat over-shorted already. Still, what goes up, must come down (eventually).
I'm predicting a more realistic 250-280 within the next 6 months (June 2025), a similar repeat of March/Aug 2022 when Tesla performed by far at their best (yellow/blue paths superimposed over the current stock price).
Very bullish on $TSLALooks absolutely primed. Bouncing off all the monthly VWAPs/EMAs. Loads of price support. This could easily go to $276 and potentially $360.
I suspect this may go nuts if the Feds cut rates in Sept.
TSLA: Bigger than you thinkFirst stop is 458 based on first 1.61 Fib extension. However I believe bullish sentiment will continue prior to inauguration to the next level at 650 prior to wave 4.
Not trading advise but wave 3 is typically the longest and strongest.
Tesla Short Till next bullish FVGTesla going down but look for reversal based on the Bullish or Bearish FVG. Follow for more in depth look.
Tesla’s Next Move: Breakout or Pullback?Tesla’s sitting at a make-or-break level around $441. If we break through, we could be heading straight for $458. But if $441 doesn’t budge, we’re likely dipping back to the $415–$420 range for a breather.
Keep it simple: Watch $441. If it holds, look for the breakout. If not, stay ready for a pullback. Trading’s all about playing the levels—no need to overthink it!
KRIS/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Riding the Bullish Wave: Tesla Trade Ideas for Next WeekRecent Performance: Tesla has exhibited a stellar market performance, jumping
approximately 11% in the past week and an impressive 53% over the last
month. The stock’s recent bullish trend has been fueled by high trading
volumes and strong options activity around the $500 strike price, indicating
robust investor sentiment. Tesla’s growth has played a significant role in
driving major indices like the NASDAQ to new highs.
- Key Insights: Investors should note the strength of Tesla’s stock, remaining
above critical support levels while also showing an inclination toward
testing higher resistance levels. Traders are advised to leverage current
price movements, focusing on potential pullbacks as buying opportunities.
The introduction of innovative vehicle bundles and the Cybertruck's
reservation policy are likely to contribute to upcoming sales growth.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain a largely bullish outlook on Tesla, with
target prices reaching as high as $500. The company is positioned not just
as an electric vehicle leader, but also as a contender in AI and robotics,
suggesting long-term growth potential. Upcoming strategic initiatives and
easing legal distractions enhance market confidence, fostering an optimistic
environment despite external economic challenges.
- Price Targets:
- Next week targets: T1: 450.00, T2: 460.00
- Stop levels: S1: 422.52, S2: 418.82
- News Impact: Tesla is gaining attention due to strategic moves like the
unbundling of the Cybertruck reservation requirement and the launch of new
bundles for current models. Additionally, legal actions to allow CEO Elon
Musk to focus on business operations are favorable for the stock's future.
While the backdrop of broader economic uncertainties persists, the
prevailing sentiment remains positive, with significant developments likely
to buoy investor interest.
Tesla's Electrifying Rally: Stock Zooms to New Peaks● After facing a notable setback at the $415 mark, the stock took a dramatic plunge, dropping around 75% before finding its footing close to the $100 threshold.
● Following this, the stock entered an extended period of consolidation, eventually created a Rounding Bottom pattern.
● Recently, the stock has surpassed its previous resistance and reached all-time high.
● This breakthrough has sparked significant excitement, with optimism soaring about the stock's future growth potential.
[TSLA] Tesla will continue to be strong for a long time.
Tesla will continue to be strong for a long time. If there is a correction, there will be a strong rebound in the first and second wave indicators.
TSLA will continue it's bullish MomentumTSLA will continue its bullish Momentum and its target price is $473.83.
It follows the ABCD pattern. If you have already taken a position in it, plz make a profit at the price of $473.83. you can buy it at a cheaper price later.
TSLA ....Tesla self explanatory cash flow to price actionNo need to elaborate..but there is one thing that will easily collaborate with the chart above...a story from Russian(soviet at time) spec ops through my Afghan/Pakistani friends ( remember the war they had years ago):
"There is one thing that is true of a knife...it needs to be sharp to cut, so do you choose the best steel or the average steel? You choose average, cause its easy to put an edge on....for you only have the bare necessities on the run and you don't have sharpening stones for the harder more tempered steels. That is why AK rules over all---three crates can carry thousands of parts to which any operative can interchange with any other on their own AK. Fancy is fine for the firing range...but jamming and delicate parts are not for the field."
When you try to claim the likes of a battery powered car full to the brim with electronics...no way to make things from energy byproduct (such as heating/cooling system)...can compete with a 2002 f350 7.3 international engine dually, you automatically will start the excuses. But remember, that dually- hate the truck/company or not- is a workhorse that is in many simple companies, no thrills landscape or excavation, and has lasted them 22 years. Same fuel tank, same drive trains...sure maybe a rebuild or overhaul...but 22 years. How far has the little battery cars lasted...how far can they last.Get rid of diesel for a 4 hour charge to get you a 1/4 the equipment to a 1/4 the distance to the jobsite. The F350 has barely any electronic sensors, no touchscreens or things to fail. Your Cyber-toy can't make it half way across Minnesota in winter without going down or handles frozen against the body- Smart engineering in the year 2024.
Reality check...Toyoda made Toyota and took a steamer on everyone American to the point that Honda felt left out and joined in...the top two most selling and best rated car companies- ask any collection of repair shops. So why is the Chinese/Japanese market banned from challenging the great capitalist, super innovator, and smartest guy who is totally not funded hand-over-fist by the govt...when Ford, Chevy, Stellantis have to battle foreign car companies..hmmm
BYD and NE0 have battery swap stations already...and has the "Nikola of our time" gotten there...BYD has cars that make Ford CEO push harder for cutting them off from US consumers (publically says otherwise)..hmmm
Oh, forgot, we need to use Bush Jr. and Pelosi's "for the children...and national security" argument. That'll really get the short squeezers going. If you want to argue the above..go "be charitable" for a weekend and give free labor to a landscape, excavation, demolition, or heavy rig/equipment operator and see how much you'll make society better with a non-gooseneck capable battery driven truck that has 25k towing capacity. (trucks have been around since the 40's..no excuse that 'Technology isn't there yet'..oh wait...just ask Nvidia to AI you up a schematic and then refine it with genesis with a hint of GPT2...that'll squeeze you out a higher price)
some light reading for you...to make sense of ^^
avt.inl.gov
dawnproject.com
www.caranddriver.com
All Time High Inevitablethe way Elon openly supported trump was a gamble that he played but he won and there is nothing stopping tesla to break its all time high now, it is literally free money easy money buy it!!
TESLA BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅TESLA broke the key
Horizontal level of 412$
While trading in a strong
Uptrend so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
TSLA has reached the target !! correction is coming as you can see the chart with two patterns has reached its target precisely
it is between 455-485
so you have to be careful in trading, exiting, and entering this stock 😁
personal opinion
TESLA: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the TESLA pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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Tesla Hits New Highs! Will Santa Bring a $500 Gift for Xmas?Tesla’s stock is delivering holiday cheer, hitting an all-time high of $436 just in time for the season. Analysts are buzzing about where Santa might steer this EV sleigh next. Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, the 161.8% extension suggests a gift-wrapped target of $571.93 , while the trendline forecasts a cozy $490-$530 range by New Year’s Eve.
But wait, there’s more in the stocking! Tesla’s breakout was accompanied by high trading volume, like elves working overtime in the workshop. Meanwhile, the RSI is sitting at a frosty 78, suggesting Tesla might need a pullback before flying higher. Analysts are chiming in, with some predicting $472 and others dreaming of even higher targets for 2025.
If things go the other direction, keep an eye out for the $390-$400 range for key support. A break below this could mean Christmas is canceled.
Will Tesla soar like Rudolph or will Jack Frost be nipping at investor's hopes? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure: Tesla is the star atop this year’s stock market tree. Keep your eyes on the chart for more festive moves!
Let's sleigh the stonk market together! For more analysis and chart trends subscribe and launch that 🚀 to new all time highs!
