Part 1of 7 Megacap TECH stocks & Stock Market Forecastsupport & resistance guide Megacap TECH stocks & Stock Market ForecastLong18:48by ArcadiaTrading1
$DIS Double Bottom Weekly ChartA double bottom pattern on Disney's weekly stock chart may indicate a potential reversal in its recent price trend. This technical analysis pattern typically forms after a prolonged downtrend and consists of two distinct troughs that are roughly at the same price level, separated by a peak. It suggests that selling pressure may be exhausted, and buyers are stepping in. Traders and investors often view the confirmation of the double bottom pattern as a bullish signal, indicating the potential for a trend reversal to the upside. However, it's essential to consider other technical indicators and factors, as well as broader market conditions and news, before making investment decisions based solely on this pattern. Longby AlgoTradeAlert1
DIS : Added onto the positionsFundamentals As far as I'm concerned, after Chapek became the CEO in 2020, he had the idea to transform Disney into a modern media company, but this attempt was a failure. Disney is losing money in its media business. But since Iger returned as the CEO in November 2022, we can hope that the damage done by Chapek will be taken care of over time. He has agreed to a two-year contract, and within that time, we can expect some massive restructuring in the company. It was under him, from 2005 to 2020, that the stock had a massive rally of about 425%. The recent issues with Charter Communications are all just overhyped, and they will be taken care of. I don't think they will affect the long-term growth of the company under a strong management. The reopening of their international resorts and vessel services after the lockdown will also contribute to the future growth of Disney. Technicals There is a descending pattern within a pattern formation, and it is also aligned with the lowest levels that the price reached during the COVID crash. So, I expect smart money to be involved at these levels, and we can anticipate a move of about 50% to the top of the descending channel and over 130% to the all-time highs. So, the risk is worth the reward, considering the company's legacy. Conclusion I already have two entries at various levels, and with the current addition, I've summed up my total holding in this stock to 2.5% of my portfolio. I won't be adding any more to the stock, if it crashes further, until I have enough clarity about the reason for the crash. I'll update if I make any changes going forward.Longby Sniper-Traders1
Disney Macro Looks Dire with Risk of Further 40% DeclinesHi guys! So this is a Pure Technical Analysis on the Macro structure of Disney (DIS). Macro in that we are on the 1 Month timeframe so each candle is 1 Months worth of price action averaged in. Just note why i don't ever look at news to influence my trades. We got rejected from our highs in October 2021, Desantos bill signing that sparked the lawsuit stuff happened June 2022. Prices were already on the decline way before. Just saying. Anyway moving on. What i want to point out is our current price action. We are currently BELOW the Major SUPPORT LINE that played support for about 7-8 years. Being a monthly timeframe, just note we have NOT yet confirmed as our current candle is ongoing. Ideally We would need to get back ABOVE and confirm Support to prevent further declines. BUT if we do confirm here its NOT a good look. BELOW the "The Last SUPPORT Line of Defence" is even way worse. If we end of Confirming Resistance Below "the Last Line of Defence", we risk almost 44% Price DECLINES back to the highs of a previous consolidation zone or the line labeled "Major Support". Its because the Rapid Price Increase labeled "Weak Market Structure" has no distinctive/ strong Support zones. Theres nothing to cushion the eminent Price Declines that may be awaiting us. Its mainly because we didnt test SUPPORT and have a slow methodical rise in price. We also recently printed a DEATH CROSS. By the looks of that monster mouth, its a long ways before its momentum fizzles out. If VOLUME also continues to be on the rise while we have this DEATH CROSS and price declines, aspect more price declines. And the likely scenario of the DECLINE to "Major Support". Keep in the back of the mind: This could make for a solid SHORT play once that confirmation below the last line of defence happens. Anyway look to smaller timeframes for more current price action to see how things shape up for the macro. Keep on the look out for updates in the hourly, daily or weekly timeframes. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on DIS in smaller timeframes in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.Shortby SafofAllTrades446
$DIS - LONG TERM Bearish stock $45 price targetYearly Chart says it all. It has a price target to $45 at the support which is also currently the 50 day EMA. it is also about to do a death cross with the MACD and is bearish on the squeeze indicator turning curling down from the top. Very bearish for the long term.Shortby TheTradingStar223
$DIS is ready to recoveryNYSE:DIS seems poised to execute a META-style recovery. #Disney has recently faced criticism for its agenda and lack of innovative ideas. Its movies have been receiving negative reviews, and attracting visitors to their theme parks has become challenging, primarily because of the quality of their films. The Star Wars franchise, which had enormous potential, experienced a significant setback. It appears that people have spoken loudly with their wallets, expressing their dissatisfaction. So, what's next? NASDAQ:META went through a similar situation when people expressed their displeasure with the multiverse and diversity verse approach, causing a drop in stock prices. Zuck the cuck made a strategic move by focusing on efficiency and reducing investments in the metaverse, which resulted in a significant stock price increase. If Disney's CEO and board members have even a modicum of insight, they will likely change their tactics soon. They cannot afford to lose investors' money and trust. What changes might investors appreciate? Investing in better writers, leaving politics to politics, discontinuing remakes, hiring #StarWars enthusiasts, and taking their time to develop exceptional movies (like the Darth Bane story) could be a game-changer. Alternatively, exploring the past rather than continuing with weak ideas post-Originals might rekindle interest. #DIS still has the potential to create new hits like Frozen that capture the younger generations' hearts, and that's something I have no doubt about.Longby Gabriel-Dao1
Disney: Is The Content Gold Rush Over?Over the last 6 months, there's been an interesting trend happening. Stocks in media delivery networks, like Charter and Comcast, have done quite well, while shares of content companies, like Disney, Paramount, and Warner Bros, have deeply underperformed. This performance lies in contrast to the "content is king" narrative that's been popular amongst investors over the last decade or so. What's happening here? There's 3 issues at play. First up; the writer / actor strikes. These strikes have hurt content companies as they've introduced costs into the system. Either these will come in the form of opportunity cost as less profitable content gets made, or direct costs should Paramount, Netflix, or Warner Bros consent to the profit-share demands of labor. Secondly, debt. This applies mostly to WBD, but to a lesser degree it impacts all of the content companies. Debt has reduced FCF across the board at these companies, which has led to a decline in both profits, and earnings multiples. Finally, Business Strategy. Netflix changed the game in the 2010's as it pioneered a DTC video consumer model. As the company boomed, they began producing their own shows to the degree that the company is now a vertically integrated entertainment powerhouse. Other companies, like Paramount, lack the scale to achieve this. Thus, costs of running Paramount+ have skyrocketed, when it may have just been more profitable to license their final content products. This approach allows for less bargaining power (due to the lack of customer relationship ownership), which is why it likely hasn't been pursued. However, things will likely switch back, which should lead to higher profits in the long run for shareholders. Here at PropNotes, we believe that things are set to turn around. The DIS / CHTR spread has hit all time lows: Once media companies realize that they can generate the same leverage in licensing negotiations by creating compelling content, the cash will begin to flow, and companies like DIS will continue to print money. This will take some time, but there's a potential trade here once the heiken ashi candles begin to print green. It's going to be a long, bullish trade once that happens. Cheers! Looking for more high-probability trade ideas? Follow us below. ⬇️⬇️Editors' picksLongby PropNotes1313271
$DIS - broke down what's next?NYSE:DIS Just when you thought things were turning up and bad news might be drying up, Spectrum news came out on Friday, causing the price to gap down to near the $80 area. The bulls need to reclaim $85, as I stated in my earlier post. If $80 breaks, there is a real danger that the stock could go down to $76.45 area. $80 is the key critical support level to prevent further breakdown. $85 is the key resistance area to reverse the trend. I could be wrong but I think we see a bounce next week. Place your bets! Like and follow me for more charts and trade ideas.Longby PaperBozz113
79-80 sends us LONGHi everyone, when zooming out and looking at the bigger picture for Disney, the area of 79-80 puts us right at the golden pocket dating all the way back to the year 2000. I think the risk is minimal at this level and the reward can be very nice. Keep in mind, this is A 3 MONTH VIEW CHART. What I'm trying to say is don't expect to get rich over night. Longby Trader_Mayhem4
Fair price Range for Walt Disney $DISAs shown on the chart I think NYSE:DIS is in a good price ranges that will not be found again in the future My Entry Price is 88 USD Stop Loss is Daily Close Below 84 USD My Target is 104 USD in Mid-Term time and 145 USD in the future Make Sure that You Can Afford the Loss Before Opening Positions Longby MhAlbeloshiUpdated 3
Disney - Is Your Compass Upside Down?On trading social media, Disney has been the target of moonboys for quite a while. For some reason, whenever a stock is in a landslide and doesn't go up, everyone gets it in their head that they're going to BUY THE CALLS and catch the next MOTHER OF ALL SHORT SQUEEZES. And this is because you want to gamble on a single day candle, which results in you blowing your account, and then you stop using TradingView and can't have fun anymore. Disney, fundamentally, is a company that may not have any future whatsoever in a society that returns to mankind's traditions. For so many years, it has been pushing a warped and depraved culture at both its parks and via its broadcasting networks. It was even an entertainment industry leader in onboarding the Chinese Communist Party's Zero-COVID social credit edicts. And this is a problem if you want to get long. They always say "zoom out," and so let's look at yearly candles: 8 months of price action for 2023 so far indicates that we've probably just been painting the wick portion of a year that will break the 2020 COVID low. And the first place you find support below the COVID low is at $40. "Sure, sure. But it's Disney. It's the stock market. EVERYONE KNOWS it's going up. Bears always get #rekt LOL." "Bear flags" and "bull flags" are astrology and don't exist. But what does exist is when an equity spends more than a year in an area it should have bounced from and simply doesn't go up, which is what we see on the monthly. But the contrary, on the Weekly, there is a problem for bears, which is the August of '22 high at $126. And so there is a potential that tomorrow's earnings call actually results in a raid to $80 that actually produces a bullish buying opportunity with a target of $126. The problem is, the "JPM Collar" has the world's most significant bank long on SPX 4,200 puts that expire September 29 that have literally been under water every second of every day since they were bought at the end of Q2. SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' However, I note in my recent SPX call: SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg And a recent Nasdaq call Nasdaq NQ - Is It Time To Sell The Rip? With CPI pending on Thursday morning, what happens tomorrow is really significant. That although I suspect our index tops to get raided, the problem is, are you going to see $40+ on Disney in a time frame of less than 3 weeks? September is likely to be something of a "chilly autumn" for equities markets with the way everything is set up, including the SOXS bear semiconductor ETF and the VIX. If there's to be anymore rally, that rally may only come in Q4. And thus, that would mean for Disney that a likely scenario would be a raid on the lows from earnings and even more bearish consolidation, with the $126 target being left for the beginning of Q4. This stock is a lot like Verizon and T-Mobile. It's better left not bothered with until it starts to show you signs that a bank or a fund really wants to rip it bigly in one direction or the other. There's lower hanging fruit and greener pastures out there to trade.by LordWrymouthUpdated 1111
Disney Long Term Swing TradeMissed the first opportunity to enter once the price was within the marked support zone. Waiting to enter once the price returns to the previous low for a long trade which could take months to provide the desired results.Longby agave1828Updated 0
$DIS - could see upsideNYSE:DIS is looking like it could make a move to the upside. If it can close above $85, it could see further upside. Bad news may already be priced in. Here are target areas: - $85 - $92 - $94 - $100 - $92 is a key resistance area. What could be the catalyst? Cancel Snow White? Fire diversity hire manager? Like and follow me for more charts.Longby PaperBozz114
DIS Wyckoff Pattern UpdateNow at an area where we can assume of a potential spring. On the Monthly it has now finaly hit the $83 200SMA & HBD still forming. Still hopeful about this.Longby Ana_NSr3
Disney forecastThe price is at its low. Position long : take profit: 93.44 103.62 118.35 stop loss: 78.03Longby DimaBuba4
Long DIS.Been watching this one a while. My friend bought this back in November when he correctly called the indices low and - well, DIS was not the best pick to express his bet. But because of this I've been watching it and I like it now. I'll have a try on the butterfly low. Longby holeyprofit443
Disney butterfly to big supportCould go lower, obviously, this would be the bare minimum for a butterfly. I just think a minimal butterfly makes sense cause of the support that is there.Shortby MikeMMUpdated 1
DIS Bullish Run ComingAfter reaching a high of 118 in Feb 2023, DIS has been in a continuous downtrend, forming a descending triangle. It is not at support level of 82.5. An RSI divergence has formed. Uptrend to begin in a couple of weeks, at best. Longby RS31757
$DIS - 9 Year Low!NYSE:DIS Ouch! 9 year low. Trading along the bottom trend line. The wedge is getting tight. Could Yesterday be the final flush or could we still see $80 - $79?by PaperBozz3
DIS Short: Break down from descending triangleServe DIS right for pursuing the Woke agenda. I guessed Little Mermaid is bad enough but Snow White is probably the straw that breaks the camel's back. I've been monitoring this for a long time and finally it broke down. Shortby sngyuchao4
DIS AnalysisPrice consolidated since my last analysis. No changes to my expectations, more sell-side liquidity being built right now and I'm expecting price to continue lower, taking out the clean low at 85.16. by Keeleytwj2
Are you afraid of Success ?If you think logically, this may not seems to make much sense. Who in this world would not want more success in their lives , be it career, family, relationship? However , on a deeper note, it is true that some are truly fearful of gaining success. WHY? One of the factors is they are too complacent, too comfortable with what they have currently. Example, someone holding a not too bad job that pays $XXX a month and he knows how to get his job done (since he has been doing it for years). A promotion would means more responsibility and not necessarily a higher pay that commensurates with it. So, weighing the pros and cons, this guy could simply stay put in his position. In the world of bodybuilding, there is a saying that you need to shock the muscles in order for it to grow. That means, you cannot stick to the same regime week in week out. A barbell bicep curl and an alternate dumbell curl will yield different results even though they are both working on your biceps. The same for using dumbells versus a cable pull machine. So, in the world of investment, we too need to take a different approach. Our starting point is where you are right now, never mind your age, income or financial standing. You got to have the hunger, the urge to want to change, change for the better, expect better things to come in the future. We call that having a vision. www.biblegateway.com) Many great companies are where they are today because decades ago, the founders had a dream , a vivid imagination of what the company will be. They work towards their dreams. Nobody said it will be a straight path to success (perhaps that pullback, failure to some is what scares people to pursue) but one that has its usual ups and downs. Your portfolio may not be green and profitable all year round but that is OK if you know what you are doing. You spend more time review them, scrutinise your investment objectives, weed out those companies that are not structurally aligned with your vision and continue to invest in great profitable companies. Stay on the course, that is easier said than done. Others fear success because they may have a limiting beliefs about being rich. They may have seen someone in their lives that were rich and perhaps were disgusted with their arrogance, behaviour, etc. So they think if they become rich, they will be like them. These thoughts become so repelling that it becomes an obstacle to their impending success. If you did not inherit your wealth, then you must know that many become successful because they put in lots of hard work. The latter may not guarantee success but it is an important ingredient. Work hard towards your vision/goals. The clearer you know what you want in life, they more self disciplined, committed you become. Your goals drive you , no external motivation of sort is needed. You defer your spending because you have a better purpose to using that money. You choose to buy a cheaper product because it serves the same function and you save on the remaining sum for a better purpose. It becomes part of your daily routine, your daily habits. It no longer becomes a chore. One benefit of becoming financially free or successful is it offers you CHOICES. For now, you may have to take on more than one job to save more money towards your goals. And that is fine. When you arrived, you discovered that you work not because you have to but you want to. The pressure is off, the mood is totally different and you look at things differently. Just like how others have impacted on you, you too, when successful will become a role model to some. Others want to be like you, hard working, humble and yet generous to those in need, sharing your knowledge and making a difference in other lives. You do not need to be a philanthropist like Bill Gates or Warren Buffett to do what they are doing. Choose your own path and contribute in other meaningful ways as well. Choose Success !Longby dchua1969Updated 4
DIS, 10d+/-8.09%falling cycle -8.09% more than 10 days. ================================================================================== This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only. Shortby Tonyder0