US100 - Riding the Ascending Channel Towards $22800NASDAQ is showing a very clear and well-respected ascending channel, with price moving steadily within its bounds. Each pullback has been relatively shallow, and buyers continue to step in near the midline or lower boundary of the channel. This is classic trending behavior, with bullish structure intact and momentum favoring continuation higher.
Break and Flip of Resistance into Support
A key resistance level has just been broken, and more importantly, it has now flipped into support. Price retested this zone cleanly after the breakout, confirming the shift in order flow and adding confidence to the current leg up. This kind of structure shift is significant, especially when paired with a strong trending environment like this one.
Daily Resistance Ahead
Looking ahead, there’s a major daily resistance level just above. This area has acted as a reaction zone in the past and will likely bring some short-term volatility or hesitation. However, in the context of the current trend, that resistance could be used as fuel for the next breakout. If price manages to pierce through it with strength and hold above, it would open the path for a move toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Plan and Expectation
The ideal scenario now is simple: I want to see a clean break above the daily resistance, followed by a retest and confirmation of support. That would set up a strong continuation move targeting the top of the channel. If the resistance holds, I’ll wait for signs of weakness or range formation, but as long as we remain inside this rising structure, the bias remains bullish.
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NAS100 trade ideas
Nasdaq at Supply Zone – Rejection or Breakout? (READ THE CAPTIONBy examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is still trading within the supply zone around 21,850. We are still waiting for a strong rejection from this level, which could lead to a short-term price correction in this index.
The potential downside targets are:
21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150.
The key supply range lies between 21,400 and 22,200.
Additionally, there is a possibility of a liquidity grab or stop-hunt above 22,200 before any real drop begins.
This analysis will be considered invalid if price closes above 22,400 in the next three weeks.
On the fundamental side, there are several macro factors to watch:
Interest Rate Expectations:
Although inflation in the U.S. has cooled compared to last year, the Fed remains cautious. If upcoming CPI or PPI prints show unexpected resilience, the likelihood of rate cuts this year could diminish, pressuring tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq.
Tech Sector Valuations:
Valuations in major tech names — such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft — have reached historically high multiples. This makes Nasdaq particularly vulnerable to correction, especially if earnings disappoint or growth expectations soften.
Geopolitical Risks:
Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China over trade and technology, as well as potential instability in the Middle East, could contribute to a risk-off sentiment — further supporting the case for a short-term pullback.
Earnings Season Ahead:
Q2 earnings season is around the corner. Any signs of slowing revenue growth or reduced forward guidance from major tech firms could act as a catalyst for the expected correction.
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USTECH MAJOR DROP EXPECTED The price has been making higher highs and higher lows since the March 2025 low. Maybe New all-time highs about to happen but i think it's trend reversal , Next week is important if price doesn't break the trendline resistance and show weakness then i believe it's trend reversal.
US100 - Trading within a bearish parallel channel!Introduction
The US100 is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel to the downside, consistently finding support along the lower trendline and facing resistance near the upper boundary. This structure has led to a clear pattern of lower lows and lower highs on the 1H timeframe. Most recently, price action broke market structure, and we now anticipate a reaction near a high-confluence resistance area.
Parallel Channel
A distinct parallel channel has been developing on the US100 over the past several days on the 1H timeframe. During last night's move, the price touched the lower boundary of the channel and has been trending upward since. After breaking above the midline at $21,640, momentum suggests a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel around $21,830.
FVG
During the most recent downward move, the US100 created a significant 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), stretching from $21,775 to $21,840. This zone represents a key imbalance that could generate a strong reaction to the downside if price revisits it.
Conclusion
Given the break in structure on the 1H timeframe, short-term upward moves are likely to face resistance. The confluence between the upper boundary of the parallel channel and the 1H FVG creates a high-probability area for price rejection, making it a critical level to watch for potential downside pressure.
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NAS100 Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 21,771.1.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 20,767.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USNAS100 Bearish Below 21,790 – Key Levels to WatchUSNAS100 – Overview
The price remains under bearish pressure as long as it trades below the pivot level at 21,790. A continued move lower is expected toward the support at 21,635, and a 15-minute close below this level may extend the bearish trend toward 21,480.
To shift to a bullish outlook, the price must stabilize above 21,920, which could open the path toward 22,090.
Pivot: 21,790
Support Levels: 21,635 · 21,480 · 21,250
Resistance Levels: 21,920 · 22,090 · 22,200
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Bullish Break Out )🔥 Nas100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21920 / Break out done
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
Nasdaq-100 (NDX) Weekly Chart 2025 Chart Context
This weekly timeframe analysis of the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) forms a key pillar in our 2025 macro analysis series. Following the breakout structure seen in TOTAL, TOTAL2, BTC.D, and US10Y, this chart utilizes 2 Fibonacci tools (1 trend-based extensions and 1 retracement) to project potential corrective and expansion scenarios.
Fibonacci Tools Used:
Fibonacci Retracement : Applies to the recent smaller swing to determine micro retracement zones and cluster supports.
0=20674 and 100=10504
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: Drawn using a three-leg structure (point A= 3993 to B=16724 to C10504) to forecast upside targets beyond ATH.
All take-profit (TP) levels: TP1 (~23,400), TP2 (~26,700), and TP3 (~30,344.49)—are located at confluence zones where Fibonacci levels from different tools align, reinforcing their validity and strength.
There is a 4TP above all the Visible TPs
Key price references:
0% retracement: ~20,674.71
Next Resistance ~23,400 (confluence of extensions and psychological resistance)
Projected TPs:
1TP=~23,400,
2TP=~26,700,
3TP=~30,344.49,
4TP=44000
Support/Resistance:
Red zone: ~16,700–18,300 (historical S/R and correction target and Fib Confluences)
Resistance zone: ~23,000–23,400 ,
22000(ATH area)
Key Technical Observations:
Fibonacci Retracement from ~20674 to ~15732 marks the initial corrective range.
Trend-Based Extensions forecast:
TP1 (~23,400): First breakout resistance
TP2 (~26,700): Medium-term expansion zone
TP3 (~30,344): Long-term target if macro tailwinds persist
Scenario Pathways:
Bullish Continuation: Breaks above ATH to reach TP2/TP3
Healthy Correction: Pullback to ~20,600 or deeper ~18,300 before resumption
Deep Correction: Revisits ~16,700 zone if macro environment deteriorates
Fundamental Context:
Tech Stocks & Economic Sentiment: NDX is often the first to move during liquidity expansions. Its performance signals risk-on behavior across global equity markets.
Rate Cuts in 2025: With anticipated Fed rate cuts, tech stocks are primed for inflows. Forward earnings valuations rise, justifying extended upside in high-beta tech.
AI Boom & Earnings Growth: Nasdaq is heavily weighted toward AI, cloud, and semiconductors—sectors expected to lead earnings surprises.
NDX Influence on Gold and Crypto
When NDX rallies:
Crypto: Risk appetite improves. Capital rotation flows into altcoins and layer-1 assets.
Bitcoin: Often sees parallel inflows, especially during strong tech rallies (e.g., 2020).
TOTAL & TOTAL3: Begin breakout patterns if NDX continues to surge.
Gold: May stall or correct as investors favor risk assets. However, gold still holds due to macro hedging and real yield pressures.
When NDX corrects:
Crypto: Volatility spikes. Altcoins bleed faster.
Bitcoin: Short-term dip but may decouple if viewed as digital gold.
Gold: Benefits from flight-to-safety behavior.
US10Y: Often reacts inversely to NDX moves—used for confirmation.
Search Highlights (2024–2025):
Institutions view NDX correction as signal to rotate into commodities (incl. gold).
Cross-market correlations show NDX peaks often precede crypto mini-rallies.
De-risking from NDX often triggers gold strength, especially in geopolitical or inflationary backdrops.
Bias & Strategy Implication
Primary Bias: Bullish
Expecting upside continuation to 26,700–30,000 zone
Multiple correction opportunities are present even during rally
Strategic Actions:
Monitor for correction to yellow/red zones for accumulation
Use NDX behavior as leading macro signal for crypto rotations
Watch resistance at 23,400 closely; breakout confirms trend extension
Time Horizon
Short-Term (1–2 months): Watch for breakout or correction to ~20,600–18,300
Mid-Term (3–6 months): Probable test of ~26,700
Long-Term (6–12 months): Potential expansion to ~30,344.49
NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP 09 - 13 JUNI 2025📊 NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP
Trade Plan & Market Outlook
The NASDAQ is currently trading within the H4 Supply Zone (21767.00 – 22158.00) after a bullish rejection from the H4 Demand Zone (21524.00 – 21404.00).
🔹 Key Zones to Watch:
🟩 Demand Zones:
H4 Demand: 21524.00 – 21404.00
Strong H4 Demand: 21136.00
Daily Demand: 20740.00
🟥 Supply Zones:
H4 Supply: 21767.00 – 22158.00
Daily Supply: 21736.00
🔹 Market Outlook & Scenarios:
If price breaks out above the H4 Supply Zone (21767.00), there's potential for a continued rally toward the strong Supply at 22158.00
However, if price gets rejected from this supply area, a pullback may occur toward the H4 Demand Zone (21524.00 – 21404.00), and possibly extend lower to the strong Demand at 21136.00
📌 Monitor price action closely around the current supply area.
Wait for breakout or rejection confirmation before entering trades, and always manage your risk properly.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ON
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Always conduct your own analysis and apply appropriate risk management strategies.
NASDAQ Initiated a standard short-term Bull Cycle.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up ever since the November 2008 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. The recent Trade War correction that started early this year, bottomed just before the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and rebounded.
As this chart shows, every break below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has technically started a new Cycle. During this 16-year pattern, we have seen two types of Cycles, a short (blue Rectangle) and long (green Rectangle).
Based on the sequence since the start of the Channel Up, the index should have now just initiated its new short Cycle. Both previous ones peaked on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension before a correction below the 1W MA50 again. As a result, we expect to see 28000 at least before the next meaningful technical correction.
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NASDAQ at Weekly Supply Zone – Bearish Breakdown Ahead? (READ)By examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading within the supply zone around 21,400. If it manages to close and stabilize below 21,100, we can expect further downside for this index. The potential bearish targets are 21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150. The key supply zone ranges from 21,400 to 22,200.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Nasdaq 100 - Bearish Elliott Wave CountThe Nasdaq 100 (NDQ) has a completed extended Elliott five wave Impulse pattern from the 04/07/25 bottom.
Three - hour Stochastic is in the overbought zone and on the verge of a bearish cross.
RSI and MACD have bearish divergences.
A break below the rising trendline could be an important sell signal.
USTECUSTEC price is now near the resistance zone 21916-22226. If the price cannot break through the 22226 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 15-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 21850
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21690
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.